2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2010 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2014 →
All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 19 6 Seats won 17 10 Seat change 2 4 Popular vote 4,157,046 3,678,725 Percentage 51.61% 45.67% Swing 4.00% 7.63%
Results by district Results by county Republican   30–40%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90>% Democratic   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90>%

Elections in Florida
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v t e

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the twenty-seven congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty-seven congressional districts, a two-seat increase due to the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held August 14, 2012.

In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to the Florida Constitution which would require congressional and state legislative districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventing gerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed, U.S. Representatives Corrine Brown and Mario Diaz-Balart filed a lawsuit asking that the amendment concerning congressional districts be declared invalid.^[1] Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through a referendum; however, in January 2012 a three-judge panel of the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.^[2]

Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each in North Florida and Central Florida was passed by a committee of the Florida House of Representatives on January 27,^[3] by the full House of Representatives on February 3,^[4] and by the Florida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, the Florida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups including Common Cause, the League of Women Voters and the National Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.^[5]

The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.

United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats	+/–
	Republican	4,157,046	51.61%	17	-2
	Democratic	3,678,725	45.67%	10	+4
	Other Parties	219,374	2.72%	0	-
Totals		8,055,145	100%	27	+2

2012 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Jeff Miller Jim Bryan Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 238,440 92,961 Percentage 69.6% 27.1%

County results Miller:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Jeff Miller Republican Elected U.S. Representative Jeff Miller Republican

Florida's new 1st district voting age population is 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Blacks (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5% other races ^[6] Republican incumbent Jeff Miller, who had represented Florida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.

• Jeff Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative

• James Bryan, army veteran^[7]

• Calen Fretts, vice chair of the Libertarian Party of Okaloosa County^[8]

William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.^[7]

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeff Miller (incumbent)	238,440	69.6
	Democratic	Jim Bryan	92,961	27.1
	Libertarian	Calen Fretts	11,176	3.3
	Independent	William Cleave (write-in)	17	0.0
Total votes			342,594	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Steve Southerland Al Lawson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 175,856 157,634 Percentage 52.7% 47.2%

County results Southerland:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Lawson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Steve Southerland Republican Elected U.S. Representative Steve Southerland Republican

Florida's new 2nd district voting age population is 68.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6] Republican incumbent Steve Southerland was first elected to represent Florida's 2nd congressional district in 2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.^[7]

• Steve Southerland, incumbent U.S. Representative

Former Republican state senator Nancy Argenziano was being barred from running as a Democrat by state law, and tried to run on the Independent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.^[12]

• Al Lawson, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2010^[13]

• Leonard Bembry, state representative^[14]
• Alvin Peters, attorney and former chairman of the Bay County Democratic Party^[15]
• Mark Schlakman

• Nancy Argenziano, former Republican state senator^[16]
• Jay Liles, activist

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Al Lawson	46,900	54.6
	Democratic	Leonard Bembry	22,357	26.0
	Democratic	Alvin L. Peters	11,919	13.9
	Democratic	Mark Schlakman	4,653	5.4
Total votes			85,829	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Southerland (R)	Al Lawson (D)	Undecided
StPetePolls[19]	October 3–5, 2012	450	± 4.6%	46%	47%	8%
Lester (D-DCCC)[20]	September 15–17, 2012	401	± 4.9%	43%	43%	14%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[21]	Lean R	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22]	Likely R	November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23]	Lean R	November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]	Lean R	December 12, 2012
NY Times[25]	Lean R	November 4, 2012
RCP[26]	Lean R	November 4, 2012
The Hill[27]	Likely R	November 4, 2012

Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term, 53% to 47%, on November 6, 2012.

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Southerland (incumbent)	175,856	52.7
	Democratic	Al Lawson	157,634	47.2
	Independent	Floyd Patrick Miller (write-in)	228	0.1
Total votes			333,718	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Ted Yoho J. R. Gaillot Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 204,331 102,468 Percentage 64.7% 32.5%

County results Yoho:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Cliff Stearns Republican Elected U.S. Representative Ted Yoho Republican

Florida's new 3rd district voting age population is 75.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6] Republican Cliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th District since 1989, had his home in Ocala drawn into the neighboring 11th District. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.

