2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ogun State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ogun State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered2,688,305
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Atiku Abubakar
Party APC PDP
Home state Lagos Adamawa
Running mate Kashim Shettima Ifeanyi Okowa
Popular vote 341,554 123,831
Percentage 58.88% 21.35%
 
Nominee Peter Obi Rabiu Kwankwaso
Party LP New Nigeria Peoples Party
Home state Anambra Kano
Running mate Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed Isaac Idahosa
Popular vote 85,829 2,200
Percentage 14.79% 0.38%
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ogun State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

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Ogun State is a small, Yoruba-majority southwestern state with vast natural areas and significant economic growth but facing a lack of affordable housing, an underdeveloped agricultural sector, and brain drain.[citation needed]

Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the state APC's control in the wake of a party rift that led allies of outgoing Governor Ibikunle Amosun to defect to the APM. Despite the defections, the APC held the gubernatorial office by a narrow 3% margin and the party won a majority in the House of Assembly. Federally, the APC swept all three Senate seats and won most House of Representatives seats. For the presidency, Ogun was won by APC nominee Muhammadu Buhari with about 50% but swung slightly towards the PDP.[citation needed]

Polling

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Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 32% 23% 0% 9% – 13% 12% 12%
Nextier
(Ogun crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 35.2% 36.3% – 11.0% 5.5% 12.1% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Ogun crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 18% 22% – 4% 9% 48% – –

Projections

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Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][2] Likely Tinubu 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][3]
Tinubu: 44.95% 11 February 2023
Obi: 18.14%
Abubakar: 21.63%
Others: 15.28%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][4] 		Tinubu 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][5] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][6]
Tinubu: 45% 27 December 2022
Obi: 5%
Kwankwaso: 15%
Abubakar: 20%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[f][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

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Results

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ogun State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

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The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ogun Central Senatorial District[g] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ogun East Senatorial District[h] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ogun West Senatorial District[i] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

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The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Abeokuta North/Obafemi Owode/Odeda Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Abeokuta South Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ado-Odo/Ota Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Egbado North/Imeko-Afon Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Egbado South and Ipokia Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ifo/Ewekoro Federal Constituency[o] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ijebu North/Ijebu East/Ogun Waterside Federal Constituency[p] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ijebu Ode/Odogbolu/Ijebu North East Federal Constituency[q] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ikenne/Shagamu/Remo North Federal Constituency[r] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

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The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Abeokuta North TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Abeokuta South TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ado-Odo/Ota TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ewekoro TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ifo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ijebu East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ijebu North TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ijebu North East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ijebu Ode TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ikenne TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Imeko Afon TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ipokia TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Obafemi Owode TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Odogbolu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Odeda TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ogun Waterside TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Remo North TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Sagamu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Yewa North TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Yewa South TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abeokuta North, Abeokuta South, Ewekoro, Ifo, Obafemi Owode, and Odeda.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ijebu East, Ijebu North, Ijebu Ode, Ikenne, Odogbolu, Ogun Waterside, Remo North, and Sagamu.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ado-Odo/Ota, Imeko Afon, Ipokia, Yewa North, and Yewa South.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abeokuta North, Obafemi Owode, and Odeda.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government area of Abeokuta South.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government area of Ado-Odo/Ota.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Imeko Afon and Yewa North.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Egbado South and Ipokia.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ifo and Ewekoro.
  16. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ijebu East, Ijebu North, and Ogun Waterside.
  17. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ijebu North East, Ijebu Ode, and Odogbolu.
  18. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ikenne, Remo North, and Shagamu.

References

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  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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