2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
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All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Pennsylvania |
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Government |
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.
The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018.[1][2]
The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state.[3]
Redistricting
[edit]In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans.[4][5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019.[2]
Overview
[edit]Statewide
[edit]Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic | 18 | 2,712,665 | 54.92% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |
Republican | 17 | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |
Libertarian | 2 | 10,950 | 0.22% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 1 | 9,452 | 0.19% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 38 | 4,939,327 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.00% |
District
[edit]Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania:[6]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 160,745 | 48.74% | 169,053 | 51.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 329,798 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 159,600 | 79.02% | 42,382 | 20.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,982 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 287,610 | 93.38% | 20,387 | 6.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 307,997 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 211,524 | 63.52% | 121,467 | 36.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,991 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 198,639 | 65.19% | 106,075 | 34.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 304,714 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 6 | 177,704 | 58.88% | 124,124 | 41.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 301,828 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 7 | 140,813 | 53.49% | 114,437 | 43.47% | 8,011 | 3.04% | 263,261 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 8 | 135,603 | 54.64% | 112,563 | 45.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,166 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 9 | 100,204 | 40.25% | 148,723 | 59.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,927 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 10 | 141,668 | 48.68% | 149,365 | 51.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,033 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 113,876 | 41.02% | 163,708 | 58.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 277,584 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 82,825 | 33.96% | 161,047 | 66.04% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,872 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 74,733 | 29.51% | 178,533 | 70.49% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,266 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 14 | 110,051 | 42.09% | 151,386 | 57.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 261,437 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
District 15 | 78,327 | 32.16% | 165,245 | 67.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,572 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 16 | 124,109 | 47.30% | 135,348 | 51.58% | 2,939 | 1.12% | 262,396 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 17 | 183,162 | 56.26% | 142,417 | 43.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 325,579 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 18 | 231,472 | 96.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,452 | 3.92% | 240,924 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 2,712,665 | 54.92%% | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 20,402 | 0.41% | 4,939,327 | 100.0% |
District 1
[edit]
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Fitzpatrick: 50–60% 60–70% Wallace: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County.[7] Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which was represented by Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Representative Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County.[7]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Brian Fitzpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Dean Malik, former Bucks County Assistant District Attorney and candidate for this seat in 2010 & 2016[8]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Valerie Mihalek, former Yardley Borough council member and deputy district director for former U.S. Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick[9]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 31,374 | 67.0 | |
Republican | Dean Malik | 15,451 | 33.0 | |
Total votes | 46,825 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[10]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Scott Wallace, charitable foundation director and grandson of former Vice President Henry Wallace[11]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner[14]
Campaign
[edit]The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville,[15] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life.[16]
Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists.[17]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[18]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district[19]
Statewide officials
Organizations
- EMILY's List[21]
- Moms Demand Action
- Montgomery County Democratic Committee[22]
- VoteVets[23]
- With Honor Fund
Organizations
- Bucks County Democratic Committee[24]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Friends of the Earth Action[25]
- People for the American Way[26]
Local officials
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Scott Wallace | 27,652 | 56.5 | |
Democratic | Rachel Reddick | 17,288 | 35.3 | |
Democratic | Steven Bacher | 4,006 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 48,946 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Representative
Statewide officials
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- American Federation of Government Employees
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- International Organization of Masters, Mates & Pilots
- National Education Association
- United Mine Workers of America
Organizations
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, former vice president of the United States
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States[34]
U.S. Senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)
Labor unions
Organizations
- 21st Century Democrats
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[37]
- End Citizens United[38]
- Friends of the Earth Action
- Indivisible[39]
- J Street
- Moms Demand Action
- MoveOn[40]
- National Organization for Women
- People for the American Way
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Sierra Club[41]
- Working Families Party[42]
Local officials
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Organizations
- Firearm Owners Against Crime[43]
Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Brian Fitzpatrick | Scott Wallace | |||||
1 | October 19, 2018 | Bucks County Chamber of Commerce Pennsylvania Cable Network League of Women Voters of Bucks County | Carlo Borgia | [44] | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | Scott Wallace (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[45] | October 26–29, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[46] | October 11–14, 2018 | 570 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | – | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick)[47] | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | – | – |
Monmouth University[48] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
Monmouth University[49] | May 31 – June 3, 2018 | 254 LV | ± 6.5% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 5% |
451 RV | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 1% | 8% | ||
DCCC (D)[50] | May 12–14, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 169,053 | 51.3 | |
Democratic | Scott Wallace | 160,745 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 329,798 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
Analysis
[edit]Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle.[60]
District 2
[edit]
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Boyle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Torres: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District.[7]
The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd.[61]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michele Lawrence, former Senior Vice President for Wells Fargo[62]
Declined
[edit]- Bob Brady, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
[edit]Labor unions
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 23,261 | 64.5 | |
Democratic | Michele Lawrence | 12,814 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 36,075 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- David Torres, community activist
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Torres | 7,443 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 7,443 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 159,600 | 79.0 | |
Republican | David Torres | 42,382 | 21.0 | |
Total votes | 201,982 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Evans: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district.[7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who had held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic Representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Kevin Johnson
Endorsements
[edit]Labor unions
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 72,106 | 80.8 | |
Democratic | Kevin Johnson | 17,153 | 19.2 | |
Total votes | 89,259 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bryan Leib
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 3,331 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 3,331 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 287,610 | 93.4 | |
Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 20,387 | 6.6 | |
Total votes | 307,997 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Dean: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% David: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia.[7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.
Democratic primary
[edit]State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat.[65]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Madeleine Dean, state representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Shira Goodman, public policy advocate[66]
- Joe Hoeffel, former U.S. Representative, nominee for Senate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010[67]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Mary Jo Daley, state representative (endorsed Dean)[68]
- Daylin Leach, state senator and candidate for the 13th district in 2014[69]
Declined
[edit]- Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2014[70]
Endorsements
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 42,625 | 72.6 | |
Democratic | Shira Goodman | 9,645 | 16.4 | |
Democratic | Joe Hoeffel | 6,431 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 58,701 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dan David, investor
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan David | 28,889 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 28,889 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[71]
State legislators
- Mary Jo Daley, state representative
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Service Employees International Union[35]
Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 211,524 | 63.5 | |
Republican | Dan David | 121,467 | 36.5 | |
Total votes | 332,991 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
[edit]
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Scanlon: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kim: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Representative Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds,[7][74] and subsequently resigned from office in April.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Pearl Kim, former Deputy Attorney General of Pennsylvania
Disqualified
[edit]- Paul Addis[75]
Declined
[edit]- Pat Meehan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pearl Kim | 33,685 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,685 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mary Gay Scanlon, attorney and former Wallingford-Swarthmore School Board member
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Larry Arata, teacher and environmental advocate
- Margo L. Davidson, state representative
- Thaddeus Kirkland, Mayor of Chester
- Richard Lazer, former Deputy Mayor of Philadelphia
- Lindy Li, financial manager and candidate for this seat in 2014
- Ashley Lunkenheimer, former assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
- Molly Sheehan, scientist
- Greg Vitali, state representative
- Theresa Wright, entrepreneur
Withdrawn
[edit]- George Badey III, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2012[76]
- Shelly Chauncey, attorney and former CIA agent[77] (endorsed Lunkenheimer)[76]
- Dan Muroff, attorney[75]
- David Wertime, journalist[78]
Endorsements
[edit]Labor unions
- Pennsylvania Conference of Teamsters[75]
- United Association Local 690[75]
Governors
- Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011)[80]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Margo Davidson | Thaddeus Kirkland | Rich Lazer | Lindy Li | Ashley Lunkenheimer | Mary Gay Scanlon | Molly Sheehan | Greg Vitali | Theresa Wright | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections[81] | May 2018 | 638 | ±3.8 | — | — | 7% | — | 11% | 22% | — | 17% | — | — | 57% |
Independence Communications and Consulting[82] | April 2018 | 858 | ±3.3 | — | — | 7% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 13% | — | 7% | 27% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali)[83] | April 23–24, 2018 | 562 | — | 5% | 4% | 5% | — | 6% | 18% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 25% |
Forum
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||||||
Larry Arata | George Badey III | Shelly Chauncey | Margo L. Davidson | Thaddeus Kirkland | Richard Lazer | Lindy Li | Ashley Lunkenheimer | Dan Muroff | Mary Gay Scanlon | Molly Sheehan | Greg Vitali | David Wertime | Theresa Wright | |||||
1[79] | April 5, 2018 | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | |||
2[84] | May 1, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County | Jennifer Levy-Tatum | YouTube | P | W | W | P | A | A | P | P | W | P | P | P | W | P |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 16,804 | 28.4 | |
Democratic | Ashley Lunkenheimer | 9,044 | 15.3 | |
Democratic | Richard Lazer | 8,892 | 15.0 | |
Democratic | Molly Sheehan | 6,099 | 10.3 | |
Democratic | Greg Vitali | 5,558 | 9.4 | |
Democratic | Lindy Li | 4,126 | 7.0 | |
Democratic | Theresa Wright | 3,046 | 5.2 | |
Democratic | Thaddeus Kirkland | 2,327 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Margo L. Davidson | 2,275 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Larry Arata | 913 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 59,084 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Mary Gay Scanlon | Pearl Kim | |||||
1 | Oct. 25, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County Pennsylvania Cable Network | Heidi Gold | C-SPAN | P | P |
Endorsements
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Safe D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 198,639 | 65.2 | |
Republican | Pearl Kim | 106,075 | 34.8 | |
Total votes | 304,714 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 6
[edit]
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Houlahan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McCauley: 50–60% 60–70% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading.[7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district.[85] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Greg McCauley
Withdrawn
[edit]- Ryan Costello, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg McCauley | 31,611 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 31,611 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Chrissy Houlahan, former United States Air Force Captain, engineer and businesswoman
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 34,947 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 34,947 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[86]
U.S. Senators
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present), 34th Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005–2007), 49th Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997–2005)[86]
U.S. Representatives
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2015–2019), state representative from the 170th district (2009–2015)[86]
- Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district (2013–2019)[86]
- Dwight Evans, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district (2016–2019), state representative from the 203rd district[86]
- Conor Lamb, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2018–2019)[87]
State officials
- Jason Kander, 39th Missouri Secretary of State (2013–2017), host of Majority 54 and founder of Let America Vote[88]
- Tom Wolf, 74th governor of Pennsylvania (2015–present)[89]
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- American Federation of Teachers Pennsylvania[90]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Plumbers and Pipefitters Local 520[86]
- Plumbers Local 690[86]
- Service Employees International Union Pennsylvania State Council[64][35]
- Sheet Metal Workers' Local Union No. 19[86]
Organizations
- 314 Action[86]
- Brady Campaign[72]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[37]
- EMILY's List[73][86]
- End Citizens United[86][38]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee[91]
- Human Rights Campaign[92]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[93]
- New Democrat Coalition[94]
- New Politics[86]
- Off the Sidelines[86]
- Sierra Club[41]
- VoteVets.org[86]
- With Honor Fund[95]
Local officials
- John Fetterman, mayor of Braddock (2006–2019) and Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[96]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 177,704 | 58.9 | |
Republican | Greg McCauley | 124,124 | 41.1 | |
Total votes | 301,828 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 7
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Wild: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Nothstein: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consisted of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlapped with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Representative Charlie Dent, who resigned early.[7]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Marty Nothstein, chairman of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners[98]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Dean Browning, former member of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners[99]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Ryan Mackenzie, state representative[100]
- Mike Pries, Dauphin County commissioner[101]
- Justin Simmons, state representative[102]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marty Nothstein | 16,004 | 50.5 | |
Republican | Dean Browning | 15,696 | 49.5 | |
Total votes | 31,700 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Susan Wild, former Allentown Solicitor[103]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- David Clark, Catasauqua resident[104]
- Rick Daugherty, former chair of the Lehigh County Democratic Party and nominee for this seat in 2012 & 2016[105]
- Greg Edwards, pastor[106]
- John Morganelli, Northampton County District Attorney, candidate for Pennsylvania Attorney General in 2000, 2004 & 2016 and nominee in 2008[107]
- Roger Ruggles, Easton city councilmember[108]
Withdrawn
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]State legislators
- Lisa Boscola, State Senator
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Wild | 15,001 | 33.3 | |
Democratic | John Morganelli | 13,565 | 30.1 | |
Democratic | Greg Edwards | 11,510 | 25.6 | |
Democratic | Roger Ruggles | 2,443 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Rick Daugherty | 1,718 | 3.8 | |
Democratic | David Clark | 766 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 45,003 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- BIPAC[31]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[113]
Local officials
- Jim Martin, Lehigh County District Attorney[114]
Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[71]
U.S. Representative
Statewide officials
- Ed Rendell, former governor of Pennsylvania
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[28]
- Communications Workers of America[29]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[30]
- Service Employees International Union[35]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[37]
- EMILY's List[73]
- End Citizens United[38]
- MoveOn[40]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Sierra Club[41]
Celebrities
- Tim Heidecker, comedian[115]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marty Nothstein (R) | Susan Wild (D) | Tim Silfies (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College[116] | October 14–18, 2018 | 411 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 48% | 5% | – |
DeSales University[117] | September 28 – October 7, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 50% | 8% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[118] | September 21–25, 2018 | 539 | ± 4.7% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
Monmouth University[119] | September 5–9, 2018 | 299 LV | ± 5.7% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 7% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 40% | 46% | 3% | 11% | ||
Muhlenberg College[120] | April 24 – May 3, 2018 | 408 | ± 5.5% | 31% | 42% | 5% | 21% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[51] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[54] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[55] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[56] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[57] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[58] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Wild | 140,813 | 53.5 | |
Republican | Marty Nothstein | 114,437 | 43.5 | |
Libertarian | Tim Silfies | 8,011 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 263,261 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 8
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Cartwright: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Chrin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which was represented by Democratic Representative Matt Cartwright.[7] Cartwright had held office since 2013.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |