Reference class forecasting or comparison class forecasting is a method of predicting the future by looking at similar past situations and their outcomes...

in interruptions. Reference class forecasting predicts the outcome of a planned action based on actual outcomes in a reference class of similar actions...

Telecommunications forecasting Transport planning and forecasting Weather forecasting, flood forecasting and meteorology In several cases, the forecast is either...

In statistics, the reference class problem is the problem of deciding what class to use when calculating the probability applicable to a particular case...

Group method of data handling (GMDH) Reference class forecasting Quantitative analogies Rule-based forecasting Diffusion of innovation Neural networks...

demand forecast accuracy Errors and residuals in statistics Forecasting Forecasting accuracy Mean squared prediction error Optimism bias Reference class forecasting...

(trends). Cool-hunting Extrapolation Horizon scanning Technology forecasting Weather forecasting Trend analysis tries to predict a trend like a bull market...

and representativeness. Training in reference class forecasting may also improve outcomes. Reference class forecasting is a method for systematically debiasing...

change Delphi method Forecasting Futurology Horizon scanning List of emerging technologies Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Strategic foresight...

term) Prediction Reference class forecasting Sign (medicine) Symptom "What is the prognosis of a genetic condition?". Genetics Home Reference. NIH: U.S. National...

triviality List of eponymous laws Peter principle Planning fallacy Reference class forecasting SnackWell effect Student syndrome Time management Zawinski's...

Orientation Index Futures International Journal of Forecasting Journal of Futures Studies Technological Forecasting and Social Change Abductive reasoning List...

scanning Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Systems analysis Threatcasting Trend analysis Technology assessment and forecasting Critical design Design...

Emerging technologies Foresight Institute Forecasting Horizon scanning Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Strategic foresight Strategic...

addition to identifying the forecasting and decision steps as additional steps in the process, it is important to note that forecasting and decision-making permeate...

scanning Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Systems analysis Threatcasting Trend analysis Technology assessment and forecasting Critical design Design...

Pre-construction services Project management Quantity surveyor Reference class forecasting Total delivery cost Value engineering "Provoc - Glossary of Common...

Planning fallacy – Cognitive bias of underestimating time needed Reference class forecasting – Method of predicting the future Student syndrome – Planned...

Model. See also Land use forecasting, Reference class forecasting, Transportation planning and Calculating Demand Forecast Accuracy. The World Bank provides...

civilization. Thus, a Class A civilization would be based on 106 bits of information (less than any recorded human culture), a Class B on 107, a Class C on 108, and...

(business) Financial plan (budget) Optimism bias Personal budget Reference class forecasting Wikimedia Commons has media related to Financial Planning. "Financial...

the forecast to doubling every two years, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41%. While Moore did not use empirical evidence in forecasting that...

systematic, interactive forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts. Delphi has been widely used for business forecasting and has certain advantages...

analysis, backcasting can be considered to be the opposite of forecasting; thus: forecasting involves the prediction of the future (unknown) values of the...

choice of demand forecasting method influences both supplier selection and planning of order allocation. Reference class forecasting NetSuite.com (2023-07-06)...

Planning fallacy Prospect theory Cumulative prospect theory Reference class forecasting Representativeness heuristic Simulation heuristic Status quo...

Critical design Design fiction Forecasting Foresight (future studies) Futurology Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Science fiction prototyping Strategic...

approach to forecasting, they can be divided into three main groups of activities (which are, generally speaking, common to all long range forecasting processes):...

forecasting Ensemble averaging Ensemble forecasting Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) Reference class forecasting Timmermann, Allan (2007). "An Evaluation...

decision-making in many domains, ranging from finance to health. Reference class forecasting was developed to eliminate or reduce cognitive biases in decision-making...