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Deutsch2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware
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  Carney: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Urquhart: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Delaware |
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The 2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware was held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Delaware in the United States House of Representatives for the 112th United States Congress. Democratic nominee former Lieutenant Governor, John Carney defeated Republican nominee Glen Urquhart, giving Delaware an all Democratic congressional delegation for the first time since before the 1942 midterms.[1] This is the first open seat election since 1992 and only the second since 1976.
Overview
[edit]
The state of Delaware is completely contained in a single at-large district. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7.[2] Since 1993, the district had been represented by Republican Michael Castle.
Castle announced in 2009 he would run for the United States Senate seat[3] held by Ted Kaufman (D) who had been appointed to the seat when his predecessor, Joe Biden (D), resigned to become Vice President. Castle was defeated by Christine O'Donnell in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Results
[edit]Carney announced his candidacy on April 15, 2009, and was unopposed in the primary after Scott Spencer, a transportation consultant, dropped out.[4][5]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Glen Urquhart, businessman
- Michele Rollins, businesswoman and former Miss District of Columbia USA and former Miss World America 1963
- Rose Izzo, columnist
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glen Urquhart | 27,343 | 48.64 | |
| Republican | Michele Rollins | 26,789 | 47.66 | |
| Republican | Rose Izzo | 2,082 | 3.70 | |
| Total votes | 56,214 | 100.00 | ||
Campaign
[edit]According to a September 2010 poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind, "likely voters in Delaware split 45%-40% on whether they prefer[ed] to have the U.S. Congress controlled by the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, suggesting that the First State's open congressional seat might be hotly contested," yet in the same poll, Carney led Urquhart by 51%-36%.[7] Peter Woolley, the poll director, remarked that "candidates matter, not just parties" and that in Delaware candidates matter "more than in most states."[7]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Glen Urquhart (R) | John Carney (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth University[8] | October 25–27, 2010 | 44% | 51% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson[9] | October 20–26, 2010 | 36% | 53% |
| Monmouth University[10] | October 8–11, 2010 | 44% | 53% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson[11] | September 27 – October 3, 2010 | 36% | 51% |
| University of Delaware[12] | September 16–30, 2010 | 31% | 48% |
| Wilson Research Strategies[13] | September 27–28, 2010 | 41% | 45% |
| Grove Insight[14] | September 15–18, 2010 | 32% | 50% |
| Public Policy Polling[15] | September 11–12, 2010 | 37% | 48% |
| Public Policy Polling[16] | August 7–8, 2010 | 30% | 48% |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Carney | 173,543 | 56.78 | |||
| Republican | Glen Urquhart | 125,442 | 41.04 | |||
| Independent Party | Earl R. Lofland | 3,704 | 1.21 | |||
| Libertarian | Brent A. Wangen | 1,986 | 0.65 | |||
| Blue Enigma | Jeffrey Brown | 961 | 0.31 | |||
| Total votes | 305,636 | 100.00 | ||||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- New Castle (largest city: Wilmington)
References
[edit]- ^ Elections 2010:Delaware
- ^ "Cook Political Report, PVI for the 110th Congress" (PDF). Cook Political Report. June 20, 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 26, 2008. Retrieved February 15, 2009.
- ^ Josh Kraushaar (October 6, 2009). "Castle running for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved October 7, 2009.
- ^ "Delaware Con Carney - Hotline On Call". Hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
- ^ "Courierpostonline - Transportation consultant plans congressional bid". Content.usatoday.net. March 30, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
- ^ "State of Delaware - Department of Elections - State of Delaware". Archived from the original on November 5, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2011.
- ^ a b "Delaware Republicans Losing House Seat," FDU PublicMind, Oct. 5, 2010. Retrieved 2/24/11.
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Fairleigh Dickinson
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Fairleigh Dickinson
- ^ University of Delaware
- ^ Wilson Research Strategies
- ^ Grove Insight
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ "State of Delaware - Department of Elections - State of Delaware". Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved May 13, 2011.
External links
[edit]- Election Commissioner at the Delaware Secretary of State
- Official candidate listings Archived November 3, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
- U.S. Congress candidates for Delaware Archived October 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at Project Vote Smart
- Delaware U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Delaware from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Delaware General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- House - Delaware from the Cook Political Report
- Delaware House Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
- Election 2010 Archived September 18, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at The News Journal