2024 Irish general election
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The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024, following the dissolution of the 33rd Dáil on 8 November by President Michael D. Higgins at the request of Taoiseach Simon Harris. It will elect 174 Teachtaí Dála (TDs) across 43 constituencies of between 3 and 5 seats to Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Oireachtas, Ireland's legislature. Under the Electoral (Amendment) Act 2023, the number of TDs was increased from 160, with an increase in the number of constituencies from 39 to 43. This will be the largest Dáil in the history of the state.
Background
[edit]The 33rd Dáil first met on 20 February 2020, and could be dissolved no later than 19 February 2025. This meant that, per a calculation in The Irish Times, the latest date the election could have been held was 22 March 2025.[2][3]
In June 2020, Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and the Green Party formed a coalition government. The parties agreed on a rotation, with the two major party leaders alternating as Taoiseach.[4][5] Micheál Martin, leader of Fianna Fáil, served as Taoiseach from 27 June 2020 to 17 December 2022; Leo Varadkar, leader of Fine Gael, served as Taoiseach from 17 December 2022 to 9 April 2024; and Simon Harris, served as Taoiseach from 9 April 2024, shortly after succeeding Varadkar as Fine Gael leader.
For most of 2024, many pundits believed that an autumn election was likely; coalition leaders repeatedly said they would like the government to complete its full term but were open to an early election if the circumstances provided for it.[6] Polling conducted in October 2024 indicated a majority of the public supported an early election to be held in November of the same year.[7]
Following the announcement on 1 October 2024 of the 2025 budget, speculation began in earnest that an election would be called for November or December.[8][9] In late October, Harris said that he expected the election to be held before the end of 2024.[10] On 6 November, Harris confirmed that he would seek a dissolution of the Dáil on 8 November.[11] Two days later, he asked the president to dissolve the Dáil.[12] Later that day, Darragh O'Brien, the Minister for Housing, Local Government and Heritage, signed the order for the election to take place on 29 November 2024 and a three-week election campaign began.[13]
Constituency revision
[edit]In August 2023, the Electoral Commission proposed a Dáil size of 174 TDs to be elected across 43 Dáil constituencies – an increase of 14 TDs and four constituencies.[14] This was the first review of constituencies carried out by the Commission established under the Electoral Reform Act 2022, where previously they had been carried out by a Constituency Commission. This would be the largest size of the Dáil in the history of the State, surpassing the previous number of 166 TDs from 1981 to 2016.[15] The Electoral (Amendment) Act 2023 implemented the recommendations of the commission.[16]
The preliminary results of the 2022 census showed a population of over 5.1 million, which required a minimum Dáil size of 171 TDs.[17] The Commission was required by law to recommend a size of the Dáil of between 171 and 181 TDs.[18] This range reflects the growth in the population of the state, and the requirement of Article 16.6.2° of the Constitution of Ireland that there be one TD elected for no less than every 20,000 of the population and no more than every 30,000.[19]
Electoral system
[edit]Under the system of proportional representation by means of the single transferable vote (PR-STV), each voter may mark all candidates in order of preference. The quota is determined at the first count in each constituency by dividing the number of valid votes by one more than the number of seats (therefore, the quota is 25% in a three-seat constituency, 20% in a four-seat constituency, and 16.67% in a five-seat constituency).
Any candidate reaching or exceeding the quota is elected. If fewer candidates reach the quota than the number of seats to be filled, the last-placed candidate is removed from the count and the next available preferences on those ballot papers are redistributed until a candidate is elected. If such a candidate now has more votes than the quota, their surplus is distributed to remaining candidates in order of ranking on the ballot papers. This is repeated until sufficient candidates have passed the quota to fill the available seats,[20] or where a seat remains to be filled in a constituency and no candidate is capable of achieving a quota as there is nobody left to eliminate for a distribution then the highest place candidate without a quota is deemed elected.
