Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
2015
Opinion polls • By constituency
2019
Opinion polls • By constituency
2021
Opinion polls • By constituency
2025
Opinion polls • By constituency
46th
Opinion polls

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2025 Canadian federal election.

National polls

[edit]

Campaign period

[edit]

The campaign period for the April 28, 2025 election started after the election was called on March 23, 2025.

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign period, graphed from the data in the tables below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ PPC GPC Others[b] Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
2025 election April 28, 2025 [1] 41.3 43.8 6.3 6.3 0.7 1.3 0.4 — 19,597,674 — 2.5
Liaison Strategies April 27, 2025 [1] 41 43 7 6 1 1 1 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 2
Forum Research April 27, 2025 [2] 39 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±4.0 pp 1,153 IVR 4
Nanos Research April 27, 2025 [3] 39.9 42.6 7.8 6.4 1.1 1.9 — ±3.4 pp 863 telephone 2.7
Research Co. April 27, 2025 [4] 39 44 7 6 1 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,019 online 5
Mainstreet Research April 27, 2025 [5] 41 44 6 6 1 1 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Abacus Data April 27, 2025 [6] 39 41 10 6 3 1 0 ±2.0 pp 2,500 online 2
Pallas Data April 26, 2025 [7] 38.8 43.2 7.3 6.4 0.9 2.3 1.0 ±2.7 pp 1,294 IVR 4.4
Ekos April 26, 2025 [8] 34.8 45.3 10.6 4.4 2 2 1 ±2.3 pp 1,805 (0.01/1) telephone/online 10.5
Liaison Strategies April 26, 2025 [9] 41 44 6 6 1 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Nanos Research April 26, 2025 [10] 38.9 43.0 8.0 6.1 1.1 2.8 0.1 ±2.4 pp 1,698 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 4.1
Mainstreet Research April 26, 2025 [11] 43 44 5 5 1 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,669 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1
Innovative Research April 26, 2025 [12] 37 41 11 6 2 3 0 — 1,587 online 4
MQO Research April 26, 2025 [13] 38 43 10 5 1 3 0 ±2.1 pp 2,236 online 5
Angus Reid April 26, 2025 [14] 40 44 6 7 — 1 1 ±2 pp 2,820 online 4
Ekos April 26, 2025 [8] 38.1 43.5 8.5 4.6 1.8 2.1 1.4 ±2.2 pp 1,918 IVR 5.4
Ipsos April 26, 2025 [15] 38 42 9 6 1 2 1 ±2.4 pp 2,500 telephone/online 4
Liaison Strategies April 25, 2025 [16] 40 44 7 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research April 25, 2025 [17] 40 45 7 6 1 1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,405 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 25, 2025 [18] 38.6 41.9 9.4 6.0 1.3 2.9 0.0 ±2.7 pp 1,291 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Leger April 25, 2025 [19] 39 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,502 (4/5) online 4
YouGov (MRP) April 25, 2025 [20] 39 42 10 5 2 2 1 — 5,964 (3/20) — 3
Pollara April 24, 2025 [21] 38 41 10 6 2 2 1 ±2.0 pp 2,382 telephone/online 3
Liaison Strategies April 24, 2025 [22] 39 44 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 24, 2025 [23] 38.4 42.7 8.3 5.9 1.4 3.2 0.0 ±2.7 pp 1,302 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.3
Mainstreet Research April 24, 2025 [24] 41 43 7 6 1 1 1 ±2.7 pp 1,365 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
Liaison Strategies April 23, 2025 [25] 38 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 23, 2025 [26] 39.3 42.9 7.2 6.0 1.4 3.0 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,307 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.6
Mainstreet Research April 23, 2025 [27] 40 43 9 5 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Innovative Research April 23, 2025 [28] 38 38 12 7 — 3 2 — 1,584 online 0
Focaldata April 23, 2025 [29] 37.5 40.5 10.7 6.5 2.4 2.1 0.2 — 2,826 online 3.0
Cardinal Research April 23, 2025 [30] 39 44 7 7 — 2 1 ±2 pp 4,057 IVR 5
Liaison Strategies April 22, 2025 [31] 39 42 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Nanos Research April 22, 2025 [32] 38.5 44.1 7.7 5.4 0.9 3.4 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,313 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.6
Mainstreet Research April 22, 2025 [33] 41 42 6 6 2 2 2 ±2.6 pp 1,410 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1
YouGov (MRP) April 22, 2025 [34] 38 42 10 6 2 2 1 — 6,077 — 4
Pallas Data April 21, 2025 [35] 37.9 42.5 8.5 5.5 2.1 2.5 1.0 ±2.7 pp 1,306 IVR 4.6
Liaison Strategies April 21, 2025 [36] 37 43 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6
Nanos Research April 21, 2025 [37] 37.1 42.6 10.4 5.9 0.8 3.1 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,308 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.5
Mainstreet Research April 21, 2025 [38] 40 40 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,485 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0
Abacus Data April 21, 2025 [39] 37 40 11 7 2 2 0 ±2.3 pp 2,000 online 3
Leger April 21, 2025 [40] 39 43 8 6 2 2 1 ±2.45 pp 1,603 online 4
Innovative Research April 21, 2025 [28] 41 36 11 7 — 3 3 — 1,305 (0.3/1) online 5
Angus Reid April 21, 2025 [41] 39 44 7 7 — 2 1 ±1.5 pp 2,459 online 5
Research Co. April 20, 2025 [42] 38 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,006 online 5
Liaison Strategies April 20, 2025 [43] 37 43 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6
Mainstreet Research April 20, 2025 [44] 41 41 6 6 2 2 2 ±2.7 pp 1,295 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0
Nanos Research April 20, 2025 [45] 36.3 43.7 10.7 5.6 0.8 2.9 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,289 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.4
Ekos April 20, 2025 [46] 40.7 43.4 6.8 4.2 1.3 2.2 1.3 ±2.5 pp 1,672 (4/5) IVR (rolling) 2.7
Innovative Research April 20, 2025 [28] 38 39 11 7 — 3 3 — 2,311 online 1
Kolosowski Strategies April 19, 2025 [47] 42 42 6 6 1 2 1 ±3 pp 1,237 Online 0
Ipsos April 19, 2025 [48] 38 41 12 5 2 2 0 ±3.8 pp 1,001 online 3
MQO Research April 19, 2025 [49] 36 44 10 5 3 3 0 ±2 pp 2,383 online 8
Liaison Strategies April 19, 2025 [50] 38 43 8 6 2 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Mainstreet Research April 19, 2025 [51] 43 39 6 6 3 2 1 ±2.7 pp 1,307 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Nanos Research April 19, 2025 [52] 37.0 43.2 10.5 5.8 0.8 2.7 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,293 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 6.2
Pollara April 19, 2025 [53] 36 44 8 7 2 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,195 telephone/online 8
Liaison Strategies April 18, 2025 [54] 39 44 7 6 1 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2025 [55] 43 41 5 5 3 2 1 ±2.9 pp 1,124 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
April 17, 2025 Leaders' Debates Commission English debate
Liaison Strategies April 17, 2025 [56] 39 44 7 6 2 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 17, 2025 [57] 37.1 45.4 8.3 5.6 0.7 2.9 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,316 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 8.3
Mainstreet Research April 17, 2025 [58] 41 42 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.7 pp 1,332 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1
April 16, 2025 Leaders' Debates Commission French debate
Ekos April 16, 2025 [59] 34.8 44.5 10.1 4.5 2.4 3.4 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,210 (0.01/1) telephone/online 9.7
JL Partners April 16, 2025 [60] 37 39 10 7 3 2 0 ±3.4 pp 1,000 Online 2
Liaison Strategies April 16, 2025 [61] 41 44 6 6 2 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Nanos Research April 16, 2025 [62] 38.8 43.5 8.7 5.6 0.9 2.3 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,351 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.7
Mainstreet Research April 16, 2025 [63] 40 44 7 5 2 2 1 ±2.7 pp 1,326 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Ekos April 16, 2025 [64] 36.3 45.7 8.8 4.3 1.3 2.8 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,782 IVR 9.4
Abacus Data April 15, 2025 [65] 38 40 11 7 2 2 0 ±2.9 pp 1,200 online 2
Liaison Strategies April 15, 2025 [66] 39 46 5 5 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Nanos Research April 15, 2025 [67] 37.3 44.7 8.3 6.2 1.1 2.2 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,359 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.4
Mainstreet Research April 15, 2025 [68] 42 44 6 4 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,376 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
Liaison Strategies April 14, 2025 [69] 39 44 6 5 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 14, 2025 [70] 38.8 44.1 8.8 5.5 1.5 1.3 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,367 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.3
Mainstreet Research April 14, 2025 [71] 43 44 5 4 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,378 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1
Leger April 14, 2025 [72] 38 43 8 6 2 3 1 ±1.79 pp 3,005 online 5
Innovative Research April 14, 2025 [73] 35 40 12 6 — 4 3 — 1,455 online 5
Liaison Strategies April 13, 2025 [74] 38 44 7 6 2 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6
Nanos Research April 13, 2025 [75] 37.8 44.8 8.8 5.5 1.1 1.9 0.2 ±2.7 pp 1,345 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.0
Mainstreet Research April 13, 2025 [76] 44 42 6 4 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,388 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 2
Angus Reid April 13, 2025 [77] 39 45 7 7 1 1 1 ±2 pp 2,216 online 6
Pollara April 13, 2025 [78] 36 44 9 5 3 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,166 telephone/online 8
Pallas Data April 12, 2025 [79] 36.8 45.1 8.8 5.7 1.7 1.1 0.8 ±2.7 pp 1,282 IVR 8.3
MQO Research April 12, 2025 [80] 35 44 12 4 1 4 0 ±2.3 pp 2,445 online 9
Liaison Strategies April 12, 2025 [81] 37 45 7 6 2 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Nanos Research April 12, 2025 [82] 38.6 44.3 8.5 5.2 1.1 2.0 0.3 ±2.7 pp 1,300 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.7
Mainstreet Research April 12, 2025 [83] 43 44 6 4 2 1 0 ±2.6 pp 1,370 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 1
Liaison Strategies April 11, 2025 [84] 39 46 6 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Nanos Research April 11, 2025 [85] 37.1 43.3 9.5 5.8 1.1 2.8 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,250 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 6.2
Mainstreet Research April 11, 2025 [86] 40 45 7 4 2 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,445 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5
Ipsos April 10, 2025 [87] 36 42 11 6 1 2 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 6
Liaison Strategies April 10, 2025 [88] 39 44 8 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 10, 2025 [89] 37.8 43.6 8.7 5.6 1.7 2.4 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.8
Mainstreet Research April 10, 2025 [90] 40 45 6 5 2 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,548 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5
Abacus Data April 10, 2025 [91] 38 42 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.31 pp 1,800 (1/2) online 4
Ekos April 10, 2025 [92] 36.3 49.3 6.7 3.8 0.9 2.0 1.1 ±2.2 pp 1,995 IVR 13.0
Deltapoll April 9, 2025 [93] 37 41 9 7 2 3 0 — 1,005 online 4
Liaison Strategies April 9, 2025 [94] 40 43 8 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Nanos Research April 9, 2025 [95] 38.1 43.0 8.9 5.7 1.5 2.6 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,238 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.9
Mainstreet Research April 9, 2025 [96] 39 46 6 4 2 1 2 ±2.5 pp 1,500 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 7
Liaison Strategies April 8, 2025 [97] 38 45 8 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Nanos Research April 8, 2025 [98] 38.6 42.8 8.5 6.2 1.3 2.3 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,239 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.2
Mainstreet Research April 8, 2025 [99] 41 44 6 4 2 1 2 ±2.7 pp 1,289 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Abacus Data April 8, 2025 [100] 36 42 11 5 3 2 0 ±2.1 pp 1,900 online 6
Liaison Strategies April 7, 2025 [101] 39 45 7 4 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6
Nanos Research April 7, 2025 [102] 38.1 42.7 8.1 6.6 1.4 2.8 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,256 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.6
Mainstreet Research April 7, 2025 [103] 40 45 8 2 1 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,148 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5
Angus Reid April 7, 2025 [104] 36 46 7 7 1 2 1 ±2 pp 2,184 online 10
Innovative Research April 7, 2025 [105] 35 41 12 6 — 3 3 — 1,341 online 6
Research Co. April 6, 2025 [106] 36 44 8 5 2 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,007 online 8
Leger April 6, 2025 [107] 37 44 8 5 1 3 1 ±2.43 pp 1,631 online 7
Liaison Strategies April 6, 2025 [108] 39 45 7 4 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6
Nanos Research April 6, 2025 [109] 37.7 42.8 7.9 6.7 1.6 2.8 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.1
Mainstreet Research April 6, 2025 [110] 40 44 8 3 3 2 1 ±2.8 pp 1,240 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4
MQO Research April 6, 2025 [111] 34 44 11 5 2 4 0 ±2.5 pp 1,859 online 10
Pollara April 6, 2025 [112] 36 44 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,132 telephone/online 8
Pallas Data April 5, 2025 [113] 37.8 44.4 8.0 5.9 1.1 1.7 1.0 ±2.7 pp 1,320 IVR 6.6
Liaison Strategies April 5, 2025 [114] 39 44 7 4 2 2 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 5, 2025 [115] 37.0 43.4 8.2 6.0 1.9 3.3 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,270 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 6.4
Mainstreet Research April 5, 2025 [116] 40 42 8 4 2 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,388 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 2
Kolosowski Strategies April 4, 2025 [117] 41 39 11 6 1 2 0 ±3 pp 1,448 Online 2
Liaison Strategies April 4, 2025 [118] 38 46 6 4 2 2 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Nanos Research April 4, 2025 [119] 34.9 45.9 9.2 5.2 1.4 2.9 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 11.0
Mainstreet Research April 4, 2025 [120] 40 43 6 6 2 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,625 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Ipsos April 3, 2025 [121] 34 46 10 6 1 3 0 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 12
Liaison Strategies April 3, 2025 [122] 38 46 6 4 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Nanos Research April 3, 2025 [123] 35.9 45.5 9.4 5.2 1.4 2.2 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 9.6
Mainstreet Research April 3, 2025 [124] 40 43 7 6 2 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,665 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Abacus Data April 3, 2025 [125] 39 39 11 6 2 3 0 ±2.3 pp 1,800 online 0
Ekos April 3, 2025 [126] 34.4 49.0 7.0 4.5 1.2 2.8 1.2 ±2.45 pp 1,685 (4/5) IVR (rolling) 14.6
Liaison Strategies April 2, 2025 [127] 37 45 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Nanos Research April 2, 2025 [128] 36.7 45.8 8.8 5.5 1.1 1.7 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 9.1
Mainstreet Research April 2, 2025 [129] 40 44 7 6 2 1 0 ±2.3 pp 1,756 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4
Ekos April 2, 2025 [130] 32.7 47.1 10.2 4.4 2.8 2.1 0.7 ±2.59 pp 1,513 (0.01/1) telephone/online 14.4
Liaison Strategies April 1, 2025 [131] 39 44 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research April 1, 2025 [132] 37.2 45.1 9.2 5.3 1.1 1.6 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,256 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.9
Mainstreet Research April 1, 2025 [133] 40 43 9 5 2 1 0 ±2.4 pp 1,651 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Pallas Data March 31, 2025 [134] 35.7 44.6 8.5 5.6 2.2 2.8 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,267 IVR 8.9
Liaison Strategies March 31, 2025 [135] 38 44 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6
Nanos Research March 31, 2025 [136] 36.6 44.7 10.1 5.6 1.3 1.6 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,262 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 8.1
Mainstreet Research March 31, 2025 [137] 41 44 7 5 2 1 0 ±2.4 pp 1,628 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Angus Reid March 31, 2025 [138] 38 46 7 7 1 1 1 ±2 pp 2,131 online 8
Innovative Research March 31, 2025 [139] 38 37 12 6 2 3 1 — 1,742 online 1
Leger March 31, 2025 [140] 38 44 7 5 2 3 1 ±1.79 pp 3,002 online 6
Liaison Strategies March 30, 2025 [141] 38 43 7 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Nanos Research March 30, 2025 [142] 36.1 43.6 10.5 5.3 1.9 2.4 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Mainstreet Research March 30, 2025 [143] 40 43 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,589 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Ekos March 30, 2025 [144] 35.6 47.5 6.3 4.8 2.1 2.4 1.3 ±2.5 pp 1,517 IVR 11.9
Pollara March 30, 2025 [145] 35 44 10 5 2 3 1 — 1,734 telephone/online 9
Liaison Strategies March 29, 2025 [146] 38 42 7 6 3 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Nanos Research March 29, 2025 [147] 37.0 41.9 10.6 5.3 1.9 2.6 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,285 telephone 4.9
Mainstreet Research March 29, 2025 [148] 40 42 7 5 3 2 1 ±2.4 pp 1,704 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 2
MQO Research March 29, 2025 [149] 34 45 11 4 2 4 1 ±2.4 pp 1,938 online 11
Liaison Strategies March 28, 2025 [150] 36 44 8 6 2 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research March 28, 2025 [151] 40 43 6 5 2 2 1 ±2.4 pp 1,621 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Liaison Strategies March 27, 2025 [152] 38 43 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Mainstreet Research March 27, 2025 [153] 41 44 7 5 1 2 1 ±2.4 pp 1,657 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3
Abacus Data March 27, 2025 [154] 39 39 11 5 3 3 0 ±2.3 pp 1,800 (1/2) online 0
Ipsos March 26, 2025 [155] 38 44 9 5 1 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,500 telephone/online 6
Liaison Strategies March 26, 2025 [156] 37 44 6 6 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Mainstreet Research March 26, 2025 [157] 41 45 6 5 1 1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,380 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4
Liaison Strategies March 25, 2025 [158] 38 42 7 6 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research March 25, 2025 [159] 40 44 7 5 1 2 1 ±2.8 pp 1,230 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4
Ekos March 25, 2025 [160] 34.6 49.6 7.2 3.9 1.5 1.6 1.6 ±2.4 pp 1,621 IVR 15.0
Abacus Data March 25, 2025 [161] 37 38 11 6 3 4 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 1
Research Co. March 24, 2025 [162] 37 41 9 7 2 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,003 online 4
Liaison Strategies March 24, 2025 [163] 37 42 7 6 4 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5
Mainstreet Research March 24, 2025 [164] 39 44 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.3 pp 1,745 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5
Angus Reid March 24, 2025 [165] 38 46 7 6 1 1 0 ±2 pp 2,400 online 8

Pre-campaign period

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ PPC GPC Others[b] Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
March 23, 2025 A snap federal election was called for April 28, 2025.
Leger March 23, 2025 [166] 38 44 6 5 3 3 1 ±2.45 pp 1,599 online 6
Liaison Strategies March 23, 2025 [167] 36 40 9 6 3 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research March 23, 2025 [168] 38 44 7 6 3 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,661 text/online 6
Pallas Data March 22, 2025 [169] 37.8 42.3 8.4 7.0 2.1 2.2 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,225 IVR 4.5
Liaison Strategies March 22, 2025 [170] 37 39 9 6 3 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
Liaison Strategies March 21, 2025 [171] 36 38 10 6 3 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
Innovative Research March 21, 2025 [172] 34 36 13 7 — 5 4 — 1,548 online 2
Nanos Research March 21, 2025 [173] 36.5 34.1 14.0 7.6 2.1 4.3 — ±3.0 pp 1,100 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.4
Liaison Strategies March 20, 2025 [174] 36 38 11 7 3 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
Abacus Data March 20, 2025 [175] 39 36 12 6 2 4 0 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 3
Liaison Strategies March 19, 2025 [176] 36 40 9 6 3 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Liaison Strategies March 18, 2025 [177] 36 40 10 6 2 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Liaison Strategies March 17, 2025 [178] 36 39 10 6 2 4 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Ipsos March 17, 2025 [179] 36 42 10 6 3 2 2 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger March 16, 2025 [180] 39 42 9 5 2 3 0 ±2.47 pp 1,568 online 3
Liaison Strategies March 16, 2025 [181] 35 37 12 7 2 5 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2
Angus Reid March 16, 2025 [182] 37 42 9 8 1 2 1 ±1.5 pp 4,009 online 5
Liaison Strategies March 15, 2025 [183] 35 38 12 6 2 5 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
March 14, 2025 Mark Carney is sworn in as the prime minister of Canada.
Liaison Strategies March 14, 2025 [184] 35 39 12 5 2 5 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4
Nanos Research March 14, 2025 [185] 35.3 34.1 16.0 7.9 1.9 3.8 — ±3.0 pp 1,074 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.2
Innovative Research March 13, 2025 [186] 39 33 13 7 3 4 0 — 1,558 online 6
Liaison Strategies March 13, 2025 [187] 34 38 13 6 2 6 2 ±2.53 pp 1,501 IVR 4
Leger March 13, 2025 [188] 37 40 12 6 2 2 1 ±2.49 pp 1,504 online 3
Ekos March 13, 2025 [189] 31.8 49.5 8.0 5.0 2.5 2.0 1.1 ±3.1 pp 1,025 IVR 17.7
Mainstreet Research March 13, 2025 [190] 39 41 8 6 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp 1,016 text/online 2
Abacus Data March 12, 2025 [191] 38 34 15 7 2 4 1 ±2.4 pp 1,700 online 4
Ekos March 11, 2025 [189] 33.3 42.3 12.8 4.2 4.0 2.9 0.5 ±2.5 pp 1,524 telephone/online 9.0
Leger March 10, 2025 [192] 37 37 11 6 2 5 2 ±2.49 pp 1,548 online 0
March 9, 2025 Mark Carney is elected leader of the Liberal Party.
Innovative Research March 9, 2025 [193] 41 31 14 6 3 4 1 — 1,695 online 10
Nanos Research March 7, 2025 [194] 35.7 34.7 14.9 7.9 2.1 3.8 — ±3.0 pp 1,052 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.0
Ekos March 5, 2025 [195] 35.5 40.7 12.8 5.3 1.3 3.2 1.3 ±2.29 pp 1,980 IVR 5.2
Leger March 2, 2025 [196] 43 30 13 6 2 4 2 ±2.49 pp 1,548 online 13
Innovative Research February 28, 2025 [197] 38 31 16 6 3 5 1 — 1,488 online 7
Nanos Research February 28, 2025 [198] 36.5 34.3 15.3 7.7 2.1 3.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,024 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.2
Abacus Data February 25, 2025 [199] 41 29 14 6 3 4 1 ±1.8 pp 1,500 online 12
Ipsos February 24, 2025 [200] 36 38 12 6 3 4 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 2
Innovative Research February 24, 2025 [201] 39 30 16 6 2 6 0 — 1,789 online 9
Ekos February 24, 2025 [202] 37.0 38.4 11.8 4.2 3.1 4.2 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,239 IVR 1.4
Pollara February 24, 2025 [203] 42 32 11 8 2 4 0 ±2.5 pp 1,506 online 10
Leger February 23, 2025 [204] 38 35 14 7 2 4 1 ±2.50 pp 1,534 online 3
Nanos Research February 21, 2025 [205] 36.9 33.3 16.0 7.9 1.9 3.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,026 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.6
Leger February 17, 2025 [206] 41 33 11 6 3 3 1 ±2.49 pp 1,550 online 8
Innovative Research February 17, 2025 [207] 40 27 16 9 3 4 0 — 2,015 online 13
Nanos Research February 14, 2025 [208] 38.6 31.5 14.9 8.0 2.1 4.4 — ±3.1 pp 1,018 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.1
Mainstreet Research February 13, 2025 [209] 39 36 11 10 2 2 1 ±2.9 pp 1,128 text/online 3
Ekos February 13, 2025 [210] 38.8 33.8 15.0 5.0 2.8 3.5 1.1 ±2.6 pp 1,468 IVR 5.0
Abacus Data February 12, 2025 [211] 45 25 17 8 3 4 0 — 1,000 online 20
Abacus Data February 11, 2025 [211] 46 27 15 7 3 3 1 — 1,000 online 19
Leger February 10, 2025 [212] 40 31 14 7 2 6 2 ±2.46 pp 1,590 online 9
February 9, 2025 Donald Trump says "Canada would be much better off being the 51st state".
Innovative Research February 7, 2025 [213] 40 27 16 7 3 6 0 — 1,795 online 13
Nanos Research February 7, 2025 [214] 38.3 30.1 16.4 7.8 2.0 4.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,005 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.2
Pallas Data February 6, 2025 [215] 39.6 33.7 11.9 7.2 3.3 2.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,241 IVR 5.9
February 4, 2025 The Green Party concludes its co-leadership vote, with Elizabeth May and Jonathan Pedneault re-elected as co-leaders.
Ipsos February 3, 2025 [216] 41 28 16 9 3 3 0 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 13
Nanos Research January 31, 2025 [217] 41.6 26.2 17.3 7.3 1.9 5.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,025 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.4
Ekos January 29, 2025 [218] 33.9 32.0 18.0 7.6 3.4 4.9 0.2 ±3.1 pp 1,025 telephone/online 1.9
Ekos January 27, 2025 [218] 35.7 32.7 13.1 7.1 4.7 4.9 1.9 ±2.6 pp 1,448 IVR 3.0
Leger January 26, 2025 [219] 43 25 16 9 2 4 1 ±2.51 pp 1,527 online 18
Abacus Data January 26, 2025 [220] 43 22 18 9 3 5 0 ±2.2 pp 2,205 online 21
Nanos Research January 24, 2025 [221] 42.0 24.9 18.0 7.4 1.8 5.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,023 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.1
Ekos January 21, 2025 [222] 38.5 31.7 14.2 7.1 3.1 3.2 2.1 ±3.1 pp 1,018 IVR 6.8
Nanos Research January 17, 2025 [223] 45.2 20.8 18.7 7.7 1.9 5.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,040 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 24.4
Ekos January 16, 2025 [224] 39.0 28.0 17.4 7.4 2.5 4.5 1.2 ±3.0 pp 1,036 IVR 11.0
Mainstreet Research January 15, 2025 [225] 45 26 13 8 3 4 2 ±2.1 pp 2,205 text/online 19
Abacus Data January 14, 2025 [226] 46 20 19 8 3 4 0 ±2.3 pp 1,500 online 26
Leger January 13, 2025 [227] 47 21 17 8 2 4 1 ±2.49 pp 1,545 online 26
Nanos Research January 10, 2025 [228] 47.0 19.6 17.9 7.7 2.0 5.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,001 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 27.4
Relay Strategies January 8, 2025 [229] 45 21 16 9 4 4 — ±3 pp 1,270 online 24
Ekos January 8, 2025 [230] 41.6 25.8 16.7 6.8 2.5 4.8 1.9 ±3.2 pp 953 IVR 15.8
Abacus Data January 7, 2025 [231] 47 20 18 8 3 3 0 ±2.0 pp 2,500 online 27
Ipsos January 7, 2025 [232] 46 20 17 9 4 2 2 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 26
Pallas Data January 6, 2025 [233] 42.0 25.3 17.6 8.6 1.3 3.5 1.7 ±2.7 pp 1,328 IVR 16.7
January 6, 2025 Justin Trudeau announces his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and Prime Minister, triggering a leadership election.
Research Co. January 5, 2025 [234] 47 21 15 10 2 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,002 online 26
Nanos Research January 3, 2025 [235] 45.2 22.5 16.4 7.7 2.8 5.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,021 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 22.7
Angus Reid December 30, 2024 [236] 45 16 21 11 1 3 2 ±2 pp 2,261 online 24
Innovative Research December 30, 2024 [237] 43 22 19 8 3 4 — — 1,016 online 21
Nanos Research December 27, 2024 [238] 46.6 21.3 16.6 7.6 2.7 5.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,014 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 25.3
Leger December 22, 2024 [239] 43 20 19 9 3 5 1 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 23
Ipsos December 20, 2024 [240] 45 20 20 7 3 3 2 ±3.8 pp 1,001 online 25
Nanos Research December 20, 2024 [241] 43.7 23.8 18.2 6.8 2.6 4.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,032 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.9
Ekos December 19, 2024 [242] 44.4 19.4 18.2 8.5 2.0 4.5 2.9 ±3.0 pp 1,061 IVR 25.0
Mainstreet Research December 18, 2024 [243] 48 19 15 8 4 4 2 ±2.8 pp 1,227 text/online 29
Abacus Data December 17, 2024 [244] 45 20 18 8 4 4 1 ±2.9 pp 1,186 online 25
December 16, 2024 A federal by-election was held in Cloverdale—Langley City. Conservative Tamara Jansen flipped the seat from the Liberal Party.
Abacus Data December 16, 2024 [244][245] 44 21 19 7 3 4 1 — 2,595 online 23
Innovative Research December 15, 2024 [237] 42 26 16 8 3 5 — — 984 online 16
Ekos December 15, 2024 [242] 42 24 19 7 2 5 2 ±2.4 pp 1,705 IVR 18
Nanos Research December 13, 2024 [246] 43.3 23.2 20.0 5.9 2.8 4.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,031 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 20.1
Ipsos December 10, 2024 [247] 44 21 21 7 3 2 2 ±3.8 pp 1,001 online 23
Relay Strategies December 7, 2024 [248] 44 21 18 8 4 5 — ±3 pp 1,270 online 23
Nanos Research December 6, 2024 [249] 42.1 23.1 21.2 5.7 2.6 4.8 — ±3.0 pp 1,058 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.0
Angus Reid December 5, 2024 [250] 43 21 20 11 1 4 1 ±1.5 pp 4,004 online 22
Abacus Data December 4, 2024 [251] 44 21 20 7 2 5 0 ±1.9 pp 2,720 online 23
Leger December 1, 2024 [252] 43 21 19 8 2 5 1 ±2.5 pp 1,532 online 22
Nanos Research November 29, 2024 [253] 42.0 23.4 20.6 6.8 2.3 4.4 — ±3.0 pp 1,042 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 18.6
Ekos November 28, 2024 [254] 39.7 25.5 16.8 6.5 3.4 5.8 2.3 ±2.0 pp 2,387 (17/23) IVR (rolling) 14.2
Mainstreet Research November 24, 2024 [255] 47 17 17 7 4 6 2 ±3 pp 1,097 text/online 30
Nanos Research November 22, 2024 [256] 41.4 23.0 20.3 7.3 2.0 5.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,003 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 18.4
Abacus Data November 19, 2024 [257] 43 21 21 8 3 4 1 ±2.3 pp 1,915 online 22
Nanos Research November 15, 2024 [258] 40.3 25.1 19.5 7.8 1.6 5.7 — ±3.0 pp 1,055 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.2
Ekos November 11, 2024 [259] 38.6 28.1 16.5 6.5 3.3 5.3 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,241 IVR (rolling) 10.5
Nanos Research November 8, 2024 [260] 40.9 24.8 19.4 8.9 1.3 4.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,023 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.1
Abacus Data November 5, 2024 [261] 41 22 20 8 4 5 1 ±2.3 pp 1,915 online 19
Leger November 3, 2024 [262] 42 26 15 9 2 5 1 ±2.49 pp 1,549 online 16
Nanos Research November 1, 2024 [263] 40.3 24.2 20.5 7.6 2.1 5.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,039 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.1
Ekos October 30, 2024 [264] 37.2 24.6 18.4 8.9 3.1 5.7 2.1 ±2.7 pp 1,340 IVR 12.6
Angus Reid October 26, 2024 [265] 43 21 20 10 1 4 1 ±2 pp 1,627 online 22
Nanos Research October 25, 2024 [266] 38.7 25.8 19.8 7.8 2.2 5.4 — ±3.0 pp 1,047 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.9
Abacus Data October 22, 2024 [267] 44 22 18 8 2 5 1 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 22
Nanos Research October 18, 2024 [268] 38.0 24.5 20.4 7.8 2.7 6.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,037 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.5
Nanos Research October 11, 2024 [269] 38.7 23.2 20.6 7.1 2.6 7.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,009 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.5
Campaign Research October 10, 2024 [270] 41 24 18 8 3 5 1 — 5,018 online 17
Abacus Data October 10, 2024 [271] 43 22 19 8 2 4 1 ±2.3 pp 1,900 online 21
Pallas Data October 5, 2024 [272] 43.6 22.4 18.7 8.4 1.7 3.7 1.5 ±2.7 pp 1,304 IVR 21.2
Nanos Research October 4, 2024 [273] 40.3 21.8 21.3 7.6 2.0 6.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,009 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 18.5
Mainstreet Research September 30, 2024 [274] 44 19 20 8 3 3 3 ±3 pp 1,091 IVR 24
Leger September 29, 2024 [275] 42 25 17 7 3 5 1 ±2.43 pp 1,626 online 17
Nanos Research September 27, 2024 [276] 41.6 21.5 21.6 7.1 1.9 5.7 — ±3.0 pp 1,045 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 20.0
Abacus Data September 25, 2024 [277] 43 21 19 8 3 5 1 ±2.4 pp 1,700 online 22
Ekos September 23, 2024 [278] 40.4 24.8 16.9 7.8 3.2 5.1 1.9 ±3.2 pp 967 IVR 15.6
Leger September 22, 2024 [279] 44 24 17 7 2 5 1 ±2.48 pp 1,556 online 20
Nanos Research September 20, 2024 [280] 41.9 25.3 21.1 5.8 1.7 3.9 — ±3.0 pp 1,059 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.6
Angus Reid September 18, 2024 [281] 43 21 20 10 1 4 1 ±2 pp 3,985 online 22
September 16, 2024 A federal by-election was held in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun. Louis-Philippe Sauvé of the Bloc Québécois flipped the seat from the Liberal Party.
September 16, 2024 A federal by-election was held in Elmwood—Transcona. Leila Dance held the seat for the NDP.
Relay Strategies September 16, 2024 [282] 42.5 22.5 17.8 7.8 3.9 5.5 — ±2 pp 1,774 online 20
Nanos Research September 13, 2024 [283] 41.6 24.5 22.4 6.5 1.5 3.2 — ±3.0 pp 1,059 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.1
Abacus Data September 12, 2024 [284] 43 22 18 8 3 5 0 ±1.8 pp 2,964 online 21
Ipsos September 10, 2024 [285] 45 26 16 7 1 4 0 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 19
Leger September 8, 2024 [286] 45 25 15 8 2 4 1 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 20
Nanos Research September 6, 2024 [287] 38.9 26.7 20.7 6.7 1.9 4.2 0.9 ±2.9 pp 1,120 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.2
September 4, 2024 The NDP ends its supply-and-confidence agreement with the Liberal Party.
Angus Reid September 3, 2024 [288] 43 21 19 10 1 5 1 ±2.5 pp 1,420 online 22
Nanos Research August 30, 2024 [289] 38.9 25.8 20.2 6.9 2.4 4.5 1.3 ±2.9 pp 1,117 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.1
Leger August 25, 2024 [290] 43 25 15 6 3 7 1 ±2.45 pp 1,602 online 18
Nanos Research August 23, 2024 [291] 39.8 24.7 18.9 7.6 2.3 5.1 1.5 ±3.0 pp 1,092 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.1
Ekos August 19, 2024 [292] 38.2 23.7 18.2 8.0 3.6 5.7 2.7 ±2.3 pp 1,801 IVR 14.5
Abacus Data August 18, 2024 [293] 42 25 18 7 3 4 0 ±2.1 pp 2,300 online 17
Nanos Research August 16, 2024 [294] 40.5 26.2 16.3 7.7 3.0 4.8 1.5 ±3.0 pp 1,089 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.3
Research Co. August 14, 2024 [295] 40 25 17 9 2 6 1 ±3.1 pp 1,002 online 15
Nanos Research August 9, 2024 [296] 40.7 26.7 16.9 7.3 2.7 4.6 1.1 ±3.1 pp 1,036 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.0
Abacus Data August 7, 2024 [297] 43 23 18 7 4 4 0 ±2.489 pp 1,550 online 20
Nanos Research August 2, 2024 [298] 41.7 25.4 17.4 7.8 2.6 4.4 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,006 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.3
Ekos July 31, 2024 [299] 41.8 23.5 16.1 7.5 3.2 5.0 2.9 ±1.52 pp 4,165 (5/7) IVR (rolling) 18.3
Leger July 28, 2024 [300] 41 23 20 7 2 5 1 ±2.45 pp 1,601 online 18
Nanos Research July 26, 2024 [301] 41.2 25.8 17.4 7.5 3.0 4.5 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,032 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.4
Abacus Data July 22, 2024 [302] 42 23 20 8 3 4 0 ±2.191 pp 2,000 online 19
Nanos Research July 19, 2024 [303] 40.8 25.6 17.6 7.9 2.7 4.6 0.8 ±3.0 pp 1,061 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.2
Nanos Research July 12, 2024 [304] 42.2 24.9 17.1 8.5 2.3 4.4 0.5 ±2.9 pp 1,120 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.3
Mainstreet Research July 9, 2024 [305] 45 23 15 8 2 3 2 ±2.8 pp 1,184 IVR 22
Abacus Data July 9, 2024 [306] 43 23 18 8 3 5 1 ±2.1 pp 1,989 online 20
Nanos Research July 5, 2024 [307] 41.0 25.7 17.3 8.9 2.6 4.2 0.4 ±2.9 pp 1,128 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.3
Nanos Research June 28, 2024 [308] 41.4 26.5 16.5 9.5 1.6 4.2 0.3 ±2.9 pp 1,117 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.9
Ekos June 26, 2024 [309] 41 25 17 7 4 4 3 ±3.4 pp 818 IVR (rolling) 16
Abacus Data June 25, 2024 [310] 42 23 19 8 3 5 — ±2.248 pp 1,900 online 19
June 24, 2024 A federal by-election was held in Toronto—St. Paul's. Conservative Don Stewart flipped the seat from the Liberal Party.
Leger June 23, 2024 [311] 41 27 17 7 3 4 1 ±2.45 pp 1,607 online 14
Spark Advocacy June 21, 2024 [312] 42 23 17 7 3 4 4 — 2,688 online 19
Nanos Research June 21, 2024 [313] 41.3 26.8 16.8 8.4 2.3 4.2 0.3 ±2.9 pp 1,142 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.5
Angus Reid June 17, 2024 [314] 42 21 20 10 2 4 1 ±2 pp 3,080 online 21
Ipsos June 14, 2024 [315] 42 24 18 8 4 3 1 ±3.8 pp 1,001 online 18
Nanos Research June 14, 2024 [316] 41.3 27.1 17.5 7.8 2.2 4.0 0.1 ±3.0 pp 1,103 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.2
Abacus Data June 13, 2024 [317] 42 22 19 8 3 5 1 ±2.53 pp 1,550 online 20
Ekos June 11, 2024 [309] 45 21 16 7 3 5 3 ±1.8 pp 3,006 IVR 24
Nanos Research June 7, 2024 [318] 40.8 28.5 17.9 6.9 1.9 3.9 0.2 ±3.0 pp 1,100 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.3
Nanos Research May 31, 2024 [319] 41.5 26.2 18.2 7.6 2.3 4.0 0.2 ±2.9 pp 1,154 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.3
Leger May 26, 2024 [320] 42 23 18 6 3 5 1 ±2.44 pp 1,620 online 19
Nanos Research May 24, 2024 [321] 41.7 26.3 18.6 7.9 1.3 4.1 0.2 ±3.0 pp 1,105 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.4
Abacus Data May 21, 2024 [322] 41 25 18 8 3 4 1 ±2.0 pp 2,415 online 16
Nanos Research May 17, 2024 [323] 42.8 25.0 17.1 7.7 2.5 4.5 0.5 ±2.9 pp 1,152 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.8
Abacus Data May 15, 2024 [324] 43 24 17 7 3 4 1 ±2.0 pp 2,000 online 19
Ipsos May 13, 2024 [325] 44 25 16 8 3 2 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 19
Nanos Research May 10, 2024 [326] 43.2 22.8 15.9 10.3 2.5 4.3 1.0 ±2.9 pp 1,135 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 20.4
Relay Strategies May 9, 2024 [327] 45 23 16 7 3 4 2 ±3 pp 1,555 online 22
Nanos Research May 3, 2024 [328] 42.4 24.4 16.1 7.4 3.1 5.2 — ±3 pp 1,082 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 18.0
Mainstreet Research April 30, 2024 [329] 43.2 25.4 15.0 7.0 2.6 3.8 2.9 ±2.6 pp 1,392 IVR 17.8
Abacus Data April 29, 2024 [330] 44 23 17 7 4 4 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 21
Leger April 28, 2024 [331] 44 23 17 8 2 5 1 ±2.44 pp 1,610 online 21
Nanos Research April 26, 2024 [332] 43.6 23.7 16.3 8.3 3.0 4.0 1.1 ±3 pp 1,105 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.9
Angus Reid April 23, 2024 [333] 43 23 19 8 1 4 2 ±2 pp 3,015 online 20
Ekos April 22, 2024 [334] 36.9 25.9 22.8 6.4 3.1 4.2 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,033 telephone/online 11.0
Innovative Research April 21, 2024 [335] 41 26 17 8 — 5 3 — 1,408 online 15
Nanos Research April 19, 2024 [336] 41.8 23.3 19.1 9.3 3.0 2.7 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,037 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 18.5
Ipsos April 18, 2024 [337] 43 24 19 8 4 2 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 19
Abacus Data April 16, 2024 [338] 43 23 18 7 3 5 1 ±2 pp 2,300 online 20
Nanos Research April 12, 2024 [339] 40.0 23.7 20.6 9.1 2.2 3.6 0.8 ±3 pp 1,053 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.3
Research Co. April 10, 2024 [340] 38 26 20 10 1 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,001 online 12
Abacus Data April 9, 2024 [341] 44 24 17 6 3 5 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 20
Pallas Data April 8, 2024 [342] 41.3 26.4 17.5 7 2.6 4.1 1.0 ±2 pp 2,375 IVR 14.9
Nanos Research April 5, 2024 [343] 38.4 25.9 18.9 9.7 1.7 3.8 1.6 ±3 pp 1,089 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.5
Nanos Research March 29, 2024 [344] 37.5 25.7 18.7 9.9 2.1 4.7 1.3 ±3 pp 1,075 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.8
Leger March 25, 2024 [345] 42 26 17 7 2 4 1 ±2.45 pp 1,605 online 16
Nanos Research March 22, 2024 [346] 39.3 24.1 19.8 9.2 1.5 5.0 1.0 ±3 pp 1,092 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.2
Abacus Data March 21, 2024 [347] 41 23 19 7 4 4 0 ±1.7 pp 3,550 online 18
Ipsos March 18, 2024 [348] 41 23 20 7 3 4 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 18
Nanos Research March 15, 2024 [349] 39.2 24.7 20.3 8.2 1.5 5.0 1.1 ±3 pp 1,092 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.5
Mainstreet Research March 9, 2024 [350] 45.6 24.9 15.4 6.1 2.1 3.6 2.4 ±2.7 pp 1,274 IVR 20.7
Nanos Research March 8, 2024 [351] 40.6 23.3 21.2 7.2 1.7 4.9 1.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.3
Abacus Data March 6, 2024 [352] 42 24 18 7 3 4 1 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 18
Angus Reid March 4, 2024 [353] 40 23 21 9 2 4 1 ±2 pp 3,908 online 17
March 4, 2024 A federal by-election was held in Durham. Jamil Jivani held the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos Research March 1, 2024 [354] 42.8 23.3 21.4 6.2 1.3 4.2 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.5
Leger February 25, 2024 [355] 41 25 18 7 3 5 1 ±2.49 pp 1,590 online 16
Nanos Research February 23, 2024 [356] 40.8 23.4 22.1 6.6 1.4 4.7 1.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.4
Abacus Data February 21, 2024 [357] 41 24 19 8 3 5 1 ±2.1 pp 2,125 online 17
Nanos Research February 16, 2024 [358] 40.6 23.8 21.9 6.2 1.5 5.1 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.8
Nanos Research February 9, 2024 [359] 40.2 24.0 20.9 6.9 1.4 5.7 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.2
Abacus Data February 7, 2024 [360] 43 24 18 8 3 4 0 ±2.0 pp 2,398 online 19
Nanos Research February 2, 2024 [361] 40.0 24.7 20.6 7.4 1.3 5.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.3
Leger January 28, 2024 [362] 40 25 20 8 2 5 1 ±2.47 pp 1,579 online 15
Mainstreet Research January 26, 2024 [363] 43 26 16 6 3 4 2 ±3.2 pp 947 IVR 17
Nanos Research January 26, 2024 [364] 39.0 27.1 20.4 6.8 1.4 4.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Abacus Data January 23, 2024 [365] 40 25 20 8 3 5 0 ±2.1 pp 2,199 online 15
Ipsos January 22, 2024 [366] 36 27 20 8 3 3 2 ±3.8 pp 1,001 online 9
Nanos Research January 19, 2024 [367] 38.7 26.2 21.1 7.6 2.2 3.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.5
Angus Reid January 17, 2024 [368] 41 24 20 9 1 4 2 ±2 pp 1,620 online 17
Nanos Research January 12, 2024 [369] 39.4 27.6 19.6 7.4 2.0 3.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.8
Abacus Data January 9, 2024 [370] 41 24 18 7 5 4 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 17
Nanos Research January 5, 2024 [371] 38.3 26.4 20.5 7.4 2.1 4.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Nanos Research December 29, 2023 [372] 40.3 26.6 18.1 7.3 1.9 4.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.7
Spark Advocacy December 27, 2023 [373] 40 26 19 8 5 3 — ±2.0 pp 2,175 online 14
Nanos Research December 22, 2023 [374] 40.6 27.0 18.2 6.9 1.4 5.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.6
Leger December 17, 2023 [375] 38 28 18 7 2 5 2 ±2.43 pp 1,622 online 10
Pallas Data December 15, 2023 [376] 40.5 27.2 16.6 7.1 3.4 4.7 0.4 ±2.9 pp 1,177 online 13.3
Nanos Research December 15, 2023 [377] 40.8 24.9 20.4 5.7 1.6 5.6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.9
Abacus Data December 12, 2023 [378] 37 27 19 7 4 5 1 ±2.3 pp 1,919 online 10
Mainstreet Research December 9, 2023 [379] 42 24 17 7 3 5 2 ±3.3 pp 879 IVR 18
Nanos Research December 8, 2023 [380] 39.8 26.1 20.2 5.6 1.8 5.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.7
Innovative Research December 5, 2023 [381] 40 24 19 7 4 5 — — 5,534 online 16
Angus Reid December 1, 2023 [382] 41 24 20 9 1 4 2 ±1.5 pp 3,755 online 17
Nanos Research December 1, 2023 [383] 40.4 23.4 21.2 6.3 1.9 5.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.0
Abacus Data November 28, 2023 [384] 42 23 19 7 3 4 1 ±2.0 pp 2,417 online 19
Research Co. November 27, 2023 [385] 38 24 21 9 2 4 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 14
Pluriel Research November 26, 2023 [386] 39 25 19 7 — 6 4 ±2.6 pp 1,374 online 14
Leger November 26, 2023 [387] 40 26 20 7 2 3 1 ±2.51 pp 1,529 online 14
Nanos Research November 24, 2023 [388] 41.0 22.0 22.0 6.1 2.0 5.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.0
Abacus Data November 22, 2023 [389] 39 24 20 8 4 5 1 ±1.7 pp 3,450 online 15
Ipsos November 17, 2023 [390] 40 24 21 8 2 4 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 16
Nanos Research November 17, 2023 [391] 39 24 22 6 3 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15
Angus Reid November 14, 2023 [392] 41 27 20 7 1 4 1 ±1.5 pp 2,512 online 14
Abacus Data November 12, 2023 [393] 41 25 19 6 4 3 — ±2.3 pp 2,000 online 16
Nanos Research November 10, 2023 [394] 40.3 22.4 20.3 6.7 2.1 7.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 17.9
Mainstreet Research November 6, 2023 [395] 41.0 25.8 18.2 6.2 2.9 4.1 1.8 ±2.3 pp 1,892 IVR 15.2
Nanos Research November 3, 2023 [396] 40 25 20 6 2 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15
Abacus Data November 1, 2023 [397] 39 26 18 7 4 5 1 ±2.1 pp 2,200 online 13
Innovative Research October 31, 2023 [398] 38 24 20 7 4 5 — — 5,974 online 14
Leger October 29, 2023 [399] 40 26 17 7 3 6 1 ±2.4 pp 1,632 online 14
Nanos Research October 27, 2023 [400] 37.7 25.4 19.9 5.5 3.4 7.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.3
Pallas Data October 22, 2023 [401] 42.5 26.5 16.1 6.8 3.4 3.2 1.6 ±2.5 pp 1,484 IVR 16.0
Nanos Research October 20, 2023 [402] 39.5 23.6 19.3 5.0 4.5 7.5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.9
Angus Reid October 13, 2023 [403] 39 28 21 7 1 3 1 ±2 pp 1,878 online 11
Nanos Research October 13, 2023 [404] 40 25 19 5 3 7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15
Mainstreet Research October 12, 2023 [405] 41 27 17 6 3 3 2 ±2.8 pp 1,223 IVR 14
Abacus Data October 10, 2023 [406] 40 26 19 7 — 5 — ±2.2 pp 1,915 online 14
Nanos Research October 6, 2023 [407] 38 26 20 6 3 7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12
Abacus Data October 5, 2023 [408] 39 26 18 7 5 4 — ±2.2 pp 1,985 online 13
Nanos Research September 29, 2023 [409] 37.9 26.5 21.2 6.2 2.0 5.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.4
Leger September 24, 2023 [410] 39 27 18 7 2 4 2 ±2.4 pp 1,652 online 12
Ekos September 24, 2023 [411] 42.1 22.9 17.9 6.4 2.9 6.9 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,025 IVR 19.2
Nanos Research September 22, 2023 [412] 35.6 28.6 21.4 7.3 1.7 5.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
Ipsos September 18, 2023 [413] 39 30 17 8 2 3 2 ±2.9 pp 1,500 online 9
Nanos Research September 15, 2023 [414] 34.9 28.9 22.2 7.1 1.8 4.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
Abacus Data September 13, 2023 [415] 41 26 18 8 3 3 1 ±2.1 pp 2,125 online 15
Pluriel Research September 8, 2023 [416] 37.9 29.1 19.6 6.4 — 4.0 3.0 ±3 pp 1,001 online 8.8
Nanos Research September 8, 2023 [417] 34.0 29.0 21.8 7.1 2.6 5.2 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.0
Angus Reid September 6, 2023 [418] 39 27 19 8 2 4 0 ±1.5 pp 3,400 online 12
Research Co. September 4, 2023 [419] 37 31 17 8 1 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 6
Abacus Data September 4, 2023 [420] 40 26 19 6 3 4 1 ±1.7 pp 3,595 online 14
Nanos Research September 1, 2023 [421] 32 32 21 7 3 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0
Leger August 27, 2023 [422] 38 29 18 8 2 4 1 ±2.5 pp 1,597 online 9
Nanos Research August 25, 2023 [423] 33 30 22 7 2 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3
Mainstreet Research August 23, 2023 [424] 41 28 15 7 3 4 3 ±2.7 pp 1,280 IVR 13
Abacus Data August 23, 2023 [425] 38 26 19 7 4 4 — ±2.0 pp 2,189 online 12
Nanos Research August 18, 2023 [426] 34.1 29.5 19.8 7.2 2.4 6.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.6
Pallas Data August 17, 2023 [427] 39.1 29.6 16.6 6.7 2.0 4.7 1.2 ±3.1 pp 1,021 IVR 9.5
Angus Reid August 11, 2023 [428] 38 31 18 7 1 5 0 ±2 pp 1,606 online 7
Nanos Research August 11, 2023 [429] 35 29 19 7 2 7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6
Abacus Data August 7, 2023 [430] 37 28 19 8 3 4 1 ±2.0 pp 1,650 online 9
Nanos Research August 4, 2023 [431] 37 27 20 7 3 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10
Nanos Research July 28, 2023 [432] 36 29 17 7 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7
Abacus Data July 25, 2023 [433] 38 28 18 7 4 5 1 ±2.0 pp 2,486 online 10
July 24, 2023 A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage. Shuvaloy Majumdar held the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos Research July 21, 2023 [434] 35.4 28.6 19.6 7.1 2.3 5.9 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.8
Nanos Research July 14, 2023 [435] 35 29 19 7 2 7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6
Leger July 10, 2023 [436] 37 28 17 7 3 5 2 ±2.5 pp 1,512 online 9
Mainstreet Research July 8, 2023 [437] 37 30 17 6 3 5 2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 IVR 7
Nanos Research July 7, 2023 [438] 37 30 19 7 2 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7
Nanos Research June 30, 2023 [439] 35.8 29.6 18.9 6.4 2.4 6.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.2
Abacus Data June 27, 2023 [440] 34 29 20 7 5 5 1 ±2.0 pp 1,500 online 5
Pollara June 23, 2023 [441] 32 30 21 8 3 5 1 ±1.2 pp 7,001 online 2
Nanos Research June 23, 2023 [442] 35 29 20 7 3 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6
Ipsos June 20, 2023 [443] 37 32 16 8 2 3 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 5
June 19, 2023 A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount. Anna Gainey held the seat for the Liberal Party.
June 19, 2023 A federal by-election was held in Oxford. Arpan Khanna held the seat for the Conservative Party.
June 19, 2023 A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar. Branden Leslie held the seat for the Conservative Party.
June 19, 2023 A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre. Ben Carr held the seat for the Liberal Party.
Nanos Research June 16, 2023 [444] 35 30 21 7 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5
Abacus Data June 11, 2023 [445] 35 28 21 7 4 4 1 ±2.0 pp 2,000 online 7
Nanos Research June 9, 2023 [446] 32 30 23 6 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2
Mainstreet Research June 8, 2023 [447] 35 29 21 5 2 5 3 ±3 pp 1,045 IVR 6
Angus Reid June 3, 2023 [448] 37 29 20 8 2 4 0 ±1 pp 3,885 online 8
Nanos Research June 2, 2023 [439] 32.4 29.3 23.8 6.8 2.7 3.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.1
Leger May 29, 2023 [449] 31 33 19 8 2 6 1 ±2.51 pp 1,531 online 2
Nanos Research May 26, 2023 [450] 33 28 24 7 3 4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5
Nanos Research May 19, 2023 [451] 34 27 24 7 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7
Abacus Data May 12, 2023 [452] 33 30 18 7 5 5 1 ±2.0 pp 2,500 online 3
Nanos Research May 12, 2023 [453] 36 27 22 7 4 4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9
Leger May 8, 2023 [454] 33 32 20 7 2 5 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 1
Mainstreet Research May 6, 2023 [455] 36 30 17 6 3 4 2 ±2.7 pp 1,272 IVR 6
Nanos Research May 5, 2023 [456] 35.2 27.7 21.7 7.1 3.4 4.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Abacus Data May 3, 2023 [457] 33 31 19 7 5 4 1 ±2.4 pp 1,750 online 2
Nanos Research April 28, 2023 [458] 35 30 20 6 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5
Leger April 23, 2023 [459] 36 30 19 7 2 4 1 — 1,515 online 6
Nanos Research April 21, 2023 [460] 34 31 21 6 3 4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3
Nanos Research April 14, 2023 [461] 34 31 21 6 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3
Leger April 10, 2023 [462] 34 30 21 8 3 3 1 ±2.52 pp 1,517 online 4
Nanos Research April 7, 2023 [463] 35.8 30.6 18.1 5.5 3.4 5.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.2
Nanos Research March 31, 2023 [464] 36 28 20 6 4 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research March 30, 2023 [465] 35.9 28.9 18.1 6.5 1.8 6.8 2.1 ±2.8 pp 1,267 IVR 7.0
Nanos Research March 24, 2023 [466] 34.8 28.9 19.0 6.3 4.4 5.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.9
Abacus Data March 21, 2023 [467] 33 31 18 8 5 4 1 ±2.3 pp 1,963 online 2
Nanos Research March 17, 2023 [468] 34 27 20 9 5 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7
Angus Reid March 13, 2023 [469] 35 29 20 8 2 4 1 ±1 pp 4,899 online 6
Ekos March 13, 2023 [470] 31.4 28.2 25.0 6.0 3.6 4.8 1.1 ±1.6 pp 3,115 telephone/online 3.2
Leger March 12, 2023 [471] 32 33 19 9 2 4 1 ±2.49 pp 1,544 online 1
Mainstreet Research March 10, 2023 [472] 36.9 30.8 15.2 6.2 3.3 4.8 2.7 ±2.8 pp 1,255 IVR 6.1
Abacus Data March 10, 2023 [473] 34 29 19 7 6 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Nanos Research March 10, 2023 [474] 32.8 28.4 20.6 8.9 3.5 5.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.4
Abacus Data March 4, 2023 [475] 36 29 18 8 4 3 2 ±2.0 pp 2,600 online 7
Nanos Research March 3, 2023 [476] 34 30 20 9 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (3/4) telephone (rolling) 4
Research Co. February 27, 2023 [477] 33 34 18 8 1 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 1
Abacus Data February 18, 2023 [478] 37 29 18 7 4 4 1 ±1.6 pp 4,000 online 8
Ipsos February 17, 2023 [479] 33 33 18 7 3 4 1 ±3.1 pp 1,350 online 0
Leger February 12, 2023 [480] 35 32 18 7 2 4 1 ±2.50 pp 1,539 online 3
Nanos Research February 10, 2023 [481] 32.9 33.1 20.5 6.4 2.8 4.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Pollara February 6, 2023 [482] 32 32 20 8 3 4 1 ±1.8 pp 3,850 online 0
Abacus Data January 30, 2023 [483] 37 29 18 7 4 4 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 8
Mainstreet Research January 27, 2023 [484] 36.9 33.1 13.6 6.4 2.4 4.8 2.8 ±2.8 pp 1,261 IVR 3.8
Nanos Research January 27, 2023 [485] 34 31 19 8 2 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3
Leger January 22, 2023 [486] 34 34 19 7 1 3 1 ±2.49 pp 1,554 online 0
Nanos Research January 20, 2023 [487] 35 30 18 9 2 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5
Abacus Data January 16, 2023 [488] 35 31 18 7 5 4 1 ±2.2 pp 2,099 online 4
Nanos Research January 13, 2023 [489] 35.6 28.3 20.7 7.4 2.1 5.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.3
Pollara January 12, 2023 [482] 32 33 21 8 2 4 — — 3,020 online 1
Nanos Research January 6, 2023 [490] 34 29 22 6 3 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5
Nanos Research December 30, 2022 [491] 34 29 22 6 3 6 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5
Nanos Research December 23, 2022 [492] 35 29 23 6 2 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6
Pollara December 20, 2022 [482] 33 30 21 8 3 5 — — 4,020 online 3
Nanos Research December 16, 2022 [493] 35 29 21 6 3 5 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6
Mainstreet Research December 15, 2022 [494] 36.0 31.3 18.6 5.8 2.9 3.9 1.5 ±2.6 pp 1,416 IVR 4.7
December 12, 2022 A federal by-election was held in Mississauga—Lakeshore. Charles Sousa held the seat for the Liberal Party.
Leger December 11, 2022 [495] 33 30 21 7 4 4 2 ±2.50 pp 1,526 online 3
Abacus Data December 10, 2022 [496] 36 30 19 6 4 4 1 — 2,500 online 6
Nanos Research December 9, 2022 [497] 33.6 30.3 20.9 5.5 2.6 5.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Mainstreet Research December 8, 2022 [498] 37.9 33.6 16.4 5.1 2.4 3.6 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,267 IVR 4.3
Nanos Research December 2, 2022 [499] 33 31 22 6 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2
Nanos Research November 25, 2022 [500] 30.3 31.0 22.5 7.1 3.4 4.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Ekos November 23, 2022 [501] 33.6 31.3 18.1 5.1 3.4 6.6 1.9 ±3.1 pp 1,034 IVR 2.3
November 19, 2022 Elizabeth May is elected leader of the Green Party.
Innovative Research November 14, 2022 [502] 33 32 18 7 2 6 1 — 2,236 online 1
Leger November 13, 2022 [503] 34 32 19 7 2 4 2 ±2.50 pp 1,537 online 2
Nanos Research November 11, 2022 [497] 31.3 32.9 20.0 8.1 1.7 5.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 1.6
Mainstreet Research November 7, 2022 [504] 37.6 30.3 19.3 3.8 4.1 3.5 1.4 ±2.7 pp 1,276 IVR 7.3
Pollara November 3, 2022 [482] 33 31 20 9 3 3 — — 3,418 online 2
Nanos Research October 28, 2022 [500] 34.4 32.1 16.9 7.9 3.2 4.3 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Research Co. October 26, 2022 [505] 35 31 19 8 2 4 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 4
Abacus Data October 26, 2022 [506] 34 31 18 6 4 5 1 ±2.1 pp 1,500 online 3
Nanos Research October 21, 2022 [507] 36 30 17 8 4 4 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6
Nanos Research October 14, 2022 [508] 35 34 18 6 3 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1
Leger October 10, 2022 [509] 33 31 21 8 2 3 1 ±2.50 pp 1,534 online 2
Nanos Research October 7, 2022 [510] 33 32 21 6 2 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1
Nanos Research September 30, 2022 [511] 33 29 23 6 2 5 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research September 22, 2022 [512] 40.8 32.7 12.4 5.2 3.4 2.6 2.7 ±3.0 pp 1,088 IVR 8.1
Angus Reid September 22, 2022 [513] 37 30 20 7 1 3 1 ±2 pp 5,014 online 7
Ipsos September 21, 2022 [514] 35 30 20 7 3 3 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 5
Leger September 18, 2022 [515] 34 28 23 8 3 3 1 ±2.51 pp 1,522 online 6
Ekos September 16, 2022 [516] 33.7 31.7 20.1 5.9 3.1 5.0 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,005 IVR 2.0
Nanos Research September 16, 2022 [517] 30.7 28.4 26.0 6.0 3.4 4.8 — ±3.00 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 2.3
Abacus Data September 14, 2022 [518] 35 30 17 9 4 4 1 ±2.2 pp 1,990 online 5
September 10, 2022 Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party.
Abacus Data August 30, 2022 [519] 33 32 19 7 5 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 1
Nanos Research August 19, 2022 [517] 32.5 33.3 20.1 5.5 2.1 5.6 — ±3.00 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.8
Leger August 7, 2022 [520] 28 33 21 8 5 4 2 ±2.52 pp 1,509 online 5
Nanos Research August 5, 2022 [521] 32.6 29.0 22.7 6.3 1.7 6.8 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 3.6
Abacus Data July 27, 2022 [522] 35 30 19 7 4 4 1 ±2.0 pp 2,400 online 5
Mainstreet Research July 18, 2022 [523] 38.3 27.6 18.1 5.9 5.2 2.6 2.3 ±2.3 pp 1,749 online 10.7
Abacus Data July 17, 2022 [524] 33 31 19 8 4 4 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 2
Leger July 10, 2022 [525] 28 32 21 7 5 4 3 ±2.49 pp 1,538 online 4
Nanos Research July 8, 2022 [521] 34.1 30.6 20.8 5.6 2.8 5.4 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (3/4) telephone (rolling) 3.5
Abacus Data June 23, 2022 [526] 34 30 18 8 5 4 1 ±1.8 pp 3,026 online 4
Ipsos June 20, 2022 [527] 33 32 21 8 2 2 1 ±2.5 pp 2,002 online 1
Nanos Research June 17, 2022 [528] 35.5 30.5 19.2 6.1 2.9 5.1 — ±2.9 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 5.0
Mainstreet Research June 16, 2022 [529] 25.8 34.0 22.8 7.8 3.1 4.5 2.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 online 8.2
Leger June 12, 2022 [530] 32 30 21 6 4 4 2 ±2.5 pp 1,528 online 2
Abacus Data May 24, 2022 [531] 31 31 19 8 5 5 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 0
Nanos Research May 20, 2022 [528] 32.5 34.4 19.6 6.1 3.3 4.1 — ±2.9 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 1.9
Ekos May 17, 2022 [532] 35.4 29.2 19.9 4.3 4.2 4.5 3 ±2.8 pp 1,244 IVR 6.2
Ekos May 9, 2022 [533] 31.4 31.8 20.3 4.8 4.8 5.2 2 ±2.1 pp 2,140 IVR 0.4
Abacus Data May 6, 2022 [534] 33 31 19 8 5 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 2
Mainstreet Research April 29, 2022 [535] 38.4 32.2 16.9 6.7 — 2.8 3.1 ±2.7 pp 1,327 IVR 6.2
Nanos Research April 22, 2022 [536] 35.6 30.0 19.6 5.4 3.4 5.5 — ±2.9 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 5.6
Leger April 10, 2022 [537] 29 31 21 7 6 4 2 ±2.5 pp 1,538 online 2
Abacus Data April 9, 2022 [538] 31 33 18 8 5 4 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 2
Nanos Research April 8, 2022 [539] 33 33 18 — — — — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0
Nanos Research April 1, 2022 [539] 31 33 21 — — — — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2
Abacus Data March 25, 2022 [540] 33 31 17 7 6 4 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 2
Nanos Research March 25, 2022 [536] 31.3 32.2 21.6 5.9 3.6 4.8 — ±2.9 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.9
March 22, 2022 The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement.
Nanos Research March 11, 2022 [541] 29.3 32.1 22.2 6.4 5.0 4.9 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Leger March 6, 2022 [542] 28 33 22 8 5 3 1 ±2.5 pp 1,591 online 5
Nanos Research February 25, 2022 [543] 32.2 30.3 17.7 — 5.4 6.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 1.9
Abacus Data February 22, 2022 [544] 31 31 20 8 6 3 1 ±1.4 pp 5,200 online 0
Ipsos February 21, 2022 [545] 32 32 23 6 4 3 1 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 0
Mainstreet Research February 17, 2022 [546] 38.7 30.6 14.6 6.3 6.2 1.9 1.7 ±2.7 pp 1,323 IVR 8.1
Nanos Research February 11, 2022 [547] 31.1 30.6 16.9 7.1 7.1 6.4 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.5
Abacus Data February 8, 2022 [548] 30 33 19 8 6 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 3
Leger February 6, 2022 [549] 29 33 21 8 4 4 0 ±2.49 pp 1,546 online 4
February 2, 2022 Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader.
Nanos Research January 28, 2022 [550] 30.4 29.9 20.7 — 6.7 5.8 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.5
Mainstreet Research January 23, 2022 [551] 29.3 29.4 16.7 5.8 12.7 3.2 2.8 ±2.3 pp 1,813 IVR 0.1
Leger January 23, 2022 [552] 31 34 18 7 6 3 2 ±2.51 pp 1,525 online 3
Nanos Research January 21, 2022 [553] 29.4 28.4 22.3 5.6 — 7.0 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.0
Ekos January 17, 2022 [554] 29.7 30.3 19.5 5.9 9.1 4.5 1 ±1.9 pp 2,612 IVR 0.6
Nanos Research January 14, 2022 [555] 28.5 28.2 24.3 6.1 5.3 6.3 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 [556] 29 34 20 5 6 3 2 ±2.0 pp 5,002 online 5
Abacus Data January 12, 2022 [557] 30 32 19 8 7 3 1 ±2.089 pp 2,200 online 2
Nanos Research January 7, 2022 [558] 29.0 30.6 21.4 6.2 5.7 6.1 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 1.6
Discover by Navigator January 5, 2022 [559] 29 32 22 6 7 4 — — 2,513 online 3
Ekos December 21, 2021 [560] 25 32 23 4 10 4 2 ±3.1 pp 1,015 – 7
Nanos Research December 10, 2021 [558] 30.4 33.3 19.8 6.2 6.7 7.0 — ±3.0 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 2.9
Leger December 5, 2021 [561] 29 36 19 7 5 3 1 ±2.49 pp 1,547 online 7
Mainstreet Research November 30, 2021 [562] 30.3 33.5 15.7 5.5 10.0 3.2 1.9 ±2.36 pp 1,719 IVR 3.2
Abacus Data November 30, 2021 [563] 30 32 20 8 6 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,025 online 2
Angus Reid November 29, 2021 [564] 29 35 20 7 5 2 1 ±2 pp 2,005 online 6
November 27, 2021 Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party.
Ekos November 21, 2021 [565] 26.6 30.4 19.1 5.9 11.4 5.2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,006 IVR 3.8
Leger November 7, 2021 [566] 26 35 22 8 5 3 2 ±2.48 pp 1,565 online 9
Nanos Research October 29, 2021 [567] 30.1 30.8 21.6 7.4 5.8 3.1 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Mainstreet Research October 24, 2021 [568] 33.3 33.8 15.4 5.5 — 3.0 8.9 ±2.4 pp 1,711 IVR 0.5
Nanos Research October 22, 2021 [569] 30.8 29.9 23.1 7.3 5.3 2.7 — ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 0.9
Abacus Data October 20, 2021 [570] 30 33 19 7 6 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,220 online 3
September 27, 2021 Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party.
2021 election September 20, 2021 HTML 33.7 32.6 17.8 7.6 4.9 2.3 1.1 — 17,042,591 — 1.1

Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance

[edit]

Under Justin Trudeau leadership

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC-NDP CPC BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Research Co. January 5, 2025 [234] 31 48 10 6 3 2 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 online 17
Research Co. October 8, 2023 [571] 36 42 8 8 2 — ± 3.1 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger April 23, 2023 [572] 41 39 8 6 3 — ± 3.1 pp 1,515 online 2

Under Jagmeet Singh leadership

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC-NDP CPC BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Research Co. January 5, 2025 [234] 34 46 10 5 3 2 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 online 12
Research Co. October 8, 2023 [571] 36 43 9 7 2 — ± 3.1 pp 1,000 online 7

Voting intention with Liberal successor candidates

[edit]

Under Mark Carney leadership

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
March 9, 2025 Mark Carney is elected leader of the Liberal Party.
Ekos March 5, 2025 [195] 35.3 42.4 10.7 5.5 1 4.1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,033 IVR 7.1
Angus Reid March 3, 2025 [573][574] 40 37 11 9 2 0 1 — 905 online 3
Leger March 2, 2025 [196] 41 33 12 6 2 4 2 ±2.49 pp 1,548 online 8
Ekos February 24, 2025 [202] 31.5 42.1 8.2 10.5 3 4 1 ±7.1 pp 193 IVR 10.6
Pollara February 24, 2025 [203] 37 37 14 7 3 1 0 ±2.5 pp 1,506 online 0
Leger February 23, 2025 [204] 38 40 11 5 3 2 1 ±2.50 pp 1,244 online 2
Angus Reid February 18, 2025 [575][576] 40 37 10 7 4 1 3 — 921 online 3
Leger February 17, 2025 [206] 40 39 9 6 3 2 1 — 1,227 online 1
Mainstreet Research February 13, 2025 [209] 37 40 12 9 2 1 0 ±2.9 pp 1,128 text/online 3
Abacus Data February 11, 2025 [211] 45 28 12 10 3 — 2 ±3.5 pp 757-852 online 17
Leger February 10, 2025 [212] 37 37 12 6 5 2 2 ±2.46 pp 1,590 online 0
Pallas Data February 6, 2025 [215] 38 39 9 7 3 2 2 ±2.8 pp 1,241 IVR 1
Angus Reid January 27, 2025 [577] 43 29 13 10 3 1 1 ±1.5 pp 1,960 online 14
Angus Reid December 31, 2024 [578] 36 14 18 9 23 ±1.5 pp 2,406 online 18

Under Chrystia Freeland leadership

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Angus Reid March 3, 2025 [573][574] 39 31 13 7 3 3 9 — 884 online 8
Angus Reid February 18, 2025 [575][576] 40 29 18 8 3 2 6 — 893 online 11
Mainstreet Research February 13, 2025 [209] 40 34 12 9 2 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,128 text/online 6
Abacus Data February 11, 2025 [211] 45 21 20 7 6 — 3 ±3.5 pp 757-852 online 24
Leger February 10, 2025 [212] 39 28 15 7 6 3 2 ±2.46 pp 1,590 online 11
Pallas Data February 6, 2025 [215] 41 31 13 8 2 3 2 ±2.8 pp 1,241 IVR 10
Angus Reid January 27, 2025 [577] 44 24 17 9 3 1 2 ±1.5 pp 1,960 online 20
Angus Reid December 31, 2024 [578] 36 21 14 7 21 ±1.5 pp 2,406 online 15

Under Karina Gould leadership

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Mainstreet Research February 13, 2025 [209] 40 33 13 10 2 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,128 text/online 7
Pallas Data February 6, 2025 [215] 42 22 17 10 4 3 2 ±2.8 pp 1,241 IVR 20

Regional polls

[edit]

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

Atlantic Canada

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Narrative Research April 22, 2025 [579] 66 26 6 1 1 0 ± 2.7 pp 1,325 Online 40
Narrative Research April 13, 2025 [580] 65 26 8 1 0 0 ± 2.7 pp 1,361 Online 39
Narrative Research August 18, 2024 [581] 32 43 16 6 2 0 ± 2.6 pp 1,450 Telephone 11

New Brunswick

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Narrative Research August 18, 2024 [581] 32 43 10 10 4 0 ± 2.6 pp 400 Telephone 11

Nova Scotia

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data March 20, 2025 [582] 46 37 12 3 2 1 ± 4.1 pp 600 Online 9
Cardinal Research November 15, 2024 [583] 40 37 17 3 1 — ± 3.5 pp 1046 Telephone 3
Narrative Research August 18, 2024 [581] 30 43 21 4 2 0 ± 2.6 pp 400 Telephone 13

Newfoundland and Labrador

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Narrative Research August 18, 2024 [581] 32 45 19 3 0 0 ± 2.6 pp 350 Telephone 13
Abacus Data September 25, 2023 [584] 33 42 23 — 1 1 ± 4.5 pp 500 Online 9

Prince Edward Island

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Narrative Research August 18, 2024 [581] 35 41 10 13 1 0 ± 2.6 pp 300 Telephone 6

Central Canada

[edit]

Quebec

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Leger April 25, 2025 [585] 42 24 5 26 2 1 — 893 Online 16
Synopsis April 11, 2025 [586] 42 21 7 27 1 2 — 1,000 Online 15
Leger March 10, 2025 [587] 36 24 8 25 4 2 1 ± 3.09pp 1,007 Online 11
Leger February 2, 2025 [588] 29 24 12 29 3 3 1 ± 3.07 pp 1,017 Online 0
Leger January 19, 2025 [589] 21 26 7 37 4 2 1 ± 3.09 pp 1,003 Online 11
Leger December 2, 2024 [590] 22 22 15 35 4 1 2 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 Online 13
Leger November 11, 2024 [591] 22 24 13 35 3 3 0 ± 3.08 pp 1,010 Online 11
Leger October 6, 2024 [592] 27 22 11 35 3 1 0 ± 3.04 pp 1,041 Online 8
Leger August 25, 2024 [593] 27 23 14 29 5 3 0 ± 3.04 pp 1,041 Online 2
Leger June 3, 2024 [594] 26 26 11 31 4 1 1 ± 3.08 pp 1,015 Online 5
Leger April 21, 2024 [595] 26 24 10 35 2 2 1 ± 3.05 pp 1,026 Online 9
Pallas Data April 8, 2024 [596] 25.3 26.2 9.9 28.6 0.7 2.2 0.6 ± 2 pp 700 IVR 2.4
Leger March 18, 2024 [597] 27 23 14 30 3 2 1 ± 3.05 pp 1,033 Online 3
Leger February 6, 2024 [598] 28 24 14 29 3 2 1 ± 3.05 pp 1,032 Online 1
Leger December 4, 2023 [599] 28 25 10 31 2 2 2 ± 3.04 pp 846 Online 3
Pallas Data September 27, 2023 [600] 34 25 7 28 3 2 1 ± 2.96 pp 1,095 IVR 6
Leger September 25, 2023 [601] 29 23 13 29 2 1 — ± 3.0 pp 1,046 Online 0
Leger February 26, 2023 [602] 33 15 13 31 4 2 — ± 3.0 pp 1,044 Online 2
Leger November 6, 2022 [603] 34 18 12 30 2 2 — ± 3.1 pp 1,028 Online 4

Ontario

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[f] 		Sample
size[g] 		Polling method[h] Lead
Campaign Research (Ontario PC internal) March 26, 2025 [604] 48 33 11 4 - 4 1902 online 15
Mainstreet Research February 17, 2025 [605] 41 39 13 2 2 2 ± 2.7 pp 1,278 (1/3) online (rolling) 2
Mainstreet Research February 16, 2025 [606] 42 38 14 2 2 1 ± 2.8 pp 1,229 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research February 15, 2025 [607] 41 39 13 2 2 2 ± 2.8 pp 1,228 (1/3) online (rolling) 2
Mainstreet Research February 14, 2025 [608] 43 39 10 2 3 1 ± 2.7 pp 1,272 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research February 13, 2025 [609] 43 41 8 3 2 2 ± 2.7 pp 1,294 (1/3) online (rolling) 2
Mainstreet Research February 12, 2025 [610] 43 40 10 2 2 2 ± 2.7 pp 1,314 (1/3) online (rolling) 3
Mainstreet Research February 11, 2025 [611] 43 39 10 2 2 2 ± 2.7 pp 1,303 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research February 10, 2025 [612] 45 37 12 2 1 2 ± 2.7 pp 1,301 (1/3) online (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research February 9, 2025 [613] 43 39 9 5 2 2 ± 2.7 pp 1,347 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research February 8, 2025 [614] 42 36 13 4 2 2 ± 2.8 pp 1,187 (1/3) online (rolling) 6
Mainstreet Research February 7, 2025 [615] 44 36 12 4 2 2 ± 2.8 pp 1,262 (1/3) online (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research February 6, 2025 [616] 42 36 14 3 2 2 ± 2.5 pp 1,515 (1/4) online (rolling) 6
Mainstreet Research February 5, 2025 [617] 42 37 12 4 2 2 ± 2.8 pp 1,236 (1/3) online (rolling) 5
Mainstreet Research February 4, 2025 [618] 42 37 11 4 2 2 ± 2.9 pp 1,162 (1/3) online (rolling) 5
Mainstreet Research February 3, 2025 [619] 43 39 9 4 2 2 ± 3.0 pp 1,080 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Mainstreet Research February 2, 2025 [620] 42 39 11 3 2 2 ± 2.6 pp 1,374 (1/3) online (rolling) 3
Mainstreet Research February 1, 2025 [621] 41 40 13 3 2 2 ± 2.9 pp 1,124 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Mainstreet Research January 31, 2025 [622] 39 39 14 3 1 2 ± 2.8 pp 1,247 (1/3) online (rolling) 0
Mainstreet Research January 30, 2025 [623] 40 39 13 5 2 2 ± 2.4 pp 1,644 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Mainstreet Research January 26, 2025 [624] 40 38 12 4 2 2 ± 3.2 pp 936 online 2
Abacus Data June 25, 2024 [625] 27 44 19 5 — 5 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 online 17
Abacus Data May 15, 2024 [626] 29 45 17 4 — 5 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 online 16


City of Toronto
[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Liaison Strategies October 8, 2024 [627] 35 34 25 3 3 — ± 3.37 pp 848 IVR 1
Angus Reid April 23, 2024 [628] 32 38 23 4 1 2 ± 2 pp 158 online 6
Abacus Data March 6, 2024 [629] 33 41 18 — — — — 958 online 8
Liaison Strategies January 4, 2024 [630] 38 32 22 5 3 — ± 3.39 pp 831 IVR 6
Liaison Strategies October 4, 2023 [631] 40 29 24 4 3 — ± 3.43 pp 817 IVR 11
Abacus Data February 7, 2023 [632] 44 27 18 6 5 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 online 17
Peel Region
[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Mainstreet Research February 4, 2024 [633] 36.4 42.3 15.3 3.1 1.6 0.3 ± 2.8 pp 1,183 IVR 5.9
City of Mississauga
[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Mainstreet Research April 4, 2025 [633] 39.2 38 14.0 2.3 1.6 0.1 — 661 IVR 1.2
Liaison Strategies January 11, 2024 [634] 44 36 15 3 5 — ± 3.06 pp 983 IVR 8

Western Canada

[edit]

Manitoba

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Probe Research April 14, 2025 [635] 43 40 15 1 1 — ± 3.5 pp 800 IVR + online 3
Probe Research March 16, 2025 [636] 44 42 9 2 2 — ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 2
Probe Research February 6, 2025 [637] 28 45 22 3 2 — ± 4.0 pp 600 IVR + online 17
Probe Research December 10, 2024 [638] 19 52 24 2 2 — ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 28
Probe Research September 15, 2024 [639] 21 50 24 2 3 — ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 26
Probe Research March 18, 2024 [640] 23 47 26 2 — 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 21

Saskatchewan

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Rubicon Strategy April 10, 2025 [641] 25 38 11 2.5 2.5 — ± 4 pp 747 Online 13

Alberta

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Leger January 26, 2025 [642] 14 64 16 3 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 Online 48
Leger August 5, 2024 [643] 14 61 18 3 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,005 Online 43
Leger March 24, 2024 [644] 14 60 20 3 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 Online 40
Mainstreet Research May 2, 2023 [645] 18 55 13 1 3 1 ± 2.5 pp 1,524 Smart IVR 37
Yorkville Strategies March 9, 2022 [646] 18 48 20 4 7 3 ± 4 pp 600 Phone 28

British Columbia

[edit]
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[i] 		Sample
size[j] 		Polling method[k] Lead
Abacus Data May 9, 2024 [647] 18 44 26 8 — 3 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 online 18
Mainstreet Research April 24, 2024 [648] 17.8 55.8 15.8 6.9 — 3.7 ± 3.2 pp 962 Smart IVR 38
Mainstreet Research March 19, 2024 [649] 22.8 49.6 19.4 5.8 — 2.4 ± 3 pp 1,063 Smart IVR 26.8
Angus Reid March 6, 2024 [650] 21 40 29 9 — 2 ± 3 pp 809 online 11


Leadership polls

[edit]

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

March 2025 – April 2025

[edit]
Campaign Period Leadership Polling for the 2025 Canadian Federal Election, on which political party leader would make the best prime minister (LOESS Trendline included).
Polling firm Last date of polling Link Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Elizabeth May/Jonathan Pedneault[l] Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error[c] 		Lead
Nanos Research April 27, 2025 [3] 51.9 32.1 5.8 3.1 0.9 1.1 3.0 ±3.4 pp 19.8
Research Co. April 27, 2025 [4] 45 35 7 3 1 2 7 ±3.1 pp 10
Abacus Data April 27, 2025 [6] 40 37 10 — — — 8 ±2.0 pp 3
Nanos Research April 26, 2025 [10] 48.5 35.2 4.5 2.8 1.1 1.0 4.4 ±2.4 pp 13.3
Innovative Research April 26, 2025 [12] 44 37 11 4 3 2 0 — 7
Angus Reid April 26, 2025 [14] 47 31 — — — — 7 ±2 pp 16
Nanos Research April 25, 2025 [18] 46.8 34.1 5.8 3.2 1.0 1.1 5.2 ±2.7 pp 12.7
Leger April 25, 2025 [19] 40 31 6 — 2 2 9 ±2.53 pp 9
Nanos Research April 24, 2025 [23] 46.2 34.7 4.8 3.1 1.2 1.2 5.9 ±2.7 pp 11.5
Nanos Research April 23, 2025 [26] 46.3 36.9 4.5 2.5 1.3 1.5 4.8 ±2.7 pp 9.4
Innovative Research April 23, 2025 [28] 42 38 10 4 3 3 0 — 4
Nanos Research April 22, 2025 [32] 48.9 35.4 4.0 2.4 1.9 1.2 4.5 ±2.7 pp 13.5
Nanos Research April 21, 2025 [37] 47.3 34.5 5.6 3.1 1.9 1.3 4.8 ±2.7 pp 12.8
Abacus Data April 21, 2025 [39] 41 35 10 — — — 10 ±2.3 pp 6
Leger April 21, 2025 [40] 41 31 6 — 2 2 10 ±2.45 pp 10
Innovative Research April 21, 2025 [651] 39 40 10 4 3 3 0 — 1
Angus Reid April 21, 2025 [41] 49 31 — — — — 8 ±1.5 pp 18
Research Co. April 20, 2025 [42] 45 35 8 3 1 1 7 ±3.1 pp 10
Nanos Research April 20, 2025 [45] 47.4 33.2 6.0 3.5 1.7 1.4 5.3 ±2.7 pp 14.2
Innovative Research April 20, 2025 [28] 43 37 10 4 3 3 0 — 6
Ipsos April 19, 2025 [48] 41 36 11 5 2 5 0 ±3.8 pp 5
MQO Research April 19, 2025 [49] 43 32 8 3 — — 12 ±2 pp 11
Nanos Research April 19, 2025 [52] 45.3 34.3 6.5 3.5 1.2 1.2 6.5 ±2.7 pp 11
Nanos Research April 17, 2025 [57] 48.0 33.6 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.9 6.6 ±2.7 pp 14.4
Nanos Research April 16, 2025 [62] 47.4 33.9 4.7 2.9 1.2 1.0 7.3 ±2.7 pp 13.5
Abacus Data April 15, 2025 [65] 40 34 10 — 2 2 11 ±2.9 pp 6
Nanos Research April 15, 2025 [67] 49