2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio
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All 15 Ohio seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Ohio |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 15 U.S. representatives from Ohio, one from each of the state's 15 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on May 3, 2022.
Results summary
[edit]Statewide
[edit]Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican Party | 15 | 2,318,993 | 56.43% | 10 | 66.67% | ||
Democratic Party | 15 | 1,790,614 | 43.57% | 5 | 33.33% | ||
Write-in | 2 | 104 | 0.00% | 0.00% | |||
Total | 43 | 4,109,711 | 100.00% | 15 | 100.00% |
District
[edit]Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio by district:
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 137,213 | 47.05% | 151,418 | 52.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,474 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 2 | 188,300 | 74.05% | 64,329 | 25.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 257,862 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 74,335 | 29.08% | 174,846 | 70.02% | 18 | 0.00% | 258,797 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 196,655 | 69.03% | 87,106 | 30.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 290,156 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 184,205 | 67.00% | 90,614 | 33.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 279,937 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 6 | 186,965 | 67.07% | 89,086 | 32.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 280,383 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 164,904 | 55.04% | 132,548 | 44.06% | 86 | 0.00% | 303,573 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 8 | 180,287 | 64.06% | 98,629 | 35.04% | 0 | 0.00% | 278,916 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 113,363 | 43.05% | 147,512 | 56.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 266,017 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 168,327 | 61.07% | 104,634 | 38.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 272,961 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 46,862 | 22.04% | 162,154 | 77.06% | 0 | 0.00% | 215,710 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 12 | 191,344 | 69.03% | 84,893 | 30.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 276,237 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 134,593 | 47.03% | 149,816 | 52.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 284,409 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | 183,389 | 61.07% | 113,639 | 38.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,028 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 15 | 143,112 | 57.05% | 108,139 | 43.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 251,251 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
Total | 2,318,993 | 56.43% | 1,790,614 | 43.57% | 104 | 0.00% | 4,109,711 | 100.00% |
District 1
[edit]
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Landsman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Chabot: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in the city of Cincinnati, stretching northward to Warren County. The incumbent was Republican Steve Chabot, who was re-elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2020.[1]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2022.[2] Democrat Greg Landsman won the election by a 5.6% margin.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Steve Chabot, incumbent U.S. Representative[4][5]
Withdrawn
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Chabot (incumbent) | 45,450 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 45,450 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Gavi Begtrup, small business owner, former policy advisor for U.S. Representative Gabby Giffords, and candidate for Mayor of Cincinnati in 2021 (running for state representative)[12]
- Kate Schroder, health care executive and nominee for this district in 2020[13]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Landsman | 28,330 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 28,330 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Tossup | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Tossup | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean R | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Lean R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Tossup | October 1, 2022 |
538[28] | Likely R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Steve Chabot (R) | Greg Landsman (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Impact Research (D)[30][A] | October 13–16, 2022 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Impact Research (D)[31][A] | September 17–21, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Impact Research (D)[32][A] | May 9–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[33][B] | October 19, 2022 | – | – | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Impact Research (D)[32][A] | May 9–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Landsman | 156,416 | 52.8 | ||
Republican | Steve Chabot (incumbent) | 140,058 | 47.2 | ||
Total votes | 296,474 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 2
[edit]
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Wenstrup: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Meadows: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district takes in eastern Cincinnati and its suburbs, including Norwood and Loveland, and stretches eastward along the Ohio River. The incumbent was Republican Brad Wenstrup, who was re-elected with 61.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Brad Wenstrup, incumbent U.S. Representative[36][37]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[38]
Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brad Wenstrup (incumbent) | 56,805 | 77.4 | |
Republican | James J. Condit, Jr. | 9,250 | 12.6 | |
Republican | David J. Windisch | 7,382 | 10.1 | |
Total votes | 73,437 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Samantha Meadows, EMT[37]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Alan Darnowsky, former vice president of CitiBank and candidate for state representative in 2020[39][37]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Samantha Meadows | 11,694 | 72.0 | |
Democratic | Alan Darnowsky | 4,541 | 28.0 | |
Total votes | 16,235 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brad Wenstrup (incumbent) | 192,117 | 74.5 | ||
Democratic | Samantha Meadows | 65,745 | 25.5 | ||
Total votes | 257,862 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Beatty: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Stahley: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40-50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district, located entirely within the borders of Franklin County, taking in inner Columbus, Bexley, Whitehall, as well as Franklin County's share of Reynoldsburg. The incumbent was Democrat Joyce Beatty, who was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] She was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Joyce Beatty, incumbent U.S. Representative[40][41]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Matthew Meade[42]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joyce Beatty (incumbent) | 48,241 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 48,241 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lee Stahley | 30,250 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 30,250 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joyce Beatty (incumbent) | 182,324 | 70.5 | ||
Republican | Lee Stahley | 76,455 | 29.5 | ||
Write-in | 18 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 258,797 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Jordan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Wilson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district, sprawls from the Columbus exurbs, including Marion and Lima into north-central Ohio, taking in Mansfield. The incumbent was Republican Jim Jordan, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jim Jordan, incumbent U.S. Representative[46][47]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[48]
Organizations
- American Conservative Union[49]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Jordan (incumbent) | 86,576 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 86,576 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tamie Wilson | 10,804 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Jeffrey Sites | 10,160 | 48.5 | |
Total votes | 20,964 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Jordan (incumbent) | 200,773 | 69.2 | ||
Democratic | Tamie Wilson | 89,383 | 30.8 | ||
Total votes | 290,156 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 5
[edit]
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Latta: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Swartz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district encompasses the lower portion of Northwestern Ohio and the middle shore of Lake Erie, taking in Findlay, Lorain, Oberlin, and Bowling Green. The incumbent was Republican Bob Latta, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[55]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bob Latta (incumbent) | 69,981 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 69,981 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Craig Swartz, chair of the Wyandot County Democratic Party[56][54]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Craig Swartz | 14,590 | 55.3 | |
Democratic | Martin Heberling | 11,812 | 44.7 | |
Total votes | 26,402 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bob Latta (incumbent) | 187,303 | 66.9 | ||
Democratic | Craig Swartz | 92,634 | 33.1 | ||
Total votes | 279,937 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 6
[edit]
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Johnson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Lyras: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, including Youngstown, Steubenville, and Marietta. The incumbent was Republican Bill Johnson, who was re-elected with 74.4% in 2020. Some parts of the 6th district, including Youngstown, were formerly in the 13th district before redistricting. He was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bill Johnson, incumbent U.S. Representative[58][59]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- John Anderson[59]
- Michael Morgenstern, U.S. Marine Corps Veteran [60][59]
- Gregory Zelenitz[59]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[61]
Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Johnson (incumbent) | 57,189 | 77.32 | |
Republican | John Anderson | 9,212 | 12.49 | |
Republican | Michael Morgenstern | 4,926 | 6.66 | |
Republican | Gregory Zelenitz | 2,632 | 3.56 | |
Total votes | 73,959 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Louis Lyras, businessman[59]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]- John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative for the 16th district[63]
- Capri Cafaro, former Minority Leader of the Ohio Senate[63]
- Lou Gentile, former state senator[63]
- Sean O'Brien, former state senator (ran for Trumbull County Court of Pleas)[63]
- Tim Ryan, incumbent U.S. Representative (ran for U.S. Senate)[64]
- Anthony Traficanti, Mahoning County commissioner[63]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Louis Lyras | 8,607 | 37.64 | |
Democratic | Eric Scott Jones | 6,972 | 30.49 | |
Democratic | Martin Alexander | 5,062 | 22.14 | |
Democratic | Shawna Roberts | 2,226 | 9.73 | |
Total votes | 22,867 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Johnson (incumbent) | 189,883 | 67.72 | ||
Democratic | Louis Lyras | 90,500 | 32.28 | ||
Total votes | 280,383 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 7
[edit]
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Miller: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Diemer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district stretches from exurban Cleveland to rural areas in north central Ohio, including Medina and Wooster. The incumbents were Republicans Bob Gibbs and Anthony Gonzalez, both of whom retired.[1] Max Miller won the election.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Max Miller, former White House aide[65][66][67]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Anthony Leon Alexander, podcaster[68][67]
- Charlie Gaddis, business owner[68][67]
- Jonah Schulz, non-profit founder[68][67]
Withdrawn
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Anthony Gonzalez, incumbent U.S. Representative[71]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[65]
Organizations
- American Conservative Union[72]
- Club for Growth[73]
- Turning Point Action[74]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Anthony Gonzalez | Max Miller | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R)[75][C] | March 17–18, 2021 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 30% | 39% | 31% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Max Miller | 43,158 | 71.8 | |
Republican | Jonah Schulz | 8,325 | 13.9 | |
Republican | Charlie Gaddis | 5,581 | 9.3 | |
Republican | Anthony Leon Alexander | 3,033 | 5.0 | |
Total votes | 60,097 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Tristan Rader, Lakewood city councilor[77][67]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Patrick A. Malley[67]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matthew Diemer | 12,636 | 62.8 | |
Democratic | Tristan Rader | 7,500 | 37.2 | |
Total votes | 20,136 | 100.0 |
Independents
[edit]Filed paperwork
[edit]- Lynn Carol Gorman, minister[82]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Max Miller | 168,002 | 55.3 | ||
Democratic | Matthew Diemer | 135,485 | 44.6 | ||
Write-in | 86 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 303,573 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 8
[edit]
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Davidson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Enoch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district takes in the northern and western suburbs of Cincinnati, including Butler County. The incumbent was Republican Warren Davidson, who was re-elected with 69.0% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Warren Davidson, incumbent U.S. Representative[83][5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Phil Heimlich, former Cincinnati city councilman[84][5]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Warren Davidson (incumbent) | 50,372 | 72.4 | |
Republican | Phil Heimlich | 19,230 | 27.6 | |
Total votes | 69,602 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Vanessa Enoch, former journalist[5]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Vanessa Enoch | 18,290 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 18,290 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Warren Davidson (incumbent) | 180,287 | 64.6 | ||
Democratic | Vanessa Enoch | 98,629 | 35.4 | ||
Total votes | 278,916 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
By county
[edit]County[34] | Warren Davidson Republican | Vanessa Enoch Democratic | Other votes | Total votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Butler | 65.33% | 83,837 | 34.67% | 44,497 | |||
Darke | 84.43% | 16,770 | 15.57% | 3,092 | |||
Hamilton | 56.64% | 60,703 | 43.36% | 46,476 | |||
Miami | 79.69% | 6,183 | 20.31% | 1,576 | |||
Preble | 81.07% | 12,794 | 18.93% | 2,988 |
District 9
[edit]
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Kaptur: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Majewski: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in Northwest Ohio, including Toledo and the western Lake Erie coast. The incumbent was Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] She was running for re-election.
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2022.[86] The seat was significantly changed due to redistricting, losing all of its territory in Lorain and Cuyahoga counties while picking up more territory in northwest Ohio. This turned the district from a safely Democratic seat to a competitive one.
During the campaign, the Associated Press reported that Majewski may have falsified his service record and lied about serving in Afghanistan.[87]
Kaptur was re-elected in 2022; her win was the second largest overperformance by a Democratic candidate of their district's baseline partisanship in the 2022 election, in part due to accusations that Majewski stole valor.[35][88][89]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Marcy Kaptur, incumbent U.S. Representative[90][91]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) | 32,968 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 32,968 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- J.R. Majewski, U.S. Air Force veteran and rapper[93][94]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Beth Deck[91]
- Theresa Gavarone, state senator from the 2nd district and former state representative from the 3rd district[95][91]
- Craig Riedel, state representative from the 82nd district[96][91]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Madison Gesiotto, 2014 Miss Ohio USA, political commentator, and lawyer (running in the 13th district)[97]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Representatives
- Bob Latta, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 5th congressional district (2007–present)[98]
State senators
- Nathan Manning, state senator from the 13th district (2019–present)[99]
State representatives
- Rex Damschroder, former state representative from the 88th district (1995–2002; 2011–2014)[99]
Newspapers and other media
- The Chronicle-Telegram (Republican primary only)[100]
Organizations
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[99]
State representatives
- Cindy Abrams, state representative from the 29th district (2019–present)[103]
- Adam Bird, state representative from the 66th district (2021–present)[103]
- Tom Brinkman, state representative from the 27th district (2001–2008; 2015–present)[103]
- Gary Click, state representative from the 88th district (2021–present)[103]
- Rodney Creech, state representative from the 43rd district (2021–present)[103]
- Jon Cross, state representative from the 83rd district (2019–present)[103]
- Bill Dean, state representative from the 74th district (2016–present)[103]
- Ron Ferguson, state representative from the 96th district (2021–present)[103]
- Mark Fraizer, state representative from the 71st district (2019–present)[103]
- Diane Grendell, state representative from the 76th district (1992–2000; 2019–present)[103]
- Thomas Hall, state representative from the 53rd district (2021–present)[103]
- Adam Holmes, state representative from the 97th district (2019–present)[103]
- Marilyn John, state representative from the 2nd district (2021–present)[103]
- Kris Jordan, state representative from the 67th district (2009–2010; 2019–present) and former state senator from the 19th district (2011–2018)[103]
- Darrell Kick, state representative from the 70th district (2017–present)[103]
- Kyle Koehler, state representative from the 79th district (2015–present)[103]
- Brian Lampton, state representative from the 73rd district (2021–present)[103]
- Laura Lanese, state representative from the 23rd district (2017–present)[103]
- Mike Loychik, state representative from the 63rd district (2021–present)[103]
- Riordan McClain, state representative from the 87th district (2018–present)[103]
- Derek Merrin, state representative from the 47th district (2016–present)[103]
- Kevin D. Miller, state representative from the 72nd district (2021–present)[103]
- Scott Oelslager, state representative from the 48th district (2003–2010; 2019–present) and former state senator from the 29th district (1985–2002; 2011–2018)[103]
- Phil Plummer, state representative from the 40th district (2019–present)[103]
- Jean Schmidt, state representative from the 65th district (2021–present) and the 66th district (2001–2004), former U.S. Representative for OH-02 (2005–2013)[103]
- Bill Seitz, Majority Leader of the Ohio House of Representatives (2017–present), state representative from the 30th district (2001–2007; 2017–present) and former state senator from the 8th district (2007–2016)[103]
- Dick Stein, state representative from the 57th district (2017–present)[103]
- Reggie Stoltzfus, state representative from the 50th district (2019–present)[103]
- Andrea White, state representative from the 41st district (2021–present)[103]
- Scott Wiggam, state representative from the 1st district (2017–present)[103]
- Bob Young, state representative from the 36th district (2021–present)[103]
- Tom Young, state representative from the 42nd district (2021–present)[103]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | J.R. Majewski | 21,850 | 35.8 | |
Republican | Craig Riedel | 18,757 | 30.7 | |
Republican | Theresa Gavarone | 17,542 | 28.7 | |
Republican | Beth Deck | 2,931 | 4.8 | |
Total votes | 61,080 | 100.0 |
Independents
[edit]Filed paperwork
[edit]- Youseff Baddar, teacher and activist[104]
General election
[edit]J.R. Majewski ran on his military experience, claiming to have been a combat veteran deployed to Afghanistan. A public records request by the Associated Press showed that Majewski worked for six months loading planes in Qatar but did not receive any medals given to those who served in Afghanistan, and the campaign did not confirm if he was ever there.[105]
However, in August 2023, the United States Air Force added the Global War on Terrorism Expeditionary Medal to Majewski's record and issued a corrected discharge form. Majewski said that the correction had "vindicated" him, after questions about his military service arose in the media during the 2022 general election. According to The Toledo Blade, Majewski said he did in fact deliver cargo to Afghanistan, among other locations, and that the military still referred to him as a combat veteran even though "not all of us were kicking in doors and shooting people".[106]
Although the district would have gone for Donald Trump by 2.9 points, Kaptur easily won re-election. Kaptur won Erie County, which Trump won by over 10 points, and was the only Democrat to win this county in this election cycle. Her performance was the largest overperformance of the partisan baseline by a Democratic candidate during the 2022 midterms.[88]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[109]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Lean D | September 30, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Lean D | October 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Tossup | October 15, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Lean D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Lean R (flip) | October 17, 2022 |
538[28] | Likely D | October 25, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marcy Kaptur (D) | J. R. Majewski (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Info Strategy Northeast (R)[110] | June 28–29, 2022 | 1,254 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) | 150,655 | 56.6 | ||
Republican | J.R. Majewski | 115,362 | 43.4 | ||
Total votes | 266,017 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 10
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Turner: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Esrati: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district encompasses the Dayton metro area, including Dayton and the surrounding suburbs, as well as Springfield. The incumbent was Republican Mike Turner, who was re-elected with 58.4% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mike Turner, incumbent U.S. Representative[111]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[112]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Turner (incumbent) | 65,734 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 65,734 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Esrati | 10,473 | 31.4 | |
Democratic | Jeff Hardenbrook | 8,633 | 25.9 | |
Democratic | Baxter Stapleton | 8,529 | 25.5 | |
Democratic | Kirk Benjamin | 5,760 | 17.2 | |
Total votes | 33,395 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | April 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | April 6, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Turner (incumbent) | 168,327 | 61.7 | ||
Democratic | David Esrati | 104,634 | 38.3 | ||
Total votes | 272,961 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 11
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Brewer: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 11th district takes in Cleveland and its inner suburbs, including Euclid, Cleveland Heights, and Warrensville Heights. The incumbent was Democrat Shontel Brown, who was elected with 78.8% of the vote in a 2021 special election after the previous incumbent, Marcia Fudge was appointed as the United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development.[114]
The Democratic primary was low-profile, especially in contrast to the highly contentious 2021 special election.[115]
The Congressional Progressive Caucus supported Nina Turner in the Democratic primary for Ohio's 11th congressional district special election in 2021 but switched its endorsement for the 2022 Democratic primary.[116]
Brown was re-elected in 2022.[35]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Shontel Brown, incumbent U.S. Representative[117][118]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution, former state senator for the 25th district, former Cleveland city councilor, national co-chair of the 2016 and 2020 Bernie Sanders presidential campaigns, and candidate for this seat in 2021[119][120][118]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present) and 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017)[121]
- Hillary Clinton, 67th U.S. Secretary of State (2009–2013), former First Lady of the United States (1993–2001), and Democratic nominee for President of the United States in 2016[122]
U.S. Senators
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2007–present)[122]
U.S. Representatives
- Jim Clyburn, U.S. Representative from South Carolina's 6th congressional district (1993–present) and House Majority Whip (2007–2011; 2019–present)[123]
- Hakeem Jeffries, U.S. Representative from New York's 8th congressional district (2013–present) and House Democratic Caucus Chairman (2019–present)[115]
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Representative from California's 12th congressional district (1987–present) and Speaker of the House (2007–2011; 2019–2023)[124]
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative from New York's 15th congressional district (2021–present)[125]
- Nikema Williams, U.S. Representative from Georgia's 5th congressional district (2021–present)