Reference class forecasting or comparison class forecasting is a method of predicting the future by looking at similar past situations and their outcomes...
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Planning fallacy (section Reference class forecasting)
in interruptions. Reference class forecasting predicts the outcome of a planned action based on actual outcomes in a reference class of similar actions...
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Telecommunications forecasting Transport planning and forecasting Weather forecasting, flood forecasting and meteorology In several cases, the forecast is either...
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In statistics, the reference class problem is the problem of deciding what class to use when calculating the probability applicable to a particular case...
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Demand forecasting, also known as demand planning and sales forecasting (DP&SF), involves the prediction of the quantity of goods and services that will...
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change Delphi method Forecasting Futurology Horizon scanning List of emerging technologies Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Strategic foresight...
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and representativeness. Training in reference class forecasting may also improve outcomes. Reference class forecasting is a method for systematically debiasing...
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demand forecast accuracy Errors and residuals in statistics Forecasting Forecasting accuracy Mean squared prediction error Optimism bias Reference class forecasting...
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Trend analysis (redirect from Trend forecasting)
(trends). Cool-hunting Extrapolation Horizon scanning Technology forecasting Weather forecasting Trend analysis tries to predict a trend like a bull market...
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term) Prediction Reference class forecasting Sign (medicine) Symptom "What is the prognosis of a genetic condition?". Genetics Home Reference. NIH: U.S. National...
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Parkinson's law (category Articles needing additional references from January 2024)
triviality List of eponymous laws Peter principle Planning fallacy Reference class forecasting SnackWell effect Student syndrome Time management Zawinski's...
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Model. See also Land use forecasting, Reference class forecasting, Transportation planning and Calculating Demand Forecast Accuracy. The World Bank provides...
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Poincaré writing in 1908 (English translation), "The true method of forecasting the future of mathematics lies in the study of its history and its present...
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Hofstadter's law (category Self-reference)
Planning fallacy – Cognitive bias of underestimating time needed Reference class forecasting – Method of predicting the future Student syndrome – Planned...
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addition to identifying the forecasting and decision steps as additional steps in the process, it is important to note that forecasting and decision-making permeate...
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scanning Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Systems analysis Threatcasting Trend analysis Technology assessment and forecasting Critical design Design...
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Financial plan (category Articles needing additional references from May 2012)
(business) Financial plan (budget) Optimism bias Personal budget Reference class forecasting Wikimedia Commons has media related to Financial planning. "Financial...
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Emerging technologies Foresight Institute Forecasting Horizon scanning Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Strategic foresight Strategic...
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Orientation Index Futures International Journal of Forecasting Journal of Futures Studies Technological Forecasting and Social Change Abductive reasoning List...
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Planning fallacy Prospect theory Cumulative prospect theory Reference class forecasting Representativeness heuristic Simulation heuristic Status quo...
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forecasting Ensemble averaging Ensemble forecasting Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) Reference class forecasting Timmermann, Allan (2007). "An Evaluation...
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Expectation Forecasting Futures studies Omen Oracle Predictability Prediction market Predictive modelling Prognosis Prognostics Reference class forecasting Regression...
27 KB (4,206 words) - 08:48, 29 October 2024
Delphi method (category Forecasting)
systematic, interactive forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts. Delphi has been widely used for business forecasting and has certain advantages...
39 KB (4,507 words) - 04:22, 30 December 2024
Moore's law (section Forecasts and roadmaps)
another decade. In 1975, looking forward to the next decade, he revised the forecast to doubling every two years, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41%...
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List of transport megaprojects Macro-engineering Megastructure Reference class forecasting Optimism bias Megaprojects and Risk When Technology Fails "Megaproject:...
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choice of demand forecasting method influences both supplier selection and planning of order allocation. Reference class forecasting NetSuite.com (2023-07-06)...
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scanning Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Systems analysis Threatcasting Trend analysis Technology assessment and forecasting Critical design Design...
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Scenario planning (category Articles needing additional references from February 2023)
approach to forecasting, they can be divided into three main groups of activities (which are, generally speaking, common to all long range forecasting processes):...
61 KB (8,665 words) - 14:42, 22 December 2024
Backcasting (section Backcasting vs. forecasting)
analysis, backcasting can be considered to be the opposite of forecasting; thus: forecasting involves the prediction of the future (unknown) values of the...
12 KB (1,425 words) - 09:58, 13 October 2024
Theodore (2002) "Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change" Archived 2021-02-15 at the Wayback Machine, Technological Forecasting & Social Change...
114 KB (12,352 words) - 00:42, 30 December 2024