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Deutsch2024 European Parliament election in Italy
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All 76 Italian seats to the European Parliament | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 48.3% ( 6.2 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results of the election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 European Parliament election in Italy took place on 8 and 9 June 2024, electing members of the 10th Italian delegation to the European Parliament as part of the broader 2024 European Parliament election from 6 to 9 June.[1] It was held concurrently with the 2024 Italian local elections.[2]
Background
[edit]In the previous European election of 2019, the League of Matteo Salvini arrived first with 34.3% of the vote and 29 seats, followed by the Democratic Party with 22.7% and 19 seats.
In the 2022 Italian general election, the Brothers of Italy of Giorgia Meloni arrived first with 25.98% of the vote for the Chamber of Deputies, inside the centre-right coalition, followed by the Democratic Party with 19.04%, inside the centre-left coalition.
Qatargate
[edit]The ongoing Qatargate corruption scandal, which began in December 2022, has destabilized the European Parliament following the arrest of several MEPs including Marc Tarabella, Andrea Cozzolino and Eva Kaili. Among others, the case includes Francesco Giorgi, the parliamentary assistant of MEP Andrea Cozzolino, Pier Antonio Panzeri, founder of the Fight Impunity NGO; Niccolo Figa-Talamanca, head of the No Peace Without Justice NGO; and Luca Visentini, head of the International Trade Union Confederation.[3][4]
Carlo Fidanza
[edit]In January 2023, MEP Carlo Fidanza of Brothers of Italy was involved in a corruption investigation by the Milan Public Prosecutor's Office for having made Brescia city councillor Giovanni Acri resign in order to get Giangiacomo Calovini elected, in exchange for the appointment of Acri's son as Fidanza's assistant in the European Parliament.[5] Giangiacomo Calovini was then elected member of the Chamber of Deputies of Italy at the 2022 Italian general election for Brothers of Italy. In June 2023, Fidanza and Calovini plea bargained with the Milan Public Prosecutor to one year and four months for corruption, avoiding the disqualification from public office that would have been triggered by the Severino Law.[6][7]
Electoral system
[edit]As the party-list proportional representation was the traditional electoral system of the First Italian Republic from its establishment in 1946 to 1994, it was adopted to elect the Italian members of the European Parliament (MEPs) since 1979. Two levels were introduced: a national level to divide the seats among parties and a constituency level to distribute them among candidates in open lists. Five constituencies were established, each including 2–6 regions of Italy and each electing a fixed number of MEPs. At national level, seats are divided between party lists using the largest remainder method with Hare quota. Seats are allocated to parties and then to their most voted candidates. In the run-up to the 2009 European Parliament election in Italy, the Italian Parliament introduced an electoral threshold of 4%. An exception was granted for parties representing some linguistic minorities as such lists can be connected with one of the major parties through apparentment, combining their votes, provided that those parties reach the 4% threshold and that candidates from minority parties obtain a sufficient number of votes, no less than 50,000 for the main candidate. Every political party that intends to take part in the election must collect at least 30,000 to 35,000 signatures of eligible voters for each constituency, of which at least 3,000 signatures for each region; however, the following lists are exempted from the collection of signatures: all the lists that have at least one group in the Chamber of Deputies or the Senate of the Republic, all the lists that contested themselves in the last political election with their own symbol and that have elected at least one parliamentarian, all the lists that contain the symbol of a list already exempted from the collection of signatures, and the lists that refer in the symbol to a European political party or a party of another nation within the European Union that has elected at least one MEP at the last European elections. The latter condition was established in 2019 by the Electoral Offices of the constituencies.[8][9]
Constituencies
[edit]
| Constituency | Regions | Seats | Population, 2022[10] (thousands) | Area (km2) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Per seat | Total | Per seat | |||
| North-West | Aosta Valley, Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont | 20 | 15,832 | 792 | 57,950 | 2,897 |
| North-East | Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, Veneto | 15 | 11,541 | 769 | 62,310 | 4,154 |
| Central | Lazio, Marche, Tuscany, Umbria | 15 | 11,724 | 781 | 58,052 | 3,870 |
| Southern | Abruzzo, Apulia, Basilicata, Calabria, Campania, Molise | 18 | 13,512 | 751 | 73,223 | 4,068 |
| Islands | Sardinia, Sicily | 8 | 6,421 | 803 | 49,801 | 6,225 |
| Total | 76 | 59,030 | 777 | 302,068 | 3,975 | |
Proposed changes
[edit]In 2023, the Regional Council of Sardinia unanimously approved a proposal to split the Italian Islands constituency into Sicily and Sardinia due to the population disproportion between the two Italian regions. As of May 2023, the proposal is under discussion in the Senate of the Republic.[11][12] In July 2023, it was informally proposed to lower the electoral threshold from 4% to 3%, the same electoral threshold used for the political elections. This proposal was welcomed by Greens and Left Alliance (AVS) and Us Moderates (NM). FdI did not shut it down since they wanted to help FI, whose future seemed uncertain after the death of Berlusconi, while Lega and IV declared themselves against the proposal. The proposal was officially rejected in September when Forza Italia, fearing the centrist competition of Az and IV, refused to lower the electoral threshold.[13][14][15]
Signature exemptions
[edit]![[icon]](/wiki/en/File:Wiki_letter_w_cropped.svg){kind=small} | This section needs expansion with: different court rulings regarding the exceptions (AP, FN, PAI). You can help by adding to it. (May 2024) |
According to the regulations for the 2019 European Parliament election, parties may be exempted from collecting signatures under certain circumstances, including having their own group in the Chamber of Deputies or the Senate of the Republic, having elected at least one MP with their symbol in the last general election, having a logo that contains the logo of another party already exempted from collecting signatures, and having lists that refer to a European party or a party of another nation within the European Union that has elected at least one MEP in the last European elections.[16] In 2014, the Electoral Offices of the constituencies granted exemption to the European Greens – Green Italia list, as the list was affiliated with a European political party represented in the European Parliament with its own parliamentary group.[17] In 2019, the Electoral Offices of the constituencies established a condition that permits certain parties to participate in European elections through any party in Europe that elected at least one MEP in any European country.[18] In February 2024, FdI proposed an amendment to the Elections Decree in the Senate of the Republic. The amendment aimed to clarify the interpretation given by the Electoral Offices of the constituencies in 2019. It was suggested that parties that had elected at least one MEP in Italy at the last elections would be exempt. Additionally, it was proposed that only lists that had elected at least one member of the Italian Parliament (MP) in the proportional representation system (Italian electoral law of 2017) at the 2022 general election would be exempt. This exclusion would apply to parties that had elected an MP in a uninominal constituency with their party logo.[19] After criticism from some parties, such as +Eu, South calls North (ScN), and Popular Alternative (AP), with the first two parties having elected an MP only in a single-member district, the amendment was revised to provide an exemption for all parties that have elected an MP, whether in a proportional representation or a single-member districts.[20][21] On 7 March 2024, the Constitutional Affairs Committee in the Senate of the Republic approved the amendment.[22]
Outgoing delegation
[edit]Outgoing MEPs
[edit]The table shows the detailed composition of the Italian seats at the European Parliament as of 1 February 2024.
- ^ Results for EV (2.32%, 0 seats) and LS (1.75%, 0 seats) in the 2019 election.
- ^ Raffaele Stancanelli, an outgoing MEP of Brothers of Italy, is a candidate for the League.[23]
- ^ Maria Veronica Rossi left the League and joined Brothers of Italy on 30 April 2024.[24]
- ^ Andrea Cozzolino was suspended from the Democratic Party on 16 December 2022 following the Qatar corruption scandal at the European Parliament.[25]
Retiring incumbents
[edit] | This section needs expansion with: full list of retiring MEPs, as only a minority is listed. You can help by adding to it. (May 2024) |
The table shows the MEPs who are not seeking re-election.
Parties and leaders
[edit]This is a list of the parties which will participate in the election. Some parties will run only in one or a few constituencies out of five.
Candidates
[edit]Top candidates
[edit]The following table lists the top candidates of each party/list in the five constituencies.
League
[edit]On 8 January 2024, Salvini announced that he would not run for the next European Parliament. He also praised Roberto Vannacci, an Italian Army general who became notorious in the summer of 2023 for writing a political book containing statements considered homophobic, racist, and sexist by some while on duty.[97][98] An internal disciplinary procedure was opened against him by the Italian Army to investigate possible disciplinary offences.[99] Vannacci said he would consider a candidature for the European elections.[100] On 25 April, Salvini announced that Vannacci accepted to run as a candidate in all constituencies.[101]
Democratic Party
[edit]Paolo Gentiloni, the outgoing European Commissioner for Economy, turned down the chance to stand as a candidate for the European Parliament.[102]
Brothers of Italy
[edit]Meloni, the leader of FdI and 68th Prime Minister of Italy, said during a press conference that she was considering running in the next elections.[103] According to Article 122 of the Italian Constitution and to Article 6 of the Access Initial Legal Act approved by the European Parliament, the office of Prime Minister is incompatible with that of MEP, therefore Meloni should immediately resign as MEP.[104][105][106] Berlusconi was the only italian incumbent Prime Minister to run as a candidate for the European elections in 1994, 2004, and in 2009, resigning as MEP after the elections due to incompatibility with the office of Prime Minister.[107][108]
Other parties
[edit]On 14 January 2024, Emma Bonino declined to stand as a candidate for the election;[109] she changed her mind on 20 April 2024.[110] On 25 January 2024, Federico Pizzarotti, president of +Eu, announced his desire to run as a candidate.[111]
On 22 January 2024, Calenda unveiled on the party website the first candidates for the election: MEP Giosi Ferrandino, Caterina Avanza, Alessio D'Amato, Cristina Lodi, Mario Raffaelli, and Giuseppe Zollino.[112][113]
Campaign
[edit]League
[edit]Lega leader Matteo Salvini repeatedly called for the formation of an alternative majority in the European Parliament that included the groups of the European People's Party (EPP), European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), and Identity and Democracy Party (ID), like the centre-right coalition that won the 2022 Italian general election. on 7 December 2023, Salvini organized an ID convention in Florence, where he criticized the European Green Deal, accusing the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) of "illegally occupying" the European Commission. For his part, Antonio Tajani, the new leader of Forza Italia (FI) following the death of historic party leader Silvio Berlusconi in June 2023, criticized Salvini's idea, not considering an alliance with Marine Le Pen of the National Rally (RN), Geert Wilders of the Party for Freedom (PVV), and Alternative for Germany (AfD) possible.[114][115]
Brothers of Italy
[edit]In an interview with ZDF on 6 August 2023, the EPP president Manfred Weber praised the Meloni government, suggesting a possible alliance with Brothers of Italy for the next election. He drew a red line with three conditions to fulfill: the support for Ukraine in the Russo-Ukrainian War, the willingness to build Europe and not destroy it, and the acceptance of the rule of law, denying at the same time an alliance with AfD, RN, or PiS; at the same time, Markus Söder, the Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU) leader, turned down any alliance with FdI.[116][117] Former German Minister of Justice Katarina Barley accused Weber of opening up to the far right in Europe.[118] During the press conference held on 5 January 2024, Meloni said there are "insurmountable distances" with AfD but praised Le Pen.[119]
Centrist parties
[edit]After the break-up of the Third Pole, an electoral coalition formed in 2022 between Action (Az) and Italia Viva (IV), there were concerns that there was a risk of presenting three lists belonging to the same Renew Europe (Renew) group without any of the three lists being able to pass the threshold, thus not electing any MEPs.[120] Stéphane Séjourné, the president of Renew, publicly appealed in May 2023 to both parties to stand together at the next European elections so as to elect "as many MEPs from the Renew Europe group as possible".[121][122][123] Disagreements between Az leader Carlo Calenda and IV leader Matteo Renzi hindered the birth of a common list; Renzi announced the break-up of the common groups at the Italian Parliament and the birth of a list called The Centre, while Calenda expressed his opposition to run again with Renzi. Calenda had also broken the federation with More Europe (+Eu) in August 2022, preferring to ally himself with IV to create the Third Pole, and he had also stood as a candidate in the same constituency as +Eu founder Emma Bonino, ending up favouring the centre-right coalition candidate who then won the uninominal constituency.[124][125][126]
On 30 September 2023, Riccardo Magi, secretary of +Eu, announced that his party would run as the United States of Europe.[127] On 13 December 2023, the National Direction of +Eu approved talks with the other Italian liberal parties for a list supporting the United States of Europe.[128] On 15 December 2023, Bonino published on La Stampa a manifesto, calling for the United States of Europe.[129] The manifesto was signed by individual people like Base Italia leader Marco Bentivogli,[130] Giusi Nicolini,[131] Sandro Gozi,[132] Nathalie Tocci, and Renato Soru,[133] and parties like IV.[134]
On 31 January 2024, Bonino published an article in Il Sole 24 Ore announcing a convention for the United States of Europe list open to all parties for 24 February 2024 in Rome.[135] The goal is to launch a list that does not contain individual party symbols on its logo and that party leaders do not run for the European Parliament election.[136] Despite supporting the manifesto, Renzi announced that he would run in all constituencies.[137] Following the convention on 24 February 2024, there were differences of opinion between Az and IV. Magi requested a brief period of reflection to come to an agreement on a single list.[138][139] On 7 March 2024, More Europe issued a statement advocating for a unified list that includes all three liberal parties, otherwise each party would need to act independently.[140]
Other lists
[edit]In November 2023, former Rome mayor Gianni Alemanno launched a right-wing party called Independence, saying he was thinking about running for the European Parliament election.[141] In February 2024, television host Michele Santoro presented a left-wing list named Peace, Land, Dignity.[142]
Opinion polling
[edit]Party vote
[edit]Exit poll
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Lega ID | PD S&D | M5S NI | FI EPP | NM EPP | FdI ECR | AVS Left–G/EFA | PTD[a] Left | SUE | A Renew | DSP NI | Italexit NI | Libertà NI | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +E Renew | IV Renew | |||||||||||||||||
| 8–9 Jun 2024 | Consorzio Opinio | – | 8–10 | 21–25 | 10–14 | 8.5–10.5 | 26–30 | 5–7 | 1–3 | 3.5–5.5 | 2.5–4.5 | – | – | 0–2 | 0–3 | 9–1 | ||
| 20–24 May 2024 | SWG | 2,000 | 8.6 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 8.6 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | |||||
| 25–25 May 2024 | Noto | 1,000 | 9.0 | 20.5 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | |||||
| 22–23 May 2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.8 | 22.0 | 14.5 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | |||||
| 21–22 May 2024 | Eumetra | 800 | 8.7 | 21.1 | 16.2 | 8.9 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | |||||
| 22–23 May 2024 | Termometro | 3,900 | 9.0 | 19.6 | 15.7 | 8.5 | 26.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7.2 | ||||
| 19–23 May 2024 | Quorum | 1,604 | 9.0 | 20.3 | 15.9 | 8.5 | 27.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6.9 | ||||
| 19–23 May 2024 | EMG | 2,000 | 9.3 | 20.9 | 15.7 | 7.9 | 26.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 6.0 | |||||||
| 20–21 May 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.6 | 22.5 | 15.4 | 9.2 | 26.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | ||||
| 19–21 May 2024 | Cluster 17 | 1,051 | 8.7 | 20.8 | 15.5 | 8.2 | 26.9 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 7.1 | |||
| 20–21 May 2024 | Bidimedia | 1,190 | 9.1 | 21.2 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 6.0 | ||||
| 17–22 Apr 2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.9 | 8.4 | 26.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | |||
| 17–19 Apr 2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 27.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 7.3 | ||||
| 17–18 Apr 2024 | Demos | 1,005 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | ||||||
| 16–18 Apr 2024 | Termometro Politico | 4,100 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 27.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.8 | |||
| 16–17 Apr 2024 | Eumetra | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | ||||
| 10–15 Apr 2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7.8 | |||
| 13 Apr 2024 | Tecnè | 7.9 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.5 | |||||
| 8–12 Apr 2024 | Ixè | 1,000 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.7 | ||||
| 9–11 Apr 2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,700 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 8.3 | |||
| 8–9 Apr 2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | ||||
| 3–8 Apr 2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.8 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.1 | |||
| 8 Apr 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 26.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | ||||
| 5 Apr 2024 | EMG | – | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | ||||
| 4–5 Apr 2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 16.0 | 7.8 | 27.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | ||||
| 2–4 Apr 2024 | EMG | 1,000 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | |||||
| 28–30 Mar 2024 | BiDiMedia | 2,000 | 8.3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | |||
| 27 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.2[b] | |||
| 8.7 | 19.5 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.5[c] | ||||||
| 19–25 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | |
| 20 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | – | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
| 19 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 9.0[b] | ||||
| 7.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 10.0[c] | |||||||
| 11 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.3[b] | ||||
| 8.6 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 8.5[c] | |||||||
| 7 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5[b] | ||||
| 7.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 29.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.5[c] | |||||||
| 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,503 | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
| 28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 7.2 | |||
| 28 Feb 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.6 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.0[b] | ||||
| 8.7 | 20.0 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 8.1[c] | |||||||
| 26–28 Feb 2024 | Bidimedia | 1,000 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.1 | |
| 25–28 Feb 2024 | Cluster17 | 1,022 | 9.1 | 19.7 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 7.6 | |
| 20–22 Feb 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9.9 | |
| 17–22 Feb 2024 | Stack Data Strategy | 944 | 8.7 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 27.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
| 21 Feb 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | ||||
| 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,800 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 29.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 9.5 | ||
| 30–31 Jan 2024 | Demopolis | – | 9.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | |||||
| 24–31 Jan 2024 | Portland | 502 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0[d] | 7.0 | |||
| 24–27 Jan 2024 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 9.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 28.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.3 | |
| 25–26 Jan 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 9.2 | |||
| 22–24 Jan 2024 | Winpoll | 1,000 | 9.1 | 21.5 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3[e] | 6.3 | |||
| 12–22 Jan 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.4 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0[b] | |||
| 8.2 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 29.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 9.3[c] | ||||||
| 16 Jan 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 8.5[f] | ||||
| 6.5 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 12.0[c] | |||||||
| 15–16 Jan 2024 | Tecnè | 800 | 8.4 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 29.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.2 | 9.2[b] | |||||||
| 8.3 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 29.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 9.8[c] | ||||||||||
| 4 Jan 2024 | IZI | 1,068 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 | |||||
| 30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024 | Lab2101 | 1,000 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.6 | |||
| 26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 34.3 | 22.7 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 4.1[g] | 3.1 | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | 4.5 | 7.6 | ||
Seat projections
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | League ID | PD S&D | M5S NI | FI EPP | FdI ECR | SVP EPP | +E Renew | IV Renew | Action Renew | AVS G–EFA–GUE/NGL | Italexit | UP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| election.de[143] | 6 June 2024 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 1[h] | — | 4 | — | — | — | 5 |
| Europe Elects[144] | 4 June 2024 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 5 |
| Cluster 17 | 21 May 2024 | 7-8 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 23 | 0-1 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 5 | ||||
| Bidimedia | 20 May 2024 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||||
| election.de[145] | 9 May 2024 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1[h] | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
| Europe Elects[146] | 28 Apr 2024 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 8 |
| Der Föderalist[147] | 26 Apr 2024 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 4 | [h] | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
| election.de[148] | 22 Apr 2024 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 3[h] | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
| Europe Elects[149] | 16 Apr 2024 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 8 |
| election.de[150] | 8 Apr 2024 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 7 |
| election.de[151] | 22 Mar 2024 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 7 |
| election.de[152] | 8 Mar 2024 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 24 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 7 |
| Europe Elects[153] | 4 Mar 2024 | 8 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 25 | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 |
| election.de[154] | 7 Feb 2024 | 9 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| ECFR[155] | 23 Jan 2024 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 1 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| Der Föderalist[156] | 11 Jan 2024 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 6[h] | — | — | — | — | 9 |
| election.de[157] | 9 Jan 2024 | 8 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| Europe Elects[158] | 30 Dec 2023 | 8 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 26 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 9 |
| Europe Elects[159] | 30 Nov 2023 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 26 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 9 |
| Der Föderalist[160] | 06 Nov 2023 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 5[h] | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| Europe Elects[161] | 31 Oct 2023 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 8 |
| Europe Elects[162] | 30 Sep 2023 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 6 |
| Der Föderalist[163] | 11 Sep 2023 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 5[h] | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| Europe Elects[164] | 31 Aug 2023 | 9 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| Europe Elects[165] | 31 Jul 2023 | 9 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| Der Föderalist[166] | 17 Jul 2023 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 1 | — | 8[h] | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
| Europe Elects[167] | 28 Jun 2023 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 28 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 |
| Europe Elects[168] | 31 May 2023 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 26 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 8 |
| Der Föderalist[169] | 22 May 2023 | 8 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 7 |
| Europe Elects[170] | 30 Apr 2023 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 24 | 1 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
| Der Föderalist[171] | 27 Mar 2023 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| Der Föderalist[172] | 1 Feb 2023 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 25 | 1 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
| 2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | 29 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 |
Results
[edit]
  | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |
| Brothers of Italy | 6,732,303 | 28.75 | 24 | +18 | |
| Democratic Party | 5,646,296 | 24.11 | 21 | +2 | |
| Five Star Movement | 2,336,452 | 9.98 | 8 | -6 | |
| Forza Italia – Us Moderates | 2,244,170 | 9.58 | 8 | +1 | |
| League | 2,100,292 | 8.97 | 8 | -21 | |
| Greens and Left Alliance | 1,588,760 | 6.79 | 6 | New | |
| United States of Europe | 883,925 | 3.78 | 0 | 0 | |
| Action – We Are Europeans | 785,580 | 3.36 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peace Land Dignity | 517,833 | 2.21 | 0 | New | |
| Freedom | 285,800 | 1.22 | 0 | New | |
| South Tyrolean People's Party | 120,930 | 0.52 | 1 | 0 | |
| Popular Alternative | 91,391 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sovereign Popular Democracy | 36,225 | 0.15 | 0 | New | |
| Animalist Party – Italexit | 29,552 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | |
| Valdostan Rally | 14,574 | 0.06 | 0 | New | |
| Total | 23,414,083 | 100.00 | 76 | 0 | |
| Source: [173] | |||||
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- ^ Più Europa [@Piu_Europa] (10 January 2024). "Oggi l'Europa è a un bivio: o assume un ruolo centrale nel mondo o è destinata a rimanere marginale. È ora di fare passi avanti verso gli Stati Uniti d'Europa, con una politica estera, di difesa, fiscale e migratoria comune e l'eliminazione del voto all'unanimità. Un vero e proprio Stato Europeo come dice Mario Draghi. Anche @BentivogliMarco ha sottoscritto la proposta di @emmabonino per gli Stati Uniti d'Europa. Non c'è più tempo, firmala ora anche tu 👉🏻 https://piueuropa.eu/oraglistatiunitideuropa" (Tweet) (in Italian) – via Twitter.
- ^ Più Europa [@Piu_Europa] (12 January 2024). "Nessun paese UE può affrontare da solo la sfida epocale delle migrazioni: serve una gestione europea. Giusi Nicolini era sindaca di Lampedusa quando avvenne il tragico naufragio del 3 ottobre 2013 al largo di Lampedusa che causò la morte di 300 persone. Fu lei a pronunciare un discorso al vertice UE in cui chiedeva una nuova legge europea in materia di asilo e immigrazione. Gli egoismi nazionali, fin qui, hanno impedito che ciò avvenisse. Anche per questo servono gli Stati Uniti d'Europa, con una politica estera e una difesa comune, una missione europea di soccorso nel Mediterraneo e un meccanismo di redistribuzione obbligatorio degli arrivi tra i vari Paesi UE. @giusi_nicolini ha sottoscritto la proposta di @emmabonino per gli Stati Uniti d'Europa. E tu che aspetti? Firma qui: https://piueuropa.eu/oraglistatiunitideuropa" (Tweet) (in Italian) – via Twitter.
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External links
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Media related to European Parliament election, 2024 (Italy) at Wikimedia Commons