Stearns was upset in the primary by Ted Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian from Gainesville.

• Ted Yoho, veterinarian

• James Jett, police officer
• Steve Oelrich, state senator
• Cliff Stearns, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ted Yoho	22,273	34.4
	Republican	Cliff Stearns (incumbent)	21,398	33.0
	Republican	Steve Oelrich	12,329	19.0
	Republican	James Jett	8,769	13.5
Total votes			64,769	100.0

• J.R. Gaillot, policy consultant

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ted Yoho (R)	J. R. Gaillot (D)	Undecided
StPetePolls[30]	September 1–3, 2012	668	± 5.0%	56%	31%	13%

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ted Yoho	204,331	64.7
	Democratic	J. R. Gaillot	102,468	32.5
	Independent	Philip Dodds	8,870	2.8
Total votes			315,669	100.0
	Republican hold

Florida's new 4th district voting age population is 74.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6] Republican incumbent Ander Crenshaw, who had represented the 4th District since 2001, ran for re-election.^[31]

• Ander Crenshaw, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Bob Black
• Deborah Pueschel

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ander Crenshaw (incumbent)	46,788	71.9
	Republican	Bob Black	11,816	18.1
	Republican	Deborah Katz Pueschel	6,505	10.0
Total votes			65,109	100.0

• Gary Koniz

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ander Crenshaw (incumbent)	239,988	76.1
	Independent	Jim Klauder	75,236	23.8
	Independent	Gary Koniz (write-in)	246	0.1
Total votes			315,470	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 5th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Corrine Brown LeAnne Kolb Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 190,472 70,700 Percentage 70.8% 26.3%

County results Brown:      60–70%      70–80% Kolb:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Corrine Brown Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Corrine Brown Democratic

Florida's new 5th district voting age population is 49% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.1% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6] It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which has been represented by Democrat Corrine Brown since 1993.^[32]

• Corrine Brown, incumbent U.S. Representative

• LeAnne Kolb^[33]

• Mike Yost, nominee for this in 2010^[34]

Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as a Libertarian Party candidate.^[34]

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Corrine Brown (incumbent)	190,472	70.8
	Republican	LeAnne Kolb	70,700	26.3
	Independent	Eileen Fleming	7,978	3.0
	Independent	Bruce Raey Riggs (write-in)	3	0.0
Total votes			269,153	100.0
	Democratic hold

2012 Florida's 6th congressional district election

← 2010 (7th) 2014 →

Nominee Ron DeSantis Heather Beaven Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 195,962 146,489 Percentage 57.2% 41.4%

County results DeSantis:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election John Mica Republican Elected U.S. Representative Ron DeSantis Republican

In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district. John Mica, who had represented the 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th District, and opted to seek re-election there.

Florida's new 6th district voting age population is 82.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Ron DeSantis, Iraq War veteran, former prosecutor and future Florida governor^[38]

• Richard Clark, member of the Jacksonville City Council
• Fred Costello, state representative
• William Billy Kogut
• Craig Miller, businessman and Vietnam War veteran
• Alec Pueschel
• Beverly Slough, chairman of St. Johns County School District Board

• John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ron DeSantis	24,132	38.8
	Republican	Fred Costello	14,189	22.8
	Republican	Beverly Slough	8,229	13.2
	Republican	Craig Miller	8,113	13.1
	Republican	Richard Clark	6,090	9.8
	Republican	Alec Pueschel	739	1.2
	Republican	William Billy Kogut	628	1.0
Total votes			62,120	100.0

• Heather Beaven, former Navy cryptologist and nominee for the 7th district in 2010^[39]

• Vipin Verma, attorney^[40]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Heather Beaven	29,909	80.5
	Democratic	Vipin Verma	7,253	19.5
Total votes			37,162	100.0

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ron DeSantis	195,962	57.3
	Democratic	Heather Beaven	146,489	42.8
Total votes			342,451	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 7th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

← 2010 (24th)

Nominee John Mica Jason Kendall Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 185,518 130,479 Percentage 58.7% 41.3%

County results Mica:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election John Mica (Republican) Sandy Adams (Republican) Elected U.S. Representative John Mica Republican

The new 7th District is the successor to the old 24th District, represented by Republican Sandy Adams since 2011. John Mica, who had represented the old 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new district voting age population is 70.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic blacks (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.9 percent Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 6th district

• Sandy Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 24th district

Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Mica (incumbent)	32,119	61.2
	Republican	Sandy Adams (incumbent)	20,404	38.8
Total votes			52,523	100.0

• Jason Kendall, social media consultant and sales manager

• Nicholas Ruiz

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jason H. Kendall	12,816	61.3
	Democratic	Nicholas Ruiz	8,088	38.7
Total votes			20,904	100.0

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Mica (incumbent)	185,518	58.7
	Democratic	Jason H. Kenall	130,479	41.3
	Independent	Fred Marra (write-in)	13	0.0
Total votes			316,010	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 8th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Bill Posey Shannon Roberts Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 205,432 130,870 Percentage 58.9% 37.5%

County results Posey:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Bill Posey Republican Elected U.S. Representative Bill Posey Republican

The new 8th District was the successor to the 15th District, represented by Republican Bill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Shannon Roberts, former NASA & federal official and Cape Canaveral City Council Member^[44]

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Posey (incumbent)	205,432	58.9
	Democratic	Shannon Roberts	130,870	37.5
	Independent	Richard Gillmor	12,607	3.6
Total votes			348,909	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 9th congressional district election

2014 →

Nominee Alan Grayson Todd Long Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 164,891 98,856 Percentage 62.5% 37.5%

County results Grayson:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election New seat Elected U.S. Representative Alan Grayson Democratic

The new 9th district, an open seat located south of Orlando, is expected to favor Democrats.^[45] It contains all of Osceola County, part of Orange County (including the Orlando International Airport), and part of Polk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, preferring him to John McCain 60-39%. In addition, the district will contain a plurality of whites, at 43%, followed by Hispanics and blacks, who will make up 41% and 12% of the population, respectively.^[46][47][48] The new 9th district voting age population is 42.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.1% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative^[49]

• Todd Long, attorney, conservative radio show host and candidate for the 8th District in 2008 & 2010

• Julius Melendez
• Mark Oxner, businessman
• John Quinones

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Todd Long	12,585	47.3
	Republican	John "Q" Quinones	7,514	28.3
	Republican	Julius Anthony Melendez	3,983	15.0
	Republican	Mark Oxner	2,510	9.4
Total votes			26,592	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Alan Grayson (D)	Todd Long (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson)[54]	October 11–12, 2012	487	± 4.5%	56%	41%	3%
StPetePolls[19]	October 3–5, 2012	363	± 5.1%	45%	42%	13%
Kitchens (D-Grayson)[55]	September 18–21, 2012	507	± 4.4%	48%	34%	19%
StPetePolls[30]	September 1–3, 2012	629	± 5.0%	46%	41%	13%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22]	Safe D (flip)	November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23]	Safe D (flip)	November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]	Safe D (flip)	December 12, 2012
NY Times[25]	Lean D (flip)	November 4, 2012
RCP[26]	Likely D (flip)	November 4, 2012
The Hill[27]	Likely D (flip)	November 4, 2012

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alan Grayson	164,891	62.5
	Republican	Todd Long	98,856	37.5
Total votes			263,747	100.0
	Democratic win (new seat)

2012 Florida's 10th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Daniel Webster Val Demings Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 164,649 153,574 Percentage 51.7% 48.3%

County results Webster:      50–60% Demings:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Daniel Webster Republican Elected U.S. Representative Daniel Webster Republican

In redistricting, the 8th district was renumbered as the 10th district. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sort re-election.^[45] The new 10th district voting age population is 69.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Val Demings, former Chief of the Orlando Police Department and wife of the Orange County Sheriff^[56]

• Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative^[57]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Daniel Webster (R)	Val Demings (D)	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[59]	October 11–14, 2012	401	± 4.9%	43%	41%	16%
StPetePolls[19]	October 3–5, 2012	498	± 4.4%	51%	40%	9%
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[60]	September 22–25, 2012	402	± %	46%	41%	13%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Lean R	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22]	Lean R	November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23]	Lean R	November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]	Lean R	December 12, 2012
NY Times[25]	Lean R	November 4, 2012
RCP[26]	Lean R	November 4, 2012
The Hill[27]	Tossup	November 4, 2012

Florida's 10th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Daniel Webster (incumbent)	164,649	51.7
	Democratic	Val Demings	153,574	48.3
	Independent	Naipaul Seegolam (write-in)	46	0.0
Total votes			318,269	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 11th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Rich Nugent H. David Werder Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 218,360 120,303 Percentage 64.5% 35.5%

County results Nugent:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Rich Nugent Republican Elected U.S. Representative Rich Nugent Republican

In redistricting, most of the old 5th District became the 11th District. Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th.^[61] The new 11th district voting age population is 83.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Rich Nugent, incumbent U.S. Representative

• David Werder^[44]

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rich Nugent (incumbent)	218,360	64.5
	Democratic	H. David Werder	120,303	35.5
Total votes			338,663	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 12th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Gus Bilirakis Jonathan Snow Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 209,604 108,770 Percentage 63.5% 32.9%

County results Bilirakis :      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Gus Bilirakis Republican Elected U.S. Representative Gus Bilirakis Republican

In redistricting, most of the old 9th District became the 12th district. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the 9th District since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th.^[62] The new 12th district voting age population is 82.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Jonathan Snow, photo specialist and former teacher^[44]

John Russell, an acute care nurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th District.^[63] However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.^[44]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gus Bilirakis (R)	Jonathan Snow (D)	Paul Elliott (I)	John Russell (I)	Undecided
StPetePolls[30]	September 1–3, 2012	668	± 5.0%	57%	27%	2%	2%	12%

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gus Bilirakis (incumbent)	209,604	63.5
	Democratic	Jonathan Michael Snow	108,770	32.9
	Independent	John Russell	6,878	2.1
	Independent	Paul Siney Elliott	4,915	1.5
Total votes			330,167	100.0
	Republican hold

In redistricting, most of the old 10th District became the 13th District. Bill Young, who had represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Bill Young, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Darren Ayres
• Madeline Vance

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	C. W. Bill Young (incumbent)	39,395	69.1
	Republican	Darren Ayres	10,548	18.5
	Republican	Madeline Vance	7,049	12.4
Total votes			56,992	100.0

• Jessica Ehrlich, attorney and former Legislative Counsel for Representatives Clay Shaw and Stephen Lynch^[64]

• Nina Hayden

• Charlie Justice, former state senator and nominee for this seat in 2010^[65]
• Rick Kriseman, state representative
• Janet Long, former state representative
• Kenneth Welch, Pinellas County Commissioner

• Charlie Crist, former Governor and candidate for Senate in 2010^[66]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Young (R)	Jessica Ehrlich (D)	Undecided
StPetePolls[19]	October 3–5, 2012	533	± 4.3%	49%	40%	11%
StPetePolls[30]	September 1–3, 2012	1,691	± 5.0%	50%	39%	11%
DCCC (D)[67]	July 18, 2012	800	± 3.5%	49%	35%	16%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Safe R	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22]	Safe R	November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23]	Safe R	November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]	Safe R	December 12, 2012
NY Times[25]	Safe R	November 4, 2012
RCP[26]	Likely R	November 4, 2012
The Hill[27]	Lean R	November 4, 2012