Seán Ó Fearghaíl, as outgoing Ceann Comhairle, will be returned automatically.[21][22]
Vacancies
[edit]Four TDs were elected to the European Parliament and took office on 16 July, vacating their seats in the Dáil.[23] One TD, Joe Carey, resigned from the Dáil on grounds of ill health.[24]
TD | Constituency | Party | Date | Reason | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Barry Cowen | Laois–Offaly | Fianna Fáil | 16 July 2024 | Elected to the European Parliament | |
Kathleen Funchion | Carlow–Kilkenny | Sinn Féin | 16 July 2024 | Elected to the European Parliament | |
Michael McNamara | Clare | Independent | 16 July 2024 | Elected to the European Parliament | |
Aodhán Ó Ríordáin | Dublin Bay North | Labour | 16 July 2024 | Elected to the European Parliament | |
Joe Carey | Clare | Fine Gael | 27 August 2024[24] | Resignation due to illness |
Retiring incumbents
[edit]The following members of the 33rd Dáil are not seeking re-election:
- ^ Including Seán Ó Fearghaíl (FF), returned automatically for Kildare South as outgoing Ceann Comhairle, under Art. 16.6 of the Constitution and the Electoral Act 1992.[1]
- ^ MacSharry was elected as a Fianna Fáil TD but left the party in 2022.
Candidates
[edit]The 2024 general election will feature 685 candidates and 20 registered political parties. A record 248 candidates are women, which is 36% of the total and a 53% increase from 2020. This was driven by a new 40% gender quota for both men and women in political party nominations, though women remain significantly underrepresented in the Dáil and Cabinet.[55]
Parties | Candidates | Constituencies | |
---|---|---|---|
Fianna Fáil | 82 | 43 | |
Fine Gael | 80 | 43 | |
Sinn Féin | 71 | 43 | |
Aontú | 43 | 43 | |
Green | 43 | 43 | |
PBP–Solidarity | 42[a] | 42 | |
Labour | 32 | 31 | |
Independent Ireland | 28 | 23 | |
Social Democrats | 26 | 25 | |
The Irish People | 21[b] | 21 | |
Irish Freedom Party | 16 | 16 | |
National Party | 9[b] | 9 | |
Liberty Republic | 6 | 6 | |
Centre Party | 3 | 3 | |
Independents 4 Change | 3 | 3 | |
Party for Animal Welfare | 3 | 3 | |
Rabharta | 3 | 3 | |
Ireland First | 2[b] | 2 | |
Right to Change | 1 | 1 | |
100% Redress | 1 | 1 | |
Independent | 171[c] | 43 |
- ^ 33 candidates are from People Before Profit and 9 candidates are from Solidarity
- ^ a b c Member party of National Alliance
- ^ 2 candidates are members of National Alliance
Campaign
[edit]In the first week of the campaign, Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary sparked controversy by criticising the number of former teachers in the Dáil and advocating for more private-sector professionals to address infrastructure challenges.[56] O'Leary's remarks, made at an event to launch the campaign of Peter Burke, the Minister for Enterprise, Trade and Employment and an outgoing Fine Gael TD for Longford–Westmeath, were widely condemned by teaching unions, opposition parties, as well as government leaders as disrespectful to teachers and public servants.[57][58][59] O'Leary defended his comments as a call for professional diversity in politics, while some government leaders (such as former teacher Micheál Martin) distanced themselves from his views, emphasising the value of teachers' contributions to society.[60]
Following the first week of canvassing, the BBC suggested the primary issues in the campaign were the housing crisis, strained healthcare services, the rising cost of living, concerns over public spending and immigration reform.[61] The Guardian has suggested the main campaign issues are the cost of living, housing, healthcare funding, immigration, and the use of Apple's €14bn tax windfall. It has suggested voters are concerned about rising living costs, high rents, and healthcare resources, while the topic of Immigration has become polarising, with calls for tougher controls. The Apple windfall has sparked debates on whether it should fund housing, infrastructure, or social services.[62]
Party manifestos and slogans
[edit]Party/group | Manifesto (external link) | Other slogan(s)[63] | Refs | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fine Gael | Securing your future | "A New Energy" "Putting money back in people's pockets" | [64][65] | |||
Fianna Fáil | Moving Forward. Together. | [66] | ||||
Sinn Féin | The Choice for Change | "It's Time for Change" | [67] | |||
Green Party | Towards 2030: A decade of change | "Greens Deliver" | [68] | |||
Labour Party | Building Better Together | [69] | ||||
Social Democrats | The Future starts here | "For the Future" | [70] | |||
