2021 Canadian federal election - Simple English Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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338 seats in the House of Commons 170 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Map showing seats won by each party, shaded by margin | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2021 Canadian federal election took place on September 20, 2021 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Parliament of Canada.
The latest date of the vote was scheduled for October 16, 2023, which is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election.[3]
However, on August 15, 2021, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested a dissolution of parliament from Governor General Mary Simon. On September 20, Trudeau and the Liberal Party was projected to have won 155 seats, allowing them to form a minority government.[4]
Opinion polling
[change | change source]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/80/Opinion_polling_during_the_campaign_period_of_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election.svg/800px-Opinion_polling_during_the_campaign_period_of_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election.svg.png)
Polling firm | Last date of polling[1] | Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC | Other[2] | Margin of error[3] | Sample size[4] | Polling method[5] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | August 15, 2021 | PDF Archived 2021-08-16 at the Wayback Machine | 31 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | ±3 pp | 1,203 | IVR | 3 |
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 30.1 | 33.1 | 19.1 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 2.2 | — | 1,331 | IVR | 3.0 |
Leadership polls
[change | change source]Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:
October 2020 – present
[change | change source]Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Justin Trudeau | Erin O'Toole | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Annamie Paul | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[1] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nanos Research | May 14, 2021 | 36.3 | 20.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 14.6 | ±3.1 pp | 15.5 | |
Innovative Research | May 5, 2021 | HTML | 44 | 20 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 6 | — | 21 | |
Ipsos | April 9, 2021 | HTML Archived 2021-04-16 at the Wayback Machine | 42 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 7 | — | ±3.5 pp | 17 | |
Nanos Research | April 2, 2021 | 40.1 | 18.9 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 18.5 | ±3.1 pp | 21.2 | |
Nanos Research | March 26, 2021 | 38.9 | 19.3 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 19.6 | |
Research Co. | March 15, 2021 | 40 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 | ±3.1 pp | 25 | |
Nanos Research | March 12, 2021 | 36.7 | 22.0 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 14.2 | ±3.1 pp | 14.7 | |
Nanos Research | February 26, 2021 | 34.0 | 24.5 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 14.2 | ±3.1 pp | 9.5 | |
Nanos Research | February 5, 2021 | 38.1 | 24.7 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 9.6 | ±3.1 pp | 13.4 | |
Nanos Research | January 15, 2021 | 38.5 | 23.9 | 13.3 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 12.3 | ±3.1 pp | 14.6 | |
Nanos Research | January 1, 2021 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 39.3 | 20.3 | 13.1 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 17.7 | ±3.1 pp | 19.0 |
Nanos Research | December 18, 2020 | PDF Archived 2021-01-13 at the Wayback Machine | 38.2 | 21.1 | 13.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 19.6 | ±3.1 pp | 17.1 |
Research Co. | December 14, 2020 | 39 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 17 | ||
Nanos Research | December 11, 2020 | PDF Archived 2021-01-14 at the Wayback Machine | 37.5 | 19.7 | 13.5 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 19.9 | ±3.1 pp | 17.8 |
Nanos Research | November 20, 2020 | PDF Archived 2021-01-14 at the Wayback Machine | 38.5 | 20.3 | 14.5 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 19.5 | ±3.1 pp | 18.2 |
Nanos Research | October 30, 2020 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 39.0 | 20.1 | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 21.0 | ±3.1 pp | 18.9 |
Nanos Research | October 23, 2020 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 37.7 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 20.5 | ±3.1 pp | 16.1 |
Nanos Research | October 16, 2020 | PDF Archived 2020-10-27 at the Wayback Machine | 38.5 | 23.0 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 20.1 | ±3.1 pp | 15.0 |
Nanos Research | October 9, 2020 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 37.1 | 22.5 | 11.6 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 19.7 | ±3.1 pp | 14.6 |
August 2020 – October 2020
[change | change source]Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Justin Trudeau | Erin O'Toole | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Elizabeth May | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[1] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nanos Research | September 25, 2020 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 35.6 | 22.8 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 19.9 | ±3.1 pp | 12.8 |
Nanos Research | September 4, 2020 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 34.4 | 20.2 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 20.5 | ±3.1 pp | 14.2 |
Notes
[change | change source]References
[change | change source]- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Jeudy, Lucy (October 6, 2021). "Canadian federal election results in Québec 2021". Statista.com. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
- ↑ Reynolds, Christopher (February 11, 2021). "Green Leader Annamie Paul to run in Toronto Centre, setting stage for rematch". CBC News. Archived from the original on February 12, 2021. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
- ↑ "Amendment to Canada Elections Act". Queen's Printer for Canada. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on August 5, 2011. Retrieved July 29, 2011.
- ↑ Connolly, Amanda (20 September 2021). "Liberals projected to form minority government - National | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved 20 September 2021.