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Deutsch2010 United States Senate election in Kansas
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 County results Moran: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Johnston: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Kansas |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Sam Brownback did not seek a third full term, but instead successfully ran for Governor of Kansas.
Fellow Republican and representative Jerry Moran won the open seat. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Kansas for this seat since 1968.[a]
Background
[edit]Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Tom Little, accountant
- Bob Londerholm, former Attorney General of Kansas[1]
- Jerry Moran, U.S. Representative[2]
- Todd Tiahrt, U.S. Representative[3][4]
Campaign
[edit]The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006 to 2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.[5][6]
Endorsements
[edit]Moran
[edit]Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Jerry Moran[7]
- U.S. Senator Richard Burr of North Carolina
- U.S. Senator Tom Coburn of Oklahoma
- U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina
- U.S. Senator Mike Johanns of Nebraska
- U.S. Senator and 2008 Republican nominee for President John McCain of Arizona
- U.S. Senator John Thune of South Dakota
- Former U.S. Senator Jim Talent of Missouri
- U.S. Congressman Jeff Flake of Arizona
Tiahrt
[edit]State/local-level positions (State Senators, Governors, etc.)[8]
- State Senator Steve Abrams
- State Senator Les Donovan
- State Senator Dick Kelsey
- State Senator Julia Lynn
- State Senator Ty Masterson
- State Senator Carolyn McGinn
- State Senator Susan Wagle
- Kansas House Majority Leader Ray Merrick
- Kansas Speaker Pro Tempore Arlen Seigfreid
- State Representative Steven Brunk
- State Representative J. David Crum
- State Representative Peter DeGraaf
- State Representative Mario Goico
- State Representative John Grange
- State Representative Phil Hermanson
- State Representative Steve Huebert
- State Representative Aaron Jack
- State Representative Kasha Kelley
- State Representative Dan Kerschen
- State Representative Brenda Landwehr
- State Representative Joe McLeland
- State Representative Virgil Peck
- State Representative Marc Rhoades
- State Representative Gene Suellentrop
U.S. federal positions (Senators, Congressmen, etc.)[8]
- U.S Senator James Inhofe of Oklahoma
- Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania
- U.S. Congressman Mike Rogers of Alabama
- Former Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert of Illinois
- Former U.S. Congressman Jim Ryun of Kansas
- Former attorney general of the United States John Ashcroft
- Former United States Secretary of Education Bill Bennett
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Todd Tiahrt[8]
- Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and 2008 vice presidential nominee[9]
- James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Family
- Erick Erickson, editor of the conservative weblog RedState
- Steve Forbes, former Republican presidential candidate and editor-in-chief of Forbes
- Gracia Burnham, Kansas resident and former missionary kidnapped in Philippines
- Darla Jaye, talk show host on KMBZ
- David Keene, Chairman of the American Conservative Union
- Mark Levin, prominent conservative author and talk show host
- Dick Morris, Fox News contributor
- Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council
- Phyllis Schlafly, founder of Eagle Forum
- Karl Rove, former Deputy Chief of Staff and Senior Advisor for President George W. Bush
- Former U.S. Congressman Tom Tancredo of Colorado
- Eagle Forum PAC
- Concerned Women for America PAC
- Family Research Council Action PAC
- Great American Forum PAC
- Kansans for Government Reform PAC
- Kansans for Life PAC
- Kansas State University College Republicans
- Pittsburg State University College Republicans
- Benedictine College Republicans
- Baker University College Republicans
- Kansas Federation of College Republicans
- Northwest Johnson County Republicans
- Wichita State University College Republicans
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Todd Tiahrt | Jerry Moran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000[10] | February 2–4, 2009 | 24% | 19% |
| Survey USA[11] | April 17–19, 2009 | 35% | 39% |
| Survey USA[12] | June 12–14, 2009 | 38% | 40% |
| Survey USA[13] | October 2–4, 2009 | 27% | 43% |
| Survey USA[14] | December 4–6, 2009 | 34% | 37% |
| Survey USA[15] | January 29–31, 2010 | 33% | 40% |
| Survey USA[16] | March 26–28, 2010 | 32% | 42% |
| Survey USA[17] | May 21–23, 2010 | 29% | 52% |
| Survey USA[18] | June 24–27, 2010 | 33% | 53% |
| Survey USA[19] | July 15–18, 2010 | 36% | 50% |
| Survey USA[20] | July 29 – August 1, 2010 | 39% | 49% |
Results
[edit]
Map legend
- Moran—80–90%
- Moran—70–80%
- Moran—60–70%
- Moran—50–60%
- Moran—40–50%
- Tiahrt—40–50%
- Tiahrt—50–60%
- Tiahrt—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Moran | 161,407 | 49.8% | |
| Republican | Todd Tiahrt | 144,372 | 44.6% | |
| Republican | Tom Little | 10,104 | 3.1% | |
| Republican | Bob Londerholm | 8,168 | 2.5% | |
| Total votes | 324,051 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Robert Conroy, retired railroad employee
- David Haley, state senator and nominee for Secretary of State in 2002 and 2006[22]
- Lisa Johnston, administrator at Baker University[23]
- Charles Schollenberger, retired communications executive[24]
- Patrick Wiesner, attorney and CPA
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Charles Schollenberger | Lisa Johnston | Robert Conroy | David Haley | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[18] | June 24–27, 2010 | 16% | 24% | 11% | 11% | 35% |
| Survey USA[19] | July 15–18, 2010 | 14% | 23% | 7% | 12% | 36% |
| Survey USA[20] | July 29 – August 1, 2010 | 21% | 29% | 7% | 12% | 25% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lisa Johnston | 25,421 | 31.2% | |
| Democratic | Charles Schollenberger | 19,228 | 23.6% | |
| Democratic | David Haley | 15,584 | 19.2% | |
| Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 13,359 | 16.4% | |
| Democratic | Robert Conroy | 7,779 | 9.6% | |
| Total votes | 81,371 | 100.00% | ||
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Major
[edit]- Jerry Moran (R), U.S. Representative (campaign site, PVS Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, FEC[permanent dead link])
- Lisa Johnston (D), Baker University administrator (campaign site, PVS Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, FEC)
Minor
[edit]- Michael Dann (L) (campaign site, PVS Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine)
- Joe Bellis (RE) (campaign site, PVS)
Campaign
[edit]Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932.[25] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties: Wyandotte County and Douglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.[26]
Debates
[edit]The two never met for a debate.[27]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[29] | Safe R | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[30] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Safe R | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[32] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Jerry Moran | Lisa Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[33] | May 11, 2010 | 61% | 25% |
| Rasmussen Reports[34] | June 30, 2010 | 59% | 23% |
| Rasmussen Reports[35] | August 4, 2010 | 61% | 28% |
| Survey USA[36] | August 12–15, 2010 | 69% | 23% |
| Survey USA[37] | September 14–16, 2010 | 66% | 24% |
| Survey USA[38] | October 10–12, 2010 | 67% | 27% |
| Survey USA[39] | October 22–26, 2010 | 66% | 26% |
Fundraising
[edit]| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Johnston (D) | $10,627 | $4,530 | $6,096 | $1,131 |
| Jerry Moran (R) | $2,749,244 | $4,497,168 | $795,015 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[40] | ||||
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Moran | 587,175 | 70.09% | +0.93% | |
| Democratic | Lisa Johnston | 220,971 | 26.38% | −1.11% | |
| Libertarian | Michael Dann | 17,922 | 2.14% | +0.21% | |
| Reform | Joe Bellis | 11,624 | 1.39% | −0.03% | |
| Total votes | 837,692 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Sheila Frahm ran for the 1996 special election to finish Bob Dole's term, but lost in the primary to Sam Brownback.
References
[edit]- ^ "Londerholm drops out of Senate race". Associated Press. July 13, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2010.
- ^ "Moran now eyes U.S. Senate seat". Associated Press. November 8, 2008. Retrieved November 10, 2008. [dead link]
- ^ "Tiahrt preparing for Senate race in Kansas". Associated Press. November 21, 2008. Retrieved November 23, 2008. [dead link]
- ^ "Congressman Tiahrt Announces Senate Steering Committee - KWCH - Kansas News and Weather". KWCH. January 27, 2009. Archived from the original on February 5, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ Clark, Matthew (June 5, 2010). "POLITICS BLOG: Earmarks, earmarks and more earmarks - Pittsburg, KS". Morning Sun. Archived from the original on July 26, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Truth Test". YouTube. June 7, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Jerry Moran Endorsements". Moran for Kansas. June 2, 2010. Archived from the original on June 26, 2010. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
- ^ a b c "Todd Tiahrt Endorsements". Todd Tiahrt for Kansas. June 2, 2010.
- ^ "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Research 2000
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ a b Survey USA
- ^ a b Survey USA
- ^ a b Survey USA
- ^ a b "Kansas Primary results". Politico. August 3, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2010.
- ^ "State Sen. David Haley to enter race for U.S. Senate | Wichitopekington | Wichita Eagle Blogs". Blogs.kansas.com. Archived from the original on August 9, 2011. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ "Moran squeezes past Tiahrt, looks forward to Johnston". KCUR-FM. Associated Press. August 4, 2010. Archived from the original on September 16, 2011. Retrieved August 4, 2010.
- ^ "The Hutchinson News Online Edition". Hutchnews.com. June 15, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ "Canadian Press".[dead link]
- ^ "Wyandotte County voters buck statewide trend". BonnerSprings.com. Archived from the original on November 13, 2010. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
- ^ "Moran takes Senate seat - McPherson, KS - The McPherson Sentinel". Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved November 9, 2010.
- ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kansas". fec.gov. Archived from the original on May 25, 2010. Retrieved August 22, 2010.
- ^ "2010 General Election - Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
External links
[edit]- Kansas Secretary of State - Elections & Legislative
- U.S. Congress candidates for Kansas Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at Project Vote Smart
- Kansas U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Kansas Senate General Election: Jerry Moran (R) vs Lisa Johnston (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Kansas Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Kansas Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- News coverage from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star
Official candidate sites (Archived)
Debates