PBP–S | People Before Profit | Another Ireland is possible | "100 years of FG/FF is enough" "End 100 years of FF/FG – Another Ireland is possible" | [71] | ||
Solidarity | Real change, not spare change | |||||
Aontú | Our Common Sense Manifesto 2024 | "It's time for common sense" | [72] | |||
Independent Ireland | TBD | "Forward Together" |
Television debates
[edit]RTÉ will host two leaders' debates. The first, on 18 November, featured the leaders of ten political parties, and was the largest leaders' debate in Irish history. The second, on 26 November, will feature the leaders of the three largest parties: Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin.[73]
2024 Irish general election debates | |||||||||||||
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Date | Broadcaster | Moderator(s) | Participants — Name Participant N Party not invited/did not participate | Notes | |||||||||
FF | SF | FG | GP | Lab | SD | PBP–S | II | Aon | RTC | ||||
11 Nov | RTÉ One Upfront | Katie Hannon | Darragh O'Brien | Eoin Ó Broin | Donohoe | N | Bacik | Hearne | Boyd Barrett | N | N | N | Housing spokespeople debate[74] |
12 Nov | RTÉ One Prime Time | Sarah McInerney | Donnelly | Cullinane | N | N | Smith | N | N | N | N | N | Health spokespeople debate[75] |
14 Nov | RTÉ One Prime Time | Fran McNulty | Jim O'Callaghan | Ó Laoghaire | McEntee | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | Justice spokespeople debate[76] |
18 Nov | RTÉ One Upfront | Katie Hannon | Martin | McDonald | Harris | O'Gorman | Bacik | Cian O'Callaghan[a] | Boyd Barrett | Michael Collins | Tóibín | Joan Collins | Party leaders' debate[73] |
26 Nov | RTÉ One Prime Time | Miriam O’Callaghan Sarah McInerney | Martin | McDonald | Harris | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | Party leaders' debate featuring the three largest parties[73] |
- ^ Deputy leader Cian O'Callaghan standing in for leader Holly Cairns, due to Cairns being on maternity leave.
18 November debate
[edit]The Irish Times stated the key issues discussed in the 18 November debate were housing, cost-of-living pressures, and healthcare, alongside broader questions of governance and political accountability. Housing dominated as the central topic, with Sinn Féin criticising government schemes like Help to Buy and First Homes, while Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil defended their approach. Mary Lou McDonald proposed that stamp duty should be abolished for new buyers. Another topic was how Apple's €14bn tax payment should be spent. Leaders acknowledged the potential for this to be a "pocketbook election," with housing symbolising broader economic frustrations. During the debate, Fine Gael were criticised by Sinn Féin for running John McGahon as a candidate, despite the fact he has recently been found guilty in a civil court of assault. Taoiseach Simon Harris stood by McGahon, citing that he was not found guilty in a criminal court. Harris retorted that Sinn Féin "press officer is in prison tonight"; a reference to the recent conviction in Northern Ireland of Michael McMonagle for child sex offences.[77][78][79]
The smaller political parties focused on key issues like governance and policy direction. Independent Ireland's Michael Collins said his party would talk to anyone who would priorise their agenda while People Before Profit's Richard Boyd Barrett advocated for a left-leaning government, rejecting any support for Fine Gael or Fianna Fáil. Joan Collins of Right to Change highlighted public frustration with the two dominant parties and their handling of the housing and health crises. Labour's Ivana Bacik stressed the importance of a centre-left platform and constructive change, while Cian O'Callaghan of the Social Democrats made clear that any government must address housing issues. Aontú's Peadar Tóibín distanced his party from Fine Gael and the Greens but was open to Fianna Fáil, while Green Party leader Roderic O'Gorman underscored that the Greens' participation in any coalition would depend on prioritising green policies.[77][78]
Opinion polls
[edit]On 1 November, Coimisiún na Meán announced the lifting of the reporting moratorium that had been in place since 1997, and which had prevented election coverage from 14:00 on the day prior to the election until the close of polls. However, the agency also advised broadcasters not to report on opinion polls or exit polls while voting is underway.[80][81]
Various organisations conduct regular opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in the graph below.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 February 2020, to the close of poll for the 2024 general election.
