2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary

2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary

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Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count 17 16 8
Popular vote 356,840 327,918 171,150
Percentage 34.80% 31.98% 16.69%

 
Candidate John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Ohio Virginia
Delegate count 5 3
Popular vote 97,784 60,228
Percentage 9.54% 5.87%

The 2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, as part of the 2016 Republican Party primaries for the 2016 presidential election. 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote.[1] Donald Trump edged out a narrow plurality of pledged delegates, with Marco Rubio coming in second place and Ted Cruz placing in a distant third.

The Virginia Democratic primary occurred on the same day.

Polling

[edit]

Winner: Donald Trump
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
[1] March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
34.80%
Marco Rubio
31.98%
Ted Cruz
16.69%
John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04%
CBS/YouGov[2]

Margin of error: ± 8.6% Sample size: 481

February 22–26, 2016 Donald Trump
40%
Marco Rubio
27%
Ted Cruz
22%
John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1%
Monmouth University[3]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421

February 22–24, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Marco Rubio
27%
Ted Cruz
14%
John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4%
Roanoke College[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 466

February 16–24, 2016 Donald Trump
38%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
13%
John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19%
Christopher Newport University[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 368

February 3–14, 2016 Donald Trump
28%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
19%
Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6%
University of Mary Washington[6]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 333

November 4–9, 2015 Ben Carson
29%
Donald Trump
24%
Marco Rubio
11%
Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2%
Christopher Newport University[7]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 412

September 29 – October 8, 2015 Donald Trump
23%
Ben Carson
17%
Marco Rubio
14%
Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 5%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[8]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 546

August 2–3, 2015 Donald Trump
27.9%
Jeb Bush
14.8%
Scott Walker
10.1%
Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[9]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 502

July 13–15, 2015 Jeb Bush
18%
Donald Trump
14%
Scott Walker
14%
Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3%
Christopher Newport University[10]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

April 13–24, 2015 Jeb Bush
17%
Marco Rubio
16%
Chris Christie
10%
Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%, Undecided 7%
Christopher Newport University[11]

Margin of error: ± 3.6%
Sample size: 794

January 30 – February 10, 2015 Jeb Bush
21%
Scott Walker
16%
Chris Christie
10%
Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 4%
Christopher Newport University[12]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 338

February 23–28, 2014 Chris Christie
19%
Jeb Bush
18%
Mike Huckabee
13%
Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 13%
University of Mary Washington[13]

Margin of error: ±?
Sample size: ?

September 25–29, 2013 Chris Christie
20%
Jeb Bush
10%
Rand Paul
10%
Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19%
Public Policy Polling[14]

Margin of error: ±4.8%
Sample size: 415

July 11–14, 2013 Jeb Bush
16%
Chris Christie
16%
Rand Paul
15%
Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Bob McDonnell 8%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%
Public Policy Polling[15]

Margin of error: ±4.4%
Sample size: 500

May 24–26, 2013 Marco Rubio
17%
Chris Christie
15%
Jeb Bush
14%
Bob McDonnell 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 11%
Chris Christie
20%
Marco Rubio
20%
Jeb Bush
17%
Paul Ryan 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%
University of Mary Washington[16]

Margin of error: ±3.5
Sample size: 1004

March 20–24, 2013 Chris Christie
18%
Bob McDonnell
12%
Rand Paul
11%
Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Other 1%, None 10%, Don't know 16%

Results

[edit]
Virginia Republican primary, March 1, 2016[17]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 356,840 34.80% 17 0 17
Marco Rubio 327,918 31.98% 16 0 16
Ted Cruz 171,150 16.69% 8 0 8
John Kasich 97,784 9.54% 5 0 5
Ben Carson 60,228 5.87% 3 0 3
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,645 0.36% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,917 0.28% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,458 0.14% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,102 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 914 0.09% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 653 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 444 0.04% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 399 0.04% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,025,452 100.00% 49 0 49

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "Virginia Republican Delegation 2016". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
  2. ^ "Poll: Donald Trump leads in Virginia, Georgia; Ted Cruz hanging on in Texas". YouGov. Retrieved February 29, 2016.
  3. ^ "VIRGINIA: TRUMP, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF). Monmouth University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  4. ^ "RC Poll: Clinton, Trump hold leads in Virginia primary elections; Cruz, Rubio in tight battle for second". Roanoke College Institute of Policy and Opinion Research. Retrieved February 27, 2016.
  5. ^ "Trump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next;Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia Democrats" (PDF). Christopher Newport University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 23, 2016. Retrieved February 17, 2016.
  6. ^ "Virginia survey 2015: Princeton Data Source for University of Mary Washington" (PDF). umw.edu. November 16, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  7. ^ Christopher Newport University
  8. ^ "GOP Presidential Primary Poll". Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage. August 6, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  9. ^ "Bush leads GOP Field in Virginia Poll" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 16, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  10. ^ Christopher Newport University
  11. ^ Christopher Newport University
  12. ^ Christopher Newport University
  13. ^ University of Mary Washington
  14. ^ "Warner leads 2014 Senate Race" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 19, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  15. ^ Public Policy Polling
  16. ^ Farnsworth, Dr Stephen J (March 2013). "University of Mary Washington Center for Leadership and Media Studies Virginia Survey - March 2013" (PDF). umw.edu. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 8, 2013.
  17. ^ "2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions : Virginia Republican". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 13, 2021.