• Thumbnail for St. Petersburg paradox
    The St. Petersburg paradox or St. Petersburg lottery is a paradox involving the game of flipping a coin where the expected payoff of the lottery game...
    32 KB (3,956 words) - 07:07, 8 January 2025
  • Bortniansky (1751–1825) "St. Petersburg" (song), 2005 song by the band Supergrass Saint Petersburg (film), a 2010 film St. Petersburg paradox, in probability theory...
    2 KB (299 words) - 01:13, 30 January 2024
  • theory, and bounded rationality. Nicolaus Bernoulli described the St. Petersburg paradox (involving infinite expected values) in 1713, prompting two Swiss...
    42 KB (5,686 words) - 20:36, 7 October 2024
  • the original stake. Thus the strategy is an instantiation of the St. Petersburg paradox. Since a gambler will almost surely eventually flip heads, the martingale...
    13 KB (1,991 words) - 19:00, 20 November 2024
  • Thumbnail for Two envelopes problem
    often used to resolve the St. Petersburg paradox. As mentioned above, any distribution producing this variant of the paradox must have an infinite mean...
    52 KB (8,313 words) - 23:42, 25 December 2024
  • Thumbnail for Boy or girl paradox
    paradox (probability) Necktie paradox Sleeping Beauty problem St. Petersburg paradox Two envelopes problem List of paradoxes Martin Gardner (1961). The Second...
    30 KB (4,681 words) - 08:50, 1 January 2025
  • Thumbnail for Sándor Csörgő
    statistics, and asymptotic theory. He did important research on the St. Petersburg paradox. He was a member of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences. His brother...
    5 KB (399 words) - 11:58, 20 October 2024
  • curves, differential equations, and probability; originator of the St. Petersburg paradox Nicolaus II Bernoulli (1695–1726), son of Johann Daniel Bernoulli...
    12 KB (810 words) - 19:52, 6 January 2025
  • Thumbnail for Logarithmic growth
    logarithm of the gambler's bankroll. It also plays a role in the St. Petersburg paradox. In microbiology, the rapidly growing exponential growth phase of...
    4 KB (396 words) - 07:54, 25 November 2023
  • problem occurred at all. St. Petersburg paradox: People will only offer a modest fee for a reward of infinite expected value. Paradox of plenty: Countries...
    56 KB (7,852 words) - 19:51, 3 January 2025
  • Thumbnail for Daniel Bernoulli
    Daniel Bernoulli (category Full members of the Saint Petersburg Academy of Sciences)
    on the Measurement of Risk), Bernoulli offered a solution to the St. Petersburg paradox as the basis of the economic theory of risk aversion, risk premium...
    18 KB (1,579 words) - 15:52, 6 January 2025
  • Pascal's mugging (category Decision-making paradoxes)
    extremely large risks. Decision theory Expected utility Scope neglect St. Petersburg paradox While it may seem very intuitive that the probability t {\displaystyle...
    13 KB (1,566 words) - 19:13, 1 January 2025
  • subjective probabilities. It is also founded in the famous example, the St. Petersburg paradox: as Daniel Bernoulli mentioned, the utility function in the lottery...
    7 KB (1,107 words) - 05:54, 18 December 2024
  • Thumbnail for Expected value
    values of ±∞. This is intuitive, for example, in the case of the St. Petersburg paradox, in which one considers a random variable with possible outcomes...
    52 KB (7,614 words) - 23:08, 26 December 2024
  • amount is raised until a person wins or becomes insolvent St. Petersburg paradox – Paradox involving a game with repeated coin flipping Sunk cost fallacy –...
    3 KB (404 words) - 05:50, 27 August 2024
  • expected utility, as opposed to students. Ellsberg paradox Priority heuristic St. Petersburg paradox Allais, Maurice (1979). Allais, Maurice; Hagen, Ole...
    24 KB (2,875 words) - 18:42, 16 December 2024
  • Thumbnail for Nicolaus II Bernoulli
    trial St. Petersburg paradox O'Connor, John J.; Robertson, Edmund F., "Nicolaus II Bernoulli", MacTutor History of Mathematics Archive, University of St Andrews...
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  • Thumbnail for Necktie paradox
    Bayesian probability Bertrand paradox Decision theory Dutch book Monty Hall problem Newcomb's paradox St. Petersburg paradox Brown, Aaron C. (1995). "Neckties...
    3 KB (397 words) - 19:23, 27 June 2024
  • Thumbnail for Decision theory
    of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk, in which he uses the St. Petersburg paradox to show that expected value theory must be normatively wrong. He...
    29 KB (3,215 words) - 12:22, 7 January 2025
  • Thumbnail for Karl Menger
    philosophy. During that time, he published an influential result on the St. Petersburg paradox with applications to the utility theory in economics; this result...
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  • Thumbnail for Gabriel Cramer
    restore his health. In 1728, Cramer proposed a solution to the St. Petersburg Paradox that came very close to the concept of expected utility theory given...
    6 KB (652 words) - 17:26, 3 October 2024
  • Thumbnail for Nicolaus I Bernoulli
    de Montmort. In these letters, he introduced in particular the St. Petersburg Paradox. He also communicated with Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz and Leonhard...
    5 KB (573 words) - 21:41, 25 November 2024
  • Thumbnail for Doomsday argument
    similar example of counterintuitive infinite expectations, see the St. Petersburg paradox. One objection is that the possibility of a human existing at all...
    42 KB (6,114 words) - 23:09, 2 January 2025
  • of Orrery. September 9 – Nicolas Bernoulli first describes the St. Petersburg paradox in a letter to Pierre Raymond de Montmort. November 13 – James Waldegrave...
    4 KB (446 words) - 16:46, 16 June 2024
  • Ergodicity economics (category Paradoxes in economics)
    principles of non-ergodicity to propose a possible solution for the St. Petersburg paradox. More recent work has suggested possible solutions for the equity...
    23 KB (3,183 words) - 10:04, 4 December 2024
  • Thumbnail for Kelly criterion
    although the motivation is different (Bernoulli wanted to resolve the St. Petersburg paradox). An English translation of the Bernoulli article was not published...
    34 KB (5,670 words) - 14:05, 1 January 2025
  • management Settlement risk Shadow banking system Specific risk St. Petersburg paradox Systematic risk Three lines of defence Treasury management Uncompensated...
    68 KB (5,693 words) - 21:48, 14 December 2024
  • known for her research in behavioral decision making, e.g., the St. Petersburg paradox and Prospect theory, and finance. Together with Thorsten Hens and...
    4 KB (427 words) - 13:37, 24 October 2024
  • management Risk management St. Petersburg paradox (an imaginary game with no risk of ruin and positive expected returns, yet paradoxically perceived to be of...
    8 KB (1,129 words) - 22:24, 11 May 2024
  • Blaise Pascal's Pense's, the probability of God once more, and the St. Petersburg paradox. Chapter 13, Where the Train Tracks Meet: This chapter includes...
    19 KB (2,058 words) - 20:02, 1 October 2024