2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
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All 14 Michigan seats in the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Party primaries were held on August 4, 2020. The Michigan delegation prior to the election consisted of seven Democrats, six Republicans and one Libertarian. Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the races as safe for the party of the incumbents.
Overview
[edit]Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:[1]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 153,328 | 36.84% | 256,581 | 61.65% | 6,310 | 1.52% | 416,219 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 154,122 | 38.22% | 238,711 | 59.20% | 10,414 | 2.58% | 402,247 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 189,769 | 47.04% | 213,649 | 52.96% | 1 | 0.00% | 403,419 | 100.00% | Republican gain |
District 4 | 120,802 | 32.37% | 242,621 | 65.00% | 9,822 | 2.63% | 373,245 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 196,599 | 54.45% | 150,772 | 41.76% | 13,661 | 3.79% | 361,032 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 152,085 | 40.13% | 211,496 | 55.81% | 15,399 | 4.06% | 378,980 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 159,743 | 41.25% | 227,524 | 58.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 387,267 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 8 | 217,922 | 50.88% | 202,525 | 47.28% | 7,897 | 1.84% | 428,344 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 9 | 230,318 | 57.71% | 153,296 | 38.41% | 15,503 | 3.89% | 399,117 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 138,179 | 33.72% | 271,607 | 66.28% | 0 | 0.00% | 409,786 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 226,128 | 50.20% | 215,405 | 47.82% | 8,940 | 1.98% | 450,473 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 12 | 254,957 | 66.43% | 117,719 | 30.67% | 11,147 | 2.90% | 383,823 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 223,205 | 78.08% | 53,311 | 18.65% | 9,369 | 3.28% | 285,885 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | 271,360 | 79.28% | 62,664 | 18.31% | 8,269 | 2.41% | 342,303 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
Total | 2,688,527 | 49.58% | 2,617,881 | 48.27% | 101,095 | 1.86% | 5,423,140 | 100.00% |
District 1
[edit]
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Results by county Bergman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Ferguson: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Bergman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ferguson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 100,716 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 100,716 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dana Ferguson, construction worker[3]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Linda O'Dell, former Wall Street research analyst and trader[5]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dana Ferguson | 45,565 | 64.2 | |
Democratic | Linda O'Dell | 25,388 | 35.8 | |
Total votes | 70,953 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Ben Boren, vice chair of the Michigan Libertarian Party[6]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 256,581 | 61.7 | |
Democratic | Dana Ferguson | 153,328 | 36.8 | |
Libertarian | Ben Boren | 6,310 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 416,219 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Results by county Huizenga: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Berghoef: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Berghoef: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan taking in Lake, Muskegon, Oceana, Newaygo counties and parts of Mason County, and includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs, including Ottawa County and parts of Allegan and Kent counties. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bill Huizenga, incumbent U.S. representative[15]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 88,258 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 88,258 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bryan Berghoef, United Church of Christ pastor[16]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bryan Berghoef | 59,703 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 59,703 | 100.0 |
Third parties
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Jean-Michael Creviere (Green), activist[17]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Bill Huizenga (R) | Bryan Berghoef (D) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Denno Research (D)[18][A] | July 8–11, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 31% | 20% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 238,711 | 59.2 | |
Democratic | Bryan Berghoef | 154,122 | 38.2 | |
Libertarian | Max Riekse | 5,292 | 1.3 | |
Green | Jean-Michel Crevière | 2,646 | 0.7 | |
Constitution | Gerald Van Sickle | 2,476 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 403,247 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Results by county Meijer: 50–60% 60–70% Scholten: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Meijer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Scholten: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and is home to the city of Grand Rapids. The incumbent was Libertarian Justin Amash, who was re-elected as a Republican with 54.4% of the vote in 2018,[2] and announced that he was leaving the party on July 4, 2019.[19] Amash decided on July 16, 2020, not to seek re-election to his House seat.[20]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Peter Meijer, U.S. Army veteran and grandson of Frederik Meijer[21]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Lynn Afendoulis, state representative[22]
- Joe Farrington, bar owner[5]
- Tom Norton, former village president and Afghanistan War veteran[23]
- Emily Rafi, attorney[24]
Withdrew
[edit]- Joel Langlois, businessman and president of the DeltaPlex Arena and Conference Center[25][26]
- Jim Lower, state representative[27]
Declined
[edit]- Jase Bolger, former Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives[28]
- Brian Ellis, businessman and candidate for Michigan's 3rd congressional district in 2014[29]
Endorsements
[edit]State officials
- 25 state representatives[30]
Organizations
- National Association of Realtors PAC[31]
- Right to Life of Michigan PAC (co-endorsed with Peter Meijer)[32]
- Susan B. Anthony List Candidate Fund PAC[33]
Federal officials
- Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative (TX-02)[34]
- Richard Grenell, Special Presidential Envoy for Serbia and Kosovo Peace Negotiations and former U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) and acting Director of National Intelligence (2020)[35] (post primary)
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative (CA-23) and House Minority Leader and former House Majority Leader (2014–2019)[36]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative (LA-01) and House Minority Whip[37]
State officials
- Thomas Albert, state representative (originally endorsed Jim Lower)[38]
Organizations
- Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[39]
- Right to Life of Michigan PAC (co-endorsed with Lynn Afendoulis)[40]
- Tea Party Express[41]
Individuals
- DeVos family[42]
- John E. James, Republican nominee in the 2018 and 2020 U.S. Senate elections in Michigan[43]
- Peter Secchia, former U.S. Ambassador to Italy and San Marino (1989-1993) and Republican National Committee vice chair[42]
State officials
- Thomas Albert, state representative[44]
- Judy Emmons, former state senator (2011–2019) and state representative (2003–2009)[45]
- Mike Mueller, state representative[46]
- Rick Outman, state senator and former state representative (2011–2017)[47]
- Jason Wentworth, state representative and state House speaker pro tempore[48]
Debates
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Lynn Afendoulis | Joe Farrington | Peter Meijer | Tom Norton | Emily Rafi | |||||
1 | Jul. 14, 2020 | WOOD-TV | Rick Albin | [49] | P | P | P | P | I |
2 | Jul. 20, 2020 | Grand Rapids Chamber of Commerce | Andy Johnston | [50] | P | P | P | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Lynn Afendoulis | Peter Meijer | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Research Inc.[51][B] | June 15–16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 41% | – |
with Justin Amash and Jim Lower
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Lynn Afendoulis | Justin Amash | Jim Lower | Peter Meijer | Tom Norton | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategic National[52][1] | June 29 – July 1, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 17% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
Practical Political Consulting[53][2] | June 5–9, 2019 | 335 (LV) | – | – | 33% | 49% | – | – | – |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Peter Meijer | 47,273 | 50.2 | |
Republican | Lynn Afendoulis | 24,579 | 26.1 | |
Republican | Tom Norton | 14,913 | 15.8 | |
Republican | Joe Farrington | 3,966 | 4.2 | |
Republican | Emily Rafi | 3,462 | 3.7 | |
Total votes | 94,193 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Hillary Scholten, attorney[54]
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Amanda Brunzell, navy veteran[55]
Withdrew
[edit]- Doug Booth, healthcare operations manager[56]
- Nick Colvin, attorney[57][58]
- Emily Rafi, attorney[59] (running as a Republican)[24]
Declined
[edit]- Cathy Albro, farmer and nominee for Michigan's 3rd congressional district in 2018[60]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[61]
U.S. vice presidents
Federal officials
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[63]
Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 65,008 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 65,008 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. representative[67]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Peter Meijer | Hillary Scholten | |||||
1 | Oct. 1, 2020 | WOOD-TV | Rick Albin | [68] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Tossup | October 21, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Tossup | October 1, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Lean R (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Tossup | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Tossup | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Peter Meijer (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategic National[69] | October 15–17, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46%[b] | 46% | 7% |
42%[c] | 50% | 8% | ||||
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[70][C] | October 7–9, 2020 | 449 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
National Research (R)[71][B] | October 5–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 43% | – |
We Ask America[72] | September 19–20, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 41% | 10% |
ALG Research (D)[73][C] | September 16–20, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Global Strategy Group (D)[74] | September 8–10, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 41% | 18%[d] |
ALG Research (D)[75][D] | June 3–7, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 40% | – |
with Lynn Afendoulis and Hillary Scholten
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Lynn Afendoulis (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D)[75][D] | June 3–7, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 40% | – |
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D)[73][C] | September 16–20, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – | – |
GSG (D)[76] | September 8–10, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 45% | 3%[e] | 12% |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)[77][C] | February 24–25, 2020 | 405 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | – | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Peter Meijer | 213,649 | 53.0 | |
Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 189,769 | 47.0 | |
Independent | Richard Fuentes (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 403,419 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Libertarian |
District 4
[edit]
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Results by county Moolenaar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Moolenaar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hilliard: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district encompasses central Michigan, including Midland and Mount Pleasant. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who was re-elected with 62.6% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. representative[78]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 97,653 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 97,653 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Defeated in primary
[edit]- Anthony Feig, Central Michigan University professor[80]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 26,616 | 54.1 | |
Democratic | Anthony Feig | 22,594 | 45.9 | |
Total votes | 49,210 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 242,621 | 65.0 | |
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 120,802 | 32.4 | |
Libertarian | David Canny | 5,374 | 1.4 | |
Green | Amy Slepr | 4,448 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 373,245 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
[edit]
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Results by county Killdee: 50–60% 60-70% Kelly: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Killdee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kelly: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district takes in the Saginaw Bay, including Bay City, Saginaw, and Flint. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 91,288 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 91,288 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tim Kelly, former state representative and former Saginaw County commissioner[81]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Earl Lackie[82]
Withdrew
[edit]- Christina Fitchett-Hickson[82]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Kelly | 37,545 | 79.3 | |
Republican | Earl Lackie | 9,822 | 20.7 | |
Total votes | 47,367 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 196,599 | 54.4 | |
Republican | Tim Kelly | 150,772 | 41.8 | |
Working Class | Kathy Goodwin | 8,180 | 2.3 | |
Libertarian | James Harris | 5,481 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 361,032 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 6
[edit]
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Results by county Upton: 50–60% 60–70% Hoadley: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Upton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hoadley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in southwest Michigan, including all of Berrien, Cass, Kalamazoo, St. Joseph, and Van Buren counties, as well as most of Allegan County. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. representative[83]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Elena Oelke, real estate agent[84]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Fred Upton (incumbent) | 53,495 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Elena Oelke | 31,884 | 37.3 | |
Total votes | 85,379 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jon Hoadley, state representative[85]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Jen Richardson, teacher[86]
Declined
[edit]- Matt Longjohn, physician and nominee for Michigan's 6th congressional district in 2018[87]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[61]
U.S. vice presidents
Federal officials
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California; 2020 vice presidential nominee[89]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative for Washington's 7th congressional district[90]
- Mark Schauer, former U.S. representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district (2009-2011) and Democratic nominee for 2014 Michigan gubernatorial election[91]
State officials
- Garlin Gilchrist, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan[91]
- Sean McCann, state senator and former state representative[91]
- Dana Nessel, Michigan Attorney General[91]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan[92]
Local officials
- Abdul El-Sayed, former executive director of the Detroit Health Department (2015-2017) and 2018 Michigan gubernatorial candidate[91]
- Andrew Gillum, former mayor of Tallahassee, Florida (2014-2018) and Democratic nominee for 2018 Florida gubernatorial election[91]
- Bobby Hopewell, former mayor of Kalamazoo (2007-2019)[91]
Individuals
- Mondaire Jones, 2020 Democratic nominee for New York's 17th congressional district[93]
Labor unions
- AFT Michigan[91]
- BAC Local 2[91]
- Communication Workers of America Local 4123 and Region 4[91]
- Insulators Local 47[91]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 131[91]
- Michigan Education Association[94]
- Michigan Nurses Association[91]
- Michigan Pipe Trades Association[91]
- National Education Association[91]
- SMART Local 7[91]
- Southwest Michigan Building Trades[91]
- United Association Local 357[91]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 951[91]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[95]
- Clean Water Action[96]
- CPC PAC[91]
- Democracy for America[97]
- End Citizens United[91]
- Equality PAC[91]
- Human Rights Campaign[98]
- League of Conservation Voters[99]
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[100]
- NARAL[101]
- People for the American Way[91]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[91]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[91]
- Sierra Club[66]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jon Hoadley | 33,976 | 52.2 | |
Democratic | Jen Richardson | 31,061 | 47.8 | |
Total votes | 65,037 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | August 6, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Likely R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Lean R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Lean R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Fred Upton (R) | Jon Hoadley (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LOC Wick (D)[102][E] | August 25–28, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
RMG Research/Term Limits[103] | July 30 – August 6, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 40% | 23% |
Victoria Research and Consulting (D)[104][F] | May 2–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
with Fred Upton and Jen Richardson
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Fred Upton (R) | Jen Richardson (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (D)[105][G] | July 16, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 56% | 8% |
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (D)[105][H] | July 16, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Fred Upton (incumbent) | 211,496 | 55.8 | |
Democratic | Jon Hoadley | 152,085 | 40.1 | |
Libertarian | Jeff DePoy | 10,399 | 2.7 | |
Green | John Lawrence | 4,440 | 1.2 | |
Independent | Jerry Solis (write-in) | 560 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 378,980 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Results by county Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Driskell: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Driskell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 7th district is based in southeast Michigan, taking in the western suburbs of Ann Arbor, Monroe County, as well as parts of Lansing in Eaton County. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who was re-elected with 53.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 84,397 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 84,397 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Gretchen Driskell, former state representative, former mayor of Saline, and nominee for Michigan's 7th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[106]
Failed to qualify
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gretchen Driskell | 63,470 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 63,470 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 227,524 | 58.7 | |
Democratic | Gretchen Driskell | 159,743 | 41.3 | |
Total votes | 387,627 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 8
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Results by county Slotkin: 60-70% Junge: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Slotkin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Junge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 8th district is based in southeast Michigan, including most of Lansing as well as Oakland County, including Rochester. The incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.6% of the vote in 2018.[2] The Cook Political Report rated this contest as 'lean Democratic'.[109]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Elissa Slotkin, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[61]
Individuals
- Etan Cohen, writer and director[110]
Organizations
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[111]
- Sierra Club[66]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 90,570 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 90,570 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News and former external affairs director at ICE[112]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mike Detmer, businessman and former president of Young Republicans[113]
- Alan Hoover, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[114]
- Kristina Lyke, criminal defense attorney[115]
Disqualified
[edit]- Nikki Snyder, Michigan Department of Education board member and registered nurse[116][82]
Declined
[edit]- Tom Barrett, state senator[117]
- Mike Bishop, former U.S. representative[118]
- Joe Hune, former state senator[117]
- Meghan Reckling, chair of the Livingston County Republican Party[119]
- Lana Theis, state senator[117]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. representatives
- Tim Walberg, U.S. representative from Michigan's 7th congressional district[120]
State legislators
- Bill Rogers, former state representatives (2009–2014)[120]
Local officials
- Mike Murphy, Livingston County sheriff[120]
Organizations
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Junge | 30,525 | 35.1 | |
Republican | Mike Detmer | 24,863 | 28.6 | |
Republican | Kristina Lyke | 22,093 | 25.4 | |
Republican | Alan Hoover | 9,461 | 10.9 | |
Total votes | 86,942 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Joe Hartman, tax advisor[121]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Lean D | October 11, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Likely D | October 29, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 217,922 | 50.9 | |
Republican | Paul Junge | 202,525 | 47.3 | |
Libertarian | Joe Hartman | 7,897 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 428,344 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 9
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Results by county Levin: 50–60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Levin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Langworthy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 9th district is centered around the northern suburbs of Detroit, taking in southeastern Oakland County and southern Macomb County, including the cities of Royal Oak and Warren. The incumbent was Democrat Andy Levin, who was elected with 59.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Andy Levin, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Levin (incumbent) | 103,202 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 103,202 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidate
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Charles Langworthy, U.S. Navy veteran[122]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Gabi Grossbard, former cars salesman[122]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Charles Langworthy | 32,084 | 57.4 | |
Republican | Gabi Grossbard | 23,846 | 42.6 | |
Republican | Douglas Troszak (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 55,931 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Levin (incumbent) | 230,318 | 57.7 | |
Republican | Charles Langworthy | 153,296 | 38.4 | |
Working Class | Andrea Kirby | 8,970 | 2.3 | |
Libertarian | Mike Saliba | 6,532 | 1.6 | |
Independent | Douglas Troszak (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 399,117 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 10
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Results by county McClain: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results McClain: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bizon: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district takes in the eastern Lower Peninsula region known as the Thumb, consisting of Huron County, Lapeer County, St. Clair County, and Sanilac County as well as most of northern Macomb County and eastern Tuscola County. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who was re-elected with 60.8% of the vote in 2018,[2] and subsequently announced he would not seek re-election on July 24, 2019, due to health issues.[123]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lisa McClain, finance executive[124]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Shane Hernandez, state representative[125]
- Doug Slocum, retired Brigadier general[126]
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Brandon Mikula
- Richard Piwko
- Bisham Singh[82]
Declined
[edit]- Kevin Daley, state senator[127]
- Dan Lauwers, state senator[127]
- Pete Lucido, state senator[123]
- Pete Lund, former state representative[123]
- Mike MacDonald, state senator[127]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former U.S. Representative[123]
- Paul Mitchell, incumbent U.S. representative[123]
- Phil Pavlov, state senator and candidate for Michigan's 10th congressional district in 2016[127]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas[128]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014-2019)[129]
- Paul Mitchell, U.S. representative (MI-10)[130]
State officials
- Jack Brandenburg, former state senator (2011–2019) and state representative (2003–2008)[131]
- Phil Green, state representative[132]
- Pamela Hornberger, state representative[133]
- Doug Wozniak, state representative[133]
Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity (AFP) Action[134]
- Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) of Michigan PAC[135]
- Club for Growth PAC[136]
- Gun Owners of America[129]
- Right to Life of Michigan PAC (co-endorsed with Lisa McClain and Doug Slocum)[137]
- Tea Party Express[138]
Newspapers
Individuals
- Ted Nugent, guitarist and singer-songwriter[140]
State officials
- Peter Lucido, state senator and former state representative (2015–2018)[141]
- Paul Muxlow, former state representative (2011–2016)[142]
Organizations
- Maggie's List[143]
- Right to Life of Michigan PAC (co-endorsed with Shane Hernandez and Doug Slocum)[144]
Individuals
- David Clarke, former Sheriff of Milwaukee County, Wisconsin (2002–2017)[145]
State officials
- Rick Snyder, former governor (2011–2019)[146]
Organizations
- National Association of Realtors PAC[147]
- Right to Life of Michigan PAC (co-endorsed with Shane Hernandez and Lisa McClain)[147]
Newspapers
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Shane Hernandez | Lisa McClain | Doug Slocum | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence[149][I] | July 14–15, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 27% | 10% | 30% |
WPA Intelligence[150][I] | June 15–16, 2020 | – (V)[f] | – | 27% | 32% | 12% | 29% |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lisa McClain | 50,927 | 41.7 | |
Republican | Shane Hernandez | 44,526 | 36.4 | |
Republican | Doug Slocum | 26,750 | 21.9 | |
Total votes | 122,203 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kimberly Bizon, nominee for Michigan's 10th congressional district in 2018[151]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Kelly Noland, U.S. Army veteran and former nurse[5]
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Don Wellington, former Treasury Department policy advisor[152]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kimberly Bizon | 27,971 | 53.7 | |
Democratic | Kelly Noland | 24,085 | 46.3 | |
Total votes | 52,056 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lisa McClain | 271,607 | 66.3 | |
Democratic | Kimberly Bizon | 138,179 | 33.7 | |
Total votes | 409,786 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 11
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Results by county Stevens: 50–60% Esshaki: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Stevens: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Esshaki: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 11th district is situated northwest of Detroit, comprising portions of northwestern Wayne and southwestern Oakland counties. The incumbent was Democrat Haley Stevens, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Haley Stevens, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 105,251 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 105,251 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Eric Esshaki, attorney[153]
Defeated in primary
[edit]- Frank Acosta, businessman[114]
- Kerry Bentivolio, former U.S. representative (2013–2015)[154]
- Carmelita Greco, entrepreneur[155]
- Whittney Williams, auto show product specialist and former model[156]
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Scott Keller[114]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Esshaki | 26,991 | 31.0 | |
Republican | Carmelita Greco | 19,869 | 22.9 | |
Republican | Kerry Bentivolio | 18,794 | 21.6 | |
Republican | Frank Acosta | 11,030 | 12.7 | |
Republican | Whittney Williams | 10,251 | 11.8 | |
Republican | Eric Sandberg (write-in) | 5 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 86,940 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[61]
Organizations
U.S. presidents
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[10] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[11] | Likely D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[12] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 226,128 | 50.2 | |
Republican | Eric Esshaki | 215,405 | 47.8 | |
Libertarian | Leonard Schwartz | 8,936 | 2.0 | |
Independent | Frank Acosta (write-in) | 4 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 450,473 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |