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Deutsch2016 United States Senate election in Oregon
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   Wyden: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Callahan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Oregon |
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Oregon was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden was re-elected to a fourth full term in office. This is the first senate election since 1998 in which Coos County has not supported him. This election also marks the most recent time any candidate from either major party swept all of Oregon's existing congressional districts in any statewide election.[1]
Democratic Party primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Kevin Stine, Medford City Councilor[2]
- Paul Weaver, retired locomotive engineer[3]
- Ron Wyden, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Declined
[edit]- Peter DeFazio, U.S. Representative[4]
Results
[edit]
Wyden
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) | 501,903 | 83.20% | |
| Democratic | Kevin Stine | 78,287 | 12.98% | |
| Democratic | Paul Weaver | 20,346 | 3.37% | |
| write-ins | 2,740 | 0.45% | ||
| Total votes | 603,276 | 100.00% | ||
Results by county
[edit]| County | Ron Wyden Democratic | Paul Weaver Democratic | Kevin Stine Democratic | Other votes | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
| Baker | 78.42% | 1,205 | 6.04% | 79 | 14.15% | 185 | 1.38% | 18 | 1,307 |
| Benton | 82.47% | 15,095 | 2.74% | 502 | 14.57% | 2,666 | 0.21% | 39 | 18,302 |
| Clackamas | 83.92% | 48,355 | 3.27% | 1,884 | 12.25% | 7,060 | 0.56% | 325 | 57,624 |
| Clatsop | 84.51% | 5,173 | 3.84% | 235 | 11.29% | 691 | 0.36% | 22 | 6,121 |
| Columbia | 80.70% | 5,971 | 5.95% | 440 | 12.75% | 943 | 0.61% | 45 | 7,399 |
| Coos | 77.80% | 6,284 | 6.90% | 557 | 14.60% | 1,179 | 0.71% | 57 | 8,077 |
| Crook | 80.97% | 1,613 | 7.28% | 145 | 10.79% | 215 | 0.95% | 19 | 1,992 |
| Curry | 80.17% | 2,417 | 5.41% | 163 | 13.47% | 406 | 0.96% | 29 | 3,015 |
| Deschutes | 85.24% | 19,489 | 2.92% | 668 | 11.42% | 2,611 | 0.42% | 96 | 22,864 |
| Douglas | 77.40% | 8,159 | 7.48% | 789 | 14.27% | 1,504 | 0.85% | 90 | 10,542 |
| Gilliam | 84.31% | 188 | 6.73% | 15 | 6.73% | 15 | 2.24% | 5 | 223 |
| Grant | 77.46% | 519 | 6.12% | 41 | 13.43% | 90 | 2.99% | 20 | 670 |
| Harney | 80.18% | 542 | 7.25% | 49 | 10.65% | 72 | 1.92% | 13 | 676 |
| Hood River | 84.57% | 3,376 | 3.18% | 127 | 12.05% | 481 | 0.20% | 8 | 3,992 |
| Jackson | 77.86% | 22,152 | 3.34% | 949 | 18.35% | 5,221 | 0.46% | 130 | 28,452 |
| Jefferson | 81.59% | 1,418 | 6.33% | 110 | 11.34% | 197 | 0.75% | 13 | 1,738 |
| Josephine | 77.92% | 7,065 | 4.73% | 429 | 16.37% | 1,484 | 0.98% | 89 | 9,067 |
| Klamath | 78.52% | 4,179 | 5.73% | 305 | 14.60% | 777 | 1.15% | 61 | 5,322 |
| Lake | 76.74% | 409 | 7.88% | 42 | 14.45% | 77 | 0.94% | 5 | 533 |
| Lane | 83.64% | 58,057 | 3.31% | 2,300 | 12.70% | 8,819 | 0.35% | 241 | 69,417 |
| Lincoln | 82.28% | 7,144 | 4.60% | 399 | 12.73% | 1,105 | 0.40% | 35 | 8,683 |
| Linn | 78.20% | 9,435 | 6.31% | 761 | 14.76% | 1,781 | 0.74% | 89 | 12,066 |
| Malheur | 75.48% | 948 | 8.20% | 103 | 14.81% | 186 | 1.51% | 19 | 1,256 |
| Marion | 81.20% | 27,409 | 4.63% | 1,562 | 13.54% | 4,569 | 0.64% | 215 | 33,755 |
| Morrow | 80.03% | 541 | 8.28% | 56 | 10.80% | 73 | 0.89% | 6 | 676 |
| Multnomah | 85.30% | 148,980 | 2.04% | 3,556 | 12.32% | 21,510 | 0.35% | 603 | 174,649 |
| Polk | 81.64% | 8,130 | 4.88% | 486 | 12.96% | 1,291 | 0.52% | 52 | 9,959 |
| Sherman | 74.41% | 125 | 10.12% | 17 | 11.91% | 20 | 3.57% | 6 | 168 |
| Tillamook | 83.24% | 3,422 | 4.31% | 177 | 12.16% | 500 | 0.29% | 12 | 4,111 |
| Umatilla | 82.40% | 3,656 | 5.12% | 227 | 11.97% | 531 | 0.52% | 23 | 4,437 |
| Union | 81.05% | 1,972 | 5.67% | 138 | 12.50% | 304 | 0.78% | 19 | 2,433 |
| Wallowa | 86.25% | 734 | 2.12% | 18 | 11.05% | 94 | 0.59% | 5 | 851 |
| Wasco | 81.63% | 2,501 | 5.48% | 168 | 12.40% | 380 | 0.49% | 15 | 3,064 |
| Washington | 84.21% | 65,565 | 3.06% | 2,385 | 12.43% | 9,677 | 0.30% | 232 | 77,859 |
| Wheeler | 76.36% | 126 | 4.85% | 8 | 12.73% | 21 | 6.06% | 10 | 165 |
| Yamhill | 82.37% | 9,729 | 3.86% | 456 | 13.14% | 1,552 | 0.63% | 74 | 11,811 |
Republican Party primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Mark Callahan, information technology consultant and perennial candidate[6][7][8]
- Sam Carpenter, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[9]
- Dan Laschober, business consultant[6]
- Faye Stewart, Lane County Commissioner[10]
Results
[edit]
Callahan
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Carpenter
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Stewart
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Callahan | 123,473 | 38.24% | |
| Republican | Sam Carpenter | 104,494 | 32.36% | |
| Republican | Faye Stewart | 57,399 | 17.78% | |
| Republican | Dan Laschober | 34,157 | 10.58% | |
| write-ins | 3,357 | 1.04% | ||
| Total votes | 322,880 | 100.00% | ||
Independent Party primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Steven Reynolds, businessman, Progressive nominee for OR-01 in 2012 and Pacific Green nominee for OR-01 in 2014[11][12]
- Marvin Sandnes, businessman[11]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent Party | Steven Reynolds | 10,497 | 40.80% | |
| Independent Party | Marvin Sandnes | 4,733 | 18.40% | |
| write-ins | 10,496 | 40.80% | ||
| Total votes | 25,726 | 100.00% | ||
Working Families Party
[edit]The Working Families Party of Oregon, which usually cross-endorses Democratic candidates, nominated their own candidate in protest of Sen. Ron Wyden's support of the Trans-Pacific Partnership.[13][14][15]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Shanti Lewallen, attorney, labor union activist, and longshoreman[16]
Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party
[edit]The Pacific Green Party and the Oregon Progressive Party cross-endorsed Eric Navickas, former member of the Ashland, Oregon City Council.[17][18][19]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe D | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[24] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[25] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[26] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron Wyden (D) | Mark Callahan (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[27] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,595 | ± 4.6% | 63% | 32% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[28] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,483 | ± 4.6% | 64% | 32% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[29] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,150 | ± 4.6% | 64% | 32% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[30] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 934 | ± 4.6% | 64% | 33% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[31] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 809 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 34% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[32] | October 25–31, 2016 | 743 | ± 4.6% | 62% | 34% | — | 4% |
| KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[33] | October 10–12, 2016 | 654 | ± 3.9% | 54% | 32% | 6% | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)[34] | October 4, 2016 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 52% | 33% | — | 15% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ronald Wyden (incumbent) | 1,105,119 | 56.60% | −0.62% | |
| Republican | Mark Callahan | 651,106 | 33.35% | −5.90% | |
| Working Families | Shanti Lewallen | 61,915 | 3.17% | +1.86% | |
| Independent Party | Steven Reynolds | 59,516 | 3.05% | N/A | |
| Pacific Green | Eric Navickas | 48,823 | 2.50% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Jim Lindsay | 23,941 | 1.23% | +0.12 | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 2,058 | 0.10% | 0.00% | |
| Total votes | 1,952,478 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]By congressional district
[edit]Wyden won all 5 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[36]
| District | Wyden | Callahan | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 60% | 31% | Suzanne Bonamici |
| 2nd | 48% | 43% | Greg Walden |
| 3rd | 70% | 19% | Earl Blumenauer |
| 4th | 52% | 37% | Peter DeFazio |
| 5th | 53% | 38% | Kurt Schrader |
References
[edit]- ^ a b Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
- ^ Mann, Damian (September 21, 2015). "Medford Councilor Stine to challenge Sen. Ron Wyden". Mail Tribune. Archived from the original on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 21, 2015.
- ^ Kullgren, Ian K. (November 17, 2015). "Who's running for president, Oregon governor, other seats? The latest on 2016 candidates". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 7, 2016.
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 10, 2015). "Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real". Roll Call. Archived from the original on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 30, 2015.
- ^ a b c "May 17, 2016 Primary Election Official Results". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved July 21, 2016.
- ^ a b Mapes, Jeff (September 10, 2015). "Republican Mark Callahan of 'blah, blah, blah' fame runs again for U.S. Senate". The Oregonian. Retrieved September 11, 2015.
- ^ Hubbard, Saul (April 27, 2016). "Four GOP candidates in primary vie for spot to face off against U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden". The Eugene Register-Guard. Retrieved May 10, 2016.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Jaquiss, Nigel (May 18, 2016). "Surprise Winners, Lousy Polls and Cheap Shots—Last Night's Primary Had It All". Willamette Week. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
- ^ Hammers, Scott (February 5, 2016). "Bend businessman Carpenter to run for Senate". The Bend Bulletin. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
- ^ Dubois, Steven (November 12, 2015). "Oregon county commissioner Faye Stewart to run for US Senate". KATU. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
- ^ a b Kullgren, Ian (March 9, 2016). "Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here". The Oregonian. Retrieved April 7, 2016.
- ^ Bailey, Everton (May 17, 2016). "Ron Wyden to face Mark Callahan, Steven Reynolds for U.S. Senate seat in November (election results)". The Oregonian. Retrieved May 18, 2016.
- ^ "Oregon Working Families Party challenges free-trader Ron Wyden". NWLaborPress.org. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
- ^ "Oregon Working Families Party challenges "fast-track" backer Ron Wyden". People's World. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
- ^ Winger, Richard (August 24, 2016). "Oregon Working Families Party Runs its Own Member for U.S. Senate". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
- ^ "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Shanti Lewallen". Oregon Secretary of State. July 28, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
- ^ Driscoll, Trisha (August 4, 2016). "2016 PACIFIC GREEN PARTY CANDIDATES". Pacific Green Party. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
- ^ Navickas, Eric (August 31, 2016). "I am proud to announce that in addition to receiving the Pacific Green Party nomination, our campaign has also won the nomination to run for U.S. Senate from the Progressive Party of Oregon". Eric Navickas for US Senate- Official Facebook. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
- ^ "The League responds with an event gathering signatures to get Jill Stein and Eric Navickas in the voters pamphlet. This will be at the Salem Wednesday Farmers market". Salem Weekly News. August 3, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
- ^ "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Pacific Green Nomination)". Oregon Secretary of State. June 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
- ^ "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Oregon Progressive Nomination)". Oregon Secretary of State. August 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
- ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ KATU-TV/SurveyUSA
- ^ Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)
- ^ "November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites
- Mark Callahan for Senate (R)
- Shanti Lewallen for Senate (WFP)
- Eric Navickas for Senate (PGP/OPP)
- Ron Wyden for Senate (D)