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Deutsch1986 Arizona gubernatorial election
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 County results Mecham: 30–40% 40–50% Warner: 40–50% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Arizona |
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The 1986 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 1986, for the post of Governor of Arizona. Republican Evan Mecham, who defeated Burton Barr for the Republican nomination, defeated the Democratic nominee and State Superintendent Carolyn Warner and independent candidate Bill Schulz.
Mecham's victory in the primary and general elections are considered among the greatest political surprises in Arizona history. Ultimately, Mecham did not complete his full four-year term in office; he was impeached and removed from office in 1988.
This was the first gubernatorial election in which La Paz County participated after separating from Yuma County in between this election and the one just before it.
Background[edit]
Bruce Babbitt, who succeed to the office of Governor upon the 1978 death of Wesley Bolin, chose not to run for a third term in office. Babbitt was first elected over Evan Mecham in 1978 and re-elected in a landslide in 1982; some speculated that he would seek to succeed Barry Goldwater in the United States Senate, but Babbitt ultimately focused on a run for President of the United States in 1988.
Although no Republican had been elected Governor of Arizona since 1970, President Ronald Reagan had carried the state with record margins in 1980 and 1984.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Tony Mason, candidate for U.S. House in 1976
- Dave Moss, candidate for governor in 1978 and 1982
- Carolyn Warner, Superintendent of Public Instruction
Withdrew[edit]
- Bill Schulz, businessman and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 1980[1]
Results[edit]
- Warner—50–60%
- Warner—40–50%
- Mason—50–60%
- Mason—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carolyn Warner | 106,687 | 50.64% | |
| Democratic | Tony Mason | 92,413 | 43.86% | |
| Democratic | Dave Moss | 11,588 | 5.50% | |
| Total votes | 210,688 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Burton Barr, House Majority Leader and State Representative from Phoenix
- Evan Mecham, auto dealer and perennial candidate
Campaign[edit]
Barr, who was personally recruited by President Reagan to run for Governor and had the universal support of the state Republican establishment, was the heavy favorite. His campaign largely ignored Mecham, who launched negative attacks on Barr and the state party generally.[1] When Republicans responded to Mecham's criticism, such as when the Senate Republican leader called him an "ethical pygmy," his popularity with voters rose.[1]
Results[edit]
- Mecham—60–70%
- Mecham—50–60%
- Barr—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Evan Mecham | 121,614 | 53.74% | |
| Republican | Burton Barr | 104,682 | 46.26% | |
| Total votes | 226,296 | 100.00% | ||
Mecham's primary victory over Barr was received as "the biggest upset in Arizona" since Barry Goldwater's 1952 victory over United States Senator Ernest McFarland.[1]
General election[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Evan Mecham, auto dealer and perennial candidate (Republican)
- Bill Schulz, businessman and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 1980 (Independent)
- Carolyn Warner, Superintendent of Public Instruction (Democratic)
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Toss Up | October 28, 1986 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Evan Mecham | 343,913 | 39.67% | +7.20% | |
| Democratic | Carolyn Warner | 298,986 | 34.49% | −27.98% | |
| Independent | Bill Schulz | 224,085 | 25.85% | +25.85% | |
| Majority | 44,927 | 5.18% | |||
| Total votes | 866,984 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican gain from Democratic | Swing | +35.18% | |||
Results by county[edit]
| County | Evan Mecham Republican | Carolyn Warner Democratic | Bill Schulz Independent | Margin | Total votes cast[4] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Apache | 2,965 | 26.52% | 6,936 | 62.04% | 1,279 | 11.44% | -3,971 | -35.52% | 11,180 |
| Cochise | 8,484 | 38.52% | 8,368 | 37.99% | 5,174 | 23.49% | 116 | 0.53% | 22,026 |
| Coconino | 6,647 | 28.04% | 11,492 | 48.48% | 5,565 | 23.48% | -4,845 | -20.44% | 23,704 |
| Gila | 4,779 | 34.45% | 5,775 | 41.63% | 3,319 | 23.92% | -996 | -7.18% | 13,873 |
| Graham | 3,257 | 47.13% | 2,381 | 34.46% | 1,272 | 18.41% | 876 | 12.68% | 6,910 |
| Greenlee | 991 | 33.24% | 1,218 | 40.86% | 772 | 25.90% | -227 | -7.61% | 2,981 |
| La Paz | 1,352 | 38.99% | 1,201 | 34.63% | 915 | 26.38% | 151 | 4.35% | 3,468 |
| Maricopa | 213,049 | 43.06% | 142,540 | 28.81% | 139,231 | 28.14% | 70,509 | 14.25% | 494,820 |
| Mohave | 9,333 | 43.20% | 7,969 | 36.89% | 4,300 | 19.91% | 1,364 | 6.31% | 21,602 |
| Navajo | 6,250 | 37.77% | 7,527 | 45.49% | 2,769 | 16.74% | -1,277 | -7.72% | 16,546 |
| Pima | 56,598 | 32.97% | 72,366 | 42.16% | 42,700 | 24.87% | -15,768 | -9.19% | 171,664 |
| Pinal | 8,244 | 33.35% | 11,127 | 45.02% | 5,347 | 21.63% | -2,883 | -11.66% | 24,718 |
| Santa Cruz | 1,490 | 28.10% | 2,349 | 44.30% | 1,464 | 27.61% | -859 | -16.20% | 5,303 |
| Yavapai | 15,000 | 46.91% | 10,288 | 32.17% | 6,688 | 20.92% | 4,712 | 14.74% | 31,976 |
| Yuma | 5,474 | 33.76% | 7,449 | 45.94% | 3,290 | 20.29% | -1,975 | -12.18% | 16,213 |
| Totals | 343,913 | 39.67% | 298,986 | 34.49% | 224,085 | 25.85% | 44,927 | 5.18% | 866,984 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]
References[edit]
- ^ a b c d Reid, T.R. (October 4, 1986). "Twin Threat Pleases Republican: Two Democrats on Arizona Ballot May Make Mecham Governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
- ^ a b "State of Arizona - Official Canvass Primary Election - September 9, 1986". Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
- ^ "1986 CPR Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ a b "State of Arizona - Official Canvass - General Election - November 4, 1986". Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
