2024 Wisconsin Senate election

2024 Wisconsin Senate election

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

16 of 33 seats in the Wisconsin Senate
17 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Devin LeMahieu Dianne Hesselbein
Party Republican Democratic
Leader's seat 9thOostburg 27thMiddleton
Last election 12 seats, 61.1% 5 seats, 37.68%
Seats before 22 11
Seats won 6 10
Seats after 18 15
Seat change Decrease4 Increase4
Popular vote 650,328 861,272
Percentage 42.74% 56.60%
Swing Decrease 18.36 pp Increase 18.92 pp

Results:
     Republican hold
     Democratic hold      Democratic gain
     No election

Republican:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Democratic:      50–60%      >90%

President before election

Chris Kapenga
Republican

Elected President

Mary Felzkowski
Republican

The 2024 Wisconsin Senate election was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, at the Fall general election in Wisconsin, alongside the election for the State Assembly. Sixteen of the 33 seats in the Wisconsin Senate were up for election—the even-numbered districts. Before the election, 22 Senate seats were held by Republicans, 11 seats were held by Democrats. The primary election was held on August 13, 2024, and the filing deadline to appear on the ballot was June 3, 2024.[1]

This was the first election for Wisconsin Senate after the 2024 redistricting. Democrats won all five of the most competitive Senate races, flipping four Republican-held seats. Even though Republicans still maintained their majority, Democrats broke their two-thirds supermajority.

After the elections, Republicans entered the 107th Wisconsin Legislature with 18 of 33 seats.[2]

Background

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Redistricting

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This election was significantly affected by the legislative maps drawn as a result of the Wisconsin Supreme Court decision in Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission, which declared the previous legislative district map to be unconstitutional on December 22, 2023.[3] The court was in the process of selecting a remedial plan, when the legislature chose to embrace the remedial map proposal from Governor Tony Evers. Evers signed the plan into law on February 19, 2024.[4]

Under the new maps, Democrats were expected to gain seats in the Senate, but they were not expected to be able to win a majority because only even-numbered seats were up for election in 2024.[5][6] Five of the sixteen seats up for election had no incumbents due to the shifting legislative boundaries.[7] Both parties spent heavily on the competitive races in this cycle.[8]

Democrats last won a majority of seats in the state senate in the 2012 recall elections, but they last seated a majority of seats in the session following the 2008 elections.

PFAS Legislation

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To combat the threat of PFAS contamination, the Wisconsin legislature included $125 million in the state budget. Despite this, Republicans on the Joint Finance Committee (JFC) have refused to release the funds to be used by the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (DNR). On April 9, Evers vetoed a piece of legislation which would have created grants to fight pollution due to PFAS chemicals, in explaining his veto, Evers cited the restrictions the legislation would have placed on the DNR to prosecute polluters. Evers also continued calling for the release of the $125 million which was set aside in the budget for combatting PFAS contamination.[9] In response to Evers' veto, JFC members said they would hold the funds hostage.

On April 16, Evers called the JFC to session, but its Republican members refused to attend, denying the committee a quorum to do business.[10] In response to this inaction, Wisconsin Democrats launched a six-figures campaign called "No More Games" which served the purpose to pressure and target members of the Committee from competitive districts. Among their targets were Senate Republicans Joan Ballweg, Howard Marklein, Duey Stroebel, and Eric Wimberger, from the 14th, 17th, 20th and 30th districts respectively.[11]

Results summary

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Party
(majority caucus shading)
Total
Democratic Republican
Last election (2022) 5 12 17
Total after last election (2022) 11 22 33
Total before this election 11 22 33
Up for election 6 10 16
of which: Incumbent retiring 1 2 3
Vacated 1 0 1
Open 1 3 4
Unopposed 5 0 5
This election 10 6 16
Change from last election Increase 4 Decrease 4
Total after this election 15 18 33
Change in total Increase 4 Decrease 4

Close races

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Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:

  1. State Senate district 8, 1.5% (gain)
  2. State Senate district 14, 2.28% (gain)
  3. State Senate district 32, 4.68%
  4. State Senate district 30, 5.08% (gain)
  5. State Senate district 18, 6.59% (gain)

Outgoing incumbents

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Retiring

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Seeking other office

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  • Melissa Agard (D–Madison), representing district 16 since 2020, retired to run for Dane County executive.
  • Dan Knodl (R–Germantown), representing district 8 since 2023, announced in February 2024 that he would not seek reelection to the district after the 2024 redistricting put him in an incumbent-vs-incumbent matchup. Instead, Knodl ran for Wisconsin State Assembly in Wisconsin's 24th Assembly district.[13]

Vacated

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Lost re-election

[edit]

Special elections

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There was one special election scheduled in 2024 for the Wisconsin state Senate.

Dist. 2020
Pres.
[14]
Previous Incumbent This Election
Senator Party First
elected
Status Candidate(s) Results
04 D+69.2 Lena Taylor Dem. 2004 Incumbent resigned on January 26, 2024.
New member elected on July 30, 2024.
New member elected
Democratic hold

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
CNalysis[15] Solid R October 29, 2024

Race summary

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Dist. 2020
Pres.
[16]
Incumbent This election
Member Party First
elected
Status Candidates[17][18]
02 R+26.5 Robert Cowles
(Redistricted into the 30th district)
Rep. 1987 (special) Incumbent retired
New member elected.
Republican hold.
04 D+68.4 Dora Drake Dem. 2024 (special) Incumbent re-elected.
06 D+71.2 La Tonya Johnson Dem. 2016 Incumbent re-elected.
08 D+0.6 Dan Knodl Rep. 2023 (special) Ran for the 24th state assembly district.
Duey Stroebel
(Redistricted from the 20th district)
Rep. 2015 (special) Incumbent lost re-election.
Democratic gain.
10 R+17.1 Rob Stafsholt Rep. 2020 Incumbent re-elected.
  • Green tickY Rob Stafsholt (Rep.) 62.35%
  • Paul W. Hambleton (Dem.) 37.57%
12 R+25.6 Mary Felzkowski Rep. 2020 Incumbent re-elected.
14 D+4 Joan Ballweg
(Redistricted into the 17th district)
Rep. 2020 Incumbent lost reelection.
New member elected.
Democratic gain.
16 D+35.3 Melissa Agard
(Redistricted into the 26th district)
Dem. 2020 Incumbent retired.
New member elected.
Democratic hold.
18 D+8.5 None (open seat) No incumbent.
New member elected.
Democratic gain.
20 R+34.8 Dan Feyen
(Redistricted from the 18th district)
Rep. 2016 Incumbent re-elected.
  • Green tickY Dan Feyen (Rep.) 69.99%
  • Michael T. Rapp (Dem.) 29.91%
22 D+10.3 Robert Wirch Dem. 1996 Incumbent re-elected.
24 R+11.6 Patrick Testin Rep. 2016 Incumbent re-elected.
26 D+71.8 Kelda Roys Dem. 2020 Incumbent re-elected.
28 R+22.2 Julian Bradley
(Redistricted into the 21st district)
Rep. 2020 Incumbent re-elected.
30 D+3.2 Eric Wimberger Rep. 2020 Ran for the 2nd district
New member elected.
Democratic gain.
  • Green tickY Jamie Wall (Dem.) 52.49%
  • Jim Rafter (Rep.) 47.41%
32 D+10.7 Brad Pfaff Dem. 2020 Incumbent re-elected.
  • Green tickY Brad Pfaff (Dem.) 52.33%
  • Stacey Klein (Rep.) 47.65%

Detailed results

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District 2

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Incumbent Republican Robert Cowles declined to seek re-election. Following redistricting, fellow Republican Eric Wimberger decided to move to this district to avoid a potential defeat.[20] He avoided facing a primary against Cowles after the latter decided against seeking re-election.[21] Wimberger defeated Democrat Kelly Peterson in the general election.

District 2 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Wimberger 67,979 64.46
Democratic Kelly Peterson 37,430 35.49
Write-in 50 0.05
Total votes 105,459 100.0

District 4

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Incumbent Democrat Dora Drake ran for re-election unopposed. In the primary she defeated state representative LaKeshia Myers in a rematch from the special election primary earlier in 2024.

District 4 Democratic primary[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dora Drake (incumbent) 12,630 62.35
Democratic LaKeshia Myers 7,605 37.54
Write-in 23 0.11
Total votes 20,258 100.0
District 4 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dora Drake (incumbent) 67,215 98.45
Write-in 1,061 1.55
Total votes 68,276 100.0

District 6

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Incumbent Democrat La Tonya Johnson ran for re-election unopposed.

District 6 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic La Tonya Johnson (incumbent) 69,190 98.51
Write-in 1,043 1.49
Total votes 70,233 100.0

District 8

[edit]

Incumbent Republican Dan Knodl declined to seek re-election after redistricting put fellow Republican Duey Stroebel into his district. Stroebel faced Democrat Jodi Habush Sinykin, who was a candidate for this district in a 2023 special election. This election was highly contested, with it becoming the most expensive senate race in the state in 2024.[24] Stroebel was defeated by Habush Sinykin in the general election.[25]

In years past, the 8th district was strongly Republican, voting for Republicans by double digit margins, but over time the Milwaukee suburbs and surrounding communities have become more liberal due to the election of Donald Trump in 2016, which saw the 8th district give Trump around 56% of the vote. In 2020 the district gave Donald Trump around 53% of the vote.[26] In 2023, the district was won by Knodl with less than two points.[27]

District 8 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jodi Habush Sinykin 60,471 50.69
Republican Duey Stroebel 58,686 49.18
Write-in 160 0.13
Total votes 119,317 100.0

District 10

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Incmbent Republican Rob Stafsholt ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Paul Hambleton, a former teacher and chair of the St. Croix county Democrats, in the general election.

District 10 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Stafsholt (incumbent) 66,652 62.35
Democratic Paul Hambleton 40,158 37.57
Write-in 89 0.08
Total votes 106,899 100.0

District 12

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Incumbent Republican Mary Felzkowski ran for re-election. She faced and defeated Democrat Andi Rich in the general election.

District 12 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mary Felzkowski (incumbent) 74,162 67.46
Democratic Andi Rich 35,628 32.41
Write-in 146 0.13
Total votes 109,936 100.0

District 14

[edit]

Incumbent Republican Joan Ballweg sought re-election after being drawn out of this district due to redistricting. In the general election she faced and was defeated by Democrat Sarah Keyeski.

District 14 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sarah Keyeski 52,483 51.09
Republican Joan Ballweg (incumbent) 50,132 48.81
Write-in 101 0.10
Total votes 102,733 100.0

District 16

[edit]

Incumbent Democrat Melissa Agard declined to seek re-election, leaving the seat open. Following Agard's declaration, Democratic representatives Jimmy Anderson, Melissa Ratcliff, and Samba Baldeh; of the 47th, 46th, and 48th assembly districts respectively, all filed to succeed her. All three ran on similar platforms, including expanding Medicaid access and enshrining abortion rights. To differentiate themselves, the three emphasized their different experiences, voter coalitions, and endorsements; with Anderson emphasizing his fight for disability rights in the Wisconsin legislature, Ratcliff emphasizing her support for the LGBTQ+ community, and Baldeh cited his personal experiences as a black, muslim immigrant to the United States.[28] Ratcliff defeated Anderson and Baldeh by a wide margin and was unopposed in the general election.

District 16 Democratic primary[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melissa Ratcliff 17,205 52.04
Democratic Jimmy Anderson 10,258 31.03
Democratic Samba Baldeh 5,575 16.86
Write-in 25 0.07
Total votes 33,063 100.0
District 16 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melissa Ratcliff 82,828 97.23
Write-in 2,361 2.77
Total votes 85,189 100.0

District 18

[edit]

Incumbent Republican Dan Feyen was moved into the 20th district due to redistricting, leaving the district open. After Feyen was moved, two Republicans filed to succeed him, physician Anthony Phillips and restaurant owner Blong Yang. During the primary Phillips campaigned as a center right Republican, supporting a standard set of Republican policies such as increased police funding, low taxes on income and property, and giving parents further oversight of their children's education.[29] Yang in his campaign ran to the right of Phillips, and was opposed recognizing transgender people. Yang also attempting to use his race, as he is Hmong, to attack Kristin Alfheim, a member of the Appleton Common Council and the only Democrat to file for the race.[29] Phillips ultimately defeated Yang by a margin of 25 points. Alfheim went on to defeat Phillips in the election by a 7 point margin.

District 18 Republican primary[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Anthony Phillips 8,611 62.17
Republican Blong Yang 5,226 37.73
Write-in 13 0.10
Total votes 13,850 100.0
District 18 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kristin Alfheim 46,878 53.25
Republican Anthony Phillips 41,079 46.66
Write-in 75 0.09
Total votes 88,032 100.0

District 20

[edit]

Incumbent Republican Duey Stroebel was drawn into the 8th district as a result of redistricting, while Dan Feyen was drawn into this district from the 18th due to redistricting. One other Republican filed to run against Feyen, former Republican representative and election denier Timothy Ramthun. In the primary, Ramthun ran to the right of Feyen, supporting removing ballot drop boxes from the state and opposing incumbent Republican leadership in the state legislature, garnering the support of figures such as Mike Lindell.[29] Feyen ran with the support of Republican legislative leadership in the legislature, gaining the endorsements of majority leader Devin LeMahieu and U.S. congressmen Glenn Grothman and Scott Fitzgerald, as well as gaining the support of the conservative PAC "Stronger Wisconsin Fund", which sent out fliers and other material in opposition to Ramthun's candidacy.[30] Ramthun also garnered controversy during the campaign when he shared content on social media which threatened violence against Feyen.[31] While some Republicans feared Ramthun could defeat Feyen, Feyen defeated Ramthun by 29 points.[32] He advanced to the general election, where he defeated Democrat Michael Rapp.

District 20 Republican primary[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Feyen 17,243 64.29
Republican Timothy Ramthun 9,543 35.59
Write-in 31 0.12
Total votes 26,817 100.0
District 20 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Feyen 73,552 69.99
Democratic Michael Rapp 31,434 29.91
Write-in 106 0.10
Total votes 105,092

District 22

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Incumbent Democrat Robert Wirch ran for re-election unopposed.

District 22 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert Wirch (incumbent) 62,270 95.29
Write-in 3,077 4.71
Total votes 65,347 100.0

District 24

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Incumbent Republican Patrick Testin sought re-election. In the general election he faced and defeated Democrat Collin McNamara.

District 24 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Patrick Testin (incumbent) 57,695 58.67
Democratic Collin McNamara 40,599 41.28
Write-in 47 0.05
Total votes 98,341 100.0

District 26

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Incumbent Democrat Kelda Roys ran for re-election unopposed.

District 26 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kelda Roys (incumbent) 94,495 98.41
Write-in 1,526 1.59
Total votes 96,021 100.0

District 28

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Incumbent Republican Julian Bradley sought re-election after being drawn out of this district due to redistricting. In the general election he faced and defeated Democrat Megan Lach.

District 28 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Julian Bradley (incumbent) 70,543 63.09
Democratic Megan Lach 41,170 36.82
Write-in 98 0.09
Total votes 111,811 100.0

District 30

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Incumbent Republican Eric Wimberger declined to seek re-election in this district, instead opting to run for the neighboring 2nd district, leaving this district open. In the general election, Democrat Jamie Wall defeated Republican Jim Rafter. As a result of redistricting, the district became one of the most competitive in the Senate.[33] During the campaign, both candidates touted their moderate credentials and desire for bipartisanship in the legislature. During the campaign, they both campaigned on tax cuts and sending some of Wisconsin's $3 billion dollar surplus towards funding local communities.[34] The two candidates also had their major differences, as Wall campaigned on codifying abortion rights in Wisconsin, while Rafter took a more moderate approach.[35] Rafter also made closing the Green Bay Correctional Institution a central part of his campaign.[33] In the general election, Wall defeated Rafter by a 5 point margin.

District 30 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jamie Wall 46,247 52.49
Republican Jim Rafter 41,773 47.41
Write-in 86 0.10
Total votes 88,106 100.0

District 32

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Incumbent Democrat Brad Pfaff ran for re-election. In the general election he defeated Republican and former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024 Stacey Klein.

District 32 general election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brad Pfaff (incumbent) 52,776 52.33
Republican Stacey Klein 48,058 47.65
Write-in 23 0.02
Total votes 100,857 100.0

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "2024 Partisan Primary". elections.wi.gov. April 19, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  2. ^ "2024 Wisconsin State Senate General Election Results". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. November 6, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  3. ^ Kremer, Rich (February 1, 2024). "Wisconsin Supreme Court consultants say Republican-drawn legislative maps are gerrymanders, don't deserve consideration". Wisconsin Public Radio. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
  4. ^ Kremer, Rich (February 19, 2024). "Evers signs new maps into law, effectively ending Wisconsin redistricting lawsuit". WPR. Retrieved June 16, 2024.
  5. ^ Kremer, Rich (February 22, 2024). "What do Wisconsin's new maps mean for the Legislature's balance of power?". WPR. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
  6. ^ Karnopp, Hope (February 21, 2024). "You have questions about Wisconsin's new election maps and how they affect you? We have answers". Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
  7. ^ Walters, Steven (May 14, 2024). "Political parties target five Wisconsin Senate seats without incumbents". Isthmus | Madison, Wisconsin. Retrieved May 17, 2024.
  8. ^ "Democrats commit $7 million to TV ads in 5 key state Senate races". AP News. May 8, 2024. Retrieved May 17, 2024.
  9. ^ Bauer, Scott (April 9, 2024). "Evers vetoes a Republican-backed bill targeting PFAS chemicals". Associated Press. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  10. ^ "Gov. Evers again calls Republican lawmakers into special meeting". Wisconsin Law Journal. May 7, 2024. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  11. ^ Spears, Baylor (May 7, 2024). "Democrats target Republicans on budget committee, aim for control of Legislature". Wisconsin Examiner. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  12. ^ "Cowles, Wisconsin Senate's longest-serving member, will not seek reelection". WLUK-TV. April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
  13. ^ "Knodl campaign: Announces run for 24th Assembly District". WisPolitics. February 29, 2024. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
  14. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  15. ^ "24 WI Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved March 17, 2024.
  16. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  17. ^ "2024 Wisconsin Senate races". WisPolitics. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  18. ^ Candidate Tracking by Office - 2024 General Election - 11/13/2024 (Report). Wisconsin Elections Commission. May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  19. ^ "Lach announces bid for State Senate District 28". Waukesha County Freeman. April 23, 2024. Retrieved May 7, 2024 – via GMToday.com.
  20. ^ Schafer, Dan (September 17, 2024). "2024 Wisconsin State Legislature Voter Guide: Senate District 2". Civic Media. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  21. ^ Hale, Lisa M. (April 9, 2024). "State Senator Robert Cowles retires after 42 years in legislature". Civic Media. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  22. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "2024 Wisconsin State Senate General Election Results" (PDF). Wisconsin Elections Commission. November 29, 2024.
  23. ^ a b c d "2024 Wisconsin State Senate Primary Election Results" (PDF). Wisconsin Elections Commission. August 27, 2024.
  24. ^ Zale, Maggie (October 10, 2024). "North Shore, Ozaukee County Senate Race Is State's Most Expensive". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  25. ^ Kilmer, Graham (November 6, 2024). "Habush Sinykin Defeats Stroebel, Flips Senate Seat For Dems". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  26. ^ Schafer, Dan. "2024 Wisconsin State Legislature Voter Guide: Senate District 8". Civic Media. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  27. ^ Schafer, Dan (April 13, 2023). "Did gerrymandering help give Wisconsin Republicans a victory in the 8th Senate District?". The Recombobulation Area. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  28. ^ Kelly, Jack (March 18, 2024). "Assembly Democrats line up for open state Senate seat". Wisconsin Watch. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  29. ^ a b c Spears, Baylor (August 2, 2024). "Far-right versus center-right candidates in Republican Senate primaries". Wisconsin Examiner. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  30. ^ Calvi, Jason (August 1, 2024). "Election campaign mailers; WI Assembly candidates worry about 'lies'". FOX6 Milwaukee. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  31. ^ "Voter guide - Senate District 20". Wisconsin Watch. August 7, 2024. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  32. ^ Schafer, Dan (September 17, 2024). "2024 Wisconsin State Legislature Voter Guide: Senate District 20". Civic Media. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  33. ^ a b Shafer, Dan (September 17, 2024). "2024 Wisconsin State Legislature Voter Guide: Senate District 30". Civic Media. Retrieved January 21, 2025.
  34. ^ "Voter guide - Senate District 30". Wisconsin Watch. August 7, 2024. Retrieved January 21, 2025.
  35. ^ Shieh, Julius (October 24, 2024). "Two moderates race to the middle for Green Bay state Senate seat". Wisconsin Watch. Retrieved January 21, 2025.
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