2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Turnout | 64.83% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in New Mexico |
---|
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the State of New Mexico, one from all three of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections occurred on June 4, 2024.
Background
[edit]New Mexico's map faced a lawsuit alleging partisan gerrymandering diluting the voting power of Republicans in the 2nd congressional district. A state judge ruled to keep the current map in place, and that decision was upheld by the New Mexico Supreme Court with all five justices stating that the congressional map was not an "egregious" gerrymander in a ruling on November 27, 2023.[1]
Overview
[edit]Statewide
[edit]Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | |||
Democratic Party | 3 | 493,722 | 55.07% | 3 | ||
Republican Party | 3 | 402,776 | 44.93% | 0 | ||
Total | 6 | 896,498 | 100.00% | 28 |
District
[edit]Results of the 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[2]
District | Democratic | Republican | Total | Result | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 193,203 | 56.37% | 149,546 | 43.63% | 342,749 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 138,177 | 52.08% | 127,145 | 47.92% | 265,322 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 162,342 | 56.29% | 126,085 | 43.71% | 288,427 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
Total | 493,722 | 55.07% | 402,776 | 44.93% | 896,498 | 100.00% |
District 1
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Stansbury: 50–60% 60-70% Jones: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 1st district covers the center of the state, taking in the counties of Torrance, Guadalupe, De Baca, and Lincoln, as well as eastern Bernalillo County and most of Albuquerque. The incumbent is Democrat Melanie Stansbury, who was re-elected with 55.75% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Melanie Stansbury, incumbent U.S. representative (2021–present)[4]
Endorsements
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Melanie Stansbury (D) | $780,996 | $601,653 | $190,683 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[14] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Melanie Stansbury (incumbent) | 47,157 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 47,157 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Louie Sanchez, gun range owner, candidate for this district in 2022, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[17]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Steve Jones (R) | $69,830[a] | $69,742 | $98 |
Louie Sanchez (R) | $28,345[b] | $447 | $27,897 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[14] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Jones | 16,889 | 51.4 | |
Republican | Louie Sanchez | 15,980 | 48.6 | |
Total votes | 32,869 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[18] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections[19] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily[21] | Safe D | October 10, 2024 |
CNalysis[22] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Melanie Stansbury (D) | Steve Jones (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc.[23][A] | October 10–18, 2024 | 360 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Emerson College[24][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 344 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Melanie Stansbury (incumbent) | 193,203 | 56.4 | |
Republican | Steve Jones | 149,546 | 43.6 | |
Total votes | 342,749 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Vasquez: 50–60% 70–80% Herrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 2nd district encapsulates southern and western New Mexico, including the cities of Las Cruces, Carlsbad, and Alamogordo, as well as the southwestern suburbs of Albuquerque. The incumbent is Democrat Gabe Vasquez, who flipped the district and was elected by a 0.7% margin of the vote in 2022[3] over then incumbent Yvette Herrell, who ran again for her former seat, but lost again to Vasquez this time by a 4.2% margin [1].
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Gabe Vasquez, incumbent U.S. representative (2023–present)[25]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Brady PAC[26]
- Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund[27]
- Giffords[28]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[7]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[29]
- J Street PAC[30]
- League of Conservation Voters[31]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[32]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[10]
- Population Connection Action Fund[12]
Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Gabe Vasquez (D) | $3,042,711 | $1,044,799 | $2,020,688 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[33] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gabe Vasquez (incumbent) | 29,613 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 29,613 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Yvette Herrell, former U.S. representative (2021–2023)[34]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[35]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[36]
U.S. representatives
- Mike Johnson, U.S. representative from LA-4 (2017–present) Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (2023–present)[37]
- Kevin McCarthy, former U.S. representative from CA-20 (2007–2023) and former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (2023)[38]
Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Yvette Herell (R) | $1,862,963 | $870,466 | $1,099,602 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[33] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Yvette Herrell | 23,216 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 23,216 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[18] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections[19] | Lean D | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Lean D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily[21] | Lean D | September 7, 2023 |
CNalysis[22] | Lean D | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Gabe Vasquez (D) | Yvette Herrell (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc.[43][A] | October 10–18, 2024 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 5% |
SurveyUSA[44][C] | September 26–30, 2024 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
Emerson College[24][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 283 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[45][D] | July 11–14, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
SurveyUSA[46] | September 6–12, 2023 | 541 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gabe Vasquez (incumbent) | 138,177 | 52.1 | |
Republican | Yvette Herrell | 127,145 | 47.9 | |
Total votes | 265,322 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Leger Fernandez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Clahchischilliage: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 3rd district covers the northern and eastern parts of the state, taking in the cities of Santa Fe, Roswell, Farmington, and Clovis, as well as parts of the Navajo Nation. The incumbent is Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez, who was re-elected with 58.16% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Teresa Leger Fernandez, incumbent U.S. representative (2021–present)[4]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[47]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[48]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[7]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[49]
- J Street PAC[50]
- League of Conservation Voters[31]
- National Organization for Women[51]
- National Women's Political Caucus[52]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[53]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[11]
- Population Connection Action Fund[12]
Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) | $1,439,729 | $657,117 | $818,932 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[54] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Teresa Leger Fernandez (incumbent) | 46,008 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 46,008 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Sharon Clahchischilliage, member of the New Mexico Public Education Commission from the 5th district (2022–present) and former state representative from the 4th district (2013–2018)[55]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Sharon Clahchischilliage (R) | $34,338 | $25,495 | $8,843 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[54] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sharon Clahchischilliage | 24,959 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 24,959 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[18] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections[19] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
CNalysis[22] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) | Sharon Clahchischilliage (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc.[23][A] | October 10–18, 2024 | 344 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 52% | 35% | 11% |
Emerson College[24][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 339 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Teresa Leger Fernandez (incumbent) | 162,342 | 56.3 | |
Republican | Sharon Clahchischilliage | 126,085 | 43.7 | |
Total votes | 288,427 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ "New Mexico Supreme Court upholds Democratic-drawn congressional map". AP News. November 27, 2023. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "2024 General Election Candidate Summary Results Report" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Mexico. November 26, 2024. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 30, 2023.
- ^ a b Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ https://314action.org/2023/06/09/314-action-fund-endorses-7-priority-protect-congressmembers-in-an-historic-effort-to-win-back-control-of-congress/
- ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses 14 Incumbent Congresswomen for Reelection to US House". Giffords. March 28, 2024. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
- ^ "Melanie Stansbury". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces New U.S. House Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ a b Dison, Denis (May 14, 2024). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 17 Environmental Champs for Congress". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
- ^ a b c "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ a b c "AFSCME Council 18 Endorsements - New Mexico". AFSCME Council 18. May 20, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "2024 Primary Election Candidate Summary Results Report" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State.
- ^ Record, Alex Ross Roswell Daily (January 3, 2024). "Former write-in candidate files to run as GOPer against Stansbury". Roswell Daily Record. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
- ^ Reichbach, Matthew (February 7, 2024). "Major party candidates file for U.S. Senate, House races". NM Political Report. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
- ^ a b c "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
- ^ a b c "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 30, 2023.
- ^ a b Research & Polling Inc.
- ^ a b c Emerson College
- ^ Boetel, Ryan (September 16, 2023). "Vasquez launches re-election campaign for congressional District 2". The Albuquerque Journal.
- ^ "Brady PAC Endorses 18 House Frontline Candidates for Re-Election". Brady PAC. February 28, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements". Everytown. August 19, 2024. Retrieved August 22, 2024.
- ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Slate of Frontline Champions Running for Reelection to the US House". Giffords. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "JDCA ANNOUNCES KEY 2024 ENDORSEMENTS". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "Gabe Vasquez". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
- ^ a b "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Communications (June 21, 2023). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Launches 2024 Electoral Program with Endorsement of Frontline Incumbents for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Archived from the original on June 21, 2023. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "Former Rep. Yvette Herrell announces run for old seat at LC rally with Kevin McCarthy". KFOX-TV. April 10, 2023. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
- ^ "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Yvette Herrell for US House of Representatives in New Mexico Second District". John Bolton PAC. February 13, 2024. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ https://nmpoliticalreport.com/quick-reads/trump-endorses-herrell-in-cd2-race/
- ^ Record, Alex Ross Roswell Daily (December 12, 2023). "US House speaker endorses Herrell in New Mexico congressional contest". Roswell Daily Record. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
- ^ "GOP primary candidates are weaponizing Kevin McCarthy's endorsements". www.aol.com. October 5, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
- ^ "Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 House Races". AFP Action. June 30, 2023. Retrieved July 4, 2023.
- ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 3, 2024). "Johnson-linked PAC releases first slate of 'trailblazer' House endorsements - Washington Examiner". Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsements". House Freedom Fund. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ "RJC Announces First Round of 2024 House Challenger Endorsements". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
- ^ Research & Polling Inc.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ The Tarrance Group (R)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ "House Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ "DMFI PAC Announces First Round of 2024 Endorsements for U.S. House". DMFI PAC. December 18, 2023. Archived from the original on December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
- ^ "Jewish Dems Unveil 30 House and Senate Endorsements Across Country". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved March 10, 2024.
- ^ "Teresa Leger Fernandez". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Reichbach, Matthew (September 8, 2023). "Former State Rep. announces run for Congress". The NM Political Report. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates