Next Sri Lankan parliamentary election
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All 225 seats in the Parliament of Sri Lanka 113 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sri Lanka before August 2025 according to the constitution. The president has the power under the constitution to hold elections two and half years after the previous elections, which took place in August 2020.[1]
Electoral system
[edit]The Parliament has 225 members elected for a five-year term. 196 members are elected from 22 multi-seat constituencies through a proportional representation system where each party is allocated a number of seats from the quota for each constituency according to the proportion of the total vote that party obtains in the district. The other 29 are elected from a national list, with list members appointed by party secretaries and seats allocated according to the island-wide proportional vote the party obtains.
Contesting parties
[edit]Name | Symbol | Claimed ideology(ies) | Leader | Voteshare in 2020 | General seats won in 2020 | Seats before election | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SLPP | Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna ශ්රී ලංකා පොදුජන පෙරමුණ இலங்கை பொதுஜன முன்னணி | ![]() | Neoconservatism Sinhalese nationalism Right-wing populism | Mahinda Rajapaksa | 59.09% | 145 / 225 | 106 / 225 | |
SJB | Samagi Jana Balawegaya සමගි ජනබලවේගය ஐக்கிய மக்கள் சக்தி | ![]() | Liberal conservatism Social democracy | Sajith Premadasa | 23.90% | 54 / 225 | 59 / 225 | |
PA | People's Alliance පොදු ජන එක්සත් පෙරමුණ மக்கள் கூட்டணி | ![]() | Big tent | Chandrika Kumaratunga | New | N/A | ||
NPP | National People's Power ජාතික ජන බලවේගය தேசிய மக்கள் சக்தி | ![]() | Communism Anti-imperialism | Anura Kumara Dissanayake | 3.84% | 3 / 225 | 3 / 225 | |
TNA | Tamil National Alliance දෙමළ ජාතික සන්ධානය தமிழ்த் தேசியக் கூட்டமைப்பு | — | Tamil nationalism Federalism | TBA | 2.82% | 10 / 225 | 10 / 225 |
Opinion polls
[edit]Nationwide
[edit]Date | Polling firm | SLPP | SJB | NPP | UNP | ITAK | Others | Lead | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 2024 | Institute for Health Policy | 16% | 38% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 12 | ±4–5% | 446 |
May 2024 | Institute for Health Policy | 13% | 34% | 34% | 6% | 4% | 9% | Tie | ±1–4% | 503 |
April 2024 | Institute for Health Policy | 12% | 34% | 34% | 5% | 4% | 11% | Tie | ±1–4% | 444 |
March 2024 | Institute for Health Policy | 8% | 38% | 35% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 3 | ±1–3% | 506 |
February 2024 | Institute for Health Policy | 9% | 30% | 44% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 14 | ±1–3% | 575 |
January 2024 | Institute for Health Policy | 8% | 30% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10 | ±1.0–3.6% | 506 |
December 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 10% | 27% | 39% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 12 | ±2.0–3.5% | 522 |
October 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 5% | 26% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 14 | ±1–5% | 567 |
September 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 8% | 22% | 42% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 20 | ±1–3% | 599 |
August 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 11% | 24% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 17% | 6 | ±1–6% | 556 |
July 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 9% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 33% | 1 | ±1–3% | 466 |
June 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 9% | 23% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 30% | Tie | ±1–3% | 506 |
May 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 10% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 23% | 3 | ±1–5% | 630 |
April 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 6% | 30% | 32% | 9% | 4% | 19% | 2 | ±1–5% | 580 |
March 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 4% | 30% | 41% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 11 | ±2–5% | 521 |
February 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 4% | 30% | 43% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 13 | ±2–5% | 421 |
January 2023 | Institute for Health Policy | 8% | 31% | 32% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 1 | ±2–3% | 724 |
July 2022 | Institute for Health Policy | 18% | 32% | 42% | [a] | – | 8% | 10 | – | – |
2020 election | N/A | 59.1% | 23.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 35.2 | N/A | N/A |
Notes
[edit]- ^ In SJB