French
DeutschStatewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
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Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data, it is not a prediction for the election. | |||||||||||||||||||
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 2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Attempts to overturn | |
| Democratic Party | |
| Republican Party | |
| Third parties | |
| Related races | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
Polling aggregation in swing states
[edit]The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison.
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Alabama
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[1] | September 1 – October 13, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 38.0% | 58.0% | 4.0% | Trump +20.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[2] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.8% | 57.4% | 4.8% | Trump +19.5 |
| Average | 37.9% | 57.7% | 4.4% | Trump +19.8 | ||
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[3] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,808 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62%[c] | 36% | – | – | – |
| Swayable[4] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 330 (LV) | ± 7.9% | 55% | 38% | 7% | – | – |
| Data for Progress[5] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 58% | 38% | 3% | 1% | 0%[d] |
| Auburn University At Montgomery[6] | Oct 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[3] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,363 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – |
| Swayable[7] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 266 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 56% | 37% | 7% | – | – |
| Moore Information (R)[8][A] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
| Auburn University at Montgomery[9] | Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[3] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,354 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[3] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 65% | 33% | – | – | 2% |
| Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[10][B] | Aug 17–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | 0% | 0%[e] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[11] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 36% | – | 2%[f] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[3] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,583 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
| Auburn University at Montgomery[12] | Jul 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 55% | 41% | – | 4% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[3] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 649 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
| FM3 Research/Doug Jones[13][C] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[14] | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
| WPA Intelligence[15] | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
Alaska
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [g] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[16] | October 6 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.8% | 49.4% | 6.8% | Trump +5.6 |
| FiveThirtyEight[17] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.2% | 5.2% | Trump +7.7 |
| Average | 43.7% | 50.3% | 6.0% | Trump +6.7 | ||
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[h] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[18] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 634 (LV) | ± 5% | 54%[i] | 45% | – | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing[19] | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | – | – | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[18] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[20][D] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 800 (V) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | - | – | 5% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[21] | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 2%[j] | 6%[k] |
| Patinkin Research Strategies[22] | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 46% | – | 3%[l] | 2% |
| Alaska Survey Research[23] | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[18] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 563 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | 2% |
| Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska[24][E] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 46% | - | - | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[18] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 472 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | - | - | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[18] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | - | - | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[25][F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 885 (V) | – | 50% | 44% | - | - | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling[26][m] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | 6% |
| Alaska Survey Research[27] | Jun 23 – Jul 7, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[18] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 161 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | 2% |
| Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics[28] | Jul 22 – Aug 9, 2019 | 321 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 40% | - | - | 15% |
Arizona
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[29] | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 45.8% | 6.2% | Biden +2.2 |
| Real Clear Politics[30] | October 25 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
| FiveThirtyEight[31] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.1% | 5.2% | Biden +2.6 |
| Average | 48.2% | 46.3% | 5.5% | Biden +1.9 | ||
2020 polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos/Reuters[32] | Oct 27 – Nov 2 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47%[o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 2%[p] | – |
| 47%[q] | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 1% | ||||
| 48%[s] | 50% | - | - | 2%[t] | – | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,278 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46%[u] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[34] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 1% |
| Marist College/NBC[35] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| Swayable[36] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 360 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 46% | 51% | 4% | - | – | – |
| Data for Progress[37] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0%[v] | – |
| AtlasIntel[38] | Oct 30–31 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 50.4% | 48.1% | - | - | 1.5%[w] | – |
| Emerson College[39] | Oct 29–31 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6%[x] | – |
| Morning Consult[40] | Oct 22–31 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Data Orbital[41] | Oct 28–30 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45.3% | 45.9% | 3% | - | 6%[y] | 5% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[42] | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 49% | 3% | - | 1%[z] | 5%[aa] |
| Grand Canyon Battleground Poll[43] | Oct 25–30 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 3% | - | 4% | |
| CNN/SSRS[44] | Oct 23–30 | 892 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 3% | - | 1%[ab] | 1% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[45] | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 3%[ac] | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[46] | Oct 26–29 | 889 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Gravis Marketing[47] | Oct 26–28 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Trafalgar Group[48] | Oct 25–28 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 46.5% | 2.1% | - | 1.7%[ad] | 0.7% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Oct 1–28 | 5,687 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters[49] | Oct 21–27 | 714 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47%[o] | 47% | 2% | 0% | 3%[ae] | – |
| 46%[q] | 48% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
| Swayable[50] | Oct 23–26 | 304 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | – | – |
| Justice Collaborative Project[51][G] | Oct 22–25 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
| OH Predictive Insights[52] | Oct 22–25 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 49% | 3% | - | 1%[ag] | 1% |
| Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[53] | Oct 17–25 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 3% |
| Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)[54] | Oct 21–24 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
| Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[55] | Oct 15–24 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[56][H] | Oct 19–22 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46%[ai] | 46% | 4% | - | 2%[aj] | 1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[57] | Oct 14–21 | 658 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46%[o] | 50% | 1% | - | 2%[ak] | – |
| 46%[q] | 49% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
| Morning Consult[40] | Oct 11–20 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[58] | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 3% |
| Change Research/CNBC[59] | Oct 16–19 | 232 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[60] | Oct 14–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46%[o] | 47% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 5% |
| 44%[am] | 49% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 5% | ||||
| 47%[an] | 45% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 5% | ||||
| Data Orbital[61] | Oct 16–18 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 3% | - | 5%[ao] | 2% |
| YouGov/CBS[62] | Oct 13–16 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3%[ap] | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[63] | Oct 7–14 | 667 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47%[o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | 2%[aq] | – |
| 46%[q] | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% | ||||
| Monmouth University[64] | Oct 11–13 | 502 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1%[ar] | 4% |
| 502 (LV) | 44%[as] | 51% | - | - | 2% | – | |||
| 47%[at] | 49% | - | - | 1% | – | ||||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 10–13 | 750 (LV) | – | 45%[al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Morning Consult[40] | Oct 2–11 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 9–10 | 720 (LV) | – | 46%[al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group[66] | Oct 6–8 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | 2%[ah] | 5% |
| OH Predictive Insights[67] | Oct 4–8 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45%[o] | 49% | 4% | - | 0%[au] | 3% |
| 47%[av] | 50% | - | - | 0%[au] | 3% | ||||
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies[68] | Oct 4–7 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[69] | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 633 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
| Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform[70][I] | Sep 28 – Oct 6 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Basswood Research/American Action Forum[71][J] | Oct 3–5 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
| Data Orbital[72] | Oct 3–5 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 3% | - | 3%[ax] | 4% |
| HighGround Inc.[73] [1] | Sep 28 – Oct 5 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 4%[ay] | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC[74] | Oct 2–4 | 296 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[75] | Oct 1–3 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 49% | 3% | – | 1%[z] | 6%[aa] |
| Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)[54] | Oct 1–3 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[76] | Sep 23 – Oct 2 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
| Suffolk University[77] | Sep 26–30 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | - | 1%[ag] | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Sep 1–30 | 7,100 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona[78][K] | Sep 24–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 2%[az] | 4% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness[79][H] | Sep 25–28 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Data for Progress (D)[80] | Sep 23–28 | 808 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45%[o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
| 46%[av] | 50% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[81] | Sep 23–26 | 871 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
| Data For Progress[82][L] | Sep 15–22 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
| Change Research/CNBC[83] | Sep 18–20 | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| ABC/Washington Post[84] | Sep 15–20 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 2%[ba] | 1% |
| Data Orbital[85] | Sep 14–17 | 550 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters[86] | Sep 11–17 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2%[r] | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[87] | Sep 12–16 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 8% |
| Monmouth University[88] | Sep 11–15 | 420 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 1%[bb] | 3% |
| 420 (LV) | 46%[bc] | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
| 47%[bd] | 47% | - | - | 3% | 3% | ||||
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[89] | Sep 10–15 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | 4% | - | 1%[z] | 6%[aa] |
| Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)[54] | Sep 10–13 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
| Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report[90] | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1,298 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 45% | - | - | 4%[be] | 11% |
| Gravis Marketing[91] | Sep 10–11 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
| YouGov/CBS[92] | Sep 9–11 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 3%[ap] | 6% |
| OH Predictive Insights[93] | Sep 8–10 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP[94] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1%[bf] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[95] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 901 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 46%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[96] | Sep 4–6 | 470 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 6%[bh] | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[97] | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0%[bi] | 6% |
| FOX News[98] | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | 3% | - | 1%[bj] | 6% |
| 858 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 3% | - | 3%[bk] | 6% | ||
| Basswood Research/American Action Forum[99][J] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[o] | 47% | 1%[bl] | 2% | – | 2% |
| 49%[av] | 48% | - | - | – | 3% | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Aug 1–31 | 6,456 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[101] | Aug 21–23 | 344 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies[102] | Aug 16–18 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 3%[bm] | 10% |
| Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16 | 947 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Emerson College[103] | Aug 8–10 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47%[ai] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[104] | Aug 7–9 | 428 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group[105] | Aug 5–8 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 3% | - | 1%[bn] | 4% |
| OH Predictive Insights[106] | Aug 3–4 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[107][M] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Data for Progress[108] | Jul 24 – Aug 2 | 1,215 (LV) | – | 43%[o] | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% |
| 44%[av] | 47% | - | - | – | 8% | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Jul 1–31 | 4,995 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC[109] [2] | Jul 24–26 | 365 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[110] | Jul 17–26 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[110] | Jul 16–25 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS[111] | Jul 18–24 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4%[bp] | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] | Jul 19–23 | 858 (LV) | – | 38% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 3%[bm] | 11% |
