2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election

2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election
← 2022 May 2, 2024 (2024-05-02) 44th →
Riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Turnout30.25% (Decrease 17.08)
  First party Second party
 
PC
LIB
Candidate Steve Pinsonneault Cathy Burghardt-Jesson
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal
Last election 58.81% 9.58%
Popular vote 15,649 6,208
Percentage 56.85% 22.55%
Swing Decrease 1.96 Increase 12.97
  Third party Fourth party
 
NDP
NBP
Candidate Kathryn Shailer Keith Benn
Party New Democratic New Blue
Last election 18.84% 6.37%
Popular vote 2,973 1,513
Percentage 10.80% 5.50%
Swing Decrease 8.04 Decrease 0.87
MPP before election

Monte McNaughton
Progressive Conservative

Elected MPP

Steve Pinsonneault
Progressive Conservative

A by-election was held in the provincial riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex in Ontario on May 2, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Monte McNaughton.[1]

Monte McNaughton resigned for a private sector position as executive vice-president of industry relations and people experience for Woodbine Entertainment Group.[2]

Advance voting took place from April 21-26, 2024 in Wallaceburg and Strathroy.[3]

It was held the same day as the 2024 Milton provincial by-election.[4]

Candidates

[edit]

Progressive Conservative

[edit]

On 27 January 2024, Steve Pinsonneault, a Chatham-Kent councillor for 17 years in Ward 3 (Kent East) and businessman in Thamesville, beat Neal Roberts, chief of the Middlesex London Paramedic Service.[5] Pinsonneault has received criticism from various media sources and the ultra conservative Campaign Life Coalition for his support of pay suspension of fellow Chatham-Kent councillor Rhonda Jubenville.[6] This was in response to her conduct following her support of a ban on non-official flags, including pride flags, on municipal property.

New Democratic Party

[edit]

Kathryn Shailer was elected in Watford on February 15th to take up the New Democratic Banner. Shailer is from Alvinston. In the fall of 2022, Shailer ran for Lambton-Kent District School Board trustee in Central Lambton. She was unsuccessful in that bid.[7] Shailer, a mother of two and grandmother of three, has been involved with the Brooke-Alvinston Optimist Club, Friends of Campbell Park, the Lawrence House Centre for the Arts, Alvinston Arts and Music Festival and Community Friendship Meals at Bothwell United Church.[8] Shailer opposes the Dresden, Ontario landfill expansion.[9] Shailer supports keeping Strathroy hospitals labour and delivery program alive in Strathroy-Caradoc instead of forcing residents to go to St. Thomas, Ontario or London, Ontario.[10]

Liberal

[edit]

Cathy Burghardt-Jesson is running for the Liberal Party of Ontario. She currently serves as the mayor of Lucan-Biddulph and deputy warden for Middlesex County.[11] She was first elected to be deputy mayor of Lucan-Biddulph in 2010, has been mayor since 2014 and was warden of Middlesex County for three one year terms until becoming deputy warden for 2024.

New Blue

[edit]

Keith Benn, a geoscientist and local of Wallaceburg, is running an anti-establishment campaign with a reported focus on local issues, affordability, and providing a "classical conservative" approach to governance.[12] Ben stated in an interview with My FM "Ontario really needed a true conservative party once again, the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario are not conservative in any sense of the term they're on the left side of the political spectrum, more progressives and corporatists, not so different from the liberals".[13]

He previously ran as a candidate for the New Blue Party in the Sarnia-Lambton riding during the 2022 Ontario General Election.[14] Major topics discussed by Benn have included opposition to the dump being built in Dresden, ensuring clean well water, and promoting fiscal conservatism. Benn supports private clinics funded through the public healthcare system.[15]

At his events, he has campaigned against the 'diversity, equity and inclusion' (DEI) focus of schools, opposes Critical Race Theory, and believes in meritocracy.

He was involved in investigating the safety of well water after turbine installations in Chatham-Kent.[16]

Green

[edit]

Andraena Tilgner, a registered Respiratory therapist is running a campaign with a focus on healthcare issues and Climate change.[17] Tilgner is originally from British Columbia moving to Ontario in 1998. She gained a Bachelor of Health Sciences (BHSc.) from the University of Western Ontario in 2002.[18]

None of The Above Party

[edit]

Stephen R. Campbell is the candidate for the None of The Above Party, previously running with them as a candidate for MPP in London-Fanshawe.[19] He is a technical support analyst with the Thames Valley District School Board.[20] Campbell opposes the Dresden, Ontario dump plan, Carbon pricing in Canada and Transmission line which Campbell says "take up valuable farm land".[21]

Ontario Party

[edit]

Cynthia Workman, a resident of Thamesville and 2022 Ontario Party candidate in London West is running in this by-election.[22] She was running as an independent until the Ontario Party was re-registered on April 10, 2024.[23][24] She is also the presumptive candidate for the People's Party of Canada in the soon-to-be-created federal riding of Middlesex-London.[25]

Family Rights Party

[edit]

Hilda Walton is the candidate running for the Family Rights Party.[26]

Polling

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Source PC NDP Liberal Green Other Margin of error Sample size Polling tye Lead
Liaison Strategies April 25, 2024 [27] 52% 14% 21% 8% 5% ±5.11% 367 IVR 31%
Mainstreet Research April 16, 2024 [28][29] 58% 13% 18% 4% 7% — 270 Telephone 40%
Liaison Strategies March 28, 2024 [30] 39% 14% 26% 12% 9% ±4.88% 403 IVR 13%

Results

[edit]
Ontario provincial by-election, May 2, 2024: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Resignation of Monte McNaughton
** Preliminary results — Not yet official **
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Steve Pinsonneault 15,649 56.85 -1.96
Liberal Cathy Burghardt-Jesson 6,208 22.55 +12.97
New Democratic Kathryn Shailer 2,973 10.80 -8.04
New Blue Keith Benn 1,513 5.50 -0.87
Green Andraena Tilgner 429 1.56 -2.42
None of the Above Stephen R. Campbell 360 1.31 +0.60
Ontario Party Cynthia Workman 310 1.13 -0.59
Family Rights Hilda Walton 87 0.23
Total valid votes 27,529
Total rejected ballots
Turnout 30.25 -17.08
Eligible voters 90,993
Progressive Conservative hold Swing -7.46

2022 result

[edit]
2022 Ontario general election: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Monte McNaughton 24,933 58.81 +3.46 $86,631
New Democratic Vanessa Benoit 7,987 18.84 −14.48 $66,308
Liberal Bruce Baker 4,063 9.58 +3.35 $0
New Blue David Barnwell 2,701 6.37   $3,090
Green Wanda Dickey 1,688 3.98 +0.69 $381
Ontario Party Aaron Istvan Vegh 727 1.71   $0
None of the Above Dean Eve 300 0.71   $283
Total valid votes/Expense limit 42,399 99.41 +0.63 $126,309
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots 253 0.59 -0.63
Turnout 42,652 47.28 −13.50
Eligible voters 90,109
Progressive Conservative hold Swing +8.97
Source(s)
"Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18.
"Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Ontario Labour Minister Monte McNaughton quits government, triggering cabinet shuffle | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  2. ^ "amp". www.cbc.ca.
  3. ^ "Advance voting for Lambton--Kent--Middlesex and Milton by-elections begins Sunday". Yahoo Finance. 2024-04-19. Retrieved 2024-04-22.
  4. ^ "Ontario Newsroom". news.ontario.ca. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  5. ^ Bieman, Jennifer (January 27, 2024). "Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: PCs fill vacancy for coming Ontario byelection". London Free Press.
  6. ^ "Anti-Democracy Council Members in Chatham-Kent Must Resign!". Campaign Life Coalition. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  7. ^ "Kathryn Shailer named NDP candidate in Lambton-Kent-Middlesex - CK News Today". cknewstoday.ca. 2024-02-16. Retrieved 2024-05-05.
  8. ^ "Ontario NDP Nominee Added to Lambton Kent Middlesex by Election". lfpress.com.
  9. ^ "- YouTube". www.youtube.com. Retrieved 2024-05-05.
  10. ^ staff, 105 7 myFM News. "Ontario NDP Leader argues for labor and delivery program to remain at Strathroy Hospital". 105.7 Strathroy Today. Retrieved 2024-05-05.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  11. ^ "Cathy Burghardt-Jesson to be named as Liberal candidate for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex". London. 2024-02-09. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  12. ^ "New Blue Party name Lambton-Kent-Middlesex candidate - CK News Today". cknewstoday.ca. 2024-02-21. Retrieved 2024-04-05.
  13. ^ "Election 24 Feature New Blue Party Keith Benn". www.strathroytoday.ca. April 22, 2024.
  14. ^ Morden, Paul (March 16, 2022). "New Blue Party of Ontario announces candidate in Sarnia-Lambton". The Sarnia Observer. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  15. ^ Voice, Chatham (2024-04-09). "By-election: Keith Benn, New Blue Party | The Chatham Voice". chathamvoice.com. Retrieved 2024-04-11.
  16. ^ Wright, Pam (2023-05-10). "Latest well water testing raises toxicity concerns | The Chatham Voice". chathamvoice.com. Retrieved 2024-04-11.
  17. ^ "Provincial byelection called for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex". CBC News. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  18. ^ "Andraena Tilgener named the Green Party candidate in Lambton-Kent-Middlesex by-election | Wallaceburg News | Local news in Wallaceburg, Dresden and surrounding areas". sydenhamcurrent.ca. Retrieved 2024-05-05.
  19. ^ "Here's who is running locally in the provincial election". London. 2022-05-04. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  20. ^ "Ontario Government calls By-Election for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex riding: What you need to know". Yahoo News. 2024-04-08. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  21. ^ "- YouTube". www.youtube.com. Retrieved 2024-05-05.
  22. ^ Bieman, Jennifer (May 13, 2022). "Ontario Election: Who's running in the 10-riding London region". The London Free Press. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  23. ^ Thornton, Tamara (10 April 2024). "Chatham-Kent Councillor to take leave". CK News Today. Blackburn Media. Retrieved 13 April 2024.
  24. ^ "Registered Political Parties". Elections Ontario. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
  25. ^ "Cynthia Ann Workman - People's Party of Canada". www.thepeoplespartyofcanada.ca. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  26. ^ "Candidate Search". voterservices.elections.on.ca.
  27. ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 26 April 2024. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
  28. ^ Martin, Robert (23 April 2024). "Mainstreet By-election Poll: Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, Public". Mainstreet Research. Retrieved 23 April 2024.
  29. ^ "Ontario - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex Byelection Polling". Twitter. 23 April 2024. Retrieved 23 April 2024.
  30. ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 3 April 2024. Retrieved 4 April 2024.
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