2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections

2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Nominee Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 207,166 139,001
Percentage 57.92% 38.86%
McKee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Kalus:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Governor before election

Dan McKee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dan McKee
Democratic

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The 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democratic governor Dan McKee became Rhode Island's governor on March 2, 2021, when term-limited Gina Raimondo resigned following her confirmation as United States Secretary of Commerce. McKee easily won a full term on election day, defeating Republican Ashley Kalus by more than 19 percentage points.[1][2]

McKee's margin of victory and vote share was the highest for any candidate for governor of Rhode Island since 1992. This was the first time since that election that Democrats won every county in a gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Brown
U.S. senators
State legislators
Helena Foulkes
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Nellie Gorbea
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Dan McKee
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Luis Daniel Muñoz
Individuals
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Matt
Brown 		Helena
Foulkes 		Nellie
Gorbea 		Seth
Magaziner 		Dan
McKee 		Luis Daniel
Muñoz 		Other Undecided
Fleming & Associates August 7–10, 2022 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 8% 14% 25% – 28% 1% – 21%
Lake Research Partners (D)[A] July 25–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 14% 27% – 22% 3% 5% 22%
Suffolk University June 19–22, 2022 353 (LV) ± 5.2% 5% 16% 24% – 20% 1% 2% 31%
Fleming & Associates May 9–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 6% 23% – 25% 2% – 37%
Lake Research Partners (D)[A] April 11–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 7% 30% – 24% 1% 3% 26%
January 26, 2022 Magaziner withdraws from the race
Lake Research Partners (D)[A] November 7–10, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 4% 24% 16% 26% – – 20%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  McKee
  •   30–40%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
Results by municipality:
  McKee
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gorbea
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 37,288 32.82%
Democratic Helena Foulkes 33,931 29.87%
Democratic Nellie Gorbea 29,811 26.24%
Democratic Matt Brown 9,021 7.94%
Democratic Luis Daniel Muñoz 3,547 3.12%
Total votes 113,598 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ashley Kalus
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Kalus
  •   80–90%
Results by municipality:
  Kalus
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Kalus 17,188 83.68%
Republican Jonathan Riccitelli 3,351 16.32%
Total votes 20,539 100.0%

Third parties and Independents

[edit]

Qualified

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[73] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[74] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[75] Likely D January 26, 2022
Politico[76] Likely D April 1, 2022
RCP[77] Likely D January 10, 2022
Fox News[78] Likely D May 12, 2022
538[79] Solid D June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[80] Likely D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan McKee (D)
Individuals
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Ashley Kalus (R)
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Dan
McKee (D) 		Ashley
Kalus (R) 		Other Undecided
Suffolk University October 1–4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 36% 4%[c] 14%
Fleming & Associates September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 32% 7%[d] 15%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 28% – 21%
Hypothetical polling
Dan McKee vs. Jonathan Riccitelli
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Dan
McKee (D) 		Jonathan
Riccitelli (R) 		Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 53% 25% 22%

Debates

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:  P  Participant 
Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
1 October 11, 2022 WPRI-TV Ted Nesi
Tim White 		YouTube P P
1 November 3, 2022 WJAR-TV Gene Valicenti C-SPAN p p

Results

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election[83]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 207,166 57.92% +5.28%
Republican Ashley Kalus 139,001 38.86% +1.68%
Independent Zachary Hurwitz 4,512 1.26% N/A
Independent Paul Rianna Jr. 3,123 0.87% N/A
Libertarian Elijah Gizzarelli 2,811 0.79% N/A
Write-in 1,057 0.30% −0.03%
Total votes 357,670 100.0%
Turnout %
Registered electors
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

McKee won both congressional districts.[84]

District McKee Kalus Representative
1st 62% 35% David Cicilline
2nd 55% 42% James Langevin (117th Congress)
Seth Magaziner (118th Congress)

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ McKee became governor in 2021 when his predecessor, Gina Raimondo, resigned to become U.S. Secretary of Commerce. Prior to that, he was the lieutenant governor of Rhode Island.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Hurwitz with 2%; Gizzarelli and Rianna with 1%
  4. ^ Rianna with 3%; Gizzarelli and Hurwitz with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Gorbea's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Marcelo, Philip; LeBlanc, Steve (January 7, 2021). "Biden's Cabinet picks shake up New England politics". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 16, 2021. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  2. ^ "Ashley Kalus wins GOP primary for Rhode Island governor". PBS NewsHour. September 13, 2022. Retrieved October 14, 2022.
  3. ^ "R.I. Governor Dan McKee formally announces gubernatorial bid - the Boston Globe". The Boston Globe.
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  5. ^ a b "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/15". Archived from the original on September 17, 2021. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
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  7. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (September 17, 2022). "Election 2022: General election begins". whatsupnewp.com.
  8. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (May 23, 2021). "Nellie Gorbea is running for governor of Rhode Island". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on May 24, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
  9. ^ Maradiaga, Frank (May 23, 2021). "Nellie Gorbea announces run for Rhode Island governor". NBC 10 WJAR. Archived from the original on May 24, 2021. Retrieved May 24, 2021.
  10. ^ "Luis Daniel Muñoz". Luis Daniel Muñoz. Archived from the original on April 18, 2021. Retrieved April 18, 2021.
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  12. ^ "Seth Magaziner Formally Launches Campaign for Governor". September 14, 2021. Archived from the original on September 14, 2021. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
  13. ^ Gregg, Katherine (September 14, 2021). "Seth Magaziner announces run for governor, slamming 'old-time politicians'". The Providence Journal. Archived from the original on September 21, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
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  31. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (July 8, 2022). "Election 2022: Magaziner supports windfall oil company profits tax, Gorbea's new tv ad and UFCW endorsement, Middletown candidate drops out". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  32. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (May 12, 2022). "Election 2022: Kalus accuses "insiders" of bribing businesses to come to RI; Gorbea endorsed by Steelworkers' union". Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  33. ^ a b c "NEW: McKee Officially Launches 2022 Gubernatorial Campaign".
  34. ^ a b c d e f g h i j McKee, Dan. "Endorsements". Governor Dan McKee. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  35. ^ a b Nesi, Ted (June 25, 2022). "Nesi's Notes: June 25". wpri.com.
  36. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "McKee Officially Launches 2022 Gubernatorial Campaign". February 22, 2022. Retrieved June 29, 2022.
  37. ^ a b "Cuervo Gets New Campaign Manager, McKee Lands DGA Endorsement and More". www.golocalprov.com. February 23, 2022. Retrieved June 20, 2022.
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  84. ^ "RI 2022 Statewide Races by CD".
[edit]
Official campaign websites
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