| NBC News/Marist College[113] | Jul 14–22 | 826 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[114][F] | Jul 17–18 | 960 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[115][N] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult[110] | Jul 6–15 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[116] | Jul 10–12 | 345 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[117] | Jul 7–10 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 4%[bq] | 4% |
| OH Predictive Insights[118] | Jul 6–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 0%[au] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[110] | Jun 26 – Jul 5 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Jun 8–30 | 2,365 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Data Orbital[119] | Jun 27–29 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3.3%[br] | 4.2% |
| Morning Consult[110] | Jun 16–25 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[120] | Jun 26–28 | 311 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing/OANN[121] | Jun 27 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[122] | Jun 14–17 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2%[bs] | 13% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[123] | Jun 8–16 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 4%[bt] | 8% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[124] | Jun 13–15 | 1,368 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 5%[bu] | 1% |
| Morning Consult[110] | Jun 6–15 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[125] | Jun 12–14 | 201 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | 5%[bv] | – |
| Morning Consult[110] | May 27 – Jun 5 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| FOX News[126] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6%[bw] | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC[127] | May 29–31 | 329 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[110] | May 17–26 | 784 (LV) | – | 47%[bg] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[110] | May 16–25 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| HighGround Inc.[128] | May 18–22 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 4%[bx] | 4%[aa] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129] | May 10–14 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3%[by] | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights[130] | May 9–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1%[ag] | 6% |
| Morning Consult[110] | May 6–15 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave[131] | Apr 13–16 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
| OH Predictive Insights[132] | Apr 7–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[133] | Mar 10–15 | 2,523 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
| Monmouth University[134] | Mar 11–14 | 847 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
| Univision[135] | Mar 6–11 | 1,036 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
| OH Predictive Insights[136] | Mar 3–4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[137] | Mar 2–3 | 666 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Climate Nexus[138] | Feb 11–15 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico[139][O] | Jan 22–24 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling[140] | Jan 2–4 | 760 (V) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Arkansas
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[141] | October 17–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 35.0% | 60.3% | 4.7% | Trump +25.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight[142] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 58.9% | 4.9% | Trump +22.8 |
| Average | 35.6% | 59.6% | 4.8% | Trump +24.0 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[bz] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[143] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61%[ca] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[143] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
| University of Arkansas[144] | Oct 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
| Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[145] | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2%[cb] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[143] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[143] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[143] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[143] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[146] | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5%[cc] | 3% |
California
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[147] | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.7% | 32.3% | 6.0% | Biden +29.4 |
| Real Clear Politics[148] | September 26 – October 21, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 60.7% | 31.0% | 8.3% | Biden +29.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight[149] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.6% | 32.4% | 6.0% | Biden +29.2 |
| Average | 61.3% | 31.9% | 6.8% | Biden +29.4 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[cd] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[150] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 12,370 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 36%[ce] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
| David Binder Research[151] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
| USC Schwarzenegger Institute[152] | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,155 (RV) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4%[cf] | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[150] | Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020 | 22,450 (LV) | – | 37%[ce] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
| Swayable[153] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| UC Berkeley/LA Times[154] [3] | Oct 16–21, 2020 | 5,352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0%[cg][ch] | 3% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[155] | Oct 9–18, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1%[ci] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[150] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 20,346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyUSA[156] | Sep 26–28, 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3%[cj] | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[157] | Sep 19–21, 2020 | 1,775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1%[ck] | 8% |
| UC Berkeley/LA Times[158] [4] | Sep 9–15, 2020 | 5,942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0%[cg][ch] | 3% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[159] | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1%[ci] | 2% |
| Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front[160] [cl] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[150] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 17,537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
| David Binder Research[161] | Aug 22–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3%[cm] | 5% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies[162] | Aug 9, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2%[cn] | 9% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[150] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 19,027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
| University of California Berkeley[163] [5] | Jul 21–27, 2020 | 6,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[150] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 8,412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[164] | May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6%[co] | 3% |
| SurveyUSA[165] | May 18–19, 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
| Emerson College[166] | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 35%[cp] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling[167] | Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 (RV) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
| AtlasIntel[168] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
| YouGov[169] | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[170] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3%[cq] | 3% |
| University of California Berkeley[171] | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
| SurveyUSA[172] | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
| YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute[173] | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[174] | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS[175] | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3%[cq] | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[176] | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[177] | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
| Emerson College[178] | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyUSA[179] | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
| SurveyUSA[180] | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[181] | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
Colorado
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[182] | October 15 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.0% | 40.6% | 7.4% | Biden +11.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight[183] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.6% | 41.1% | 5.3% | Biden +12.5 |
| Average | 52.8% | 40.8% | 6.4% | Biden +12.0 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[cr] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[184] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,991 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44%[cs] | 55% | – | – | – | – |
| Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun[185] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 502 (LV)[ct] | ± 4.4% | 41% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
| Data for Progress[186] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | 0%[cu] | – |
| Swayable[187] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 6% | 41% | 55% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
| Morning Consult[188] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[184] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,925 (LV) | – | 40% | 59% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[188] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
| RBI Strategies[189] | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 1%[cv] | 1% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[190] | Oct 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1%[cw] | 3% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[191] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3%[cv] | 1% |
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson[192] | Oct 8–13, 2020 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | 54% | – | – | 3%[cx] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[188] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 837 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
| YouGov/University of Colorado[193] | Oct 5–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.64% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics[194] | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 5%[cy] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[184] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,717 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[195] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43%[cz] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
| Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP[196] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 2%[da] | 8% |
| Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado[197][P] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 1%[db] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[184] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,385 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[198][199] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 638 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[cz] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[200] | Aug 16–25, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[198][199] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[dc] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[200] | Aug 6–15, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[200] | Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[184] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,337 (LV) | – | 40% | 58% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[201] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39%[cz] | 52% | – | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[200] | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[202][F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 891 (V) | – | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[203] | Jun 29–30, 2020 | 840 (V) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[184] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[201] | May 17–26, 2020 | 572 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[204] | May 7–11, 2020 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | 7% |
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics[205] | May 1–3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 36% | 55% | – | – | 3%[cx] | 6% |
| Montana State University Bozeman[206] | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 379 (LV) | – | 35% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
| Climate Nexus[207] | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
| Emerson College[208] | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
| Fabrizio Ward/AARP[209] | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1%[dd] | 5% |
Connecticut
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[210] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 9.0% | Biden +26.3 |
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[de] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[211] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,031 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38%[df] | 60% | - | - | – | – |
| Swayable[212][dg] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[211] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,782 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
| Sacred Heart University[213][dh] | Oct 8–21, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.02% | 26% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 20% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[211] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,415 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[211] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | - | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[211] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[211] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 32% | 65% | - | - | – | 3% |
| SurveyUSA[214] | May 19–24, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 7%[di] | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[215] | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 3%[dj] | 7% |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[216] | Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[217] | Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[218] | Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 52% | - | - | – | 16% |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[219] | Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 52% | - | - | – | 15% |
Delaware
[edit]
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[220] | October 5 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[221] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.9% | 34.6% | 6.5% | Biden +24.3 |
| Average | 58.2% | 35.1% | 6.8% | Biden +23.2 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[222] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 656 (LV) | ± 6% | 38%[dl] | 60% | - | - | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[222] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,323 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[222] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 395 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | 2% |
| University of Delaware[223] | Sep 21–27, 2020 | 847 (LV) | – | 33% | 54% | 2% | 1% | 10%[dm] |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[222] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 348 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | - | 1% |
| PPP[224] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 710 (V) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 58% | - | - | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[222] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | - | - | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[222] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% |
| Gonzales Research[225] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 56% | - | - | 4% |
District of Columbia
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[226] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 90.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | Biden +85.0 |
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[227] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 6% | 5%[dn] | 94% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[227] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 969 (LV) | – | 9% | 89% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[227] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 343 (LV) | – | 12% | 86% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[227] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 252 (LV) | – | 16% | 83% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[227] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 290 (LV) | – | 8% | 91% | – | – | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[227] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 151 (LV) | – | 11% | 87% | – | – | – | 3% |
Florida
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided[a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[228] | October 24 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.0% | 5.3% | Biden +2.7 |
| Real Clear Politics[229] | October 28 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
| FiveThirtyEight[230] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.1% | 46.6% | 4.3% | Biden +2.5 |
| Average | 48.6% | 46.5% | 4.9% | Biden +2.1 | ||
State polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insider Advantage/Fox 35[231] | Nov 1–2, 2020[al] | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group[232] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[do] | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[233] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 8,792 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 49%[dp] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| AYTM/Aspiration[234] | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[235] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[236][H] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2%[dq] | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[237] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,657 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1%[do] | 9% |
| Swayable[238] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
| Data for Progress[239] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0%[dr] | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters[240] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46%[o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[ds] | – |
| 46%[dt] | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 2% | ||||
| 47%[du] | 51% | - | - | 2%[dv] | – | ||||
| Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[241][Q] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 768 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[242] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3%[dw] | – |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[243] | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dx] | 6%[dy] |
| Morning Consult[244] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 4,451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls[245] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 2,758 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[246] | Oct 28–30, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47%[o] | 51% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 0% |
| 45%[dz] | 52% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 0% | ||||
| 48%[ea] | 49% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 0% | ||||
| Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[247] | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2%[eb] | – |
| AtlasIntel[248] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 48.5% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020[249][R] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Harvard-Harris/The Hill[250] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | ± ≥3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
| ABC/Washington Post[251] | Oct 24–29, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0%[ec] | 0% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group[253] | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[do] | 1% |
| Monmouth University[254] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 509 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[ed] | 2% |
| 509 (LV) | 45%[ee] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
| 46%[ef] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[233] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 14,571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Marist College/NBC[255] | Oct 25–27, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University[256] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1%[do] | 11% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[257] | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47%[o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2%[eg] | – |
| 47%[dt] | 49% | - | - | 3%[eh] | 2% | ||||
| Swayable[258] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University[259] | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Wick Surveys[260] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Florida Atlantic University[261] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[262][H] | Oct 23–25, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3%[ei] | 3% |
| Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[263] | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 3% |
| Ryan Tyson (R)[264] | Released Oct 24, 2020 | – (V)[ej] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3%[ek] | 4% |
| Gravis Marketing[265] | Oct 24, 2020 | 665 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
| YouGov/CBS[266] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2%[el] | 0% |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[267] | Oct 21–22, 2020 | 2,527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2%[em] | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[268] | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[o] | 50% | - | - | 1%[en] | 1% |
| 46%[dz] | 52% | - | - | 1%[en] | 1% | ||||
| 48%[ea] | 46% | - | - | 1%[en] | 1% | ||||
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[269] | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3%[eo] | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[270] | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46%[o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2%[eg] | – |
| 46%[dt] | 50% | - | - | 1%[ep] | 3% | ||||
| Citizen Data[271] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[272] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS[273] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[eq] | 1% |
| Morning Consult[244] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 4,685 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[274] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 547 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| University of North Florida[275] | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1%[do] | 3% |
| HarrisX/The Hill[276][6] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[277] | Oct 7–14, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47%[o] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2%[er] | – |
| 47%[dt] | 49% | - | - | 1%[ep] | 3% | ||||
| Trafalgar Group[278] | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[do] | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 1,519 (LV) | – | 44%[al] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[279] | Oct 11–12, 2020 | 2,215 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1%[es] | 2% |
| Emerson College[280] | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48%[et] | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | – |
| Mason-Dixon[281] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1%[eu] | 6% |
| Clearview Research[282] | Oct 7–12, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.18% | 40%[o] | 47% | - | - | 4%[ev] | 9% |
| 39%[ew] | 48% | - | - | 4%[ev] | 9% | ||||
| 41%[ex] | 46% | - | - | 4%[ev] | 9% | ||||
| Morning Consult[244] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 4,785 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42%[al] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Florida Atlantic University[283] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[284] | Oct 4–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46%[o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| 44%[dz] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
| 47%[ea] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
| Insider Advantage/Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R)[285] | Oct 6–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
| YouGov/CCES[286] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 3,755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters[287] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1%[ep] | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[288] | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[289] | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,256 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 7% |
| Change Research/CNBC[290] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[291][7] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45%[o] | 45% | 2% | 0%[ey] | 2%[ez] | 6% |
| 46%[fa] | 45% | - | - | 2%[fb] | 7% | ||||
| University of North Florida[292] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 3,134 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 3%[dy] |
| St. Leo University[293] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[294] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dx] | 8%[dy] |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[233] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 12,962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce[295] | Sep 23–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44%[al] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[296][H] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8%[dy] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[297] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
| St. Pete Polls[298] | Sep 21–22, 2020 | 2,906 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[em] | 2% |
| Data For Progress[299][S] | Sep 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
| Change Research/CNBC[300] | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| ABC/Washington Post[301] | Sep 15–20, 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1%[fc] | 1% |
| Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[302][T] | Sep 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[303] | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1%[fd] | 5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[304] | Sep 11–17, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[305] | Sep 12–14, 2020 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
| Monmouth University[306] | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1%[fe] | 3% |
| 428 (LV) | 45%[ff] | 50% | - | - | 1%[fg] | 3% | |||
| 46%[fh] | 49% | - | - | 1%[fg] | 3% | ||||
| Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report[307] | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,009 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4%[fi] | 11% |
| Florida Atlantic University[308] | Sep 11–12, 2020 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0%[fj] | – |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP[309] | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 2,689 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[em] | 2% |
| Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP[310] | Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[fk] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[311] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 3,914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43%[bg] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[312] | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4%[fl] | – |
| Marist College/NBC[313] | Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
| Trafalgar Group[314] | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[fm] | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[315] | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
| GQR Research (D)[316] | Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Quinnipiac[317] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1%[do] | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[233] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 3,790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Opinium/The Guardian[318][8] | Aug 21–26, 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
| Change Research/CNBC[319] | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 1,262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| PPP[320] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 671 (V) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies[321] | Aug 16, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1%[aw] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 3,484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[322][U] | Aug 11–15, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[fn] | 6% |
| Change Research/CNBC[323] | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[324][V] | Aug 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[233] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC[325][9] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[326] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 46%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[326] | Jul 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS[327] | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[fo] | 2% |
| Zogby Analytics[328] | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon[329] | Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[330] | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[331] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6%[fp] | 5% |
| Morning Consult[326] | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls[332] | Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2%[fq] | 3% |
| Gravis Marketing[333] | Jul 13, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Change Research/CNBC[334] | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[335] | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2%[fr] | 8% |
| Morning Consult[326] | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group[336] | Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5%[fs] | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[233] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 5,663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC[337] | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[326] | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Fox News[338] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6%[ft] | 6% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[339] | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4%[fu] | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[340] | Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 11% |
| Morning Consult[326] | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[341] | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 (LV)[al] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3%[fv] | – |
| Gravis Marketing/OANN[342] | Released Jun 11, 2020 | – (V)[ej] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| TIPP/American Greatness PAC[343][H] | Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4%[fw] | 5% |
| Morning Consult[326] | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[344] | May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[345] | May 18–30, 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | - | - | 3.3%[fx] | 5.9% |
| St. Pete Polls[346] | May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 (RV) | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | - | - | 2.7%[fy] | 3.1% |
| Morning Consult[326] | May 17–26, 2020 | 3,593 (LV) | – | 48%[bg] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[326] | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Point Blank Political[347] | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1%[fz] | <1%[ga] | 2% | 8% |
| Point Blank Political[347] | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[326] | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[ej] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[348] | May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3%[gb] | 10% |
| Florida Atlantic University[349] | May 8–12, 2020 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
| Fox News[350] | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University[351] | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
| St. Pete Polls[352] | Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 (RV) | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
| University of North Florida[353] | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
| AtlasIntel[354] | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
| Univision[355] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Florida Atlantic University[356] | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| University of North Florida[292] | Feb, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10%[dy] |
| Saint Leo University[357] | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
| University of North Florida[358] | Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Florida Atlantic University[359] | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce[360][W] | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[361] | Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[362] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| University of North Florida[363] | Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6%[gc] | 3% |
| Florida Atlantic University[364] | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University[365] | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
| St. Pete Polls[366] | Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Florida Atlantic University[367] | May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| WPA Intelligence[368] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Georgia
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[369] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.4% | 5.0% | Biden +0.2 |
| Real Clear Politics[370] | Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 4.6% | Trump +1.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[371] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 4.1% | Biden +1.2 |
| Average | 47.8% | 47.7% | 4.6% | Biden +0.1 | ||
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group[372] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 1%[do] | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[373] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,962 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48%[gd] | 50% | – | – | – |
| Landmark Communications/WSBTV[374] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% |
| Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[375][H] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% |
| AYTM/Aspiration[376] | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 380 (LV) | – | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
| Swayable[377] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 44% | 54% | 2% | – | – |
| Data for Progress[378] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0%[ge] | – |
| AtlasIntel[379] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | – |
| Emerson College[380] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49%[ai] | 48% | – | 2%[ah] | – |
| Morning Consult[381] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,743 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
| Landmark Communications/WSBTV[382] | Oct 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling[383] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 4%[gf] | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[373] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,019 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – |
| Monmouth University[384] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 1%[gg] | 2% |
| 504 (LV) | 46%[gh] | 50% | – | – | – | |||
| 48%[gi] | 50% | – | – | – | ||||
| Swayable[385] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% | – | – |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[386] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | – | 2%[ah] | 0% |
| Wick Surveys[387] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[388] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2%[gj] | 0% |
| University of Georgia/AJC[389] | Oct 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% |
| Landmark Communications/WSBTV[390] | Oct 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 4% |
| Citizen Data[391] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 2%[gk] | 5% |
| Morning Consult[381] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – |
| Emerson College[392] | Oct 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48%[ai] | 47% | – | 5%[gl] | – |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[393] | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 2%[gm] | 7%[aa] |
| Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[394][J] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46%[ai] | 49% | – | 3%[gn] | 4%[aa] |
| Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[395][X] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University[396] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | – | 1%[do] | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[397] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 48% | – | 2%[go] | 4% |
| Data for Progress[398] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1%[gp] | 5% |
| Morning Consult[399] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,837 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling[400] | Oct 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | – | 3%[cv] | 3% |
| Landmark Communications[401] | Oct 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48.6% | 46.8% | 0.7% | – | 3.9% |
| YouGov/CCES[402] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,456 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
| University of Georgia/AJC[403] | Sep 27 – Oct 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% |
| Landmark Communications/WSB[404] | Sep 30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[405] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,468 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[406] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
| Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[407][Y] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University[408] | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 50% | – | 1%[do] | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[409] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1%[gq] | 8% |
| YouGov/CBS[410] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | 2%[ah] | 5% |
| Monmouth University[411] | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0%[gr] | 4% |
| 402 (LV) | 48%[gh] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
| 50%[gi] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[412] | Sep 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0%[gs] | 8%[aa] |
| University of Georgia/AJC[413] | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
| Data for Progress (D)[414] | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45%[gt] | 45% | 1% | 0%[gu] | 8% |
| 46%[gv] | 46% | – | – | 8% | ||||
| GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia[415][Z] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[416] | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1%[gq] | 6% |
| Morning Consult[417] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 48%[gw] | 46% | – | – | – |
| Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP[418] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1%[gx] | 6% |
| Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[419][J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46%[ai] | 47% | 2% | 1%[gy] | 4% |
| Landmark Communications/WSB[420] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[405] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,772 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
| HarrisX/Matt Lieberman[421][AA] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2%[gz] | – |
| PPP/Fair Fight Action[422][AB] | Aug 24–25, 2020 | 782 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
| Landmark Communications[423] | Aug 14–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
| SurveyUSA[424] | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4%[ha] | 6% |
| YouGov/CBS[425] | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3%[hb] | 5% |
| HIT Strategies/DFER[426][AC] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6%[hc] | 10%[aa] |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[405] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,745 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
| Monmouth University[427] | Jul 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
| 402 (LV) | 48%[gh] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
| 49%[gi] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
| Morning Consult[428] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,337 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[429][F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
| Trafalgar Group[430] | Jul 15–18, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2%[hd] | 2% |
| Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[431][AD] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[432][X] | Jul 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing/OANN[433] | Jul 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey/Tableau[405] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 2,059 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[434][AE] | Jun 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
| Fox News[435] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4%[he] | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling[436] | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
| TargetSmart[437] | May 21–27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10%[hf] | 6% |
| Morning Consult[428] | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[438] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3%[cv] | 2% |
| The Progress Campaign (D)[439][10] | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | - | – | 6%[hg] |
| BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[440][AF] | May 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | - | – | – |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[441] | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 46% | 47% | - | – | 7%[hh] |
| Cygnal/David Ralston[442][11][AG] | Apr 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | - | 7% | 5% |
| Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate[443][AH] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | - | – | 6% |
| The Progress Campaign (D)[444] | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | - | 4% | – |
| University of Georgia[445] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | 4% | 2% |
| Mason-Dixon[446] | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | - | – | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[447] | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 1,303 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | - | – | 10% |
| Climate Nexus[448] | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | – | 5% |
| University of Georgia[449] | Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | 3% | 4%[hi] |
| Zogby Analytics[450] | Oct 28–30, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | - | – | 11% |
Hawaii
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[451] | October 1–16, 2020 | November 2, 2020 | 63.5% | 30.5% | 5.9% | Biden +33.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[452] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.3% | 30.0% | 5.7% | Biden +34.3 |
| Average | 63.8% | 30.6% | 5.6% | Biden +33.2 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[453] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 5% | 31%[hj] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[453] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,263 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[454] | Oct 12–14, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 29% | 58% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
| MRG Research/Civil Beat/HNN[455] | Oct 2–7, 2020 | 988 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 28% | 61% | - | - | 4%[hk] | 7% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[453] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 474 (LV) | – | 33% | 66% | - | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[453] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 362 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[453] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 356 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – | 2% |
| MRG Research[456] | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 975 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 29% | 56% | - | - | 6%[hl] | 10% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[453] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 207 (LV) | – | 30% | 67% | - | - | – | 3% |
Idaho
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[457] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 56.6% | 4.9% | Trump +18.1 |
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[458] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 909 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58%[hm] | 40% | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[458] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,799 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[458] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 761 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | - | – | 1% |
| Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front[459] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[458] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 737 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[458] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 671 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[458] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 266 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | - | – | 1% |
Illinois
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[460] | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.3% | 37.7% | 6.0% | Biden +18.6 |
| FiveThirtyEight[461] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 55.0% | 39.0% | 6.0% | Biden +16.0 |
| Average | 55.7% | 38.4% | 5.9% | Biden +17.3 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[462] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,643 (LV) | ± 2% | 40%[hn] | 58% | - | - | – | – |
| Research Co.[463] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 55% | - | - | 1%[ho] | 6% |
| Victory Research[464] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
| Swayable[465] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 6% | 44% | 55% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[462] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,056 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | – |
| Swayable[466] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 424 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 43% | 54% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[462] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 8,392 (LV) | – | 36% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Victory Research[467] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 4% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[462] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 6,773 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[462] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,565 (LV) | – | 38% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[462] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,000 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
Indiana
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[468] | October 14 - November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 51.0% | 7.0% | Trump +9.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[469] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.9% | 5.1% | Trump +10.8 |
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[470] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,729 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[hp] | 44% | – | – | – |
| Swayable[471] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 264 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 55% | 43% | 2% | – | – |
| Morning Consult[472] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 42% | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[470] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,734 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
| Swayable[473] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | – | – |
| Ragnar Research (R)[474] | Oct 18–21, 2020 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 5% | – | 7% |
| SurveyUSA/Election Twitter[475] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 42% | – | 3% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[470] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,367 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – |
| Change Research/IndyPolitics[476] | Sep 3–7, 2020 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 39% | 5% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[470] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult[477] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020[hq] | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[470] |