Canadian federal election results in Southern Durham and York

Seats obtained by party
  Independents

Canadian federal elections have provided the following results in the suburban sections of Durham and York Regions.

Regional profile

[edit]

The region is within the 905 Area Code (often referred to as the "905 belt"), and is populated predominantly by middle class, suburban voters. After leaning Liberal from 1968 to 1974, the area tilted conservative in the late 1970s and 1980s, when it only had three seats, helping the PCs win two majority governments in the 1980s. Support for the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation and the New Democratic Party, however, was heavy in the unionist city of Oshawa, especially when popular NDP leader Ed Broadbent held that seat from the late 1960s to late 1980s.

However, rapid growth of the Greater Toronto Area accompanied with an influx of immigrants and urban professionals turned the region into a Liberal stronghold, similar to the outer areas of the City of Toronto and the Mississauga-Brampton-Oakville area to the west of Toronto. The only standout being the election of a PC MP in Markham in 1997. By 2000, the Liberals swept all seven of its seats and its provincial rejection of the Tories in 2003 helped to secure Dalton McGuinty's provincial liberal landslide majority.

In 2006, the Liberals easily held onto most of the seats, with the exception of Oshawa and Whitby—Oshawa, which were taken by the Conservatives. In 2008, the Conservatives gained another two seats, Thornhill and Oak Ridges—Markham, and in a 2010 by-election the riding of Vaughan. In 2011, the Conservatives took another 3 seats (Ajax—Pickering, Pickering—Scarborough East and Richmond Hill); leaving the Liberals with one seat of nine in the area - Markham—Unionville. In 2015, however, the meltdown of Tory support in southern Ontario saw the Liberals seize all but three of the region's 12 seats, those being Oshawa, Thornhill, and - surprisingly - Markham—Unionville, a riding with historically low Conservative support.

The region saw very little change in votes shares the 2019 and 2021 elections. The Conservatives flipped Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill in a 2018 by-election, retained it in 2019 but lost it to the Liberals in 2021 along with Markham—Unionville whereby King—Vaughan went in the other direction.

Votes by party throughout time

[edit]
Election Liberal Conservative New Democratic Green People's PC Reform /
Alliance
Others
1979 46,819
28.2%
48,191
29.0%
69,963
42.1%
1,087
0.7%
1980 49,904
31.1%
48,506
30.2%
60,647
37.8%
1,053
0.7%
1984 43,272
20.6%
48,164
22.9%
86,146
41.0%
32,609
15.5%
1988 91,073
33.7%
48,953
18.1%
123,118
45.6%
6,724
2.5%
1993 161,775
50.5%
13,546
4.2%
402
0.1%
58,191
18.2%
78,006
24.3%
8,247
2.6%
1997 168,932
50.7%
21,431
6.4%
80,670
24.2%
57,717
17.3%
4,352
1.3%
2000 201,228
59.3%
14,428
4.3%
2,179
0.6%
46,504
13.7%
73,092
21.5%
1,259
0.4%
2004 238,824
52.8%
136,942
30.3%
55,992
12.4%
17,411
3.8%
1,603
0.4%
2006 254,659
48.7%
178,165
34.1%
65,685
12.6%
20,380
3.9%
2,248
0.4%
2008 195,238
40.5%
192,317
39.9%
60,008
12.5%
32,056
6.7%
1,921
0.4%
2011 149,405
27.8%
268,791
50.0%
100,359
18.7%
16,941
3.2%
750
0.1%
2015 296,204
45.6%
277,441
42.7%
62,307
9.6%
11,639
1.8%
1,657
0.3%
2019 300,748
43.7%
264,352
38.4%
72,853
10.6%
27,249
4.0%
8,303
1.2%
14,607
2.1%
2021 275,282
45.3%
232,987
38.4%
67,738
11.2%
8,175
1.3%
21,691
3.6%
1,464
0.2%

Detailed results

[edit]

2015

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Conservative NDP Liberal Green Other
Ajax Chris Alexander
19,374
34.41%
Stephanie Brown
4,630
8.22%
Mark Holland
31,458
55.87%
Jeff Hill
788
1.40%
Bob Kesic (United)
57
0.10%
Chris Alexander
Ajax—Pickering
Aurora—Oak Ridges—
Richmond Hill
Costas Menegakis
23,039
45.19%
Brenda Power
2,912
5.71%
Leona Alleslev
24,132
47.34%
Randi Ramdeen
654
1.28%
Kyle Bowles (Animal All.)
243
0.48%
New District
King—Vaughan Konstantin Toubis
24,170
44.20%
Natalie Rizzo
3,571
6.53%
Deb Schulte
25,908
47.38%
Ann Raney
1,037
1.90%
New District
Markham—Stouffville Paul Calandra
25,565
42.77%
Gregory Hines
3,647
6.10%
Jane Philpott
29,416
49.21%
Myles O'Brien
1,145
1.92%
Paul Calandra
Oak Ridges—Markham
Markham—Thornhill Jobson Easow
13,849
32.31%
Senthi Chelliah
4,595
10.72%
John McCallum
23,878
55.72%
Joshua Russell
535
1.25%
New District
Markham—Unionville Bob Saroya
24,605
49.37%
Colleen Zimmerman
2,528
5.07%
Bang-Gu Jiang
21,596
43.33%
Elvin Kao
1,110
2.23%
John McCallum
Oshawa Colin Carrie
23,162
38.17%
Mary Fowler
19,339
31.87%
Tito-Dante Marimpietri
16,588
27.33%
Michael Dempsey
1,522
2.51%
David Gershuny (M-L)
75
0.12%
Colin Carrie
Pickering—Uxbridge Corneliu Chisu
22,591
38.19%
Pamela Downward
5,446
9.21%
Jennifer O'Connell
29,757
50.30%
Anthony Jordan Navarro
1,365
2.31%
Corneliu Chisu
Pickering—Scarborough East
Richmond Hill Michael Parsa
21,275
43.32%
Adam DeVita
3,950
8.04%
Majid Jowhari
23,032
46.90%
Gwendolyn Veenema
856
1.74%
Costas Menegakis
Thornhill Peter Kent
31,911
58.56%
Lorne Cherry
2,814
5.16%
Nancy Coldham
18,395
33.76%
Josh Rachlis
627
1.15%
Gene Balfour (Libert.)
587 1.08%
Peter Kent
Margaret Leigh Fairbairn (Seniors)
157 0.29%
Vaughan—Woodbridge Julian Fantino
20,746
43.86%
Adriana Marie Zichy
2,198
4.65%
Francesco Sorbara
23,041
48.71%
Elise Boulanger
597
1.26%
Anthony Gualtieri (Libert.)
716
1.51%
Julian Fantino
Vaughan
Whitby Pat Perkins
27,154
42.09%
Ryan Kelly
6,677
10.35%
Celina Caesar-Chavannes
29,003
44.95%
Craig Cameron
1,403
2.17%
Jon O'Connor (Ind.)
279
0.43%
Pat Perkins
Whitby—Oshawa

2011

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Conservative Liberal NDP Green Other
Ajax—Pickering Chris Alexander
24,797
44.07%
Mark Holland
21,569
38.33%
Jim Koppens
8,270
14.70%
Mike Harilaid
1,561
2.77%
Bob Kesic (United)
71
0.13%
Mark Holland
Markham—Unionville Bob Saroya
17,734
35.55%
John McCallum
19,429
38.95%
Nadine Marie Hawkins
10,897
21.84%
Adam Poon
1,597
3.20%
Allen Small (Libert.)
231
0.46%
John McCallum
Oak Ridges—Markham Paul Calandra
46,241
51.12%
Lui Temelkovski
25,561
28.26%
Janice Hagan
15,229
16.84%
Trifon Haitas
2,349
2.60%
John Siciliano (PC)
1,080
1.19%
Paul Calandra
Oshawa Colin Carrie
26,034
51.31%
James Cooper Morton
3,536
6.97%
Chris Buckley
19,212
37.87%
Gail Bates
1,631
3.21%
Matthew Belanger (Libert.)
260 0.51%
Colin Carrie
David Gershuny (M-L)
61 0.12%
Pickering—
Scarborough East
Corneliu Chisu
19,220
40.11%
Dan McTeague
18,013
37.59%
Andrea Moffat
8,932
18.64%
Kevin Smith
1,751
3.65%
Dan McTeague
Richmond Hill Costas Menegakis
22,078
44.14%
Bryon Wilfert
17,671
35.33%
Adam DeVita
8,433
16.86%
Cameron W. Hastings
1,832
3.66%
Bryon Wilfert
Thornhill Peter Kent
36,629
61.38%
Karen Mock
14,125
23.67%
Simon Strelchik
7,141
11.97%
Norbert Koehl
1,562
2.62%
Liz White (AAEVP)
215 0.36%
Peter Kent
Vaughan Julian Fantino
38,533
56.32%
Mario Ferri
20,435
29.87%
Mark Pratt
7,940
11.60%
Claudia Rodriguez-Larrain
1,515
2.21%
Julian Fantino
Whitby—Oshawa Jim Flaherty
37,525
58.42%
Trevor Bardens
9,066
14.11%
Trish McAuliffe
14,305
22.27%
Rebecca Harrison
3,143
4.89%
Josh Insang (Libert.)
198 0.31%
Jim Flaherty

2008

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Conservative Liberal NDP Green Other
Ajax—Pickering Rick Johnson
18,471
37.95%
Mark Holland
21,675
44.53%
Bala Thavarajasoorier
4,422
9.08%
Mike Harilaid
3,543
7.28%
Kevin Norng (CHP)
398 0.82%
Mark Holland
Stephanie Wilson (Libert.)
167 0.34%
Markham—Unionville Duncan Fletcher
13,855
30.13%
John McCallum
25,296
55.02%
Nadine Hawkins
4,682
10.18%
Leonard Aitken
1,921
4.18%
Allen Small (Libert.)
225
0.49%
John McCallum
Oak Ridges—Markham Paul Calandra
32,028
42.24%
Lui Temelkovski
31,483
41.52%
Andy Arifin
7,126
9.40%
Richard Taylor
5,184
6.84%
Lui Temelkovski
Oshawa Colin Carrie
19,951
41.37%
Sean Godfrey
7,741
16.05%
Mike Shields
16,750
34.73%
Pat Gostlin
3,374
7.00%
David Gershuny (M-L)
117 0.24%
Colin Carrie
Alex Kreider (CAP)
52 0.11%
Peter Vogel (CHP)
246 0.51%
Pickering—
Scarborough East
George Khouri
14,940
32.45%
Dan McTeague
22,874
49.69%
Andrea Moffat
4,875
10.59%
Jason Becevello
3,023
6.57%
Rick Chue (CHP)
191 0.41%
Dan McTeague
Chai Kalevar (CAP)
130 0.28%
Richmond Hill Chungsen Leung
16,318
35.69%
Bryon Wilfert
21,488
47.00%
Wess Dowsett
4,526
9.90%
Dylan Marando
3,388
7.41%
Bryon Wilfert
Thornhill Peter Kent
26,660
49.01%
Susan Kadis
21,448
39.43%
Simon Strelchik
3,601
6.62%
Norbert Koehl
2,686
4.94%
Susan Kadis
Vaughan Richard Lorello
19,390
34.33%
Maurizio Bevilacqua
27,773
49.18%
Vicky Wilkin
5,442
9.64%
Adrian Visentin
3,870
6.85%
Maurizio Bevilacqua
Whitby—Oshawa Jim Flaherty
30,704
50.99%
Brent Fullard
15,460
25.68%
David Purdy
8,584
14.26%
Doug Anderson
5,067
8.42%
Yvonne Forbes (CHP)
395
0.66%
Jim Flaherty

2006

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Conservative NDP Green Other
Ajax—Pickering Mark Holland
25,636
49.38%
Rondo Thomas
16,992
32.73%
Kevin Modeste
6,655
12.82%
Russell Korus
2,199
4.24%
Kevin Norng (CHP)
435
0.84%
Mark Holland
Markham—Unionville John McCallum
32,769
61.89%
Joe Li
14,153
26.73%
Janice Hagan
4,257
8.04%
Wesley Weese
1,146
2.16%
Fayaz Choudhary (PC)
321 0.61%
John McCallum
Partap Dua (Ind.)
297 0.56%
Oak Ridges—Markham Lui Temelkovski
35,083
47.06%
Bob Callow
28,683
38.47%
Pamela Courtout
7,367
9.88%
Steve Armes
3,423
4.59%
Lui Temelkovski
Oshawa Louise Parkes
12,831
23.98%
Colin Carrie
20,657
38.61%
Sid Ryan
17,905
33.47%
Adam Jobse
2,019
3.77%
David Gershuny (M-L)
91
0.17%
Colin Carrie
Pickering—
Scarborough East
Dan McTeague
27,719
52.68%
Tim Dobson
16,693
31.73%
Gary Dale
6,090
11.57%
Jeff Brownridge
1,869
3.55%
Pedro Gonsalves (Ind.)
176 0.33%
Dan McTeague
Chai Kalevar (CAP)
70 0.13%
Richmond Hill Bryon Wilfert
27,837
53.58%
Joe Di Paola
16,564
31.88%
Wess Dowsett
5,176
9.96%
Tim Rudkins
2,379
4.58%
Bryon Wilfert
Thornhill Susan Kadis
29,934
53.10%
Anthony Reale
19,005
33.71%
Simon Strelchik
4,405
7.81%
Lloyd Helferty
1,934
3.43%
Mark Abramowitz (PC)
1,094
1.94%
Susan Kadis
Vaughan Maurizio Bevilacqua
36,968
59.72%
Richard Majkot
16,124
26.05%
Yurgo Alexopoulos
5,114
8.26%
Adrian Visentin
3,004
4.85%
Paolo Fabrizio (Libert.)
688
1.11%
Maurizio Bevilacqua
Whitby—Oshawa Judi Longfield
25,882
38.75%
Jim Flaherty
29,294
43.86%
Maret Sadem-Thompson
8,716
13.05%
Ajay Krishnan
2,407
3.60%
Tom Cochrane (CAP)
217 0.32%
Judi Longfield
Marty Gobin (Libert.)
274 0.41%
Key map
  1. Ajax-Pickering
  2. Markham-Unionville
  3. Oak Ridges-Markham
  4. Oshawa
  5. Pickering-Scarborough East
  6. Richmond Hill
  7. Thornhill
  8. Vaughan
  9. Whitby-Oshawa

2004

[edit]

Party rankings

[edit]

For the first time since 1988 the Liberals ranked third in a riding of the region (in Oshawa) whereas the NDP achieved its first second position since that date.

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Liberal 8 0 1 0
Conservative 1 7 0 0
New Democratic 0 1 6 0
Green 0 0 0 7
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Conservative NDP Green Other
Ajax—Pickering Mark Holland
21,706
René Soetens
14,666
Kevin Modeste
5,286
Karen MacDonald
1,951
New district
Markham—Unionville John McCallum
30,442
Joe Li
10,325
Janice Hagan
3,993
Ed Wong
1,148
John McCallum
Markham
Oak Ridges—Markham Lui Temelkovski
31,964
Bob Callow
20,712
Pamela Courtot
5,430
Bernadette Manning
2,406
Jim Conrad (PC)
820
Maurice Whittle (CHP)
458
New district
Oshawa Louise Parkes
14,510
Colin Carrie
15,815
Sid Ryan
15,352
Liisa Whalley
1,850
Tim Sullivan (M-L)
91
Ivan Grose
Pickering—Scarborough East Dan McTeague
27,312
Tim Dobson
13,417
Gary Dale
5,392
Matthew Pollesel
1,809
  Dan McTeague
Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge
Richmond Hill Bryon Wilfert
27,102
Peter Merrifield
11,530
Nella Cotrupi
4,495
Tim Rudkins
2,144
Ellena Lam (PC)
1,074
Bryon Wilfert
Oak Ridges
Thornhill Susan Kadis
28,709
Josh Cooper
18,125
Rick Morelli
3,671
Lloyd Helferty
1,622
Simion Iron (Ind.)
233
Benjamin Fitzerman (Ind.)
241
Elinor Caplan
Vaughan Maurizio Bevilacqua
31,430
Joe Spina
11,821
Octavia Beckles
4,371
Russell Korus
1,722
Paolo Fabrizio (Libert.)
388
Walter Aolari (CAP)
192
Maurizio Bevilacqua
Vaughan—King—Aurora
Whitby—Oshawa Judi Longfield
25,649
Ian MacNeil
20,531
Maret Sadem-Thompson
8,002
Michael MacDonald
2,759
  Judi Longfield
Whitby—Ajax

Maps

[edit]

2000

[edit]

Party rankings

[edit]

The Liberal easily won in all 7 ridings with significant margins. The Canadian Alliance was able to significantly distance the Progressive Conservatives (who had arrived first or second in most ridings in 1997) ranking second in all 7 ridings.

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Liberal 7 0 0 0
Alliance 0 7 0 0
Progressive Conservative 0 0 7 0
New Democratic 0 0 0 7
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Canadian Alliance NDP PC Other
Markham John McCallum
32,104
66.64%
Jim Jones
9,015
18.71%
Janice Hagan
1,129
2.34%
David Scrymgeour
5,085
10.55%
Akber Choudhry (Ind.)
222 0.46%
Jim Conrad (CAP)
130 0.27%
Bernadette Manning (Green)
493 1.02%
Jim Jones
Oak Ridges Bryon Wilfert
33,058
59.41%
Bob Callow
11,714
21.05%
Joseph Thevarkunnel
1,623
2.92%
John Oostrom
8,409
15.11%
Steven Haylestrom (Green)
672 1.21%
Mary Wan (NLP)
172 0.31%
Bryon Wilfert
Oshawa Ivan Grose
16,179
42.92%
Barry Bussey
10,863
28.82%
Bruce Rogers
4,203
11.15%
Bruce L. Wright
5,675
15.05%
David Gershuny (M-L)
97 0.26%
Craig James Michael McMillan (Mar.)
679 1.80%
Ivan Grose
Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge Dan McTeague
28,834
57.44%
Ken Griffith
11,941
23.79%
Ralph Chatoor
1,523
3.03%
Michael Hills
6,883
13.71%
Chris Pennington (Green)
1,014
2.02%
Dan McTeague
Thornhill Elinor Caplan
27,152
64.59%
Robert Goldin
6,643
15.80%
Nathan Rotman
1,653
3.93%
Lou Watson
6,338
15.08%
Art Jaszczyk (CAP)
254
0.60%
Elinor Caplan
Vaughan—King—Aurora Maurizio Bevilacqua
38,208
67.22%
Adrian Visentin
9,757
17.17%
Octavia Beckles
1,938
3.41%
Menotti Mazzuca
6,551
11.53%
Lesley Knight (NA)
384
0.68%
Maurizio Bevilacqua
Whitby—Ajax Judi Longfield
25,693
52.68%
Shaun Gillespie
13,159
26.98%
Vic Perroni
2,359
4.84%
Rob Chopowick
7,563
15.51%
Judi Longfield

1997

[edit]

Party rankings

[edit]
Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Liberal 6 1 0 0
Progressive Conservative 1 4 2 0
Reform 0 2 5 0
New Democratic 0 0 0 7
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Reform NDP PC Other
Markham Gobinder Randhawa
16,810
John Paloc
4,947
Bhanu Gaunt
1,482
Jim Jones
20,449
2,060 Jag Bhaduria[a]
Markham—Whitchurch-Stouffville
Oak Ridges Bryon Wilfert
27,394
Edward Sarafian
7,568
Wynne Hartviksen
2,411
John Andersen
12,232
448 New district
Oshawa Ivan Grose
15,925
Andrew Davies
11,974
Brian Nicholson
7,350
Alan Hayes
6,972
Ivan Grose
Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge Dan McTeague
26,003
Ken Griffith
10,537
Douglas W. Grey
2,576
Leanne Lewis
10,802
Dan McTeague
Ontario
Thornhill Elinor Caplan
25,747
Aurel David
3,441
Helen Breslauer
2,008
Bill Fisch
11,517
926 New district
Vaughan—King—Aurora Maurizio Bevilacqua
33,502
Maralyn Hazelgrove
7,273
Robert Navarretta
2,250
Lara Coombs
8,591
524 Maurizio Bevilacqua
York North
Whitby—Ajax Judi Longfield
23,551
Bill Serjeantson
11,977
Karen Dolan
3,354
Frank Snyder
10,107
394 New district

1993

[edit]

Party rankings

[edit]
Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Liberal 4 0 0 0
Reform 0 3 1 0
Progressive Conservative 0 1 3 0
New Democratic 0 0 0 4
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Reform NDP PC Other
Markham—Whitchurch-Stouffville Jag Bhaduria
35,909
Joe Sherren
17,937
Jack Grant
1,692
Bill Attewell
19,695
1,985 Bill Attewell
Ontario Dan McTeague
38,680
Don Sullivan
28,097
Lynn Jacklin
2,746
René Soetens
16,872
2,836 René Soetens
Oshawa Ivan Grose
15,651
Andrew Davies
11,826
Michael Breaugh
6,102
Linda Dionne
6,140
1,174 Michael Breaugh[b]
York North Maurizio Bevilacqua
71,535
Heather Sinclair
20,146
Peter M.A. DeVita
3,006
Dario D'Angela
15,484
2,841 Maurizio Bevilacqua[c]

1988

[edit]

Party rankings

[edit]
Parties 1st 2nd 3rd
Progressive Conservative 2 2 0
Liberal 1 2 1
New Democratic 1 0 3
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Other
Markham Bill Attewell
36,673
Jag Bhaduria
21,973
Susan Krone
6,209
4,211 New district
Ontario René Soetens
34,969
John Roberts
23,091
Jim Wiseman
12,751
632 Thomas Fennell
Oshawa Nancy Mclean
14,040
Ed White
8,496
Ed Broadbent
18,410
588 Ed Broadbent
York North Michael O'Brien
37,436
Maurizio Bevilacqua
37,513
Evelyn Buck
11,583
1,293 Tony Roman

Notes and References

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Elected as a Liberal in 1993, left the caucus to sit as an independent MP in 1994.
  2. ^ Elected in a 1990 by-election following the resignation of former NDP leader Ed Broadbent.
  3. ^ Re-elected in a 1990 by-election after the 1988 election in York North was declared void and invalid.

References

[edit]