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Young (incumbent)	189,605	57.6
	Democratic	Jessica Ehrlich	139,742	42.4
Total votes			329,347	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 14th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Kathy Castor EJ Otero Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 197,121 83,480 Percentage 70.2% 29.8%

County results Castor:      60–70%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election Kathy Castor Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Kathy Castor Democratic

In redistricting, the 11th District was renumbered as the 14th District. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here.^[44] Florida's new 14th district voting age population is 46.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Evelio Otero, retired Air Force colonel

• Eddie Adams, architect

• Michael S. Bennett, state senator^[68][69][70]
• Shawn Harrison, state representative^[71]
• Mark Sharpe, Hillsborough County Commissioner and nominee for the 11th district in 1994 and 1996^[72]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Evelio "EJ" Otero	12,084	60.3
	Republican	Eddie Adams	7,953	39.7
Total votes			20,037	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kathy Castor (D)	EJ Otero (R)	Undecided
StPetePolls[30]	September 1–3, 2012	1,459	± 5.0%	59%	32%	9%

Florida's 14th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kathy Castor (incumbent)	197,121	70.2
	Republican	EJ Otero	83,480	29.8
Total votes			280,601	100.0
	Democratic hold

In redistricting, the 12th district was renumbered as the 15th district. Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election.^[73] The new 15th district voting age population is 68.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative

No other party put up a candidate.

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2012

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dennis Ross (incumbent)	Unopposed	N/a
Total votes				N/a
	Republican hold

In redistricting, the Florida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the 16th district. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate.^[74][75] The new 16th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative

Prior to redistricting, former state representative Keith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.^[76]

• Keith Fitzgerald, former state representative

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Vern Buchanan (R)	Keith Fitzgerald (D)	Undecided
StPetePolls[19]	October 3–5, 2012	494	± 4.4%	55%	38%	7%
StPetePolls[30]	September 1–3, 2012	897	± 5.0%	56%	37%	7%
Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[77]	July 18–19, 2012	586	± 4.1%	44%	36%	19%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[78]	July 15–16, 2012	500	± 4.9%	54%	32%	14%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[79]	March 20–21, 2012	400	± 4.9%	58%	36%	6%
SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[80]	February 12–18, 2012	400	± 4.9%	49%	38%	13%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Likely R	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[22]	Likely R	November 2, 2012
Roll Call[23]	Likely R	November 17, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]	Likely R	December 12, 2012
NY Times[25]	Lean R	November 4, 2012
RCP[26]	Likely R	November 4, 2012
The Hill[27]	Likely R	November 4, 2012

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vern Buchanan (incumbent)	187,147	53.6
	Democratic	Keith Fitzgerald	161,929	46.4
Total votes			349,076	100.0
	Republican hold

2012 Florida's 17th congressional district election

← 2010 2014 →

Nominee Tom Rooney William Bronson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 165,488 116,766 Percentage 58.6% 41.4%

County results Rooney:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Tom Rooney Republican Elected U.S. Representative Tom Rooney Republican

The new 17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of the Everglades watershed, is expected to favor Republicans.^[45][81] Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the 16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district.^[82] The new 17th district voting age population is 75.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic).^[6]

• Tom Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative

• Joe Arnold, member of Okeechobee County school board

• Karen Diebel, former Winter Park city commissioner and candidate for the 24th district in 2010^[83]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Rooney (incumbent)	37,881	73.2
	Republican	Joe Arnold	13,871	26.8
Total votes			51,752	100.0

• William Bronson, retired Delta Air Lines pilot (formerly an unsuccessful Republican candidate in Massachusetts and Georgia)

26-year-old Tom Baumann from Miami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for the Socialist Workers Party.

As of the September FEC financial reporting deadline Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.^[81][84][85]

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2012 ^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Rooney (incumbent)	165,488	58.6
	Democratic	William Bronson	116,766	41.4
	Socialist Workers	Tom Baumann (write-in)	12	0.0
Total votes			282,266	100.0
	Republican win (new seat)

2012 Florida's 18th congressional district election