Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.

Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.

Polling aggregator		Date updated	Number of seats	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others
2024 election	After reorganisation of groups	16 July 2024	720	46	136	53	77	188	78	84 (as PfE)	33+25 ESN	–
	Dynamic[a][b][1]	9 June 2024	720	40	136	54	80	188	82	64	76	–
	Baseline[c][2]	9 June 2024	720	39	136	54	78	177	73	58	48	67
PolitPro[3]		9 June 2024	720	40	139	40	81	174	74	89	43	40
Politico Europe[4]		6 June 2024	720	32	143	41	75	173	76	67	58	55
election.de[5]		6 June 2024	720	42	138	58	85	181	82	69	65	–
Cassandra-odds.com[6]		5 June 2024	720	38	145	57	89	167	84	73	67	–
euobserver[7]		5 June 2024	720	43	140	52	79	178	89	63	76	–
Europe Elects[8]		4 June 2024	720	38	136	55	81	182	79	69	76	4
Der Föderalist[9]	Baseline[c]	3 Jun 2024	720	37	136	57	81	172	79	66	50	42
	Dynamic[a]		720	40	137	58	85	186	80	78	56	–
Euronews[10]		23 May 2024	720	43	135	54	82	181	80	83	62	–
2019 election	After Brexit	1 Feb 2020	705	40	148	67	97	187	62	76	28	–
	Before Brexit	26 May 2019	751	41	154	74	108	182	62	73	57	–

Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.

Polling aggregator		Date updated	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others
2024 election		9 June 2024	6.7 %	19.2 %	8.8 %	10.4 %	21.2 %	12.3 %	9.0 %	9.0 %	3.4 %
PolitPro[11]		9 June 2024	5.6%	19.3%	5.6%	11.3%	24.2%	10.3%	12.4%	6.0%	5.3%
The Economist[12]		9 June 2024	6.0%	16.0%	6.0%	10.0%	22.0%	10.0%	9.0%	7.0%	14.0%
Europe Elects[8]		31 May 2024	6.4%	19.8%	7.7%	11.2%	21.1%	12.2%	8.5%	8.9%	4.2%
2019 election
	Before Brexit	26 May 2019	6.5%	18.5%	11.7%	13.0%	21.0%	8.2%	10.8%	7.2%	3.1%

361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.

Organisation	Release date	Area	Number of seats	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others	Lead
election.de[13]	6 June 2024	EU27	720	42	138	58	85	181	82	69	65		43
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14]	4 June 2024	EU27	720	38	136	55	81	182	79	69	76	4	46
election.de[15]	30 May 2024	EU27	720	43	141	57	84	179	81	68	67		38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[16]	27 May 2024	EU27	720	39	138	56	86	180	75	68	76	2	42
	23 May 2024	Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group.[17]
election.de[18]	23 May 2024	EU27	720	43	139	56	87	179	83	80	53		40
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[19]	16 May 2024	EU27	720	43	134	54	85	182	83	83	54	2	48
election.de[20]	9 May 2024	EU27	720	40	140	55	89	177	80	84	55		37
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[21]	28 Apr 2024	EU27	720	44	140	48	86	183	86	84	48	1	43
EM Analytics[22]	30 April 2024	EU27	720	40	139	55	85	176	84	79	62		37
Der Föderalist[23]	26 Apr 2024	EU27	720	35	132	51	86	173	81	83	35	44	41
			720	39	134	53	89	181	86	99	39		47
EM Analytics[24]	22 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	139	51	86	181	86	77	61		42
election.de[25]	22 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	138	52	90	173	80	87	61		35
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[26]	16 Apr 2024	EU27	720	40	139	52	84	184	82	84	52	3	45
election.de[27]	8 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	138	55	86	176	81	85	60		38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[28]	28 Mar 2024	EU27	720	47	135	52	87	184	81	82	48	4	49
election.de[29]	22 Mar 2024	EU27	720	40	139	54	89	176	84	83	55		37
Ipsos for Euronews[30]	19 Mar 2024	EU27	720	42	136	55	85	177	76	81	68		41
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[31]	18 Mar 2024	EU27	720	46	135	50	86	183	84	89	43	4	48
Politico Europe[32]	9 Mar 2024	EU27	720	33	141	48	90	180	87	89	52		39
election.de[33]	8 Mar 2024	EU27	720	39	142	51	86	171	86	86	59		29
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[34]	1 Mar 2024	EU27	720	45	140	49	82	181	83	92	44	4	41
Der Föderalist[35]	26 Feb 2024	EU27	720	35	135	48	85	176	78	85	36	42	41
				37	137	48	89	183	82	101	43		46
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[36]	19 Feb 2024	EU27	720	44	140	48	85	180	83	92	43	6	40
election.de[37]	7 Feb 2024	EU27	720	42	138	49	78	176	88	94	55		38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[38]	1 Feb 2024	EU27	720	42	140	51	82	180	80	91	49	5	40
ECFR[39]	23 Jan 2024	EU27	720	44	131	61	86	173	85	98	42		42
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[40]	15 Jan 2024	EU27	720	37	143	50	84	178	80	93	49	6	35
election.de[41]	9 Jan 2024	EU27	720	41	141	45	80	179	86	95	53		38
Politico Europe[42]	9 Jan 2024	EU27	720	33	145	43	86	178	89	96	50		33
Der Föderalist[43]	8 Jan 2024	EU27	720	33	141	45	86	169	75	89	43	39	28
				35	143	47	91	177	85	108	34		34
Europe Elects[44]	30 Dec 2023	EU27	720	36	142	49	84	179	81	93	50	6	37
Politico Europe[45]	11 Dec 2023	EU27	720	33	145	47	87	175	91	91	51		30
Europe Elects[46]	30 Nov 2023	EU27	720	38	141	52	89	175	82	87	52	4	35
KAS[47]	29 Nov 2023	EU27	720	42	143	48	87	171	78	79	41	30	35
Politico Europe[48]	9 Nov 2023	EU27	720	38	143	49	91	179	90	85	45		36
Der Föderalist[49]	6 Nov 2023	EU27	720	43	137	43	90	170	78	76	37	45	33
				46	138	47	96	178	89	92	34		40
Europe Elects[50]	31 Oct 2023	EU27	720	45	139	51	92	173	80	76	53	11	34
	12 Oct 2023	PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[51]
Politico Europe[52]	9 Oct 2023	EU27	720	40	151	49	89	172	93	82	44		21
Europe Elects[53]	30 Sep 2023	EU27	720	43	145	52	90	165	86	74	56	10	21
	22 Sep 2023	The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[54]
Der Föderalist[55]	11 Sep 2023	EU27	720	43	147	46	91	162	77	74	36	43	15
				45	147	50	96	171	90	89	32		24
			705	42	144	46	90	157	77	72	35	41	13
				44	144	50	95	165	89	87	31		21
Politico Europe[56]	7 Sep 2023	EU27	705	42	146	46	91	167	93	76	44		21
Europe Elects[57]	31 Aug 2023	EU27	720	38	149	53	90	164	83	75	58	10	15
Politico Europe[58]	9 Aug 2023	EU27	705	45	145	48	89	165	89	77	47		20
Europe Elects[59]	31 Jul 2023	EU27	705	45	143	49	90	157	82	82	55	12	14
Der Föderalist[60]	17 Jul 2023	EU27	705	41	136	48	94	160	79	70	36	41	24
				43	137	52	99	167	89	87	31		30
Der Föderalist[61]	22 May 2023	EU27	705	49	137	50	92	162	79	67	33	36	25
				50	137	54	99	172	82	83	28		35
Europe Elects[62]	28 Apr 2023	EU27	705	51	141	49	89	163	85	64	51	11	22
Der Föderalist[63]	27 Mar 2023	EU27	705	44	137	42	94	162	78	68	38	42	25
				46	141	46	102	170	81	84	35		29
Der Föderalist[64]	1 Feb 2023	EU27	705	50	135	42	96	168	78	65	37	34	33
				52	138	47	103	172	82	80	31		34
Der Föderalist[65]	6 Dec 2022	EU27	705	51	136	44	93	166	79	64	37	35	30
				53	139	50	100	170	83	80	30		31
Europe Elects[66]	7 Dec 2022	EU27	705	49	142	56	100	158	84	63	46	7	16
Europe Elects[67]	1 Nov 2022	EU27	705	55	135	53	106	162	81	66	41	6	27
Der Föderalist[68]	12 Oct 2022	EU27	705	52	127	42	100	169	79	63	35	38	42
				54	130	48	108	174	84	80	27		44
Der Föderalist[69]	20 Aug 2022	EU27	705	52	134	47	98	170	75	63	27	39	36
				54	137	53	107	175	80	76	23		38
Der Föderalist[70]	22 Jun 2022	EU27	705	54	133	44	101	165	77	64	31	36	32
				56	136	54	106	168	81	79	25		32
Der Föderalist[71]	25 Apr 2022	EU27	705	59	139	39	97	157	78	64	37	35	18
				60	143	49	102	159	84	76	32		16
Der Föderalist[72]	1 Mar 2022	EU27	705	53	139	36	98	158	78	62	45	36	19
				55	142	44	105	160	109	62	28		18
Europe Elects[73]	8 Jan 2022	EU27	705	49	152	55	99	158	78	62	35	17	6
Der Föderalist[74]	4 Jan 2022	EU27	705	51	142	39	99	165	73	62	34	40	23
				53	146	43	105	166	102	62	28		20
Europe Elects[75]	7 Dec 2021	EU27	705	50	155	55	103	146	81	75	36	4	9
Der Föderalist[76]	8 Nov 2021	EU27	705	50	144	42	96	155	75	72	36	35	11
				52	148	48	107	156	23	120	51		8
Europe Elects[77]	4 Nov 2021	EU27	705	50	155	51	102	151	81	75	35	5	4
Europe Elects[78]	8 Oct 2021	EU27	705	50	154	47	94	156	78	75	36	15	2
Der Föderalist[79]	13 Sep 2021	EU27	705	54	141	42	98	160	70	75	33	32	19
				56	145	48	107	160	22	116	51		15
Der Föderalist[80]	21 Jul 2021	EU27	705	52	133	45	97	167	71	74	31	35	34
				54	138	49	108	168	23	117	48		30
Europe Elects[81]	9 Jul 2021	EU27	705	52	144	55	94	156	75	77	34	18	12
Europe Elects[82]	5 Jun 2021	EU27	705	51	146	58	92	155	76	74	35	18	9
Der Föderalist[83]	24 May 2021	EU27	705	50	125	50	95	167	74	73	33	38	42
				52	130	54	109	167	87	74	32		37
Europe Elects[84]	2 May 2021	EU27	705	52	144	56	93	158	75	74	34	19	14
Europe Elects[85]	2 Apr 2021	EU27	705	51	151	52	93	159	74	74	32	19	8
Der Föderalist[86]	29 Mar 2021	EU27	705	52	136	46	96	164	71	73	34	33	28
				54	141	49	109	164	85	73	30		23
	3 Mar 2021	Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87]
Der Föderalist[88]	2 Feb 2021	EU27	705	52	135	45	94	184	70	71	21	33	49
				53	141	48	107	184	73	71	28		49
Europe Elects[89]	5 Jan 2021	EU27	705	55	138	47	97	190	73	72	22	11	52
Der Föderalist[90]	9 Dec 2020	EU27	705	52	136	47	93	188	67	73	20	29	52
				53	140	40	103	188	73	73	25		48
Europe Elects[91]	2 Dec 2020	EU27	705	55	136	48	95	195	68	73	23	12	59
Europe Elects[92]	31 Oct 2020	EU27	705	54	136	48	93	197	70	74	24	9	61
Der Föderalist[93]	12 Oct 2020	EU27	705	51	127	49	96	193	67	71	21	30	66
				52	136	52	102	193	71	71	28	–	57
Europe Elects[94]	4 Oct 2020	EU27	705	55	136	49	95	195	71	77	23	4	59
Europe Elects[95]	31 Aug 2020	EU27	705	55	134	49	96	196	71	75	24	5	62
Europe Elects[96]	14 Aug 2020	EU27	705	54	134	49	97	198	70	75	23	5	64
Europe Elects[97]	24 Jul 2020	EU27	705	54	133	48	97	198	71	77	24	3	65
Europe Elects[98]	28 May 2020	EU27	705	55	135	47	98	197	70	77	23	3	62
Europe Elects[99]	30 Apr 2020	EU27	705	55	140	46	94	193	72	78	23	4	53
Europe Elects[100]	31 Mar 2020	EU27	705	57	135	51	92	188	72	83	21	6	53
Europe Elects[101]	29 Feb 2020	EU27	705	56	133	55	99	184	68	85	21	6	51
Europe Elects[102]	31 Jan 2020	EU27	705	55	130	53	101	182	70	85	23	6	52
	31 Jan 2020	The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103]
Europe Elects[104]	31 Dec 2019	EU27	705	54	131	52	102	182	70	86	25	3	51
Europe Elects[105]	31 Dec 2019	EU28	751	53	153	52	103	177	103	82	25	3	24
Europe Elects[106]	30 Nov 2019	EU28	751	49	157	61	107	176	95	80	25	1	19
Europe Elects[106]	31 Aug 2019	EU28	751	46	151	62	115	175	92	78	30	2	24
Europe Elects[106]	30 Sep 2019	EU28	751	48	151	63	118	170	87	79	32	3	19
Europe Elects[106]	31 Aug 2019	EU28	751	47	154	64	116	166	89	80	32	3	12
Europe Elects[106]	31 Jul 2019	EU28	751	48	153	65	117	168	85	79	33	3	15
Europe Elects[106]	30 Jun 2019	EU28	751	46	145	74	119	167	64	80	54	2	22
Redistribution of seats after Brexit	1 Feb 2020	EU27	705	40	148	68	97	187	62	76	27	–	39
2019 European Parliament election	26 May 2019	EU28	751	41	154	74	108	182	62	73	57	–	28

The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.

Organisation	Release date	Area	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others	Lead
	23 May 2024	Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group.[17]
EM Analytics[22]	30 Apr 2024	EU27	7.3%	18.9%	7.5%	10.0%	21.7%	10.9%	12.0%	6.8%	5.0%	2.8%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[107]	28 Apr 2024	EU27	6.3%	18.3%	7.7%	9.9%	22.9%	11.8%	11.2%	6.6%	5.2%	4.6%
EM Analytics[108]	22 Apr 2024	EU27	7.0%	18.5%	7.9%	10.3%	22.0%	11.1%	12.1%	6.7%	4.6%	3.5%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[109]	16 Apr 2024	EU27	5.9%	18.0%	7.6%	10.4%	24.3%	11.0%	10.9%	6.5%	5.4%	6.3%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[110]	28 Mar 2024	EU27	7.7%	18.4%	8.1%	10.6%	23.0%	11.2%	11.2%	6.0%	3.8%	4.6%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[111]	18 Mar 2024	EU27	4.8%	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	22.2%	11.1%	11.6%	7.3%	6.1%	3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[112]	1 Mar 2024	EU27	5.5%	18.9%	7.3%	9.5%	22.6%	11.6%	11.7%	7.4%	5.2%	3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[113]	19 Feb 2024	EU27	6.7%	18.5%	7.3%	9.7%	22.9%	11.3%	11.4%	7.1%	5.0%	4.4%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[114]	1 Feb 2024	EU27	6.8%	18.4%	6.9%	9.5%	22.6%	11.3%	12.3%	5.9%	6.2%	4.2%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[115]	15 Jan 2024	EU27	5.9%	18.3%	6.8%	10.3%	23.5%	10.9%	12.5%	6.1%	5.5%	5.2%
Europe Elects[116]	30 Dec 2023	EU27	5.5%	17.9%	7.0%	10.4%	22.8%	11.1%	12.1%	6.2%	6.9%	4.9%
Europe Elects[117]	30 Nov 2023	EU27	5.7%	18.4%	7.2%	10.7%	22.4%	11.0%	11.7%	6.1%	6.7%	4.0%
Europe Elects[118]	31 Oct 2023	EU27	5.9%	18.5%	7.5%	10.5%	22.4%	11.3%	11.3%	6.1%	6.5%	3.9%
Europe Elects[119]	30 Sep 2023	EU27	6.9%	19.1%	7.0%	9.9%	21.3%	11.8%	10.8%	6.0%	7.0%	2.2%
Europe Elects	31 Aug 2023	EU27	6.1%	19.5%	7.1%	10.2%	21.6%	11.8%	10.5%	6.0%	7.0%	2.1%
Europe Elects[120]	31 Jul 2023	EU27	7.2%	19.5%	6.9%	10.5%	20.6%	11.5%	10.6%	6.4%	6.7%	1.1%
Europe Elects[121]	28 Jun 2023	EU27	6.9%	18.7%	7.0%	10.4%	21.4%	11.7%	10.5%	6.3%	7.1%	2.7%
Europe Elects[122]	31 May 2023	EU27	7.5%	18.8%	6.9%	10.8%	20.7%	11.7%	9.6%	6.1%	7.6%	1.9%
Europe Elects[123]	30 Apr 2023	EU27	7.8%	18.2%	7.0%	10.4%	21.4%	11.6%	9.6%	6.0%	7.8%	3.2%
Europe Elects[124]	31 Mar 2023	EU27	7.3%	19.0%	7.3%	11.1%	21.6%	11.4%	9.0%	6.0%	7.1%	2.6%
Europe Elects[125]	28 Feb 2023	EU27	7.1%	18.7%	7.3%	11.1%	21.7%	11.5%	9.2%	6.0%	7.2%	3.0%
Europe Elects[126]	31 Jan 2023	EU27	7.4%	18.5%	7.4%	11.3%	21.5%	11.5%	9.0%	6.1%	6.8%	3.0%
Europe Elects[127]	31 Dec 2022	EU27	7.1%	18.7%	7.6%	11.5%	21.1%	11.6%	8.9%	5.4%	7.9%	2.4%
Europe Elects[66]	7 Dec 2022	EU27	7.2%	18.8%	8.1%	11.7%	21.2%	11.2%	8.9%	5.5%	7.2%	2.4%
Europe Elects[67]	1 Nov 2022	EU27	8.0%	18.3%	8.1%	12.0%	21.6%	11.3%	8.7%	5.7%	6.1%	3.3%
Europe Elects[73]	8 Jan 2022	EU27	6.7%	20.6%	7.2%	11.9%	20.7%	10.3%	8.8%	5.0%	8.8%	0.1%
Europe Elects[75]	7 Dec 2021	EU27	7.0%	20.4%	7.4%	13.6%	17.9%	10.3%	10.4%	4.8%	6.9%	1.2%
Europe Elects[77]	4 Nov 2021	EU27	6.9%	20.7%	7.2%	13.0%	19.5%	10.7%	10.2%	5.3%	6.5%	1.2%
Europe Elects[78]	8 Oct 2021	EU27	7.3%	20.3%	7.2%	12.0%	20.3%	10.5%	10.3%	5.3%	6.8%	Tie
Europe Elects[81]	9 Jul 2021	EU27	7.2%	17.9%	8.0%	11.8%	21.2%	10.3%	10.6%	5.0%	8.0%	3.3%
Europe Elects[82]	5 Jun 2021	EU27	7.8%	18.0%	9.1%	11.4%	20.6%	10.5%	10.4%	5.0%	7.1%	2.6%
Europe Elects[99]	2 May 2021	EU27	7.9%	18.3%	8.5%	11.3%	20.3%	10.5%	10.6%	5.1%	7.4%	2.0%
Europe Elects[100]	2 Apr 2021	EU27	8.0%	18.7%	8.2%	11.2%	21.6%	10.2%	10.8%	4.9%	6.3%	2.9%
	3 Mar 2021	Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87]
Europe Elects[89]	2 Mar 2021	EU27	7.9%	18.9%	7.5%	11.1%	23.1%	10.3%	10.8%	3.8%	6.6%	4.2%
Europe Elects[89]	2 Feb 2021	EU27	8.2%	18.6%	7.5%	10.9%	24.4%	10.1%	10.5%	3.8%	6.0%	5.8%
Europe Elects[89]	31 Dec 2020	EU27	8.4%	18.9%	7.5%	10.9%	24.1%	10.2%	10.5%	3.6%	5.9%	5.2%
Europe Elects[91]	2 Dec 2020	EU27	8.2%	18.5%	7.7%	10.9%	24.8%	9.5%	10.5%	3.8%	6.0%	6.3%
Europe Elects[92]	31 Oct 2020	EU27	7.6%	18.4%	7.7%	10.8%	25.0%	9.9%	10.6%	4.0%	6.1%	6.6%
Europe Elects[94]	4 Oct 2020	EU27	7.9%	17.9%	7.8%	11.4%	24.4%	9.7%	11.0%	4.1%	5.7%	6.5%
Europe Elects[95]	31 Aug 2020	EU27	8.1%	18.3%	7.4%	11.5%	25.0%	9.6%	10.9%	4.1%	5.2%	6.7%
Europe Elects[96]	14 Aug 2020	EU27	8.0%	18.0%	7.2%	11.5%	25.3%	9.4%	10.8%	3.8%	6.0%	7.3%
Europe Elects[97]	24 Jul 2020	EU27	8.3%	17.9%	7.4%	11.6%	25.7%	9.5%	10.9%	4.1%	4.6%	7.8%
Europe Elects[98]	28 May 2020	EU27	8.2%	18.0%	7.2%	11.3%	25.2%	9.6%	11.1%	4.0%	5.4%	7.2%
Europe Elects[99]	30 Apr 2020	EU27	8.2%	18.5%	7.2%	10.9%	25.3%	9.8%	11.4%	3.9%	4.7%	6.8%
Europe Elects[100]	31 Mar 2020	EU27	8.5%	18.2%	8.0%	10.7%	24.1%	10.0%	11.8%	3.8%	4.9%	5.9%
Europe Elects[101]	29 Feb 2020	EU27	9.1%	18.0%	8.4%	10.9%	22.7%	9.7%	12.5%	3.8%	4.9%	4.7%
Europe Elects[102]	31 Jan 2020	EU27	8.0%	18.6%	8.4%	12.4%	20.5%	12.1%	12.1%	4.0%	3.9%	1.9%
	31 Jan 2020	The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103]
Europe Elects[106]	31 Dec 2019	EU28	8.1%	18.8%	8.2%	11.8%	20.9%	12.4%	11.9%	4.2%	3.7%	2.1%
Europe Elects[106]	30 Nov 2019	EU28	8.0%	18.4%	8.4%	12.3%	20.3%	12.0%	12.0%	4.0%	3.8%	1.9%
Europe Elects[106]	31 Oct 2019	EU28	6.5%	17.8%	8.3%	13.1%	20.3%	10.0%	11.3%	4.8%	7.9%	2.5%
Europe Elects[106]	30 Sep 2019	EU28	6.6%	19.5%	8.3%	12.3%	19.6%	9.7%	11.3%	4.8%	7.9%	0.1%
Europe Elects[106]	31 Aug 2019	EU28	6.9%	19.0%	8.7%	12.9%	20.0%	9.6%	11.4%	5.6%	5.9%	1.0%
Europe Elects[106]	31 Jul 2019	EU28	6.6%	19.0%	9.4%	12.8%	19.3%	9.3%	11.5%	5.3%	6.7%	0.3%
Europe Elects[106]	30 Jun 2019	EU28	6.9%	18.9%	10.3%	13.3%	19.1%	9.8%	11.4%	5.1%	5.2%	0.2%
2019 European Parliament election[128]	26 May 2019	EU27	7.0%	18.9%	11.2%	12.3%	22.6%	8.1%	11.5%	4.3%	4.1%	3.7%
2019 European Parliament election[106]		EU28	6.5%	18.5%	11.7%	13.0%	21.0%	8.2%	10.8%	4.8%	5.5%	2.5%

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	ÖVP EPP	SPÖ S&D	FPÖ ID	Grüne G/EFA	NEOS Renew	KPÖ Left	DNA ECR	Others	Lead
Lazarsfeld Society	3–4 Jun 2024	2,000	19-22 4	22-25 5	27-30 6	8-10 2	12-15 3	3 0	2 0	—	5
Lazarsfeld Society	24–28 May 2024	2,000	22 4	23 5	28 6	9 2	15 3	2 0	1 0	—	5
Market	24–28 May 2024	814	22 4	24 5	27 6	9 2	14 3	3 0	1 0	—	3
IFDD	22–24 May 2024	1,080	22 5	23 5	28 6	10 2	12 2	3 0	2 0	—	5
Lazarsfeld Society	17–21 May 2024	1,000	22 4	24 5	27 6	9 2	15 3	2 0	1 0	—	3
Spectra	13–20 May 2024	1,000	22 5	23 5	26 5	11 2	13 3	3 0	2 0	—	3
IFDD	15–17 May 2024	1,000	23 5	22 5	27 6	11 2	12 2	4 0	1 0	—	4
Peter Hajek	13–17 May 2024	1,200	23 5	23 5	30 6	10 2	10 2	3 0	1 0	—	7
OGM	7–8 May 2024	1,007	22 5	22 5	26 5	13 2	14 3	2 0	—	1 0	4
Lazarsfeld Society	6–8 May 2024	2,000	21 4	21 4	26 6	14 3	15 3	2 0	1 0	—	5
Triple-M	3–7 May 2024	800	19 4	23 5	27 6	14 3	11 2	4 0	—	2 0	4
Market	22–25 Apr 2024	842	20 4	24 5	27 6	12 2	13 3	3 0	—	1 0	3
Lazarsfeld Society	22–24 Apr 2024	2,000	21 4	23 5	27 6	12 2	13 3	3 0	—	1 0	4
Ipsos	23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	1,000	21.0 4	22.0 5	28.2 6	13.0 3	11.8 2	2.1 0	—	1.9 0	6.2
Lazarsfeld Society	26–28 Feb 2024	1,000	20 4	22 5	26 5	14 3	16 3	2 0	—	—	4
Market	5–7 Feb 2024	800	24 5	23 5	27 6	11 2	12 2	2 0	—	1 0	3
Lazarsfeld Society	29–31 Jan 2024	1,000	24 5	20 4	27 6	13 2	14 3	2 0	—	—	3
OGM	22–31 Jan 2024	2,076	22 5	21 4	26 6	14 3	12 2	2 0	—	3 0	4
IFDD	25–28 Jan 2024	1,000	21 4	24 5	27 6	14 3	9 2	3 0	—	2 0	3
Lazarsfeld Society	11–13 Dec 2023	1,000	22 5	22 5	30 6	13 2	9 2	2 0	—	2 0	8
Peter Hajek	22–29 Nov 2023	1,600	23 5	24 5	30 7	12 2	7 1	3 0	—	1 0	6
IFDD	1–4 Oct 2023	837	25 5/6	25 5/6	25 5/6	14 3	8 1	—	—	3 0	Tie
2019 legislative election	29 Sep 2019	–	37.5 8	21.2 5	16.2 3	13.9 3	8.1 1	0.7 0	—	2.5 0	16.3
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	34.6 7	23.9 5	17.2 3	14.1 3	8.4 1	0.8 0	—	1.0 0	9.7

Projected turnout:

According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.

Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	N‑VA ECR	VB ID	Open Vld Renew	cd&v EPP	Groen G/EFA	Vooruit S&D	PVDA Left	Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews[129]	1,500	18.7% 3	23.5% 3	12.7% 2	11.5% 1	9.7% 1	13.8% 2	9.3% 1	0.8% 0	4.8%
26 May 2019	European election			22.4% 3	19.1% 3	15.9% 2	14.5% 2	12.4% 1	10.2% 1	4.9% 0	0.5% 0	3.3%

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	PS S&D	Ecolo G/EFA	MR Renew	PTB Left	LE EPP	DéFI NI	Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews[129]	1,500	26.7% 2	12.8% 1	22.8% 2	19.2% 2	11.0% 1	2.8% 0	4.7% 0	3.9%
26 May 2019	European election			26.7% 2	19.9% 2	19.3% 2	14.6% 1	8.9% 1	5.9% 0	4.7% 0	6.8%

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample	GERB—SDS EPP	BSPzB S&D	DPS Renew	VMRO ECR	PP–DB Renew-EPP[d]	Revival NI	ITN ECR[e]	Blue Bulgaria ECR	Others	NOTA	Lead
Alpha Research	1-4 June 2024	1000	25 5	7.9 2	14.1 3	—	15.9 3	15.7 3	5.9 1	2.9 0	12.6[f]	—	9.1
CAM	1-4 June 2024	821	26.2 5	8.1 2	14.1 3	—	17.7 4	14.8 3	5.3 0	2.1 0	—	—	8.5
Sova Haris	29 May-3 June 2024	1000	26.4 6	8.9 2	14.4 3	—	15.4 3	15.3 3	5.6 0	—	14	—	11
Market Links	22 May-2 June 2024	1004	28.8 6	8.7 2	12.4 3	—	20.2 4	11.4 2	3.9 0	2.2 0	7.4[g]	2.1	8.6
TREND	11–18 May 2024	1003	25.9 5	8.1 2	14.6 3	1.2 0	16.1 4	15.1 3	5.5 0	1.8 0	12.4[h]	5.3	9.8
Sova Harris	8–13 May 2024	1000	28.3 6	10.3 2	13.3 3	—	15.8 3	15 3	5.2 0	—	11.5	—	12.5
MarketLinks	29 April–9 May 2024	—	29.4 6	9.3 2	13.1 3	—	20.6 4	12.3 2	2.7 0	1.7 0	6.4[i]	4.2	8.8
Alpha Research	28 April–5 May 2024	1000	25.1 5	8.0 2	14.4 3	—	18.5 4	14.8 3	4.8 0	2.4 0	12.0[j]	—	6.6
Gallup	22 April–2 May 2024	808	26.4 5	8.2 2	14.9 3	1.3 0	17.5 4	14.7 3	4.5 0	1.4 0	11.1[k]	—	8.9
TREND	12–19 April 2024	1002	27.2 5	9.4 2	15.4 3	—	17.2 4	15.3 3	5.1 0	—	10.1[l]	—	10.1
Gallup	28 March-5 April 2024	805	28.7 5	10.1 2	15.3 3	—	18.2 4	15.1 3	5.5 0	—	9.8	—	6.2
IPSOS	N/A	N/A	27.1 5	8.8 2	13.0 2	—	20.9 4	15.1 3	6.1 1	—	8.9[m]	—	6.2
Alpha Research	1-7 March 2024	1000	27.0 5	10.6 2	10.0 2	—	23.8 5	15.8 3	5.9 0	—	6.9	—	3.2
Market Links	24 February-3 March 2024	1058	26.4 5	9.7 2	14.0 3	—	22.7 4	13.5 3	3.8 0	—	6.1	3.9	3.7
2019 election	26 May 2019	—	30.4 6	23.5 5	16.1 3	7.1 2	5.9[n] 1	1.0 0	—	—	2.6	4.1	6.9

Publication date	Polling firm	Sample size	HDZ EPP	SDP S&D	Most ECR	PiP NI	IDS RE	DP ID	M! G/EFA	Others	Undecided	Lead
6 Jun 2024	Ipsos	1001	31.9 5	24.6 4	6.1 1	-	3.7 0	5.8 1	6.5 1	-[o]	7.7	7.3
5 Jun 2024	Promocija plus	1300	28.4 5	20.5 4	5.7 1	3.9 0	3.2 0	6.9 1	7.4 1	11.7[p] 0	12.3	7.9
2 Jun 2024	2x1 komunikacije	1041	31.2 5	22.0 3	7.1 1	3.7 0	3.8 0	8.7 1	11.1 2	-	11.0	9.2
25 May 2024	Ipsos	990	28.5 5	17.8 3	5.4 1	1.8 0	3.8 0	7.4 1	9.9 2	12.2[q] 0	14.9	10.7
4 May 2024	Promocija plus	1000	30.6 5	24.2 4	5.4 1	2.5 0	2.3 0	6.7 1	7.5 1	-	-	6.4
17 Apr 2024	2024 parliamentary election	–	34.4	25.4	8.0	[r]	2.3	9.6	9.1	11.2	-	9.0
26 May 2019	2019 European election	–	27.1 4	22.1 4	17.6 1	13.6 2	11.9 1	–	1.8 0	5.8	-	5.0

Date	Polling firm	DISY EPP	AKEL Left	ELAM ECR	DIKO S&D	EDEK S&D	DIPA Renew	KOSP G/EFA	APC Left	EP NI	VOLT G/EFA	Fidias NI	Others	Lead
09 June 2024	Election Results	24.8	21.5	11.2	9.7	5.1	2.2	1.3	0.3	1.3	2.9	19.4	0.3	3.3
27-30 May 2024	IMR	26.6	28.3	13.7	10.6	3.4	3.0	3.2	-	2.0	2.8	7.5	0.6	1.7
22-28 May 2024	CMRC	28.7	27.4	14.0	12.1	3.8	1.9	3.8	1.9	-	3.8	3.8	1.3	1.3
20-25 May 2024	RAI Consultants	27.3	25.2	12.5	9.3	4.4	2.7	2.1	0.9	2.1	4.5	8.7	0.3	2.1
13-25 May 2024	CYMAR Market Research Ltd	26.0	24.0	13.0	12.0	5.0	3.0	3.0	-	-	4.0	6.0	4.0	2.0
20-24 May 2024	Symmetron	25.6	24.2	12.0	10.2	3.7	4.3	2.6	-	-	3.9	2.5	1.6	1.5
17-24 May 2024	SIGMA	29.0	27.7	13.5	12.9	3.9	2.6	3.9	-	-	2.6	2.6	1.3	1.3
16-22 May 2024	Pulse Market Research	25.8	23.5	13.6	12.1	4.5	3.0	3.0	-	-	5.3	6.1	3.0	2.3
9-14 May 2024	Analytica Market Research	24.3	24.9	14.5	11.9	6.0	3.5	3.7	-	3.3	3.9	-	4.0	0.6
10-22 Apr 2024	CMRC	29.0	27.5	15.2	12.3	3.6	1.4	3.6	2.9	-	3.6	-	0.7	1.5
08-19 Apr 2024	CYMAR Market Research Ltd	28.1	25.0	15.6	12.5	6.3	1.6	1.6	-	-	3.1	-	6.3	3.1
14–23 Mar 2024	SIGMA	28.1	28.1	15.1	13.7	4.1	2.7	2.7	-	-	2.7	-	2.7	0
20–26 Feb 2024	Pulse Market Research	31.3	25.8	14.7	12.9	5.5	0.5	3.7	-	-	-	-	5.5	5.5
12–16 Feb 2024	SIGMA	29.0	27.5	14.5	11.6	4.3	4.3	2.9	1.4	-	1.4	-	2.9	1.5
11 Feb 2024	Symmetron	25.3	23.9	11.3	9.0	3.1	3.1	2.8	-	-	2.5	-	1.5	1.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024	Interview	31.7	31.8	15	9.0	2.4	2.2	6.8	-	-	-	-	1.1	0.1
22–26 Jan 2024	L.S.Prime	26.4	26.4	13.8	11.1	4.2	4.2	2.8	-	-	-	-	11.1	0
03–11 Jan 2024	IMR	25.7	27.8	17.4	9.7	3.2	3.3	4.9	-	-	1.8	-	3.5	2.1
30 May	Election 2021	27.8%	22.3%	6.8%	11.3%	6.7%	6.1%	4.4%	1.0%	3.3%	-		10.3%	5.5
26 May	Election 2019	29.0%	27.5%	8.2%	13.8%	10.6%	3.8%	-	0.8%	-	-		3.0%	1.5

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPOLU ECR–EPP	ANO Renew	Piráti G/EFA	STAN EPP	SPD– Trikolóra ID	Stačilo! Left	SOCDEM S&D	Svobodní NI	PaM NI	Zelení EGP	PRO NI	Others	Lead
7–8 June 2024	Election result		22.3 6	26.1 7	6.2 1	8.7 2	5.7 1	9.6 2	1.9 0	1.8 0	10.3 2	1.6 0	2.2 0	3.9 0	3.8
STEM	22–26 May 2024	1,623	21.5 6	23.1 6	9.4 2	10.0 3	9.5 2	8.1 2	2.9 0	2.7 0	4.7 0	1.9 0	1.8 0	4.1 0	1.6
STEM/MARK	20–27 May 2024	1,398	22.3 5	26.1 6	12.1 3	8.1 2	7.9 2	7.7 2	3.6 0	2.3 0	7.2 1	1.4 0	1.0 0	0.3 0	3.8
Phoenix Research	1–13 May 2024	1,018	17.5 5	27.4 7	9.9 2	11.5 3	6.2 1	7.0 2	5.0 1	1.3 0	2.2 0	—	4.2 0	7.8 1	9.9
SANEP	2–7 May 2024	1,800	19.8 5	26.7 7	10.6 3	9.9 2	10.1 3	5.9 1	3.7 0	2.9 0	4.8 0	0.5 0	3.2 0	1.9 0	6.9
STEM/Mark	28 Mar–8 April 2024	1,009	20.0 5	27.5 7	10.1 2	10.4 3	10.4 2	6.7 1	3.4 0	2.5 0	6.0 1	0.9 0	—	1.9 0	7.5
Data Collect	25 Mar 2024		20.9	27.3	10.8	9.3	10.9	7.1	2.9	1.5	2.5	2.5	1.9	2.4	6.4
IPSOS	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,517	21.6	26.3	11.3	13.4	7.9	6.1	2.7	2.8	4.9	—	—	—	4.7
IPSOS	Dec 2023	TBA	25.2	26.3	10.0	12.0	7.7	6.0	—	—	—	—	—	12.8	1.1
STEM/MARK	23–28 Nov 2023	1,010	15.0	33.8	11.4	7.3	14.7	5.4	3.6	2.9	—	—	—	6.0	18.8
2021 parliamentary election	8–9 Oct 2021	–	27.8	27.1	15.6		9.6	3.6	4.7	2.8[s]	4.7	1.0	—	0.9	0.7
2019 European election	24–25 May 2019	–	21.8[t]	21.2	14.0	11.7[u]	9.1	6.9	4.0	0.7	—	—	—	10.6	0.6

Polling execution			Parties												Alliances
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	V Renew	A S&D	F G/EFA	O ID	B Renew	C EPP	Ø Left	Å G/EFA	I EPP	M Renew	Æ ECR	Others	AFÅ	BMV	CI
2024 EP election			14.7 2	15.6 3	17.4 3	6.4 1	7.1 1	8.8 1	7.0 1	2.7 0	7.0 1	5.9 1	7.4 1	—	35.7 6	27.7 4	15.8 2
Epinion (exit poll)	9 June	?	13.9 2	15.4 3	18.4 3	6.5 1	6.9 1	7.4 1	6.6 1	3.3 0	7.8 1	6.2 1	7.6 1	—	37.1 6	27.0 4	15.2 2
Verian	29 May–5 Jun 2024	2,301	11.5 2	18.9 3	16.6 3	7.0 1	5.4 0	6.8 1	6.4 1	2.0 0	10.5 2	5.9 1	8.8 1	—	37.5 6	22.8 3	17.3 3
Verian	29 May–5 Jun 2024	2,301	11.5 2	18.9 3	16.6 3	7.0 1	5.4 0	6.8 1	6.4 1	2.0 0	10.5 2	5.9 1	8.8 1	—	37.5 6	22.8 3	17.3 3
Epinion	28 May–3 Jun 2024	2,085	10.8 2	17.7 3	16.6 3	6.4 1	4.9 0	8.3 1	7.8 1	4.1 0	8.5 2	6.0 1	8.9 1	—	38.4 6	21.7 3	16.8 3
Epinion	8–14 May 2024	2,025	12.5 2	21.4 4	13.1 2	7.4 1	5.4 1	7.1 1	6.8 1	1.7 0	9.9 2	4.0 0	10.4 1	—	36.2 6	21.9 3	17.0 3
Verian	8–14 May 2024	1,565	13.6 2	18.6 3	14.0 3	9.6 1	4.7 1	6.8 1	6.2 1	1.2 0	12.2 2	3.9 0	9.1 1	—	33.8 6	22.2 3	19.0 3
Epinion	23–29 Apr 2024	1,938	11.2 2	20.1 4	14.6 2	6.5 1	7.0 1	6.8 1	6.9 1	2.3 0	12.0 2	4.5 0	8.1 1	—	37.0 6	22.7 3	18.8 3
Epinion	6–13 Mar 2024	1,074	12 2	24 4	14 2	7 1	5 1	5 1	7 1	3 0	9 1	7 1	7 1	—	41 6	24 4	14 2
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	10.5 2	21.0 4	12.0 2	5.0 0	6.0 1	6.0 1	8.0 1	2.0 0	13.0 2	7.0 1	8.5 1	—	35.0 6	23.5 4	19.0 3
Epinion	24–31 Jan 2024	1,051	11 2	22 4	12 2	7 1	6 1	6 1	7 1	1 0	10 1	7 1	9 1	—	35 6	24 4	16 2
2022 general election			13.3 (3)	27.5 (6)	8.3 (1)	2.6 (0)	3.8 (0)	5.5 (1)	5.1 (0)	3.3 (0)	7.9 (1)	9.3 (2)	8.1 (1)	5.2 (0)	39.1 (7)	26.4 (4)	13.4 (2)
2021 municipal elections			21.2 (4)	28.4 (5)	7.6 (1)	4.1 (0)	5.6 (1)	15.2 (3)	7.3 (1)	0.7 (0)	1.4 (0)	—		8.5 (0)	36.7 (6)	26.8 (5)	16.6 (3)
2019 general election			23.4 (5)	25.9 (6)	7.7 (1)	8.7 (1)	8.6 (0)	6.6 (1)	6.9 (1)	3.0 (0)	2.3 (0)	—		6.9 (0)	36.6 (7)	32.0 (5)	9.0 (1)
2019 EP election			23.5 (4)	21.5 3	13.2 2	10.8 1	10.1 2	6.2 1	5.5 1	3.4 0	2.2 0	—		3.7 0	—

Polling execution			Parties										Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Reform Renew	SDE S&D	Centre Renew	EKRE ID	Isamaa EPP	E200	EER G/EFA	Parem	Koos	Others	Party	EP group
Norstat	8–20 May 2024	1,471	19.1 1	19.3 2	11.5 1	14.2 1	21.3 2	3.8 0	0.9 0	4.3 0	2.9 0	2.7 0	2.0	4.6
Kantar Emor	6–15 May 2024	1,471	17.2 2	23.6 2	11.0 1	13.6 1	14.0 1	4.1 0	0.9 0	7.2 0	3.1 0	5.4 0	6.4	9.3
Norstat	29 Apr–6 May 2024	1,484	19.3 2	21.4 2	9.4 1	17.9 1	17.1 1	3.9 0	0.9 0	4.5 0	3.0 0	2.7 0	2.1	7.3
Kantar Emor	8-17 Apr 2024	1,484	18.8 2	20 2	13.8 1	13.8 1	16.8 1	4.7 0	1.5 0	6 0	—	4.5 0	1.2	12.6
Norstat	11-15 Apr 2024	3,500	20.1 2	22.0 2	11.0 1	17.2 1	17.6 1	5.0 0	1.2 0	4.7 0	—	1.2 0	1.9	9.1
Kantar Emor	14-20 Mar 2024	1,135	18.9 2	21.4 2	13.9 1	15.4 1	16.7 1	5.6 0	—[v]	5.9 0	—	2.1 0	2.5	11.4
2023 parliamentary election			31.2 3	9.3 1	15.3 1	16.1 1	8.2 0	13.3 1	1.0 0	2.3 0	—	3.3 0	15.1	30.4
2019 EP election			26.2 2	23.3 2	14.4 1	12.7 1	10.3 1	3.2 0	1.8 0	—	—	8.0 0	2.9	17.3

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	KOK EPP	VIHR G/EFA	SDP S&D	PS ECR	KESK Renew	VAS Left	SFP Renew	KD EPP	LIIK NI	Others	Lead
Taloustutkimus[133]	29 May–4 June 2024	2,111	20.6 4	9.3 1	19.4 3	16.4 3	11.9 2	10.8 2	4.2 0	4 0	1.1 0	2.2 0	1.2
Taloustutkimus[134]	23–29 Apr 2024	2,118	21.7 4	10.5 2	19.7 3	14.1 2	13.6 2	10.5 2	4.0 0	2.9 0	1.0 0	2.1 0	2.0
Verian[135]	18–25 Mar 2024	1,372	22 4	11 2	17 3	14 2	12 2	9 1	5 0	6 1		4 0	5
Ipsos[136]	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	22.5 4	9.0 1	20.0 4	19.0 3	10.5 2	8.5 1	3.5 0	3.5 0	3.5 0		2.5
2023 parliamentary election			20.8	7.0	19.9	20.1	11.3	7.1	4.3	4.2	2.4	2.9	0.7
2019 EP election			20.8 3	16.0 3	14.6 2	13.8 2	13.5 2	6.9 1	6.3 1	4.9 0	3.1 0		4.8

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	LO NI	NPA Left	PCF Left	LFI Left	ND S&D	PS–PP S&D	EELV G/EFA	GE NI	PRG G/EFA[w]	PS diss.	UDMF NI	EAC G/EFA	ÉPT Renew	PP G/EFA	PA Left	Ens. Renew	AR		NE EPP	LR EPP	DLF ECR	UPR NI	LP–VIA ECR	RN ID	REC ECR	Others	Lead
																			FNC [fr] NI	R! NI
Ipsos	06–07 Jun 2024	8,923	0.5	0.5	2.5	9.5	0.5	14.5	5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2.5	15	1.5		–	7	–	0.5	1	32	5.5	1[x]	17
Harris Interactive[failed verification]	05–07 Jun 2024	2,200	0.5	0.5	3	9.5	<0.5	13	5	–	<0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	14	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	5	[y]	18
Elabe	05–07 Jun 2024	2,001	1	0.5	2.5	9.5	<0.5	14.5	5.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2.5	16	1.5		–	6	–	1	1	32	5.5	1.5[z]	16
Ifop	04–07 Jun 2024	2,710	0.5	0.5	2.5	9	<0.5	13.5	5.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	2.5	14.5	1.5		–	7	–	1	1	33	6	1.5	18.5
Odoxa	05–06 Jun 2024	1.008	1.5	0.5	2	7	0.5	14	5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	<0.5	3.5	15	2		–	7	–	1	1	32	6	[aa]	17
Ipsos	05–06 Jun 2024	1,738	0.5	0.5	2.5	9	<0.5	13.5	6	–	0.5	–	<0.5	1.5	<0.5	<0.5	1.5	15.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	32	5.5	1.5[ab]	16.5
OpinionWay	04–06 Jun 2024	2,182	1	1	2	8	<1	14	5	–	<1	–	<1	<1	<1	<1	3	15	1		–	6	–	1	1	33	6	3[ac]	18
Cluster17	04–06 Jun 2024	1,165	1	0.5	2	9	0.5	13	5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	<0.5	2.5	15	1.5		–	7	–	1.5	1.5	31	5.5	<3[ad]	16
OpinionWay	04–06 Jun 2024	1,027	1	1	3	7	–	13	6	–	<1	–	<1	<1	<1	<1	2	15	1		–	7	–	1	1	33	6	4[ae]	18
Harris Interactive[failed verification]	04–06 Jun 2024	2,200	0.5	0.5	3.5	8.5	<0.5	13	5.5	–	<0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	14.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	32	5	[af]	17.5
Ifop	03–06 Jun 2024	2,710	0.5	0.5	2	8.5	<0.5	13.5	5.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	2.5	15	1.5		–	7	–	1	1	33	6	1.5	18
Harris Interactive[failed verification]	04–05 Jun 2024	2,130	0.5	0.5	3	9	<0.5	13	6	–	<0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	14	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	5	[ag]	17.5
BVA	03–05 Jun 2024	1,500	1	<0.5	2.5	7.5	0.5	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	1	<0.5	<0.5	2.5	16	1		–	6.5	–	1.5	0.5	33	5	3[ah]	17
Ifop	01–05 Jun 2024	2,724	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	<0.5	13.5	5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	2.5	15	1		–	7.5	–	0.5	1	33	6	1.5	18
YouGov	31 May – 5 Jun 2024	1,035	1	<1	3	6	1	12	4	–	1	–	1	–	–	–	3	15	1		–	6	–	1	1	32	6	2	15
Harris Interactive[failed verification]	03–04 Jun 2024	2,130	0.5	0.5	3	9	<0.5	13	6	–	<0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	14.5	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	5	[ai]	17.5
Ifop	31 May – 04 Jun 2024	2,734	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	<0.5	14	5.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	2	15	1		–	7	–	1	1	33	6	2	18
Harris Interactive	02–03 Jun 2024	2,130	0.5	0.5	3	9	<0.5	13	6	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	14.5	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	5	[aj]	17.5
Ifop	30 May – 03 Jun 2024	2,751	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	<0.5	14	6	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	2	15.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	33.5	6	1.5	18
Elabe	29–31 May 2024	1,688	1	0.5	3	8.5	<0.5	13	7	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	16	1		–	6.5	–	1	1	32.5	5	1.5[ak]	16.5
Harris Interactive	30–31 May 2024	2,178	0.5	0.5	3	8.5	<0.5	13.5	5.5	–	<0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	2	14.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	32	5.5	[al]	17.5
Ifop	28–31 May 2024	2,713	0.5	0.5	3	7	<0.5	14	6.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	2	15.5	1		–	7	–	0.5	0.5	33.5	6.5	1.5	18
OpinionWay	28–30 May 2024	2,149	1	2	2	6	<1	14	5	–	<1	–	<1	<1	<1	<1	2	15	1		–	7	–	<1	1	33	6	4[am]	17
Cluster17	28–30 May 2024	1,165	1	0.5	2	8	0.5	13.5	5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	<0.5	2.5	15.5	1.5		–	7	–	1.5	1.5	30	6	<3[an]	14.5
Harris Interactive	29–30 May 2024	2,200	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	13.5	5.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	1.5	14.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	33	5.5	[ao]	18.5
Ipsos	27–30 May 2024	11,430	0.5	0.5	2	8	0.5	14.5	6	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	1.5	16	1		–	7	–	1	1	33	5	[ap]	17
Ifop	26–30 May 2024	2,700	0.5	0.5	3	7	<0.5	14	6.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	1.5	16	1		–	7	–	0.5	1	33.5	6.5	1	17.5
OpinionWay	28–29 May 2024	1,008	1	3	2	6	–	14	5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2	15	1		–	7	–	1	1	32	7	3	17
Harris Interactive	28–29 May 2024	2,016	0.5	0.5	3	8	0.5	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	1	14.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	32.5	5	4[aq]	17.5
Ifop	25–29 May 2024	2,250	0.5	<0.5	3	7	<0.5	14	6.5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	1.5	16	1		–	7	–	1	1	33.5	6.5	1	17.5
Harris Interactive	27–28 May 2024	2,016	0.5	0.5	3	8.5	0.5	14	5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	1	15	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	5	4[ar]	17
Ifop	24–28 May 2024	1,809	0.5	<0.5	2.5	7.5	<0.5	14	6	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	<0.5	–	1	15.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	34	6	1.5	18.5
Harris Interactive	24–27 May 2024	2,016	0.5	0.5	3	8.5	0.5	14	5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	<0.5	1	14.5	1		–	7	–	1	1	32	5	4[as]	17.5
Ifop	23–27 May 2024	1,362	0.5	0.5	2	7.5	<0.5	14.5	5.5	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	1		–	7.5	–	0.5	1	33.5	6	1	17.5
Elabe	24–25 May 2024	1,688	1	<0.5	2	8	<0.5	13	6	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	1	0.5	0.5	2	15.5	1.5		–	7	–	1	0.5	33	5.5	2[at]	17.5
Odoxa	23–24 May 2024	991	2	1	2.5	7	<0.5	13.5	6	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	15	1		–	7	–	0.5	1.5	34	4	0.5	16.5
Ifop	21–24 May 2024	1,362	0.5	0.5	2	7.5	<0.5	14.5	5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	–	1.5	16	1		–	7.5	–	0.5	1.5	33	6.5	1.5	17
OpinionWay	21–24 May 2024	2,024	2	2	2	7	<1	13	5	–	<1	–	<1	<1	<1	<1	1	15	<1		–	8	–	<1	1	32	7	5[au]	17
Ifop	20–23 May 2024	1,356	1	0.5	2	7	<0.5	15	5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	–	2	16	1		–	7.5	–	0.5	1	33	6	1.5	17
Cluster17	21–22 May 2024	1,043	1	0.5	2	8	0.5	14	5	–	1	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	2	16	1.5		–	6.5	–	1.5	1.5	29	6	3	13
OpinionWay	21–22 May 2024	1,067	1	2	2	7	–	13	5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1	16	1		–	8	–	1	1	32	7	3	16
Ifop	20–22 May 2024	1,344	1	0.5	2	7.5	0.5	15	5.5	–	<0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	–	1.5	16	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32.5	6	0.5	16.5
Vivavoice	20–21 May 2024	1,059	0.5	0.5	1	6.5	<0.5	14	7	–	<0.5	–	0.5	1	–	–	1.5	17	1.5		–	6.5	–	1	1	32	6	2	15
Ifop	19–21 May 2024	1,344	1	<0.5	2	7.5	0.5	15	5.5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	0.5	0.5	–	1.5	16.5	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	6	0.5	15.5
Elabe	15–17 May 2024	1,398	1	0.5	1.5	7.5	<0.5	13	7.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	15.5	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	5.5	3	16.5
Ifop	15–17 May 2024	1,334	0.5	0.5	2.5	7	1	14.5	5.5	–	0.5	–	0.5	1	0.5	–	1.5	16.5	1		–	8	–	<0.5	<0.5	32	6	1	15.5
Harris Interactive	15–17 May 2024	2,014	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	0.5	14.5	5	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	15	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	31.5	5.5	3.5	16.5
BVA	15–16 May 2024	1,500	1.5	1	2.5	8	<0.5	13	6.5	–	<0.5	–	–	1	–	–	2	17	1		<0.5[av]	6	1[aw]	1	<0.5	31	6	1	14
OpinionWay	14–16 May 2024	2,025	1	<1	2	7	<1	14	6	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	1	16	2		–	7	–	1	1	31	8	2	15
Ifop	13–16 May 2024	1,338	0.5	0.5	2.5	7	1	14.5	5.5	–	<0.5	–	0.5	1	–	–	2	16.5	1.5		–	8	–	0.5	0.5	32	5.5	0.5	15.5
OpinionWay	14–15 May 2024	1,006	1	<1	2	8	<1	14	6	–	<1	–	–	<1	–	–	1	16	2		–	7	–	<1	1	31	8	3	15
Cluster17	13–15 May 2024	1,285	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	1	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	0.5	–	1.5	15.5	1.5		–	6	–	1.5	1.5	29.5	6	2.5	14
Ifop	11–15 May 2024	1,348	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	0.5	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	–	–	2	16.5	1.5		–	8	–	0.5	1	32.5	5.5	0.5	16
YouGov	6–15 May 2024	1,028	1	<1	2	6	1	13	5	–	<1[ax]		–	2	–	–	1	17	2		<1[av]	6	–	2	2	32	6	2	15
Ipsos	13–14 May 2024	1,530	0.5	0.5	2	8	<0.5	14.5	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	16	1.5		–	7	–	1	1	31	6	1.5	15
Ifop	10–14 May 2024	1,348	0.5	<0.5	2.5	7.5	<0.5	14	6	–	<0.5	–	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	17	1.5		–	8	–	1	1	32.5	6	0.5	15.5
Harris Interactive	10–13 May 2024	2,294	0.5	0.5	3	8	0.5	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	0.5	–	1	15	2		–	7	–	1	1	31.5	5	2.5	16.5
Ifop	9–13 May 2024	1,348	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	<0.5	14	6	–	<0.5	–	–	0.5	–	–	1	17	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32.5	6	1	15.5
Ifop	6–10 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	13.5	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	17	1.5		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	6.5	0.5	15
Cluster17	6–9 May 2024	1,208	0.5	0.5	2	8.5	0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	–	1	0.5	–	2	15.5	1.5		–	6.5	–	1.5	1.5	29.5	6	3	14
Ifop	5–9 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	17	1.5		–	7.5	–	1	1	31.5	6.5	0.5	14.5
OpinionWay	6–7 May 2024	1,029	1	<1	3	6	<1	14	6	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	1	17	2		–	6	–	1	1	30	8	3	13
Ifop	3–7 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	16.5	1.5		–	8	–	1	1	31.5	6	0.5	15
OpinionWay	5–6 May 2024	1,026	1	<1	3	7	<1	14	7	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	<1	16	1		–	7	–	1	1	31	7	3	15
Ifop	2–6 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	3	8	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	16	1		–	8	–	0.5	1	32	6	0.5	16
Elabe	30 Apr – 3 May 2024	1,375	1	0.5	2	8.5	0.5	12	8	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	16.5	1		<0.5	6.5	–	0.5	1	32	5	2.5	15.5
Harris Interactive	30 Apr – 3 May 2024	2,043	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	0.5	–	1	15	2		<0.5	7	–	1	1	31	5.5	2.5	16
Ifop	30 Apr – 3 May 2024	1,345	0.5	0.5	3	7.5	0.5	13.5	6.5	–	<0.5	–	–	1	–	–	2	16.5	1		<0.5	7.5	–	0.5	1	31.5	6.5	0.5	15
OpinionWay	29–30 Apr 2024	1,075	<1	–	2	6	<1	14	7	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	1	17	2		<1	7	–	1	2	31	7	3	14
Ifop	29 Apr – 2 May 2024	1,375	<0.5	0.5	3	7.5	0.5	13.5	7	–	<0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	16.5	1.5		<0.5	7.5	–	1	1	31	6.5	0.5	14.5
Cluster17	29 Apr – 1 May 2024	1,337	1	0.5	2.5	8	0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	2	15.5	1.5		0.5	6	–	1	2	29.5	5.5	2	14
OpinionWay	29–30 Apr 2024	1,009	1	–	4	7	<1	14	7	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	0.5	17	1		0.5	7	–	1	1	29	8	1	12
Ifop	26–30 Apr 2024	1,360	<0.5	0.5	3	7	0.5	14	7	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	16	1.5		0.5	7.5	–	0.5	1	31.5	6.5	0.5	15.5
Harris Interactive	24–26 Apr 2024	2,319	0.5	0.5	2	9	<0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	2		<0.5	7	–	1	1	31	6	2	15
Ifop	25–29 Apr 2024	1,345	<0.5	0.5	2.5	7	<0.5	14.5	7.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	16	1.5		0.5	8	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	6	0.5	15.5
Odoxa	25–26 Apr 2024	1,005	1.5	1	2.5	7	<0.5	12	7	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	15.5	1.5		<0.5	8	–	1	1.5	32	5.5	0.5	16.5
BVA	25–26 Apr 2024	1,434	1	1	1.5	6.5	–	13	8	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	3	17	1		<0.5	6	1[aw]	1	1	31	5.5	1	14
Ifop	23–26 Apr 2024	1,345	0.5	0.5	2	7.5	<0.5	14	8	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	16.5	1		0.5	8	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	5.5	0.5	15
OpinionWay	24–25 Apr 2024	1,011	1	–	3	6	<1	14	6	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	1	18	1		<1	7	–	1	2	29	8	3	11
Cluster17	23–25 Apr 2024	1,164	0.5	0.5	3	8	1	12.5	6.5	–	1	–	–	0.5	1	–	2	16	2		0.5	6	–	1	1.5	29.5	6	2	13.5
Ifop	22–25 Apr 2024	1,350	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	0.5	13	8	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	17.5	1		0.5	8	–	0.5	<0.5	31	5.5	1	13.5
OpinionWay	23–24 Apr 2024	1,007	1	–	3	8	<1	13	7	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	2	18	2		<1	6	–	1	1	30	6	1	12
Ifop	20–24 Apr 2024	1,335	0.5	0.5	2.5	7	0.5	12.5	7.5	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	17.5	1.5		0.5	8.5	–	<0.5	0.5	31	5.5	1	13.5
Ipsos	19–24 Apr 2024	10,651	0.5	1	2.5	7	0.5	14	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	17	1		<0.5	6.5	–	1	1	32	5.5	1.5	15
Ifop	19–23 Apr 2024	1,335	0.5	0.5	2.5	7	0.5	12	7.5	–	0.5	–	–	2	–	–	1.5	17	1		0.5	8	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	5.5	1	14.5
Harris Interactive	19–22 Apr 2024	2,319	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	2		0.5	7	–	1	1	31	6	1.5	15
Ifop	18–22 Apr 2024	1,339	0.5	0.5	2	7	0.5	12	7.5	–	0.5	–	–	2	–	–	2	17	1		1	8	–	<0.5	1	31.5	5.5	0.5	14.5
Ifop	16–19 Apr 2024	1,371	0.5	0.5	2	8	0.5	11.5	7.5	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	2	17.5	1		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	31.5	5.5	0.5	14
OpinionWay	17–18 Apr 2024	1,021	<1	–	3	7	<1	13	7	–	<1	–	–	2	–	–	1	19	1		<1	7	–	1	1	29	7	2	10
Ifop	15–18 Apr 2024	1,376	1	0.5	2.5	8	<0.5	11.5	7.5	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	17.5	0.5		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	32	5.5	0.5	14.5
OpinionWay	16–17 Apr 2024	1,002	1	–	4	8	<1	12	6	–	<1	–	–	1	–	–	1	19	2		<1	7	–	1	1	29	6	2	10
Ifop	13–17 Apr 2024	1,364	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	0.5	11.5	7.5	–	<0.5	–	–	2	–	–	1.5	17.5	0.5		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	32.5	5.5	0.5	15
Ifop	12–16 Apr 2024	1,349	0.5	<0.5	3	7	<0.5	12	7.5	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	18	1		0.5	8	–	<0.5	0.5	32.5	6	0.5	14.5
Harris Interactive	12–15 Apr 2024	2,005	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	14	6	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	2		0.5	7	–	0.5	1	30	6	2.5	14
Ifop	11–15 Apr 2024	1,326	0.5	<0.5	3	7.5	<0.5	12	7	–	<0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	18	1		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	32.5	6	0.5	14.5
Ifop	9–12 Apr 2024	1,347	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	12.5	6.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1	18	1		<0.5	8.5	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	6	0.5	13.5
Ipsos	10–11 Apr 2024	1,500	1	0.5	3	7	0.5	13	7	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	16	0.5		0.2	6.5	–	1	1	32	6.5	1.5	16
Cluster17	9–11 Apr 2024	1,164	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	1	12	6	–	1	–	–	0.5	1	–	1.5	17	1		0.5	6	–	1.5	1.5	29	6	2	12
Ifop	8–11 Apr 2024	1,355	0.5	0.5	3	8	0.5	12.5	6	–	0.5	–	–	1	–	–	1.5	18	0.5		<0.5	8.5	–	0.5	0.5	31	6.5	0.5	13
Ifop	6–10 Apr 2024	1,343	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	0.5	12	5.5	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	18.5	1		<0.5	8.5	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	6.5	0.5	13
Ifop	5–9 Apr 2024	1,335	1	0.5	3	7.5	<0.5	12	5.5	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	18.5	0.5		<0.5	8	–	0.5	1	32	6.5	0.5	13.5
YouGov	3–9 Apr 2024	1,028	2	–	2	5	–	12	6	–	1[ax]		–	1	–	–	1	19	<1	–	–	7	2[aw]	–	–	29	9	2	10
Harris Interactive	5–8 Apr 2024	2,018	1	–	3	9	–	12	6	–	0.5	–	–	1	1	–	1	17	1		0.5	7	–	0.5	0.5	30	6	3.5	13
Ifop	4–8 Apr 2024	1,343	1	0.5	3	7.5	0.5	11	6.5	–	<0.5	–	–	1	–	–	2	19	<0.5		<0.5	7.5	–	0.5	1	32	6	1	13
OpinionWay	3–5 Apr 2024	1,509	1	–	2	7	–	12	7	–	<1[ax]		–	1	–	–	2	19	2		<1	8	–	1	–	29	7	2	10
Elabe	2–4 Apr 2024	1,504	1.5	–	2.5	7.5	–	12	8.5	–	0.5	–	–	2	–	–	1	16.5	1		<0.5	7	–	0.5	0.5	30	5.5	3.5	13.5
Harris Interactive	28–29 Mar 2024	2,220	1	–	3	8	–	13	6	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	17	1		0.5	7	–	0.5	1	31	6	2.5	14
BVA	27–28 Mar 2024	1,518	1	0.5	2.5	7	–	11	6	–	<0.5	–	–	0.5	–	<0.5	1	20	1		<0.5	8	3[aw]	1	1	30	5.5	1	10
Harris Interactive	22–25 Mar 2024	2,027	1	–	3	7	–	12	7	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	18	1		0.5	7	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	2	12
Ifop	19–20 Mar 2024	1,112	0.5	–	3	6	–	11	7	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	21	1		0.5	7	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	0.5	9
Harris Interactive	15–18 Mar 2024	2,124	1	–	2	8	–	13	7	–	0.5	–	–	0.5	1	0.5	1	18	1		0.5	7	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	1	12
OpinionWay	13–14 Mar 2024	1,008	1	–	2	6	–	11	8	–	1[ax]		–	1	–	–	1	20	1	–	<1	8	3	1	–	27	6	3	7
Cluster17	8–9 Mar 2024	1,016	0.5	–	3	8	–	10	8	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	17	2		0.5	7	3	1	–	29	6	2	12
Elabe	5–7 Mar 2024	1,504	2	–	3	7.5	–	8.5	9.5	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	17	1	–	–	7	3	0.5	–	29.5	4.5	3	12.5
YouGov	26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024	1,008	1	–	2	6	–	10	7	–	<1[ax]		–	1	–	–	2	20	1	–	–	6	3	–	–	33	5	3	13
Ipsos	1–6 Mar 2024	11,700	1		3.5	7	–	11.5	8.5	–	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	1.5	18	0.5	–	–	7	2.5	0.5	0.5	31	5	1.5	13
Ipsos	23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	2,000	–	–	3.0	7	–	12.2	8.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	18.1	–	–	–	7.6	2.5	–	–	30.7	5.5	5.4	12.6
Ifop	29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024	1,348	1		3.5	8	–	9	8	–	1[ax]		–	1	–	–	2	19	<0.5	1.5	<0.5	8	1.5	0.5	<0.5	29	6	1	10
BVA	27–28 Feb 2024	1,344	2	–	3	7	–	11	7	–	<0.5	–	–	1.5	–	<0.5	1.5	18[ay]	0.5	0.5	<0.5	8	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	1	12
Odoxa	21–22 Feb 2024	1,005	1.5	–	1.5	6	–	11	8.5	–	<0.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	19[az]	1	–	–	8.5	4	–	–	30	7	2	11
Stack Data Strategy	17–22 Feb 2024	799	0.5		3.1	9.9	–	9.9	5.6	–	2.8[ax]		–	2.6	–	–	1.4	14.5[ba]	–	1.3	–	4.7	3.1	–	–	31.5	6.5	3.2	16.0
OpinionWay	14–15 Feb 2024	1,009	<1	–	3	7	–	10	8	–	2[ax]		–	1	–	–	<1	19	1	–	<1	8	2	1	–	27	8	3	8
Elabe	7–9 Feb 2024	1,426	1.5	–	2.5	9	–	9	9.5	–	<0.5	–	–	2	–	–	2	16.5	1	–	–	8	3	0.5	–	27.5	5	3	11
Ifop	7–8 Feb 2024	1,356	1.5		3.5	7	–	9.5	8	–	1.5[ax]		–	1.5	–	–	1.5	19[az]	0.5	0.5	<0.5	7	1	0.5	0.5	29	6.5	1.5	10
			1		3	7.5	–	10.5	8.5	–	1[ax]		–	1	–	–	1	19[ba]	1	1	<0.5	7.5	1.5	1	<0.5	28.5	6	1.5	9.5
			1		3.5	8	–	10.5	8	–	1.5[ax]		–	1.5	–	–	1.5	18[ay]	0.5	0.5	<0.5	7.5	1.5	0.5	0.5	28	6	1.5	10
YouGov	29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024	1,001	1	–	2	8	–	8	8	–	1[ax]		–	1	–	–	1	19[bb]	1	–	–	6	2	–	–	32	8	3	13
Portland	24–31 Jan 2024	469	2	–	3	6	–	9	9	–	1	–	–	–	–	–	–	14	1	–	–	8	3	–	–	33	6	5	19
OpinionWay	17–18 Jan 2024	1,019	1	–	4	8	–	10	6	–	2[ax]		–	1	–	–	1	20	<1	–	<1	8	2	–	–	27	7	3	7
Ifop	16–17 Jan 2024	1,348	0.5		4	7.5	–	9.5	7	–	1.5[ax]		–	1.5	–	–	1	19[bb]	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	6.5	2	<0.5	0.5	31	7	1	12
Harris Interactive	12–15 Jan 2024	1,217	1	–	3	7	–	11	8	–	1	–	–	2	–	–	1	19[bb]	1	–	–	8	2.5	–	–	28	6	1.5	9
Ifop	12–15 Jan 2024	875	1		4	6.5	–	9	9	–	–	–	–	1	–	–	–	20[bb]	1	–	–	7.5	3	–	–	30	6	2	10
YouGov	8–15 Jan 2024	1,004	2	2	2	7	–	8	9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20[bc]	–	–	–	6	4	–	–	30	7	3	10
Cluster17	13–14 Jan 2024	1,209	1	–	3	7.5	–	11	8	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	18[bb]	1	–	–	7	3	–	–	28.5	7	2	10.5
Elabe	10–12 Jan 2024	1,400	1.5	–	3	7.5	–	9.5	8.5	–	0.5	–	–	1.5	–	–	1	18[bc]	1	–	–	8.5	2.5	0.5	–	28.5	5	3	10.5
Ifop	3–5 Jan 2024	1,090	0.5		3	6	–	10	9	–	3[ax]		–	2.5	–	–	1.5	17[bc]	0.5	0.5	0.5	8	2	0.5	0.5	28	6.5	0.5	11
Odoxa	13–14 Dec 2023	1,004	2.5	–	3	6.5	–	9	6	–	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	21[bc]	0.5	–	–	9	2	–	–	31	6	3	10
OpinionWay	13–14 Dec 2023	–	1	–	3	6	–	10	8	–	2[ax]		–	<1	–	–	1	19	<1	–	<1	9	3	–	–	27	8	3	8
Ipsos	29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023	11,691	1.5		3	7.5	–	10.5	9.5	–	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	20[bc]	0.5	–	–	8	2.5	–	–	28	6.5	2	8
Ifop	8–11 Dec 2023	1,062	1.5		4.5	7	–	10	8	–	–	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	18[bc]	1	–	–	7.5	2.5	–	–	30	7.5	1	12
OpinionWay	15–16 Nov 2023	–	2	–	3	7	–	9	8	–	3[ax]		–	<1	–	–	1	19	<1	–	–	8	2	–	–	28	7	3	9
Ipsos	9–10 Nov 2023	1,412	2		2	8.5	–	10	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22[bd]	–	–	–	6	2	–	–	29	6	2.5	7
			2		2	8.5	–	10.5	10.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20[bc]	–	–	–	6.5	2	–	–	29	6	3	9
Ifop	12–13 Oct 2023	1,515	1		5	9	–	9	8	–	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	20[bc]	–	–	–	8	2	–	–	28	6	2	8
			1		5	9	–	9	9	–	–	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	20[be]	–	–	–	8.5	2.5	–	–	28	5	1	8
Ifop	30–31 Aug 2023	1,126	1		5	10	–	9	8	–	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	21[bc]	–	–	–	8	3	–	–	25	6.5	1.5	4
			2		6	12[bf]			10	–	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	23[bc]	–	–	–	9	3	–	–	25	7	2	2
			1		5	9[bg]	–	10	8	–	–	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	21[bc]	–	–	–	9	3	–	–	25	6.5	1	4
Cluster17	16–19 Aug 2023	983	1.5	–	3	22.5				–	2.5	–	–	5	–	–	2.5	20.5[bc]	–	–	–	7	3	–	–	23	7	2.5	0.5
			1.5	–	20.5				7.5	–	2.5	–	–	3	–	–	2.5	20[bc]	–	–	–	7	3	–	–	23.5	7	2	3
			1.5	–	25[bh]					–	2.5	–	–	4	–	–	2.5	20[bc]	–	–	–	7.5	4	–	–	24	7	2	1
			1	–	25[bi]					–	3	–	–	4	–	–	3	20[bc]	–	–	–	7.5	3.5	–	–	24	7	1.5	1
			2	–	23[bj]					–	3	–	–	4.5	–	–	3	21[bc]	–	–	–	7.5	3	–	–	24	7	2	1
			2	–	25[bk]					–	2.5	–	–	4.5	–	–	2.5	20[bc]	–	–	–	7	4	–	–	24	7	1.5	1
Ifop	4–5 Jul 2023	1,008	1		4	8	–	9	9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20[bc]	–	–	–	11	4	–	–	26	7	1	6
Ipsos	16–26 Jun 2023	10,631	1.5		4	8.5	–	10	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	21[bc]	–	–	–	9	2.5	–	–	24	6.5	3	3
			2		24					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	24[bc]	–	–	–	10	3	–	–	25	7	5	1
			1.5		5	9.5	–	15		–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	23[bc]	–	–	–	9	2.5	–	–	25	6.5	3	2
Elabe	19–21 Jun 2023	1,397	1.5		2	8.5	–	9.5	11	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22.5	–	–	–	8.5	2.5	–	–	26	5.5	2.5	3.5
			1.5		24.5					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	26	–	–	–	9	2.5	–	–	27	5.5	4	1
Cluster17	17–19 May 2023	1,760	2		4	11	–	9	11	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	19.5[bc]	–	–	–	7.5	3	–	–	24	6.5	3.5	4.5
			2		27					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	23[bc]	–	–	–	8.5	4	–	–	25.5	7	3	1.5
Ifop	10–11 May 2023	1,310	1		5	10	–	10	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	19[bc]	–	–	–	8	3	–	–	25	6	3	6
			2		26[bl]					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22[bc]	–	–	–	11	3	–	–	26	6	4	Tie
Harris Interactive	5–9 May 2023	1,262	2		23[bm]					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3	26	–	–	–	13	2	–	–	21	5	5	3
			1		19[bm]					5	–	6	–	–	–	–	3	24	–	–	–	12	2	–	–	20	5	3	4
			1		3	9	–	10	11	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	1	23	–	–	–	12	2	–	–	20	5	3	3
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	0.8	[bn]	2.5	6.3	6.2		13.5	1.8[bo]	[bp]	–	0.1	[bq]	–	0.1	2.2	24.9[br]	–	–	–	8.5	3.5	1.2	0.6	23.3	–	7.0	0.9

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Union EPP	Grüne G/EFA	SPD S&D	AfD NI	Linke Left	FDP Renew	PARTEI NI	FW Renew	Tiersch. Left	ÖDP G/EFA	FAM EPP	Volt G/EFA	PIRAT G/EFA	BSW NI–Left	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	6–7 Jun 2024	1,000	30	13.5	12.5	15.5	2.5	4.5	—	2.5	—	—	—	—	—	7.5	11.5	14.5
Wahlkreisprognose	4–6 Jun 2024	1,300	31	14.5	14.5	14	2.5	4	—	2	—	—	—	—	—	6.5	11	16.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–6 Jun 2024	1,223	30	14	14	14	3	4	—	—	—	—	—	3	—	7	13	16
Ipsos	29 May–5 Jun 2024	2,000	30	15	15	14	3	5	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	8	15
Wahlkreisprognose	27 May – 1 Jun 2024	2,000	30.5	15	13.5	15	3	4	1.5	2.5	1.5	—	—	—	—	6	7.5	15.5
INSA	30–31 May 2024	1,001	29	13	14	16	3	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	11	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	27–29 May 2024	1,197	30	15	14	14	4	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	13	15
Infratest dimap	27–29 May 2024	1,515	29	14	15	14	3	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	6	12	14
INSA	23–24 May 2024	1,002	30	13	14	17	3	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose	13–21 May 2024	2,600	31	15	12.5	16	3	3.5	1.5	2.5	2	—	—	—	—	6.5	6.5	15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14–16 May 2024	1,247	31	15	14	15	3	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5	13	16
INSA	10–13 May 2024	2,100	29	13	15.5	17	4	4	—	3	2	—	—	—	—	7	5.5	12
YouGov	3–8 May 2024	1,247	29	15	16	20	4	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	6	9
Infratest dimap	29–30 Apr 2024	1,323	30	15	14	15	—	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	15	15
INSA	25–26 Apr 2024	1,202	29	13	16	17	4	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	7	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	23–25 Apr 2024	1,228	30	17	15	15	3	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4	13	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Apr 2024	1,254	30	15	16	16	3	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5	12	14
INSA	5–8 Apr 2024	2,100	28.5	11.5	16.5	19	4	5	—	3	2	—	—	—	—	6	4	9.5
Ipsos	23 Feb–02 Mar 2024	2,613	29	16	17	16	4	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	4	12
Forsa	12–13 Mar 2024	1,008	34	14	16	15	2	3	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	4	9	18
INSA	8–11 Mar 2024	2,100	28.5	11	16	20	4.5	6	1	2.5	2	—	0.5	0.5	0.5	5.5	1.5	8.5
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	2,613	29	16	17	16	4	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	4[bs]	12
Wahlkreisprognose	24–29 Feb 2024	1,900	31.5	16	12	16	2	3	1.5	3.5	2.5	—	—	—	—	7.5	4.5	15.5
Stack Data Strategy	17–22 Feb 2024	980	25.5	9.8	16.5	15.1	2.7	6.0	3.2	4.1	3.1	—	—	1.3	1.2	9.3	3.4	9.0
INSA	8–12 Feb 2024	2,101	27	10.5	16	22	4.5	3	1	3.5	3	—	1	1	1	5.5	1.5	5
Portland	24–31 Jan 2024	555	29	13	16	17	3	5	1	3	3	0	0	1	1	6	2	12
Wahlkreisprognose	11–18 Jan 2024	1,440	28	13	9	23	3	4.5	1.5	5	1.5	—	—	—	—	7	4.5	5
Wahlkreisprognose	1–7 Dec 2023	1,440	31	12	10	25	3	3	1.5	2.5	2	—	—	—	—	7	3	6
INSA	31 Jul 2023	1,001	26	15	19	23	5	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	3
Wahlkreisprognose	7–14 Jul 2023	1,040	23	13.5	15	22	2.5	3.5	2	3	1.5	—	—	—	—	8.5	5.5	1
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Dec 2022	1,100	22	21	21	18.5	3.5	3.5	2	3.5	2.5	—	—	—	—	—	2.5	1
Wahlkreisprognose	24–26 Feb 2022	1,722	22	19.5	22.5	12.5	3	7.5	2.5	3	2	—	—	—	—	—	5.5	0.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	24.2	14.7	25.7	10.4	4.9	11.4	1.0	2.4	1.5	0.2	—	0.4	0.4	—	2.9	1.6
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	28.9	20.5	15.8	11.0	5.5	5.4	2.4	2.2	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.7	0.7	—	3.8	8.4

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	ND EPP	SYRIZA Left	PASOK S&D	KKE NI	XA[bt] NI	EL ECR	MeRA25 Left	PE NI	R NI	Antarsya NI	SP NI	NIKI NI	FL PfE	NA Left	DIMO Renew	KOS G/EFA	PAT NI	Other	Lead
Alco/Alpha[137]	13–15 May 2024	1,000	32.5	16.0	13.0	9.0	—	10.0	2.2	3.3	—	—	—	3.5	2.4	2.9	2.5	—	—	3.0	16.5
Pulse RC/Skai[138]	13–15 May 2024	1,104	33.0	16.0	12.5	8.0	—	9.0	3.0	3.5	—	—	—	3.5	2.4	3.0	2.1	—	1.2	2.8	17.0
MARC/ANT1[139]	10–15 May 2024	1,209	33.8	15.2	12.2	8.0	—	8.3	3.0	4.5	—	—	—	3.2	2.8	3.0	2.5	—	—	3.3	18.6
MRB/Open[140]	10–14 May 2024	1,100	32.3	16.0	14.0	8.0	—	9.9	2.2	3.4	—	—	—	2.9	2.8	3.8	2.4	—	—	2.2	16.3
Interview/Politic[141]	8–13 May 2024	2,405	33.3	17.2	12.2	6.7	—	7.8	—	2.7	—	—	—	3.4	—	5.0	—	—	—	11.8	16.1
Good Affairs/To Vima[142]	—	—	31.8	16.1	11.8	8.3	—	10.3	2.3	3.1	—	—	—	4.2	2.1	2.8	2.6	1.1	—		15.7
Marc/Proto Thema[143]	18–25 Apr 2024	1,049	33.4	14.7	11.4	8.5	—	9.8	2.4	5.4	—	—	2.4	3.4	2.2	2.5	1.7	—	—	2.2	18.7
GPO/Parapolitika[144]	17–22 Apr 2024	1,400	33.6	16.3	13.5	8.8	—	9.1	2.1	3.1	—	—	2.4	3.4	—	2.7	2.2	—	—	2.8	17.3
Metron Analysis/Mega[145]	10–16 Apr 2024	1,304	32.3	15.4	12.0	9.8	—	8.3	1.6	4.2	—	—	2.5	3.6	1.4	3.1	2.0	1.0	—	2.8	16.9
Prorata/Attica[146]	5–10 Apr 2024	1,000	29.5	15.0	12.7	9.2	—	9.8	2.3	4.6	—	—	1.7	3.5	1.7	4.0	1.7	1.2	—	3.0	14.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24[147]	8–10 Apr 2024	1,006	32.1	15.0	12.4	8.5	—	10.7	1.3	3.7	—	—	2.6	3.7	1.4	3.2	3.0	—	—	2.3	17.1
Interview/Politic[148][149]	4–8 Apr 2024	2,355	27.7	16.1	12.7	6.9	—	11.8	2.4	2.8	1.7	—	1.2	4.3	2.3	4.7	2.2	—	—	3.2	11.6
Alco/Alpha[150]	2–5 Apr 2024	1,000	29.9	14.3	13.3	9.4	—	9.6	2.3	4.1	—	—	2.7	4.2	1.4	3.0	2.2	—	—	3.5	15.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[151]	1–4 Apr 2024	1,008	31.8	14.1	13.0	9.4	—	10.3	—	4.2	—	—	3.3	3.5	—	4.0	—	—	—	6.6	17.7
GPO/Parapolitika[152]	1–3 Apr 2024	1,000	33.4	15.9	14.2	9.0	—	9.5	1.8	3.0	—	—	2.2	3.3	—	2.2	2.2	—	—	3.3	17.5
MRB/Open[153]	1–3 Apr 2024	1,000	31.5	15.9	13.4	8.1	—	9.9	1.9	4.3	—	—	2.1	3.6	1.8	3.8	1.6	—	—	2.3	15.6
Pulse RC/Skai[154]	1–3 Apr 2024	1,105	33.0	15.0	12.5	8.5	—	9.0	2.5	3.5	—	—	3.0	3.5	1.8	3.0	1.8	—	—	2.9	18.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[155]	15–20 Mar 2024	1,010	34.4	13.4	12.5	9.4	—	10.1	1.9	2.9	—	—	2.5	4.3	—	2.9	2.8	—	—	2.8	21.0
Metron Analysis/Mega[156]	12–19 Mar 2024	1,317	31.4	15.1	13.0	10.1	—	9.7	1.9	4.3	—	0.6	2.0	3.2	2.4	3.0	1.0	0.6	—	1.7	16.3
Good Affairs/To Vima[157]	12–14 Mar 2024	3,229	30.8	13.1	12.9	8.2	—	9.8	2.2	2.1	—	—	2.2	3.6	—	2.5	2.9	—	—	1.5	17.7
Marc/Proto Thema[158]	11–14 Mar 2024	1,086	36.2	13.4	12.6	9.4	—	9.2	2.4	3.1	—	—	2.6	2.8	—	2.6	2.1	—	—	3.7	22.8
GPO/Star[159]	11–13 Mar 2024	1,200	34.8	14.3	13.9	9.5	—	8.0	2.3	2.9	—	—	1.8	3.4	—	3.0	2.6	—	—	3.5	20.5
Interview/Politic[160]	7–11 Mar 2024	2,250	29.1	14.4	12.4	7.1	—	12.0	—	2.5	—	—	1.8	4.6	—	4.9	—	—	—	11.3	14.7
Alco/Alpha[161]	1–6 Mar 2024	1,000	32.8	12.7	14.1	10.8	—	7.9	2.8	3.6	—	—	2.9	4.5	—	3.4	—	—	—	4.0	18.7
Ipsos/Euronews[162]	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	35.0	13.6	13.4	9.0	—	8.7	<3.0	3.2	—	—	2.9	4.0	—	3.3	—	—	—	3.9	21.4
Pulse RC/Skai[163]	27 Feb–1 Mar 2024	1,106	35.5	14.0	14.0	9.0	—	8.5	2.5	3.0	—	—	3.0	4.0	—	3.0	—	—	—	3.5	21.5
GPO/Parapolitika[164]	26–29 Feb 2024	1,000	36.4	13.5	14.4	10.7	—	8.2	2.4	2.7	—	—	2.2	3.4	—	2.9	—	—	—	3.2	22.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[165]	21–27 Feb 2024	1,504	33.9	11.9	13.9	10.1	—	10.2	2.6	3.5	—	—	2.7	4.2	—	3.3	—	—	—	3.7	20.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[166]	13–16 Feb 2024	1,004	34.3	12.5	14.6	9.4	—	9.5	2.4	3.7	—	—	2.7	3.8	—	3.3	—	—	—	3.8	19.7
Interview/Politic[167]	6–12 Feb 2024	2,155	33.3	14.2	12.8	8.3	—	9.1	—	2.6	—	—	2.1	5.1	—	5.1	—	—	—	9.7	19.1
Alco/Alpha[168]	1–7 Feb 2024	1,201	34.5	12.6	15.0	11.2	—	7.5	2.2	3.1	—	—	2.8	3.9	—	2.6	—	—	—	4.3	19.5
GPO/Star[169]	20–25 Jan 2024	1,100	38.8	14.0	14.2	9.6	—	7.2	2.7	2.6	—	—	2.2	3.3	—	3.0	—	—	—	2.4	24.6
MRB/Open[170]	22–24 Jan 2024	1,000	36.1	12.1	12.1	9.3	—	9.5	2.8	4.0	—	—	2.8	3.7	—	2.7	—	—	—	4.8	24.0
Marc/Ant1[171]	17–23 Jan 2024	1,092	37.1	12.6	16.8	9.4	—	7.0	2.9	3.0	—	—	3.1	3.1	—	2.4