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Deutsch2022 Michigan Secretary of State election
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   Benson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Karamo: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Michigan |
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The 2022 Michigan Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Secretary of State of Michigan. Incumbent Democrat Jocelyn Benson decisively won reelection to a second term, defeating Republican Kristina Karamo by a 14 percentage point margin.
Some analysts originally predicted for the race to be competitive, especially during the final days, but Benson's performance seemingly outperformed the polls following the election. The results held the largest margin in the 2022 state elections, as well as the worst performance by Republican candidate in the Secretary of State election since 1990. It was also the first time since 1990 that a Democratic candidate won re-election.
Background
[edit]The position of Secretary of State of Michigan is responsible for overseeing elections in the state.[1] Benson, a Democrat, was first elected to the position in 2018. She received national attention in her position following Joe Biden's victory in the state in the 2020 presidential election. Donald Trump's campaign contested Biden's victory in Michigan and filed a lawsuit over the counting of absentee ballots.[2]
The race for Michigan Secretary of State in 2022 received national attention over its potential impact on how the state would oversee the 2024 presidential election there.[3]
Democratic Party
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jocelyn Benson, incumbent secretary of state
Endorsements
[edit]Jocelyn Benson
Republican Party
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kristina Karamo, activist and educator[8]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]- Cindy Berry, Chesterfield Township clerk[9]
- Beau LaFave, member of the Michigan House of Representatives from the 108th district[10]
- Cathleen Postmus, Plainfield Township clerk[11]
Declined
[edit]- Ann Bollin, member of the Michigan House of Representatives from the 42nd district[12]
- Meghan Reckling, Livingston County Republican Party chair[13]
Endorsements
[edit]Kristina Karamo
- Executive officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[14]
- State officials
- Ruth Johnson, former Michigan Secretary of State[15]
- Organizations
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Leans D | November 3, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Likely D | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]Jocelyn Benson (D)
- Executive officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[19]
- U.S. Representatives
- Adam Kinzinger, U.S. Representative for Illinois's 16th congressional district (2011–2023) (Republican)[20]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
Kristina Karamo (R)
- Executive officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[14]
- State officials
- Ruth Johnson, former Michigan Secretary of State[15]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]- Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jocelyn Benson (D) | Kristina Karamo (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R) | November 1–4, 2022 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | 2%[b] | 6% |
| Mitchell Research | November 3, 2022 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 2%[c] | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,754 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 42% | 3%[d] | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 41% | 3%[e] | 6% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,584 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 40% | 3%[f] | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 25–29, 2022 | 1,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 39% | 3%[g] | 8% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | October 26–28, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 5% | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 23–27, 2022 | 1,822 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 41% | 3%[h] | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 21–25, 2022 | 1,378 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 40% | 3%[i] | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,459 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 41% | 3%[j] | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 17–21, 2022 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 39% | 3%[k] | 9% |
| Mitchell Research | October 19, 2022 | 541 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 40% | 2%[l] | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 15–19, 2022 | 1,793 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 40% | 4%[m] | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 13–18, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 54% | 41% | 5%[n] | 1% |
| 651 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 47% | 1%[o] | – | ||
| Cygnal (R)[A] | October 12–14, 2022 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 42% | 3%[p] | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 6–12, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 37% | 4%[q] | 12% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | September 26–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 29% | 8%[r] | 14% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 24–28, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | 4%[s] | 2% |
| EPIC-MRA[B] | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 37% | – | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[C] | September 7–13, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 7%[t] | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 18–23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | – | 18% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | July 5–8, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Target Insyght | May 26–27, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 23% | – | 22% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 11–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 38% | – | 15% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc. | January 3–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 32% | – | 22% |
Results
[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jocelyn Benson (incumbent) | 2,467,859 | 55.86% | +2.96% | |
| Republican | Kristina Karamo | 1,852,510 | 41.93% | −2.05% | |
| Libertarian | Gregory Scott Stempfle | 52,982 | 1.20% | −0.76% | |
| Constitution | Christine Schwartz | 27,937 | 0.63% | −0.54% | |
| Green | Larry James Hutchinson Jr. | 16,615 | 0.38% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 4,417,903 | 100.00% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By congressional district
[edit]Benson won 9 of 13 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[27]
| District | Benson | Karamo | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 44% | 53% | Jack Bergman |
| 2nd | 42% | 56% | John Moolenaar |
| 3rd | 57% | 41% | Peter Meijer (117th Congress) |
| Hillary Scholten (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 51% | 47% | Bill Huizenga |
| 5th | 42% | 56% | Tim Walberg |
| 6th | 68% | 30% | Debbie Dingell |
| 7th | 55% | 43% | Elissa Slotkin |
| 8th | 56% | 41% | Dan Kildee |
| 9th | 43% | 54% | Lisa McClain |
| 10th | 58% | 40% | John James |
| 11th | 66% | 32% | Haley Stevens |
| 12th | 77% | 22% | Rashida Tlaib |
| 13th | 77% | 21% | Shri Thanedar |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Third party candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ Hutchinson (G) with 1%; Schwartz (UTP) with 1%; Stempfle (L) with 1%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Neither" with 3%; "Other with 2%
- ^ "Neither" with 1%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
- ^ Stempfle (L) with 2%; Schwartz (UTP) with 1%; Hutchinson (G) with 1%
- ^ Stempfle with 4%; Hutchinson Jr. with 3%; Schwartz with 1%
- ^ Stempfle (L) and "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 7%
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Association of Broadcasters
- ^ Poll conducted for WJRT-TV and the Detroit Free Press.
- ^ Poll conducted for MIRS, Governmental Consultant Services Inc., and the Life Insurance Association of Michigan.
References
[edit]- ^ About the Michigan Department of State (Michigan.gov)
- ^ "Michigan judge dismisses Trump campaign lawsuit over absentee ballots". PBS NewsHour. November 5, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2022.
- ^ McQuade, Barbara (May 12, 2022). "Opinion | The Most Pivotal Elections in 2022 Are Not the Ones You Think". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 5, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 People Endorsements". AFSCME Council 25. June 8, 2022.
- ^ a b Sutton, Dana (January 25, 2022). "AFT Michigan Endorses Whitmer, Benson and Nessel in 2022 Midterms". AFT Michigan. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
- ^ a b White, Rose (April 9, 2022). "Jocelyn Benson, Dana Nessel, others snag endorsements from the Michigan Democratic Party". www.mlive.com. Retrieved April 13, 2022.
- ^ a b "UAW ENDORSES GRETCHEN WHITMER FOR REELECTION AS GOVERNOR OF MICHIGAN – LT. GOV. GILCHREST, A.G. NESSEL AND S.O.S. BENSON ALSO GET NOD". UAW. May 6, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
- ^ Barrett, Malachi (May 13, 2021). "Republican who challenged Michigan election results now running for Secretary of State". www.mlive.com. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
- ^ "Chesterfield Township Clerk Cindy Berry joins race for Michigan secretary of state". www.voicenews.com. October 25, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ Mauger, Craig (October 4, 2021). "Michigan GOP lawmaker announces secretary of state campaign". www.detroitnews.com. The Detroit News. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ Mauger, Craig (September 7, 2021). "Donald Trump backs Michigan election critic for secretary of state". www.detroitnews.com. The Detroit News. Retrieved January 11, 2022.
- ^ Mathews, Jessica (September 17, 2021). "No SOS Run For State Representative Ann Bollin". www.whmi.com. WHMI-FM. Retrieved January 11, 2022.
- ^ King, Jon (September 24, 2021). "Reckling Considering Run For Michigan Secretary Of State". www.whmi.com. WHMI-FM. Retrieved January 12, 2022.
- ^ a b Cavitt, Mark (September 9, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Oak Park's Kristina Karamo for secretary of state". www.thenewsherald.com. The News-Herald. Retrieved January 11, 2022.
- ^ a b Burr, Alyssa (April 11, 2022). "Karamo secures former secretary of state's endorsement as GOP convention nears". www.mlive.com. Retrieved April 13, 2022.
- ^ a b Parks, Miles (April 25, 2022). "Michigan GOP moves forward with 2020 election-denying secretary of state and AG". Georgia Public Broadcasting.
- ^ "Secretary of State and Attorney General: What to Watch for Next Week in Key Statewide Contests". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
- ^ Solomon, Zack (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Secretary of State Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
- ^ "Obama to stump in key races". Politico. October 15, 2022.
- ^ Montellaro, Zach. "Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races". POLITICO. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
- ^ "Here are all Detroit Free Press endorsements for 2022 general election". Detroit Free Press. October 19, 2022. Archived from the original on October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
- ^ "From the Daily: Endorsements for the 2022 Michigan midterms". November 2022.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. August 26, 2022. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
- ^ Saccone, Mike (July 12, 2022). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Whitmer, Nessel, Benson for Re-Election". National Wildlife Federation.
- ^ "Candidates - America First Secretary of State Coalition". americafirstsos.com. November 26, 2018. Archived from the original on September 13, 2022. Retrieved June 5, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Election Results.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites