Clacton in the 2024 United Kingdom general election
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An election took place in the Essex constituency of Clacton on 4 July 2024, as part of the 2024 United Kingdom general election. Nigel Farage, the newly re-appointed leader of Reform UK and the former leader of the UK Independence Party, won the election with 46.2% of the vote and successfully entered Parliament after seven previous attempts.[1] As "figurehead of the country's populist right", Farage brought Clacton to international attention.[2][3][4]
Background
[edit]
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UK Independence Party
Brexit referendum Reform UK Media
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In the leadup to the 2024 general election, Clacton was defined as part of the "sea wall", coastal constituencies in Great Britain as a battleground in the general election.[5]
The constituency is based on the Essex town of Clacton-on-Sea, located on the North Sea east coast of England. The constituency also includes the towns of Frinton-on-Sea and Walton-on-the-Naze. The village of Jaywick is noted for high levels of deprivation and poverty.[6] 46.8% of over-16s were unemployed, with work typically being seasonal.[4]
Despite being historically a strong Conservative area, the Harwich constituency elected a Labour MP in 1997 and 2001.[7] The 2014 Clacton by-election saw the election of the first ever UK Independence Party Member of Parliament.[8] In the 2016 European Union membership referendum, Clacton strongly backed Brexit.[9]
Candidates
[edit]In May 2023, Clacton's Conservative MP, Giles Watling, was reselected in a vote by local party members to become Conservative candidate for the 2024 general election, despite the local executive voting to not automatically select him.[10]
Nigel Farage had previously been leader of UKIP and the Brexit Party and there had been speculation about what sort of role he would perform in the 2024 general election. At a news conference on 3 June 2024, Farage announced both his intention to become leader of Reform UK and his candidature for the party in the Clacton constituency.[11][12] This was Farage's eighth attempt to be elected to the House of Commons.[13] Immediately prior to Farage's announcement, Reform UK had been predicted to win no MPs in the 2024 election.[12]
Clacton had been won by UKIP's Douglas Carswell in 2014, but was more recently held by the Conservative Party's Giles Watling, who had not been a supporter of Brexit. Watling was standing for re-election for the Conservatives in the constituency, defending the majority of almost 25,000 he had won at the previous election.[11]
Former taxi driver Tony Mack was selected in October 2023 as the Reform candidate for Clacton. He was allegedly removed after promises from Farage to compensate him for his costs and give him a paid job if Farage won the election. Within days, Mack said he felt "ostracised" and, on 8 June, announced he would stand in the election as an independent candidate.[14]
Labour's candidate was Jovan Owusu-Nepaul, a trade unionist and policy officer for the all-party parliamentary group for reuniting Britain post-Brexit.[15]
The Green Party candidate, Natasha Osben, had previously stood in Clacton for the Labour Party but had left in 2019 and believed the Greens were "the only party that is genuinely committed" to bringing about change.[15]
Local businessman and councillor, Matthew Bensilum, was standing for the Liberal Democrats.[15]
Former member of Reform UK and the Conservative Party, Tasos Papanastasiou, stood in the election for the Heritage Party, citing disagreements about vaccine roll-outs and peace efforts in the Middle East.[16]
Farage's former party, UKIP nominated former Tendring District Councilor, Andrew Pemberton as their candidate under the ballot description as UKIP - Stop Illegal Immigration [17]
CNN described Clacton as "the front line of Britain's migration debate".[2]
Campaign
[edit]On his first day of campaigning in Clacton-on-Sea, Farage had a banana milkshake thrown over him by a member of the crowd. A 25-year-old woman was arrested on suspicion of assault. Farage appeared to make a joke about the incident later in the day, when he appeared in front of the media in the village of Jaywick with a tray of milkshakes.[13]
On 19 June, the anti-Brexit group Best for Britain argued that Labour were in the best position to stop Reform UK winning the constituency, as an Electoral Calculus poll showed Labour had jumped above the Conservatives into second place in the race.[18]
During the campaign, the Labour Party's candidate Jovan Owusu-Nepaul was criticised for a past comment he had made on X (formerly Twitter), in which he had responded to a comment talking about "white man tears" with: "My favourite drink." Owusu-Nepaul told PoliticsHome: "They were comments made before I put myself forward for election. Prior to that I was a private citizen. Of course, I would never use such language as an elective representative." He claimed that the comments had not been an issue when they had been brought up in person, saying: "This area is full of white men. When it's been raised with me, they literally just scoff at it. It's not a deal. People recognise tongue in cheek."[19]
On 27 June, it was reported that Labour Party had ordered Owusu-Nepaul to leave Clacton and help the party campaign in the West Midlands instead. Owusu-Nepaul had built a reputation on social media of being "the best dressed candidate in living memory", and it was believed Labour were cross that he was getting more attention than the Labour leader, Sir Keir Starmer.[20] Starmer denied Labour had given up in Clacton.[21]
On the same day, an undercover Channel 4 journalist secretly recorded members of Farage's campaign team using language described by the BBC as "racist, Islamophobic and homophobic", also suggesting refugees should be used as "target practice".[22] In a statement, Farage said that he was "dismayed" at the "reprehensible" language.[23]
Reform chairman Richard Tice said that racist comments were "inappropriate".[22] Farage later accused Channel 4 of a "set-up", stating that one of the canvassers, Andrew Parker, had been an actor. Farage stated that Parker had been "acting from the moment he came into the office", and cited video of Parker performing "rough-speaking" from his acting website. Channel 4 denied that Parker was known to them prior to the report.[24] Regarding other members of his campaign team, Farage stated that the individuals in question had "watched England play football, they were in the pub, they were drunk, it was crass."[25]
On 2 July, it was reported that Owusu-Nepaul was "in tears" over being told to "never come back" to the Clacton campaign, and that the Labour Party had taken a donation intended expressly for Owusu-Nepaul's campaign, despite the campaign presence being halted.[26]
Opinion polling
[edit]Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 27.9% | 16.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 46.2% | 3.4% | 18.3 | |
10–19 June 2024 | JL Partners | Friderichs Advisory Partners | 502 | 21% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 48% | 1% | 27 |
11–13 June 2024 | Survation | Arron Banks | 506 | 27% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 42% | 1% | 15 |
9–12 Jan 2024 | Survation[a] | Arron Banks | 509 | 38% | 30% | 6% | – | 18% | 9% | 8 |
27% | 23% | 6% | – | 37%[b] | 8% | 10 | ||||
12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[c] | – | 71.9% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | – | 3.4% | 56.3 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Reform UK | Nigel Farage | 21,225 | 46.2 | N/A | |
Conservative | Giles Watling | 12,820 | 27.9 | −44.0 | |
Labour | Jovan Owusu-Nepaul | 7,448 | 16.2 | +0.6 | |
Liberal Democrats | Matthew Bensilum | 2,016 | 4.4 | −1.8 | |
Green | Natasha Osben | 1,935 | 4.2 | +1.3 | |
Independent | Tony Mack | 317 | 0.7 | N/A | |
UKIP | Andrew Pemberton | 116 | 0.3 | N/A | |
Climate | Craig Jamieson | 48 | 0.1 | N/A | |
Heritage | Tasos Papanastasiou | 33 | 0.1 | N/A | |
Majority | 8,405 | 18.3 | |||
Turnout | 45,958 | 58.0 | |||
Reform UK gain from Conservative | Swing | 45.1 |
Previous result
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Conservative | Giles Watling | 31,438 | 72.3 | +11.1 | |
Labour | Kevin Bonavia | 6,736 | 15.5 | –9.9 | |
Liberal Democrats | Callum Robertson | 2,541 | 5.8 | +3.8 | |
Green | Chris Southall | 1,225 | 2.8 | +1.2 | |
Independent | Andy Morgan | 1,099 | 2.5 | N/A | |
Independent | Colin Bennett | 243 | 0.6 | N/A | |
Monster Raving Loony | Just-John Sexton | 224 | 0.5 | N/A | |
Majority | 24,702 | 56.8 | +21.0 | ||
Turnout | 43,506 | 61.3 | –2.4 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing | +10.5 |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Poll conducted based on the previous boundaries for this constituency, not the boundaries used at the general election
- ^ Nigel Farage as candidate
- ^ Notional result[27]
References
[edit]- ^ "Nigel Farage wins Clacton as Reform UK takes four seats". BBC News. 4 July 2024. Retrieved 5 July 2024.
- ^ a b Picheta, Rob (17 June 2024). "A US-style migration debate is taking over Britain's election - with a Trump acolyte leading the charge". CNN. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ Safdar, Anealla (25 June 2024). "'Britain's on its knees': The broken UK town backing Nigel Farage". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ a b Ducourtieux, Cécile (2 July 2024). "UK general election: Nigel Farage campaigns on fear of migrants as he looks to win first Commons seat". Le Monde. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
- ^ "Labour lead grows in 'sea wall' constituencies, polling shows". Sky News. Retrieved 30 June 2024.
- ^ "England's most deprived areas named as Jaywick and Blackpool". BBC News. 26 September 2019. Retrieved 29 February 2024.
- ^ "BBC NEWS | VOTE 2001 | RESULTS & CONSTITUENCIES | Harwich". news.bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 30 June 2024.
- ^ McSmith, Andy (10 October 2014). "Clacton by-election: Douglas Carswell becomes Ukip's first ever elected MP after a sensational victory". The Independent.
- ^ "Brexit: How do people in Clacton feel seven years after vote?". BBC News. 22 June 2023. Retrieved 30 June 2024.
- ^ Dedman, Simon (12 May 2023). "Clacton: Conservative MP Giles Watling re-selected as candidate". BBC News. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ a b Scott, Jennifer (4 June 2024). "Nigel Farage confirms he will stand for Clacton seat in general election". Sky News. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ a b Belam, Martin; Quinn, Ben (3 June 2024). "Nigel Farage to stand in Clacton at general election after taking over as leader of Reform party – as it happened". The Guardian. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ a b Quinn, Ben (4 June 2024). "Woman throws milkshake over Nigel Farage on first day of campaigning". The Guardian. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ Schofield, Ben (27 June 2024). "Party broke Farage's promise to repay expenses – ex-Reform candidate". BBC News. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ a b c Holl-Allen, Genevieve (4 June 2024). "The Clacton candidates standing in Nigel Farage's way". The Telegraph. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ Penny, Brandon (28 June 2024). "Heritage Party Tasos Papanastasiou: 'Why I should be next Clacton MP'". Clacton and Frinton Gazette. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ Penny, Brandon (28 June 2024). "UKIP Andrew Pemberton: 'Why I should be next Clacton MP'". Clacton and Frinton Gazette. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ Maddox, David (19 June 2024). "Labour in position to stop Farage becoming an MP, campaign group confirms after collapse in Tory vote". The Independent. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ Rodgers, Sienna (19 June 2024). "Labour's Clacton Candidate Says He's Running 'For Every Black And Brown Person' In UK". Politics Home. Retrieved 27 July 2024.
- ^ Mitchell, Archie (27 June 2024). "Has Labour given up fighting Nigel Farage in Clacton? Candidate Jovan Owusu-Nepaul 'sent to West Midlands'". The Independent. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ "Starmer denies Labour has given up on Clacton". Jersey Evening Post. 27 June 2024. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ a b McKiernan, Jennifer; Francis, Sam (27 June 2024). "Reform UK campaigners caught making racist slurs". BBC News. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ^ "Nigel Farage 'dismayed' at 'reprehensible' comments from Reform campaigners". BBC News. 27 June 2024. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
- ^ "Farage claims canvasser's racist comments a 'set-up'". BBC News. 30 June 2024. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
- ^ "Sunak: being called an 'effing p***' by Reform activist 'hurts' and 'makes me angry'". ITV News. 28 June 2024. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
- ^ Sudan, Richard (2 July 2024). "EXCLUSIVE: Labour candidate 'in tears' after being ordered to abandon Clacton campaign against Nigel Farage". Voice Online. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
- ^ "Results spreadsheet (download)". BBC. Archived from the original on 16 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024.
- ^ "Statement of Persons Nominated, Notice of Poll and Situation of Polling Stations" (PDF). Tendring District Council. Retrieved 9 June 2024.
- ^ "Clacton Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 18 November 2019.