2024 Galician regional election
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All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia 38 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Registered | 2,693,816 ![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 1,515,944 (56.3%)![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Constituency results map for the Parliament of Galicia | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 18 February 2024, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
Overview
[edit]Electoral system
[edit]The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]
The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][4]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency is entitled the following seats:[5]
Seats | Constituencies |
---|---|
25 | A Coruña |
22 | Pontevedra |
14 | Lugo |
14 | Ourense |
The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]
Election date
[edit]The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which meant that the legislature's term would expire on 12 July 2024. The election decree had to be published in the DOG no later than 18 June 2024, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 16 August 2024.[1][4]
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[7]
Following Alberto Núñez Feijóo's resignation as president of Galicia to become PP national leader, it was speculated that his successor, Alfonso Rueda, could seek to call a snap election for some time throughout 2023 or even to make it coincide with the scheduled general election in December 2023.[8] Following Pedro Sánchez's surprise announcement of a snap general election on 29 May 2023, Rueda ruled out a simultaneous regional election "because Galicia cannot be infected by instability".[9] It was later commented that a good result for Feijóo in the general election could prompt Rueda to trigger a snap election for late 2023, but the close result on 23 July prevented this from materializing.[10][11][12] Following Sánchez's investiture in November 2023, rumours again emerged that Rueda was planning to hold a snap election for early 2024.[13] Asked on 27 November on whether the Galician election would be held simultaneously with the Basque regional election as had been the case in the four previous occasions, Rueda proclaimed that "Galicia has its own way";[14] later, the president of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) Andoni Ortuzar said in an interview that the Galician election seemed "like it is going to go at full speed", with the Galician government allegedly not wishing a simultaneous election call.[15][16] On 30 November, Rueda acknowledged that he would seek a Galician-only election "without a doubt (...) if that is in the interest of Galicia",[17] and that election preparations were already underway.[18] 18 February has been commented by the media as the most likely date for a snap election to be held.[19][20] Finally on 21 December, Rueda announced a snap election to be held on 18 February 2024.[21] While Basque lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu was informed of this decision,[22] he distanced himself from Rueda arguing that "the Basque Country is not Galicia", thus paving the way for both elections to be held separately for the first time since 2005.[23]
The Parliament of Galicia was officially dissolved on 26 December 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOG, setting the election date for 18 February 2024 and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 18 March.[5]
Parliamentary composition
[edit]The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.[24]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia | PP | 42 | 42 | ||
Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group | BNG | 19 | 19 | ||
Socialists' Parliamentary Group of Galicia | PSdeG–PSOE | 14 | 14 |
Parties and candidates
[edit]The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][25]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
Timetable
[edit]The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[4][25][36]
- 25 December: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the President after deliberation in the Council of Government.[5]
- 26 December: Formal dissolution of the Parliament of Galicia and beginning of a suspension period of events for the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
- 29 December: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions.
- 5 January: Deadline for parties and federations intending to enter into a coalition to inform the relevant electoral commission.
- 15 January: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates to the relevant electoral commission.
- 17 January: Submitted lists of candidates are provisionally published in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG).
- 20 January: Deadline for citizens entered in the Register of Absent Electors Residing Abroad (CERA) and for citizens temporarily absent from Spain to apply for voting.
- 21 January: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to rectify irregularities in their lists.
- 22 January: Official proclamation of valid submitted lists of candidates.
- 23 January: Proclaimed lists are published in the DOG.
- 2 February: Official start of electoral campaigning.[5]
- 8 February: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
- 13 February: Official start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication, dissemination or reproduction and deadline for CERA citizens to vote by mail.
- 14 February: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voters to issue their votes.
- 16 February: Last day of official electoral campaigning and deadline for CERA citizens to vote in a ballot box in the relevant consular office or division.[5]
- 17 February: Official 24-hour ban on political campaigning prior to the general election (reflection day).
- 18 February: Polling day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote). Provisional counting of votes starts immediately.
- 26 February: General counting of votes, including the counting of CERA votes.
- 29 February: Deadline for the general counting of votes to be carried out by the relevant electoral commission.
- 9 March: Deadline for elected members to be proclaimed by the relevant electoral commission.
- 19 March: Deadline for the parliament to be re-assembled (the election decree determines this date).[5]
- 18 April: Final deadline for definitive results to be published in the DOG.
Campaign
[edit]Party slogans
[edit]Party or alliance | Original slogan | English translation | Ref. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
PP | « A Galicia que funciona » | "The Galicia that works" | [37] | |
BNG | « Agora! A Galiza que queres » | "Now! The Galicia you want" | [38] | |
PSdeG–PSOE | « Desta vai! » | "This one goes!" | [38] | |
Sumar | « Farémolo posible » | "We will make it possible" | [38] | |
Podemos | « Defende as túas ideas » | "Defend your ideas" | [39] | |
Vox | « A mellor » « A mejor » | "To better" | [40] |
Election debates
[edit]Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present[b] S Surrogate[c] A Absent invitee | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PP | BNG | PSdeG | Sumar | Podemos | Audience | Ref. | |||||
2 February | El País/ Cadena SER | Ricardo Rodríguez | S Pazos | P Pontón | P Besteiro | NI | NI | — | [41] | ||
5 February | TVG | Marta Darriba Alejandro López | P Rueda | P Pontón | P Besteiro | P Lois | P Faraldo | 18.0%(150,000) | [42] [43] | ||
14 February | RTVE | Xabier Fortes | A | P Pontón | P Besteiro | NI | NI | 17.4%(146,000)[d] | [44] [45] |
Opinion polls
[edit]The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
[edit]The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 regional election | 18 Feb 2024 | — | 56.3 | 47.4 40 | 31.3 25 | 14.1 9 | 0.3 0 | 2.3 0 | – | 1.9 0 | 1.0 1 | 15.8 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 1] | 14–17 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 44.6 39 | 32.1 25 | 14.9 11 | – | 2.5 0 | – | 2.3 0 | 0.7 0 | 12.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 2] | 5–17 Feb 2024 | 2,389 | ? | 47.8 38/40 | 30.8 24/25 | 14.8 10/12 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 2.2 0 | 0.6 0/1 | 17.0 |
GAD3/RTVE[p 3] | 1–17 Feb 2024 | 3,320 | ? | 45.9 39/40 | 33.0 25/26 | 12.5 9/10 | – | 3.1 0 | – | 2.5 0 | 0.7 0/1 | 12.9 |
PSdeG[p 4] | 15 Feb 2024 | ? | ? | ? 37/39 | ? 25/26 | ? 11/13 | 0.5 0 | 2.5 0 | – | 3.0 0 | ? 0 | ? |
KeyData/Público[p 5] | 12 Feb 2024 | ? | 58.7 | 46.0 38/39 | 29.1 23 | 16.0 11/13 | 0.8 0 | 2.5 0 | – | 3.5 0/2 | 0.7 0/1 | 16.9 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 6] | 12 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 44.7 38 | 31.4 23 | 15.6 13 | 0.8 0 | 2.7 0 | – | 3.1 0 | 0.9 1 | 13.3 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 7] | 11–12 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.3 38 | 30.5 23 | 16.8 13 | 0.7 0 | 2.3 0 | – | 3.1 0 | 0.7 1 | 14.8 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 8] | 11–12 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 46.3 38 | 30.4 25 | 14.7 11 | 0.9 0 | 2.1 0 | – | 3.8 0 | 0.8 1 | 15.9 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 9][p 10] | 8–11 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 64.1 | 45.5 39 | 29.5 24 | 16.8 12 | – | ? 0 | – | ? 0 | ? 0 | 16.0 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 11] | 9–10 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.7 38 | 29.7 23 | 17.0 13 | 0.7 0 | 2.2 0 | – | 3.3 0 | 0.8 1 | 16.0 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 12] | 9–10 Feb 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 46.5 39 | 30.2 22 | 14.9 12 | – | 1.5 0 | – | 4.2 1 | 0.8 1 | 16.3 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 13][p 14] | 7–10 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 63.0 | 45.6 39 | 28.4 23 | 17.1 12 | – | ? 0 | – | 3.9 1 | ? 0 | 17.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 15] | 5–10 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 50.8 | 48.6 40/41 | 26.1 21/22 | 16.4 12/13 | 0.3 0 | 1.5 0 | – | 4.2 0/1 | 0.7 0/1 | 22.5 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 16] | 8–9 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.7 38 | 29.0 23 | 17.0 13 | 1.0 0 | 2.2 0 | – | 3.7 0 | 0.8 1 | 16.7 |
Target Point/El Debate[p 17] | 7–9 Feb 2024 | 1,002 | ? | 46.6 38/41 | 27.8 22/24 | 16.0 11/13 | 0.9 0 | 2.3 0 | – | 3.4 0/1 | 0.9 0/1 | 18.6 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 18][p 19] | 6–9 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 62.6 | 46.0 39 | 28.5 23 | 16.8 13 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 3.4 0 | 0.5 0 | 17.5 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 20] | 5–9 Feb 2024 | ? | ? | 44.6 37/39 | 31.1 24/25 | 15.0 11/12 | 0.7 0 | 4.1 0 | – | 3.2 0 | 0.7 0/1 | 13.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 21] | 26 Jan–9 Feb 2024 | 1,480 | ? | 47.8 39/41 | 28.0 21/23 | 17.1 12/13 | 0.6 0 | 1.8 0 | – | 3.4 0 | – | 19.8 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 22] | 7–8 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.4 39 | 29.3 23 | 17.3 13 | 1.0 0 | 2.2 0 | – | 3.6 0 | 0.7 0 | 16.1 |
DYM/El Progreso de Lugo[p 23] | 5–8 Feb 2024 | 1,345 | ? | 46.7 39/40 | 31.0 23/24 | 15.1 11/12 | – | 3.0 0 | – | 2.1 0 | 0.6 0/1 | 15.7 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 24][p 25] | 5–8 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 45.8 39 | 29.1 24 | 16.3 12 | – | 1.8 0 | – | 3.5 0 | 0.5 0 | 16.7 |
Infortécnica/Atlántico[p 26][p 27] | 1–8 Feb 2024 | 1,103 | ? | ? 39/42 | ? 21/23 | ? 11/12 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | ? 0/2 | ? 0/1 | ? |
DemosGal/La Capital[p 28] | 1–8 Feb 2024 | 1,269 | ? | 47.1 39/41 | 23.7 19/20 | 17.3 12/14 | 1.0 0 | 3.6 0 | – | 4.6 0/2 | 0.7 0 | 23.4 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 29] | 6–7 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.0 38 | 28.8 22 | 17.6 14 | 1.1 0 | 2.2 0 | – | 3.8 0 | 0.8 1 | 16.2 |
CIS[p 30][p 31] | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 3,945 | ? | 42.2 34/38 | 33.4 24/31 | 18.1 9/14 | 0.2 0 | 2.4 0/1 | – | 2.8 0/2 | 0.5 0/1 | 8.8 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 32][p 33] | 4–7 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 45.8 39 | 28.6 23 | 16.7 13 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 3.7 0 | 0.7 0 | 17.2 |
40dB/Prisa[p 34][p 35] | 2–7 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 45.2 36/40 | 30.0 22/25 | 15.6 10/13 | 0.6 0 | 2.5 0 | – | 3.3 0 | 0.9 1 | 15.2 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 36] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,503 | ? | 44.5 38 | 31.0 25 | 15.5 12 | – | 3.5 0 | – | 2.5 0 | 0.7 0 | 13.5 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 37] | 5–6 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 44.8 37 | 28.6 23 | 17.2 13 | 1.0 0 | 2.4 0 | – | 4.0 1 | 0.7 1 | 16.2 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 38][p 39] | 3–6 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 46.2 40 | 28.3 22 | 16.2 13 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 3.6 0 | 0.6 0 | 17.9 |
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 40][p 41] | 1–6 Feb 2024 | 1,100 | 50.5 | 48.0 40 | 26.1 21 | 16.7 13 | 0.3 0 | 2.3 0 | – | 3.9 0 | 0.8 1 | 21.9 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 42][p 43] | 2–5 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 62.0 | 46.0 39 | 27.6 22 | 17.3 14 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 3.7 0 | 0.7 0 | 18.4 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 44] | 3–4 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.8 39 | 28.2 22 | 17.4 13 | 0.9 0 | 2.8 0 | – | 3.9 0 | 0.8 1 | 17.6 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 45][p 46] | 1–4 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 45.5 40 | 26.9 20 | 18.0 15 | – | 1.7 0 | – | 4.1 0 | 0.6 0 | 18.6 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 47][p 48] | 31 Jan–3 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 44.9 39 | 27.6 21 | 17.4 14 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 4.3 0 | 0.9 1 | 17.3 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 49][p 50] | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 57.2 | 44.8 39 | 27.0 20 | 17.4 14 | – | 1.8 0 | – | 4.6 1 | 0.8 1 | 17.8 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 51] | 31 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.8 39 | 27.6 23 | 18.5 13 | 0.8 0 | 1.8 0 | – | 3.4 0 | 0.7 0 | 18.2 |
GAD3/Mediaset[p 52] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 800 | ? | 47.6 39 | 29.1 23 | 16.5 13 | 0.5 0 | 1.9 0 | – | 2.1 0 | 0.5 0 | 18.5 |
CIS[p 53][p 54] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 3,743 | ? | 42.2 34/38 | 32.9 22/26 | 20.1 13/15 | 0.3 0 | 0.9 0 | – | 2.1 0/1 | 0.4 0/1 | 9.3 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 55] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 57.0 | 44.5 39 | 26.4 20 | 17.6 14 | – | 2.5 0 | – | 5.0 1 | 0.8 1 | 17.6 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 56] | 27 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 49.6 | 47.9 40/41 | 25.3 19/20 | 17.2 14/15 | – | 1.5 0 | – | 4.3 0/1 | 0.5 0 | 22.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 57] | 26 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,950 | ? | 48.1 39/42 | 24.5 18/20 | 18.5 14/15 | 0.6 0 | 2.2 0 | – | 4.9 1 | 0.5 0 | 23.6 |
DemosGal/La Capital[p 58] | 25 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,567 | ? | 44.6 39 | 22.4 19 | 17.9 15 | 1.9 0 | 4.2 0 | – | 4.3 2 | 0.7 0 | 22.2 |
Infortécnica/Atlántico[p 59][p 60] | 24 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,075 | ? | ? 39/41 | ? 19/21 | ? 13/14 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | ? 0/1 | ? 0/1 | ? |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 61] | 28–31 Jan 2024 | 1,200 | 58.8 | 44.1 39 | 26.9 20 | 17.5 14 | – | 2.9 0 | – | 4.9 1 | 0.7 1 | 17.2 |
Infortécnica/Atlántico[p 62] | 23–27 Jan 2024 | ? | ? | ? 41/42 | ? 17/18 | ? 15/16 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | ? 0/1 | ? 0 | ? |
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 63] | 26 Jan 2024 | ? | 50.3 | 47.7 40 | 24.5 20 | 18.0 14 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | ? 1 | ? 0 | 23.2 |
GAD3/ABC[p 64] | 23–26 Jan 2024 | 800 | ? | 47.3 39/40 | 29.6 23 | 16.5 12/13 | – | 1.8 0 | – | 2.6 0 | 0.5 0 | 17.7 |
Infortécnica/El Progreso[p 65] | 22–26 Jan 2024 | ? | ? | ? 40/42 | ? 16/19 | ? 14/17 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | ? 0/1 | ? 0/1 | ? |
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 66] | 15–26 Jan 2024 | 1,799 | ? | 46.6 38/41 | ? 17/18 | 20.1 15/16 | – | – | – | 5.2 2 | – | ? |
DemosGal/La Capital[p 67] | 18–24 Jan 2024 | 1,259 | ? | ? 40 | ? 18 | ? 15 | ? 0 | ? 0 | – | ? 2 | ? 0 | ? |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 68] | 19–23 Jan 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 45.4 39 | 26.8 23 | 18.8 13 | 1.3 0 | 3.0 0 | – | 3.5 0 | 0.7 0 | 18.6 |
CIS[p 69][p 70] | 8–20 Jan 2024 | 11,011 | ? | 43.2 36/38 | 29.3 20/23 | 20.4 15/17 | 0.4 0 | 1.3 0 | – | 3.5 0/2 | 0.4 1 | 13.9 |
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[p 71] | 12–18 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 46.5 39 | 23.3 19 | 18.3 15 | 1.5 0 | 3.9 1 | – | 4.3 1 | – | 23.2 |
ElectoPanel/Nós Diario[p 72] | 1–18 Jan 2024 | 1,400 | ? | 46.0 39 | 26.3 22 | 18.3 13 | 1.3 0 | 2.7 0 | – | 3.3 0 | 0.7 1 | 19.7 |
Target Point/El Debate[p 73] | 11–16 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 46.9 39/41 | 25.0 19/21 | 17.4 12/14 | 0.6 0 | 2.3 0 | – | 4.0 0/2 | 0.8 0/1 | 21.9 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 74] | 2–12 Jan 2024 | 1,140 | ? | 47.4 38/41 | 23.4 18/19 | 20.6 15/17 | 1.0 0 | 2.1 0 | – | 4.9 1/2 | – | 24.0 |
40dB/Prisa[p 75][p 76] | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 47.5 39/42 | 24.8 19/21 | 17.9 14/15 | 1.1 0 | 2.7 0 | – | 3.4 0 | 0.5 0 | 22.7 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 77] | 29 Dec–4 Jan 2024 | 1,226 | 55 | 43.9 39 | 26.5 20 | 18.7 15 | 0.8 0 | 3.0 0 | – | 4.8 1 | 0.4 0 | 17.4 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 78] | 20 Dec–4 Jan 2024 | 1,550 | ? | 45.8 39 | 26.3 22 | 18.1 13 | 1.1 0 | 4.0 0 | – | 3.3 0 | 0.8 1 | 19.5 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 79] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | ? | 44.6 39 | 25.5 22 | 17.5 14 | 2.1 0 | 3.8 0 | – | 4.4 0 | – | 19.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 80][p 81] | 18–26 Oct 2023 | 1,223 | ? | 46.1 40 | 25.3 19 | 19.4 15 | [e] | – | – | 5.1 1 | – | 20.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 82] | 24 Jul–25 Aug 2023 | 1,410 | ? | 44.2 39 | 26.4 22 | 17.0 14 | 4.0 0 | 4.7 0 | – | – | – | 17.8 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 61.4 | 43.6 (38) | 9.4 (6) | 29.8 (24) | [e] | 4.9 (1) | – | 10.9 (6) | – | 13.8 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 83][p 84] | 13–21 Jun 2023 | 1,223 | ? | 46.6 41 | 26.8 21 | 16.7 13 | 3.7 0 | 2.5 0 | – | – | – | 19.8 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 85][p 86] | 6–19 Oct 2022 | 1,223 | ? | 45.7 40 | 25.9 20 | 15.7 13 | 5.6 2 | 2.7 0 | 1.0 0 | – | – | 19.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 87] | 30 Jun–13 Aug 2022 | 548 | ? | 42.3 37 | 26.2 22 | 19.4 14 | 5.0 2 | 4.8 0 | 0.9 0 | – | – | 16.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 88][p 89] | 16–24 May 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 45.2 39 | 24.8 19 | 18.3 15 | 5.4 2 | – | – | – | – | 20.4 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 90] | 15 Feb–30 Mar 2022 | 360 | ? | 42.0 37 | 26.0 20 | 19.6 15 | 5.0 1 | 5.0 1 | 0.9 0 | – | – | 16.0 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 91][p 92] | 10–22 Feb 2022 | 1,223 | ? | 44.6 39 | 24.5 20 | 17.7 14 | 5.6 2 | – | – | – | – | 20.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 93][p 94] | 14–21 Oct 2021 | 1,223 | ? | 45.5 39 | 25.9 20 | 17.0 14 | 6.0 2 | – | – | – | – | 19.6 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 95][p 96] | 16–23 Jun 2021 | 1,223 | 50 | 45.8 40 | 24.4 18 | 18.0 14 | 6.1 3 | – | – | – | – | 21.4 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 97][p 98] | 21 Jan–2 Feb 2021 | ? | ? | 46.2 39 | 25.6 21 | 16.2 14 | 5.1 1 | – | – | – | – | 20.6 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 99] | 31 Dec 2020 | ? | ? | 47.0 39 | 26.7 22 | 18.3 14 | 2.5 0 | 2.7 0 | 0.7 0 | – | – | 20.3 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 100][p 101] | 1–7 Oct 2020 | 1,223 | ? | 46.9 40 | 27.0 22 | 17.1 13 | – | – | – | – | – | 19.9 |
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 49.0 | 48.0 42 | 23.8 19 | 19.4 14 | 3.9 0 | 2.0 0 | 0.8 0 | – | – | 24.2 |
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 regional election | 18 Feb 2024 | — | 31.6 | 21.1 | 9.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | – | 1.3 | 0.7 | — | 32.7 | 10.5 |
DYM/El Progreso de Lugo[p 23] | 5–8 Feb 2024 | 1,345 | 30.8 | 25.3 | 11.9 | – | 3.8 | – | 3.1 | 1.0 | 14.5 | 5.7 | 5.5 |
CIS[p 30] | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 3,945 | 32.5 | 27.2 | 12.2 | 0.2 | 2.1 | – | 2.2 | 0.5 | 19.0 | 2.6 | 5.3 |
40dB/Prisa[p 35] | 2–7 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 28.9 | 24.3 | 12.2 | 1.0 | 3.2 | – | 3.8 | 1.4 | 14.6 | 6.2 | 4.6 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 36] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,503 | 26.8 | 21.9 | 11.6 | – | 2.0 | – | 1.0 | 0.4 | 35.6 | 4.9 | |
CIS[p 53] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 3,743 | 34.7 | 25.3 | 12.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | – | 2.2 | 0.3 | 19.6 | 2.2 | 9.4 |
CIS[p 69] | 8–20 Jan 2024 | 11,011 | 35.9 | 26.5 | 14.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | – | 2.8 | 0.3 | 15.7 | 1.7 | 9.4 |
40dB/Prisa[p 76] | 2–4 Jan 2024 | 1,200 | 30.8 | 18.7 | 14.9 | 1.3 | 3.2 | – | 4.3 | 0.5 | 16.5 | 6.8 | 12.1 |
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 28.0 | 13.9 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | – | – | — | 41.1 | 14.1 |
Victory preferences
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Other/ None | ![]() | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIS[p 30] | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 3,945 | 35.7 | 30.2 | 14.9 | – | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 5.5 |
CIS[p 53] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 3,743 | 38.4 | 29.8 | 15.4 | – | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 9.6 | 8.6 |
CIS[p 69] | 8–20 Jan 2024 | 11,011 | 37.8 | 29.2 | 16.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 8.8 | 8.6 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Other/ None | ![]() | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIS[p 69] | 8–20 Jan 2024 | 11,011 | 79.6 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 74.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 102] | 31 Dec–12 Jan 2024 | 2,850 | 62.5 | 21.8 | – | 15.7 | 40.7 |
Preferred President
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Other/ None/ Not care | ![]() | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rueda PP | Pontón BNG | Besteiro PSdeG | Lois Sumar | Díaz-Mella Vox | ||||||
DYM/El Progreso de Lugo[p 23] | 5–8 Feb 2024 | 1,345 | 36.5 | 32.5 | 11.6 | – | – | – | – | 4.0 |
CIS[p 30] | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 3,945 | 35.0 | 34.6 | 11.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 10.4 | 0.4 |
40dB/Prisa[p 35] | 2–7 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 33.2 | 30.4 | 11.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset[p 103] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 800 | 41.6 | 26.4 | 10.7 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 15.2 |
CIS[p 53] | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 3,743 | 37.8 | 31.9 | 10.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 11.7 | 5.9 |
GAD3/ABC[p 104] | 23–26 Jan 2024 | 800 | 45.0 | 24.7 | 9.1 | 1.0 | – | 12.7 | 7.5 | 20.3 |
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 66] | 15–26 Jan 2024 | 1,799 | 38.9 | 22.9 | 11.6 | – | – | 12.4 | – | 16.0 |
CIS[p 69] | 8–20 Jan 2024 | 11,011 | 38.1 | 28.5 | 13.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 10.5 | 9.6 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 79] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 14.9 | 4.9 | – | 25.4 | 5.0 |
Predicted President
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Other/ None/ Not care | ![]() | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rueda PP | Pontón BNG | Besteiro PSdeG | ||||||
DemosGal/La Capital[p 28] | 1–8 Feb 2024 | 1,269 | 45.9 | 11.4 | 4.1 | – | 38.6 | 34.5 |
DemosGal/La Capital[p 67] | 18–24 Jan 2024 | 1,259 | 41.9 | 11.4 | 2.8 | – | 43.9 | 30.5 |
Voter turnout
[edit]The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA).
Province | Time | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | 17:00 | 20:00 | |||||||
2020 | 2024 | +/– | 2020 | 2024 | +/– | 2020 | 2024 | +/– | |
A Coruña | 18.79% | 16.73% | –2.06 | 42.84% | 48.57% | +5.73 | 57.97% | 66.17% | +8.20 |
Lugo | 18.20% | 17.76% | –0.44 | 41.89% | 49.75% | +7.86 | 59.97% | 69.83% | +9.86 |
Ourense | 21.70% | 19.28% | –2.42 | 42.69% | 50.19% | +7.50 | 60.79% | 68.96% | +8.17 |
Pontevedra | 19.85% | 16.66% | –3.19 | 43.60% | 49.34% | +5.74 | 58.95% | 67.24% | +8.29 |
Total | 19.42% | 17.12% | –2.30 | 42.97% | 49.17% | +6.20 | 58.88% | 67.30% | +8.42 |
Sources[46] |
Results
[edit]Overall
[edit]![]() | ||||||
Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
People's Party (PP) | 711,713 | 47.39 | –0.57 | 40 | –2 | |
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) | 470,692 | 31.34 | +7.55 | 25 | +6 | |
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) | 211,361 | 14.07 | –5.32 | 9 | –5 | |
Vox (Vox) | 34,045 | 2.27 | +0.22 | 0 | ±0 | |
Unite Galicia (Sumar Galicia)1 | 29,009 | 1.93 | n/a | 0 | ±0 | |
Ourensan Democracy (DO) | 15,442 | 1.03 | New | 1 | +1 | |
Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)2 | 5,932 | 0.40 | –0.06 | 0 | ±0 | |
We Can Galicia (Podemos–AV)1 | 4,420 | 0.29 | n/a | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank Seats (EB) | 2,884 | 0.19 | +0.15 | 0 | ±0 | |
Galicianist Common Space (ECG) | 1,635 | 0.11 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,572 | 0.10 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 13,052 | 0.87 | –0.03 | |||
Total | 1,501,757 | 75 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 1,501,757 | 99.06 | –0.03 | |||
Invalid votes | 14,187 | 0.94 | +0.03 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 1,515,944 | 56.27 | +7.30 | |||
Abstentions | 1,177,872 | 43.73 | –7.30 | |||
Registered voters | 2,693,816 | |||||
Sources[47] | ||||||
Footnotes:
|
Distribution by constituency
[edit]Constituency | PP | BNG | PSdeG | DO | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
A Coruña | 47.7 | 13 | 32.5 | 9 | 13.0 | 3 | ||
Lugo | 53.3 | 8 | 25.0 | 4 | 17.3 | 2 | ||
Ourense | 50.1 | 8 | 25.0 | 4 | 12.4 | 1 | 8.7 | 1 |
Pontevedra | 44.0 | 11 | 34.4 | 8 | 14.8 | 3 | ||
Total | 47.4 | 40 | 31.3 | 25 | 14.1 | 9 | 1.0 | 1 |
Sources[47] |
Aftermath
[edit]Under Article 15 of the Statute, investiture processes to elect the president of the Regional Government of Galicia required of an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If the proposed candidate was not elected, successive proposals were to be transacted under the same procedure.[1]
Investiture Alfonso Rueda (PP) | ||
Ballot → | 11 April 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 38 out of 75 ![]() | |
Yes
| 40 / 75 | |
34 / 75 | ||
Abstentions
| 1 / 75 | |
Absentees | 0 / 75 | |
Sources[48] |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Results for GeC–AM (3.94%, 0 seats) and Equo Galicia (0.07%, 0 seats) in the 2020 election.
- ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
- ^ In Galicia, the debate was broadcast on La 1 (113,000; 13.5%) and 24 Horas (33,000; 3.9%). Nationwide, the debate was broadcast on 24 Horas (111,000; 0.9%).
- ^ a b Within Sumar.
References
[edit]- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "Última encuesta de Sondaxe: PP 39 diputados, BNG 25 y PSdeG 11". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantendría la mayoría absoluta en Galicia y el BNG devora al PSOE, según el sondeo de Sigma Dos para EL MUNDO". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 February 2024.
- ^ "Sondeo: el PP mantendría la mayoría absoluta en Galicia con un BNG disparado y un PSdeG que caería a su peor resultado". RTVE (in Spanish). 18 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuestas internas hunden al PSdeG a los 11 escaños y disparan al 30% la fuga al BNG". The Objective (in Spanish). 15 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP, a punto de perder la mayoría absoluta en Galicia". Público (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta Galicia (EM-Analytics 12feb): el PP al límite de perder la Xunta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro de EM-Analytics (12 de febreiro): O BNG, a catro décimas de arrebatarlle un escano ao PP na Coruña e a cinco de quitarlle outro en Pontevedra". Nós Diario (in Galician). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta ESdiario Galicia: el PP conserva la Xunta al límite con el BNG subiendo". ESdiario (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "La última encuesta de Sondaxe: el PP mantendría la mayoría absoluta con 39 escaños en un Parlamento con tres partidos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 12/02/2024 (tracking 12): PP 45,5% (39), BNG 29,5% (24), PSdeG-PSOE 16,8% (12)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro de EM-Analytics (11 de febreiro): o BNG roza o 30% fronte a un PP á baixa". Nós Diario (in Galician). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP seguirá gobernando Galicia con una mayoría absoluta raspada y el BNG sube a costa del PSOE". OKDiario (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Recta final para las elecciones gallegas con una ajustada mayoría absoluta para Alfonso Rueda". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 12/02/2024 (tracking 11): PP 45,6% (39), BNG 28,4% (23), PSdeG-PSOE 17,1% (12), SUMAR 3,9% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantiene la Xunta y el PSOE se queda en mínimos históricos". La Razón (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Avance do barómetro de EM-Analytics (10 de febreiro): o PP perde un escano e sitúase a décimas de perder dous máis". Nós Diario (in Galician). 10 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantendría su mayoría absoluta a una semana de las elecciones en Galicia pese a la mejora del BNG". El Debate (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP asienta su mayoría absoluta y es la fuerza que más sube en estimación de voto desde el inicio de la campaña". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 11/02/2024 (tracking 10): PP 46,0% (39), BNG 28,5% (23), PSdeG-PSOE 16,8% (13), SUMAR 3,4%, VOX 1,9%, DO 0,5%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP se aferra a una ajustada mayoría absoluta en Galicia con riesgo de perderla en la recta final". El Español (in Spanish). 12 February 2023.
- ^ "El PP resiste en Galicia ante un BNG disparado a costa de Sánchez y Díaz". El Mundo (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "Avance do barómetro de EM-Analytics (9 de febreiro): a dispersión do voto da esquerda mantén a maioría do PP por unhas décimas". Nós Diario (in Galician). 9 February 2024.
- ^ a b c "El PP mantendrá la Xunta ante un BNG que crece y un PSOE que pierde peso". El Progreso de Lugo (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "La brecha entre los partidos de izquierda se agranda". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 10 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 10/02/2024 (tracking 9): PP 45,8% (39), BNG 29,1% (24), PSdeG-PSOE 16,3% (12), SUMAR 3,5%, VOX 1,8%, DO 0,5%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 10 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta elecciones gallegas: el PP mantiene el listón de la mayoría absoluta el 18F". Atlántico (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Infortécnica 11/02/2024: PP 39/42, BNG 21/23, PSdeG-PSOE 11/12, SUMAR 0/2, DO 0/1". Electográfica (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ a b "Rueda se mantiene como claro ganador a solo siete días de las elecciones". Diario de Ferrol (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "Avance do barómetro de EM-Analytics (8 de febreiro): PP e BNG disputan por décimas a Presidencia da Xunta da Galiza". Nós Diario (in Galician). 8 February 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Galicia 2024 (Estudio nº 3442. Febrero 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3442. Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Galicia 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP y el BNG, los que más votos retienen desde las generales". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 9 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 09/02/2024 (tracking 8): PP 45,8% (39), BNG 28,6% (23), PSdeG-PSOE 16,7% (13), SUMAR 3,7%, VOX 1,9%, DO 0,7%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 February 2024.
- ^ "La mayoría del PP en Galicia peligra a una semana de las elecciones". El País (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ a b c "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones gallegas. Ola 2. Febrero 2024" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ a b "Rueda conserva la mayoría absoluta pero el bipartito con Pontón se queda a las puertas". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "Avance do barómetro de EM-Analytics (7 de febreiro): o PP perde a maioría absoluta e Pontón abeira a Presidencia". Nós Diario (in Galician). 7 February 2024.
- ^ "El PSdeG no termina de arrancar llegado el ecuador de la campaña en la encuesta diaria de Sondaxe". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 8 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 08/02/2024 (tracking 7): PP 46,2% (40), BNG 28,3% (22), PSdeG-PSOE 16,2% (13), SUMAR 3,6%, VOX 1,9%, DO 0,6%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 8 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP apunta a una holgada mayoría absoluta en Galicia". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 8 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 08/02/2024: PP 48,0% (40), BNG 26,1% (21), PSdeG-PSOE 16,7% (13), SUMAR 3,9%, VOX 2,3%, DO 0,8% (1), PODEMOS-AV 0,3%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 8 February 2024.
- ^ "Baile de diputados en la encuesta diaria de Sondaxe por tercer día consecutivo". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 7 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 07/02/2024 (tracking 6): PP 46,0% (39), BNG 27,6% (22), PSdeG-PSOE 17,3% (14), SUMAR 3,7%, VOX 1,9%, DO 0,6%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 7 February 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro de EM-Analytics (5 de febreiro): O PP volve a 39 escanos pero ten o último en todas as circunscricións". Nós Diario (in Galician). 5 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta diaria de Sondaxe: Rueda y Besteiro sumarían un diputado más cada uno en un Parlamento con tres partidos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 6 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 06/02/2024 (tracking 5): PP 45,5% (40), BNG 26,9% (20), PSdeG-PSOE 18,0% (15), SUMAR 4,1%, VOX 1,7%, DO 0,6%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 6 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta diaria de Sondaxe: los partidos intentan movilizar el voto femenino, que se decanta más por PP y Bloque". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 05/02/2024 (tracking 4): PP 44,9% (39), BNG 27,6% (21), PSdeG-PSOE 17,4% (14), SUMAR 4,3%, VOX 1,9%, DO 0,9% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta diaria de Sondaxe: pugna abierta por los últimos escaños en dos provincias en los primeros días de campaña". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 04/02/2024 (tracking 3): PP 44,8% (39), BNG 27,0% (20), PSdeG-PSOE 17,4% (14), SUMAR 4,6% (1), VOX 1,8%, DO 0,8% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
- ^ "Avance do barómetro electoral de EM-Analytics (2 de febreiro): o PP mantería a absoluta, mais suma menos votos que BNG e PSdeG". Nós Diario (in Galician). 1 February 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Elecciones a la Xunta de Galicia". GAD3 (in Spanish). 6 February 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Precampaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Galicia 2024 (Estudio nº 3440. Enero-febrero 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3440. Precampaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Galicia 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta diaria de Sondaxe: PP y BNG muestran la mayor fidelidad de voto, y el PSdeG solo sostiene la mitad de apoyos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 3 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP conserva la mayoría absoluta en Galicia pese a la ofensiva del Gobierno". La Razón (in Spanish). 2 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP consolida su mayoría absoluta en Galicia y el PSOE entra en barrena en plena tramitación de la amnistía". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 February 2024.
- ^ "Un tripartito no lograría sobrepasar al Partido Popular, que mantendría 39 escaños". El Ideal Gallego (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP gallego se sostiene en la mayoría absoluta". Atlántico (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
- ^ "[A] GALICIA. Encuesta Infortécnica 04/02/2024: PP 39/42, BNG 19/21, PSdeG-PSOE 13/14, SUMAR 0/1, DO 0/1". Electográfica (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
- ^ "Alfonso Rueda lograría una mayoría absoluta ajustada en un Parlamento con cinco partidos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 2 February 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta electoral 18F. El PP tiene a su alcance repetir la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones gallegas". Atlántico (in Spanish). 28 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantendría el Gobierno en Galicia, según Celeste-Tel". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 26 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantendrá la mayoría absoluta en Galicia ante un PSOE que se hunde". ABC (in Spanish). 28 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantiene la mayoría absoluta, el BNG se estanca y el PSdeG sube ligeramente". El Progreso (in Spanish). 27 January 2024.
- ^ a b "El PP mantendría la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones de Galicia y Sumar entraría en el Parlamento con 2 escaños, según Sigma Dos". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 30 January 2024.
- ^ a b "Alfonso Rueda mantiene la mayoría absoluta a pesar de un ligero descenso del voto". Diario de Arousa (in Spanish). 28 January 2024.
- ^ "Avance do barómetro electoral de EM-Analytics: o PP baixa 0,6 puntos nunha semana e a oposición sobe 1,2". Nós Diario (in Galician). 27 January 2024.
- ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral de Galicia. Elecciones autonómicas 2024 (Estudio nº 3437. Enero 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 25 January 2024.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3437. Preelectoral de Galicia. Elecciones autonómicas 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 25 January 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta Galicia: el PP pierde tres escaños pero Rueda mantiene la mayoría absoluta en plena crisis de los pellets". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 20 January 2024.
- ^ "Avance do primeiro barómetro en 'Nós Diario': o PP baixa, o BNG sobe, o PSdeG resiste e DO entra". Nós Diario (in Galician). 20 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP conseguiría su quinta mayoría absoluta en Galicia y Sumar podría entrar en el Parlamento". El Debate (in Spanish). 18 January 2024.
- ^ "Rueda encamina al PP hacia su quinta mayoría absoluta en Galicia pese a la campaña de los pellets". El Mundo (in Spanish). 15 January 2024.
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