Jay Ulfelder is an American political scientist who is best known for his work on political forecasting, specifically on anticipating various forms of...
10 KB (829 words) - 15:54, 16 October 2024
1956), American lawyer Jay Severin (1951–2020), American radio talk show host Jay Ulfelder, American political scientist Jay Walljasper (1955/56–2020)...
11 KB (1,362 words) - 14:59, 17 October 2024
coup attempts. However, some tentative analysis by political scientist Jay Ulfelder finds no clear pattern of deterioration in human rights practices in...
78 KB (8,319 words) - 17:08, 25 September 2024
Their consultants include Jay Ulfelder, former director of the Political Instability Task Force. With assistance from Jay Ulfelder and others, CPG is building...
5 KB (432 words) - 08:09, 26 March 2023
around the world." Political scientist, data analyst, and forecaster Jay Ulfelder blogged about his experience trying to use the ACLED to see if it added...
38 KB (4,074 words) - 15:31, 4 November 2024
then studied. Political scientist and data science/forecasting expert Jay Ulfelder critiqued the post on his personal blog, saying that Leetaru's normalization...
12 KB (1,174 words) - 10:25, 31 December 2023
with Jay Ulfelder, as expressed in an article by Ulfelder for Foreign Policy and a response by Ward and Metternich in the same magazine. Ulfelder later...
8 KB (860 words) - 00:25, 27 September 2023
dimension of refugee flows. Political scientist and forecasting expert Jay Ulfelder called the Worldwide Atrocities Dataset a "useful data set on political...
4 KB (425 words) - 01:04, 16 May 2024
various nations in Africa. Alongside Valentino, political scientist Jay Ulfelder has used a threshold of 1,000 killed. Professor of peace and conflict...
196 KB (20,664 words) - 13:09, 3 November 2024
Trump's second impeachment trial over his role in the events of January 6. Jay Ulfelder, a Harvard University academic, emailed YouTube to say that footage of...
10 KB (915 words) - 23:08, 26 January 2024
data science and predictive analytics in political science, such as Jay Ulfelder's blog, the Predictive Heuristics blog, and Bad Hessian. He has also been...
7 KB (647 words) - 20:44, 10 October 2024
of International Events of Interest" (PDF). Retrieved June 21, 2014. Ulfelder, Jay (September 16, 2011). "Maybe Pattern Recognition Will Work Better Than...
6 KB (596 words) - 13:15, 8 April 2023
Journal of Political Science, Vol. 54, No. 1 (January 2010), pp. 190–208 Ulfelder, Jay, and Michael Lustik. "Modelling Transitions to and from Democracy."...
13 KB (1,715 words) - 19:33, 8 August 2024
Predictions". Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence. Ulfelder, Jay (March 27, 2014). Using the 'Wisdom of (Expert) Crowds' to Forecast...
20 KB (1,878 words) - 18:14, 11 October 2024
(September 27, 1999). The Guardian (London). Retrieved 2016-01-22. Ulfelder, Jay (2001). City Paper Online. "Game Face: Is Sportsmanship in the Eye—or...
17 KB (1,790 words) - 07:57, 9 September 2024
Archived from the original on 12 March 2016. Retrieved 27 August 2019. Ulfelder, Jay (March–June 2004). "Baltic Protest in the Gorbachev Era: Movement Content...
229 KB (23,051 words) - 06:25, 5 November 2024
(3): 325–361. doi:10.1353/wp.2001.0011. ISSN 1086-3338. S2CID 18404. Ulfelder, Jay (1 August 2007). "Natural-Resource Wealth and the Survival of Autocracy"...
112 KB (12,129 words) - 04:05, 19 October 2024
1353/wp.2007.0004. ISSN 0043-8871. JSTOR 40060139. S2CID 153623647. Ulfelder, Jay; Valentino, Benjamin (February 2008). "Assessing Risks of State-Sponsored...
31 KB (3,959 words) - 16:25, 15 October 2024
Politics. 7 (2): 1–6. doi:10.1177/2053168020936890. S2CID 220069995. Ulfelder, Jay (2007-08-01). "Natural-Resource Wealth and the Survival of Autocracy"...
90 KB (10,850 words) - 13:18, 10 September 2024
9710. doi:10.1177/0010414004266867. ISSN 0010-4140. S2CID 154999593. Ulfelder, Jay (2007-08-01). "Natural-Resource Wealth and the Survival of Autocracy"...
118 KB (15,261 words) - 23:06, 21 August 2024