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | SF | FF | FG | GP | Lab | SD | PBP–S | Aon | II | O/I[nb 2] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 November 2024 | Opinions/The Sunday Times[82] | 1,000 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 3] | 21 |
13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 1] | 1,200 | 19 | 19 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 20 |
9 November 2024 | Red C/Business Post[83] | 1,208 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 2] | 1,832 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 16 |
23 October 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 3][p 4] | 1,003 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
16 October 2024 | Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 5] | 1,005 | 16 | 19 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 3] | 22 |
4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 6] | 1,413 | 19 | 19 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | – [nb 3] | 16 |
19 September 2024 | Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 7] | 1,000 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 3] | 20 |
17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 8] | 1,200 | 20 | 19 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 3] | 16 |
10 September 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 9][p 10] | 1,004 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 11] | 1,423 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 19 |
3 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 12] | 1,388 | 19 | 20 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | – [nb 3] | 18 |
5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 13] | 1,394 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 3] | 20 |
26 June 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 14] | 1,000 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
31 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 15] | 1,770 | 22 | 17 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 23 |
22 May 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 16] | 1,021 | 23 | 15 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 21[nb 4] |
15 May 2024 | Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 17] | 1,100 | 27 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 18 |
15 May 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 18] | 1,500 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 3] | 17 |
3 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 19] | 1,316 | 29 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 19 |
25 April 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 20] | 1,027 | 27 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | – [nb 3] | 21[nb 4] |
17 April 2024 | Opinions/The Sunday Times[p 21] | 1,100 | 27 | 16 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 16 |
6 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 22] | 1,334 | 26 | 16 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | – [nb 3] | 17 |
23 March 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 23][p 24] | 1,304 | 27 | 17 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | – [nb 3] | 14 |
20 March 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 25] | 1,027 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | – [nb 3] | 19 |
2 March 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 26] | 1,083 | 27 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 3] | 17 |
21 February 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 27] | 1,009 | 28 | 16 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 16 |
6 February 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[p 28] | 1,200 | 28 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 3] | 17 |
2 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 29] | 1,394 | 29 | 17 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 18 |
24 January 2024 | Red C/Business Post[p 30] | 1,003 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 18 |
6 January 2024 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 31] | 1,270 | 30 | 17 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 17 |
2 December 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 32] | 1,306 | 28 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 3] | 14 |
22 November 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 33] | 1,021 | 29 | 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 3] | 16 |
3 November 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 34] | 1,387 | 31 | 18 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
25 October 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 35] | 1,018 | 32 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
29 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 36] | 1,196 | 35 | 17 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
26 September 2023 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 37] | 1,200 | 34 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 18 |
12 September 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 38] | 1,011 | 31 | 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
12 September 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[84] | 910 | 33 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
1 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 39] | 1,228 | 33 | 18 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
5 August 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 40] | 1,272 | 34 | 18 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
12 July 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 41] | 910 | 34 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
1 July 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 42] | 1,076 | 31 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 13 |
21 June 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 43][p 44] | 1,011 | 29 | 16 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
13 June 2023 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 45] | 1,200 | 31 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
2 June 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 46] | 1,136 | 32 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 13 |
24 May 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 47] | 1,011 | 34 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 13 |
9 May 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 48] | 906 | 35 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
6 May 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 49] | 1,175 | 31 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
26 April 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 50] | 1,016 | 31 | 16 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
4 April 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 51] | 909 | 37 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
1 April 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 52] | 1,102 | 31 | 16 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
22 March 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 53] | 1,005 | 31 | 15 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
14 March 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 54][p 55] | 943 | 32 | 20 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 9 |
3 March 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 56] | 1,162 | 29 | 19 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
22 February 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 57] | 998 | 31 | 17 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
21 February 2023 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 58] | 1,200 | 35 | 18 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 2 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 16 |
14 February 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 59] | 921 | 31 | 24 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 9 |
3 February 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 60] | 1,212 | 31 | 18 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
25 January 2023 | Red C/Business Post[p 61] | 1,004 | 33 | 15 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
17 January 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 62] | 936 | 34 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
6 January 2023 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 63] | 1,104 | 32 | 16 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
6 December 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 64] | 923 | 34 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 12 |
2 December 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 65] | 1,352 | 34 | 17 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
23 November 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 66] | >1,000 | 31 | 15 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
8 November 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 67] | 923 | 34 | 23 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
4 November 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 68] | 1,002 | 34 | 17 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
25 October 2022 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 69] | 1,200 | 35 | 21 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
15 October 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 70] | 931 | 34 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
1 October 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 71] | 1,254 | 37 | 17 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
6 September 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 72] | 1,004 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
6 September 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 73] | 905 | 35 | 24 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
3 September 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 74][p 75] | 1,127 | 36 | 16 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
6 August 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 76][p 77] | 1,180 | 36 | 17 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
12 July 2022 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 78][p 79] | 1,200 | 36 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
1 July 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 80] | 1,133 | 36 | 15 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
22 June 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 81] | 1,004 | 36 | 14 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
7 June 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 82] | ? | 37 | 22 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
4 June 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 83] | 1,211 | 35 | 17 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
25 May 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 84] | 1,000+ | 36 | 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
10 May 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 85][p 86] | 908 | 36 | 24 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
7 May 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 87] | 1,002 | 34 | 16 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
27 April 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 88] | 1,014 | 34 | 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
1 April 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 89] | 1,135 | 33 | 18 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
23 March 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 90] | 1,001 | 33 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
8 March 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 91] | 928 | 33 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
4 March 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 92] | 1,011 | 31 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
23 February 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 93] | 1,001 | 33 | 17 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
8 February 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 94] | 922 | 34 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
5 February 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 95] | 1,086 | 32 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
26 January 2022 | Red C/Business Post[p 96] | 1,001 | 33 | 15 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
18 January 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 97] | ? | 34 | 24 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
8 January 2022 | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[p 98] | 1,369 | 33 | 19 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
12 December 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 99] | ? | 31 | 17 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
8 December 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 100] | 933 | 34 | 23 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
8 December 2021 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 101][p 102] | 1,200 | 35 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
25 November 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 103] | 1,001 | 33 | 15 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
14 November 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 104] | ? | 32 | 17 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 7 |
9 November 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 105] | 912 | 37 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
22 October 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 106] | ? | 33 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
16 October 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 107] | 1,200 | 31 | 16 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | – [nb 3] |
12 October 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 108] | 943 | 31 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
5 October 2021 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 109][p 110] | 1,200 | 32 | 20 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
18 September 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 111] | 1,000 | 29 | 19 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | – [nb 5] | – [nb 3] |
9 September 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 112] | 1,031 | 29 | 13 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
8 September 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 113] | 922 | 33 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
21 August 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 114] | 1,203 | 30 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
17 July 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 115] | 1,001 | 30 | 14 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 7 |
13 July 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 116] | 894 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
26 June 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 117] | 1,020 | 29 | 13 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
19 June 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 118] | 1,274 | 32 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
15 June 2021 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 119] | 1,200 | 31 | 20 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
8 June 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 120] | 909 | 34 | 20 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
27 May 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 121][p 122] | 1,034 | 29 | 14 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
18 May 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 123] | 914 | 30 | 22 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 8 |
15 May 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 124] | 1,237 | 30 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
22 April 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 125] | 1,025 | 27 | 13 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
15 April 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 126] | 1,087 | 27 | 16 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
25 March 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 127] | 1,000 | 29 | 11 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
20 March 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 128] | 1,026 | 31 | 14 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
25 February 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 129][p 130] | 1,000 | 29 | 13 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
23 February 2021 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 131] | 1,200 | 28 | 14 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 14 |
12 February 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 132] | 1,068 | 28 | 15 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
28 January 2021 | Red C/Business Post[p 133][p 134] | 1,000 | 27 | 16 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
17 January 2021 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 135] | 1,247 | 29 | 15 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 7 |
15 December 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 136] | 916 | 32 | 22 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 7 |
29 November 2020 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 137] | 1,044 | 28 | 17 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
25 November 2020 | Red C/Business Post[p 138] | 1,000 | 30 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
24 October 2020 | Red C/Business Post[p 139][p 140] | 1,000 | 27 | 11 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
17 October 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 141] | 931 | 30 | 19 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 5 |
6 October 2020 | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[p 142] | 1,200 | 29 | 17 | 35 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 8 |
26 September 2020 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 143] | 1,200 | 28 | 14 | 32 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | – [nb 5] | 7 |
15 September 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 144] | 900 | 32 | 19 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 9 |
9 September 2020 | Red C/Business Post[p 145] | 1,000 | 27 | 10 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 10 |
22 August 2020 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 146] | 1,000 | 30 | 11 | 35 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 7 |
28 July 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 147] | 921 | 30 | 20 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
18 July 2020 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 148] | 1,000 | 26 | 12 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 10 |
20 June 2020 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 149] | 1,000 | 27 | 13 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 10 |
14 June 2020 | Ipsos MRBI/|Irish Times[p 150] | 1,200 | 25 | 13 | 37 | 12 | 2 | [nb 6] | [nb 6] | [nb 6] | – [nb 5] | 10[nb 6] |
27 May 2020 | Red C/Business Post[p 151][p 152] | 1,000 | 27 | 15 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
23 May 2020 | Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[p 153] | 1,012 | 27 | 16 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 6 |
29 April 2020 | Red C/Business Post[p 154][p 155] | 1,019 | 27 | 14 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 8 |
25 March 2020 | Red C/Business Post[p 156][p 157] | 1,062 | 28 | 18 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | – [nb 5] | 5 |
10 March 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 158][p 159] | 912 | 35 | 19 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | – [nb 5] | 11 |
25 February 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[p 160][p 161] | 917 | 35 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | – [nb 5] | 12 |
16 February 2020 | Amárach Research/Extra.ie[p 162][p 163] | 1,040 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3 | – [nb 3] | – [nb 5] | 10 |
8 February 2020 | General election | – | 24.5 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | – [nb 5] | 13.5 |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Seán Ó Fearghaíl was elected as Ceann Comhairle, leaving the Fianna Fáil parliamentary party.
- ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Not specifically mentioned in the report.
- ^ a b Includes 19% for 'Independent' and 2% for 'Other Party'.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj Party did not exist.
- ^ a b c d The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. In the MRBI poll conducted up to 14 June 2020, this figure appears to include all independents as well as all of PBP–S, Aontú and the Social Democrats.
References
[edit]- Poll references
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External links
[edit]- Kavanagh, Adrian (10 July 2024). "Candidates for the 2024/2025 General Election by Dáil constituency". Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses.