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Deutsch2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
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| Turnout | 42.25% | ||||||||||||||||
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  Deal: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Carter: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hunt: 50–60% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Georgia |
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The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic state senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries. As of 2022, this is the last time that Cobb and Gwinnett counties voted for the Republican candidate for governor; and the last time that Burke, Chattahoochee, Dooly, Quitman, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson counties voted for the Democratic candidate.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- John Barge, State School Superintendent[1]
- Nathan Deal, incumbent governor
- David Pennington, Mayor of Dalton[2]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nathan Deal | John Barge | David Pennington | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage[3] | May 18, 2014 | 852 | ±3.36% | 62.1% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 22.9% |
| SurveyUSA[4] | May 8–12, 2014 | 634 | ± 4% | 63% | 10% | 15% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[5] | April 24–27, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.3% | 64% | 10% | 11% | 16% |
| InsiderAdvantage[6] | April 13–15, 2014 | 804 | ±3.4% | 61% | 4% | 7% | 28% |
| Landmark/Rosetta[7] | March 23–24, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 58% | 8% | 7% | 27% |
| SurveyUSA[8] | March 16–18, 2014 | 508 | ± 4.2% | 65% | 7% | 11% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling[9] | August 2–5, 2013 | 260 | ± 6.1% | 71% | 8% | — | 21% |
| 71% | — | 11% | 19% | ||||
| 20/20 Insight, LLC[10] | May 7–9, 2013 | ? | ± ? | 53% | — | 18% | 29% |
Results
[edit]
Deal
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Pennington
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nathan Deal (incumbent) | 430,170 | 72.15 | |
| Republican | David Pennington | 99,548 | 16.70 | |
| Republican | John Barge | 66,500 | 11.15 | |
| Total votes | 596,218 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Jason Carter, state senator and grandson of former U.S. president and former governor Jimmy Carter[12]
Withdrew
[edit]- Connie Stokes, former DeKalb County Commissioner, former state senator and candidate for GA-04 in 2004 and 2010 (running for Lieutenant Governor)[13]
Declined
[edit]- Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[14]
- Roy Barnes, former governor and nominee for governor in 2010
- Shirley Franklin, former mayor of Atlanta[15]
- Scott Holcomb, state representative[16][17]
- Kasim Reed, Mayor of Atlanta[18]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jason Carter | 304,243 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 304,243 | 100 | ||
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Andrew Hunt, businessman and engineer[19]
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2014 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 26, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[22] | Lean R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[23] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nathan Deal (R) | Jason Carter (D) | Andrew Hunt (L) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[24] | November 1–3, 2014 | 975 | ± 3.1% | 47% | 43% | 4% | — | 6% |
| 49% | 45% | — | — | 6% | ||||
| Landmark Communications[25] | November 2, 2014 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | 51% | 45% | 3% | — | 2% |
| Insider Advantage[26] | November 2, 2014 | 1,463 | ± 3% | 47% | 44% | 5% | — | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[27] | October 30 – November 2, 2014 | 591 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 42% | 5% | — | 5% |
| YouGov[28] | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,743 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 41% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| NBC News/Marist[29] | October 26–30, 2014 | 603 LV | ± 4% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| 875 RV | ± 3.3% | 46% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 7% | ||
| Landmark Communications[30] | October 29, 2014 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 46% | 4% | — | 3% |
| Vox Populi Polling[31] | October 28, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 49% | 42% | 3% | — | 7% |
| Monmouth[32] | October 26–28, 2014 | 436 | ± 4.7% | 48% | 42% | 5% | — | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[33] | October 25–27, 2014 | 977 | ± 3% | 49% | 43% | — | 2% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA[34] | October 24–27, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 46% | 44% | 3% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling[35] | October 23–24, 2014 | 771 | ± ?% | 48% | 45% | 4% | — | 3% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,774 | ± 4% | 47% | 43% | 2% | 0% | 8% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[37] | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,170 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 41% | 6% | — | 7% |
| Insider Advantage[38] | October 21–22, 2014 | 704 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 44% | 5% | — | 8% |
| CNN/ORC International[39] | October 19–22, 2014 | 565 | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | 6% | — | — |
| Landmark Communications[40] | October 20–21, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 2.75% | 48% | 45% | 5% | — | 2% |
| SurveyUSA[41] | October 17–20, 2014 | 606 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 43% | 4% | — | 8% |
| GaPundit.com[42] | October 13–14, 2014 | 1,543 | ± 2.49% | 44% | 44% | 6% | — | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[43] | October 10–13, 2014 | 563 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 46% | 4% | — | 4% |
| Landmark Communications[44] | October 7–9, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 5% | — | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[45] | October 2–6, 2014 | 566 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | 4% | — | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[46] | October 2–5, 2014 | 895 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 41% | 4% | — | 9% |
| 50% | 45% | — | — | 5% | ||||
| Hickman Analytics[47] | September 26 – October 5, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 36% | 9% | — | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports[33] | September 30 – October 1, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 4% | 49% | 43% | — | 2% | 6% |
| Insider Advantage[48] | September 29 – October 1, 2014 | 947 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 4% | — | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[49] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,851 | ± 3% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA[50] | September 19–22, 2014 | 550 | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 4% | — | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[33] | September 15–16, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 45% | 44% | — | 3% | 8% |
| Insider Advantage[51] | September 10–11, 2014 | 1,167 | ± 2.9% | 44% | 40% | 7% | — | 9% |
| Landmark Communications[52] | September 9–11, 2014 | 1,109 | ± 2.9% | 44% | 47% | 4% | — | 5% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[53] | September 8–11, 2014 | 884 | ± 4% | 43% | 42% | 7% | — | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[54] | September 5–8, 2014 | 558 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 44% | 4% | — | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[55] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,900 | ± 3% | 47% | 39% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
| GaPundit.com[56] | August 24–25, 2014 | 1,578 | ± 2.47% | 44% | 42% | 7% | — | 8% |
| Landmark Communications[57] | August 20–21, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 40% | 44% | — | — | 16% |
| SurveyUSA[58] | August 14–17, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 39% | 4% | — | 8% |
| InsiderAdvantage[59] | August 12–13, 2014 | 719 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 39% | 7% | — | 11% |
| Hicks Evaluation Group[60] | August 8–10, 2014 | 788 | ± 3.48% | 45% | 45% | — | — | 9% |
| Landmark Communications[61] | July 25, 2014 | 750 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 47% | 5% | — | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports[33] | July 23–24, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 44% | 45% | — | 3% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[62] | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,568 | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | — | 1% | 8% |
| Landmark Communications[63] | July 15, 2014 | 750 | ± 4 | 41% | 49% | 4% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling[64] | July 11–13, 2014 | 664 | ± ? | 41% | 40% | 8% | — | 11% |
| Insider Advantage[65] | June 24–25, 2014 | 1,349 | ± 2.7% | 47% | 40% | — | 3% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[66] | June 3–5, 2014 | 999 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 38% | 7% | — | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[33] | May 21–22, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | — | 3% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[67] | May 21–22, 2014 | 803 | ± ?% | 43% | 43% | 7% | — | 7% |
| SurveyUSA[4] | May 8–12, 2014 | 1,380 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 37% | 7% | — | 14% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[68] | May 5–8, 2014 | 1,012 | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | — | — | 8% |
| Saint Leo[69] | May 5–6, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 38% | 35% | 11% | — | 16% |
| NBC News/Marist[70] | April 30 – May 5, 2014 | 2,196 | ± 2.1% | 50% | 40% | — | 1% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[5] | April 24–27, 2014 | 1,567 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 37% | 9% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling[71] | April 1–3, 2014 | 628 | ± 4% | 42% | 43% | — | — | 15% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone[72] | March 30, 2014 | 575 | ± 4% | 43% | 39% | — | — | 18% |
| Insider Advantage[73] | March 13, 2014 | 486 | ± 4.3% | 38% | 41% | — | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[74] | February 19–20, 2014 | 833 | ± 4% | 45% | 42% | — | — | 12% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[75] | January 6–9, 2014 | 802 | ± 4% | 47% | 38% | — | — | 15% |
| Insider Advantage[76] | January 6, 2014 | 529 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 22% | — | — | 34% |
| Anzalone Liszt Grove[77] | October 14–20, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 36% | — | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[78] | October 7–8, 2013 | 602 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 40% | — | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[9] | August 2–5, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 33% | — | — | 19% |
| 20/20 Insight, LLC[10] | May 7–9, 2013 | 1,483 | ± 2.5% | 42% | 45% | — | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling[79] | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 46% | 38% | — | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[80] | November 30–December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 38% | — | — | 17% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nathan Deal (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[9] | August 2–5, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
| 20/20 Insight, LLC[10] | May 7–9, 2013 | 1,483 | ± 2.5% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nathan Deal (R) | John Barrow (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[79] | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[80] | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nathan Deal (R) | Scott Holcomb (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[9] | August 2–5, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| 20/20 Insight, LLC[10] | May 7–9, 2013 | 1,483 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nathan Deal (R) | Kasim Reed (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[79] | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[80] | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Hypothetical runoff polling
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nathan Deal (incumbent) | 1,345,237 | 52.74% | −0.28% | |
| Democratic | Jason Carter | 1,144,794 | 44.88% | +1.91% | |
| Libertarian | Andrew Hunt | 60,185 | 2.36% | −1.65% | |
| Write-in | 432 | 0.02% | +0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 2,550,648 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Douglas (largest town: Douglasville)
- Henry (largest city: Stockbridge)
- Newton (largest town: Covington)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Baker (largest city: Newton)
- Brooks (largest city: Quitman)
- Clinch (Largest city: Homerville)
- Early (largest city: Blakely)
- McIntosh (largest municipality: Darien)
- Mitchell (largest municipality: Camilla)
- Peach (largest municipality: Fort Valley)
- Webster (largest town: Preston)
References
[edit]- ^ Cassidy, Christina A. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". Marietta Daily Journal. Associated Press. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
- ^ Bluestein, Greg (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
- ^ InsiderAdvantage
- ^ a b SurveyUSA
- ^ a b SurveyUSA
- ^ InsiderAdvantage
- ^ Landmark/Rosetta Archived March 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c d 20/20 Insight, LLC
- ^ a b "UNOFFICIAL RESULTS General Primary/General Nonpartisan/Special Election May 20, 2014". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
- ^ Christina A. Cassidy (November 7, 2013). "Jason Carter, Jimmy Carter's Grandson, To Run For Georgia Governor". The Huffington Post. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
- ^ Cassidy, Christina A. (November 7, 2013). "Jimmy Carter's Grandson to Run for Ga. Governor". ABC News. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
- ^ "Your Daily Jolt: John Barge kicks off gubernatorial run today". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- ^ Hula, Ed (August 14, 2013). "Shirley Franklin Speculation-Could She Run for Office?". Peach Pundit. Archived from the original on March 12, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2013.
- ^ Mimms, Sarah (May 1, 2013). "Holcomb Considering Ga. Senate, Gubernatorial Bids". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 3, 2013. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
- ^ Holcomb, Scott (November 7, 2013). "I just donated – you should too..." Twitter. Retrieved December 16, 2013.
- ^ "Mayor Kasim Reed announces candidacy for re-election". CBS Atlanta. August 26, 2013. Archived from the original on August 26, 2013. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
- ^ "Dr. Andrew Hunt". Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 7 April 2014. Retrieved 17 December 2014.
- ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ YouGov
- ^ a b NBC News/Marist
- ^ Landmark Communications [permanent dead link]
- ^ Vox Populi Polling
- ^ Monmouth
- ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ CNN/ORC International
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ GaPundit.com Archived October 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Landmark Communications Archived October 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Hickman Analytics
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ SurveyUSA [dead link]
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution Archived September 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA [dead link]
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ GaPundit.com Archived September 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Landmark Communications Archived August 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ InsiderAdvantage
- ^ Hicks Evaluation Group
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Landmark Communications Archived July 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ Saint Leo
- ^ NBC News/Marist
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Landmark/Rosetta Stone Archived April 8, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Anzalone Liszt Grove
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c Public Policy Polling
- ^ "GA – Election Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2015.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites (Archived)