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Deutsch2024 United States Senate election in Rhode Island
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  Whitehouse: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Morgan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Rhode Island was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Rhode Island. The primary election took place on September 10, 2024.[1] Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected with 61.4% of the vote in 2018. Whitehouse is running for re-election to a fourth term in office against Republican state representative Patricia Morgan.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Sheldon Whitehouse, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Costa, investment manager[3]
Withdrew
[edit]- Allen Waters, investment consultant, Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 and for Rhode Island's 1st congressional district in 2022[4] (ran for U.S. House)[5]
Endorsements
[edit]Sheldon Whitehouse
- U.S representatives
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[6]
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[7]
- Council for a Livable World[8]
- End Citizens United[9]
- Feminist Majority PAC[10]
- Giffords[6]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[11]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[12]
- J Street PAC[13]
- League of Conservation Voters[14]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[15]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Population Connection Action Fund[17]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Sheldon Whitehouse (D) | $5,889,595 | $2,934,027 | $3,724,328 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[18] | |||
Results
[edit]
Whitehouse—90–100%
Whitehouse—80–90%
Whitehouse—70–80%
Whitehouse—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sheldon Whitehouse (incumbent) | 49,401 | 83.77% | |
| Democratic | Michael Costa | 9,572 | 16.23% | |
| Total votes | 58,973 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Patricia Morgan, state representative, former Minority Leader of the Rhode Island House of Representatives, and candidate for governor in 2018[20]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Raymond McKay, IT professional, former member of the Rhode Island Republican Party State Central Committee, and former president of the Rhode Island Republican Assembly[21]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Raymond McKay (R) | $116,907[a] | $100,787 | $16,120 |
| Patricia Morgan (R) | $202,538[b] | $65,443 | $137,095 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[18] | |||
Results
[edit]
Morgan—70–80%
Morgan—60–70%
Morgan—50–60%
McKay—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Patricia Morgan | 12,108 | 64.44% | |
| Republican | Raymond McKay | 6,681 | 35.56% | |
| Total votes | 18,789 | 100.0% | ||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[23] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[24] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[25] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| CNalysis[27] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[28] | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[29] | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[30] | Solid D | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Sheldon Whitehouse (D) | Patricia Morgan (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 54% | 40% | 1%[d] | 6% |
| Embold Research[A] | September 16–20, 2024 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | 2%[e] | 11% |
| MassINC Polling Group[B] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 37% | – | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 12–16, 2024 | 683 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 33% | 6%[f] | 11% |
| University of Rhode Island | August 15 - September 8, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 6.02% | 52% | 24% | 7%[g] | 17% |
Hypothetical polling
- Sheldon Whitehouse vs. Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Sheldon Whitehouse (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research[A] | June 5–14, 2024 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 34% | – | 17% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sheldon Whitehouse (incumbent) | ||||
| Republican | Patricia Morgan | ||||
| Total votes | |||||
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Salve Regina University Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Rhode Island Current
References
[edit]- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (February 22, 2023). "Morning Digest: Wisconsin liberals get the foe they want for crucial Supreme Court contest". Daily Kos. Retrieved July 25, 2024.
Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse told WPRI earlier this month that he'd indeed be seeking a fourth term.
- ^ "Candidates in Upcoming Elections". Rhode Island Secretary of State. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
- ^ Raymond; Host of Ray-ality TV [@RaymondB916] (February 21, 2023). "2022 candidate for CD 1 and current U.S. Senate candidate, @AllenWatersRI (D), tells me it's "To be determined" if he switches from running for Senate to running for the soon-to-be open seat. Also tells me he "seriously will consider it". 1/2" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "Seth Magaziner's rise is coming faster than anyone thought". The Boston Globe.
- ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Sheldon Whitehouse for Reelection". Giffords. February 27, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
- ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Sheldon Whitehouse for Reelection". End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". May 9, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "Amy Klobuchar". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Rhode Island". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Statewide Primary". State of Rhode Island - Board of Elections.
- ^ Frisk, Garrett (August 18, 2023). "Controversial Rhode Island Legislator is Running for U.S. Senate". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved August 18, 2023.
- ^ Frisk, Garrett (April 16, 2023). "Rhode Island Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse Has His First Republican Challenger". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved April 18, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites