2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey
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Elections in New Jersey |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Democratic Congressman Andy Kim defeated Republican real estate developer Curtis Bashaw in the general election with about 53 percent of the vote. Kim succeeded fellow Democrat George Helmy, who served as an interim appointee for the remainder of Bob Menendez's third term. Kim assumed office on December 8, 2024, after his election was certified, in order to give an advantage in seniority.[1][2]
Menendez, who had represented New Jersey in the senate since 2006, began to face an uncertain political future after he was indicted for federal corruption charges in 2023, his second such indictment.[3] Amid questions over whether Menendez would seek a fourth term, a contentious Democratic primary took place between Kim and First Lady of New Jersey Tammy Murphy that was marked by allegations of nepotism and party favoritism towards Murphy. In March, Menendez announced he would not seek the Democratic nomination and Murphy withdrew from the race, leaving Kim as the only major Democratic candidate.[4][5] Menendez filed to run as an independent ahead of the June primaries, but after being convicted of federal corruption the following month, he ended his candidacy and resigned from the Senate.[6][7][8]
In the June 4 primary, Kim won the Democratic nomination with 75% of the vote. Bashaw won the Republican nomination with 45% of the vote, defeating Mendham Borough Mayor Christine Serrano Glassner, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and his allies. After the general election, Kim became the first Korean American senator, the first Asian American to represent New Jersey in the Senate, and the first person from South Jersey to represent the state in the Senate since 1955.[9][10] Kim flipped Gloucester County and narrowly held Passaic County, both of which voted for Republican candidate Donald Trump in the simultaneous presidential election. Cumberland County voted Republican in a Senate election for the first time since 1972, and the first time in this seat since 1952. This was the closest Senate election in the state since 2006.
Democratic primary
[edit]Background
[edit]In 2023, incumbent three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was indicted on federal corruption charges that he aided and provided sensitive information to the Egyptian government.[11][12] Menendez was previously indicted on federal corruption charges in 2015 for bribery, fraud, and making false statements;[13] the charges were dropped in 2018 after the jury was unable to reach a verdict and he was re-elected to a third term the same year.[14][15] Amid calls from several prominent Democrats to resign, Menendez did not seek the Democratic nomination, but filed to run for re-election as an independent.[16][17] Menendez was found guilty of federal corruption in July.[6]
Following Menendez's 2023 indictment, two prominent Democrats announced their Senate candidacy: U.S. Representative Andy Kim and First Lady of New Jersey Tammy Murphy.[18][19] The primary between Murphy and Kim was seen as competitive, as even though Kim led comfortably in polls, Murphy had received significant party support and the county line endorsements in many heavily populated counties along with endorsements from many county party chairs and from New Jersey Democratic Party chair LeRoy J. Jones Jr. Kim, however, had received support from many national and progressive Democrats such as Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman, the College Democrats of America, and the College Democrats of New Jersey. Murphy announced her withdrawal from the race on March 24, citing poor polling.[20]
Allegations of nepotism
[edit]Murphy's candidacy had given rise to allegations of cronyism and nepotism due to her being the wife of incumbent Governor Phil Murphy. Critics argued that since her husband is the head of the New Jersey Democratic Party, it would have ensured her victory.[21] These accusations grew after she entered into the race as the chairs of the Hudson, Camden, Bergen, Somerset, Essex,[b] and Middlesex county Democratic organizations endorsed Murphy; these represent 40% of Democratic voters in New Jersey. Candidates in New Jersey who receive the endorsement of county chairs are often placed in a premier position of the primary election ballot, bracketed with other endorsed candidates, called the "party" or "county line." Candidates who are "on the line" typically win the June primary.[22]
Murphy had responded to questions about her qualification for office due to not having been elected to office before and her previously being a registered Republican as being sexist, saying: "I'm not sure a male would be asked this question."[23] At a candidate forum at the County College of Morris in January 2024, Murphy was asked to address the "elephant in the room" about her perceived advantage as the wife of Governor Phil Murphy. She replied that she was "honored and thrilled" to receive endorsements from New Jersey Democrats, who endorsed her "not because my husband asked them, but because I asked them. They know me."[24] She promised to "earn every vote" and to listen to "not only the people who are with me, but both sides, and not just seeing through one lens". A number of members of Congress who had endorsed her have also said they endorsed her over Kim because she asked, and because of her work for women's health, children, and seniors.[25]
Endorsement controversies
[edit]On December 24, 2023, Mountainside Democratic Municipal Chair and former NOW-NJ President Anjali Mehrotra announced that she would support Kim. However, she later retracted this statement, deciding to back Murphy's campaign and criticize Kim's candidacy.[26]
On January 10, 2024, the College Democrats of New Jersey (CDNJ) in conjunction with the College Democrats of America (CDA) endorsed Kim.[27] Four days later, it was revealed that, before the CDNJ announced their endorsement of Kim, they received a call from a college student who serves as the Youth Coordinator for the state party. In the call, the staffer asked the CDNJ to cancel the group's endorsement of Kim, expressing concerns over CDNJ members' future job prospects and funding.[28]
The staffer would later say that while Murphy's campaign had not asked her to pressure the group on their behalf, but had wanted "to do something to prevent the endorsement." Murphy's campaign responded, saying the staffer's comments were "totally and completely inappropriate, and they in no way represent this campaign or what we stand for," and adding that the staffer had no connection to Murphy's campaign.[29] The Murphy campaign also said that all of the students involved in this "unfortunate situation" should be afforded the "grace, allowance and forgiveness that we all deserve at that age." Tammy Murphy, meanwhile, called the College Democrats of New Jersey's vice president to apologize.[30] Kim responded on X (Twitter) saying in part, "This is why people lose faith in democracy and our system.[31] On January 17, the CDA called on the national Democratic National Committee to open an investigation into what happened between the state party and Murphy's campaign, while reaffirming their support for Kim saying: "We will not be intimidated or silenced by those who seek to undermine our values and our vision for a more just and equitable world."[32]
On February 5, 2024, the Murphy campaign unveiled a large list of endorsements from Monmouth County Democratic officials.[33] However, later that day, multiple people whose names were on the list denied ever having endorsed her, with many still claiming that they were neutral in the race.[34] Despite his neutrality the day before, Bradley Beach Democratic Municipal Chair Steve Lozowick changed course again on February 6, announcing his support for Murphy.[35]
On March 16, 2024, Murphy was endorsed by the Camden County Democratic Committee, having already received the support of powerbroker George Norcross. However, at the committee meeting (which was largely just a formality due to the county's lack of an open convention), candidate Patricia Campos-Medina was denied entry, being physically barred by multiple guards.[36] This incident led to a condemnation by Kim (who had also been denied access after requesting speaking time prior to the event), while Murphy stated that "You'll have to talk to Camden" when asked about the incident.[37] Murphy's response to the incident, along with other alleged concerns, led to Jersey City mayor Steven Fulop pulling his support for Murphy the following day and backing Kim, according to Fulop.[38]
On March 17, 2024, the Hoboken Democrats voted to endorse Kim for Senate.[39] Shortly after, chair Rachel Hodes resigned, stating that she has been receiving pressure since February by officials from both the Murphy and Menendez campaigns, as well as the Hudson County Democratic Organization, to change the Hoboken endorsement process as a way to prevent a Kim endorsement.[40]
County lines
[edit]Although the practice was recently enjoined by a federal judge in Kim v. Hanlon, New Jersey is alone among the 50 states in authorizing local officials to award a strongly favorable ballot position to favored candidates in a prominent column on the ballot called the "county line."[41] The county line on the ballot has come under heavy criticism during the Senate primary as an allegedly undemocratic result of political machine and political boss power in the state.[42]
Due to this unique preferential-ballot-placement "county line" system in New Jersey, some NJ county parties hold conventions to decide which candidate gains the sought-after county-endorsed ballot position in the June primary, while other counties issue the line by private leadership fiat.[43] The first in the state convention in Monmouth County is often considered a bellwether for other conventions throughout the state, and has been called the "Iowa caucus of the New Jersey Senate race." On February 10, 2024, Kim won the convention in what some described as an upset victory, where it was assumed Murphy would perform better, especially in her home county.[44]
Uniquely among the states, New Jersey law authorizes a county chair of the county political party to make their own sole decision as an individual as to whom to award the line.[45] Nevertheless, excluding Sussex and Salem, which do not award a line but do provide an endorsement, processes vary by custom in each county as detailed in this collapsible table on the primary lines as awarded during county award season:[46][47][48][49]
County | Date of convention (or private leadership decision) | Endorsement process | Voting method | Winner | Number of registered Democratic voters in county[50] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlantic | March 17, 2024[51] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 69,141 |
Bergen | March 4, 2024[52] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Murphy | 252,716 |
Burlington | February 25, 2024[53] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 139,854 |
Camden | March 16, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[54] | No convention; chair alone | None | Murphy | 180,907 |
Cape May | March 11, 2024[55] | Open convention | Secret ballot | No endorsement awarded | 18,207 |
Cumberland | March 21, 2024[56] | Procedurally disputed between two factions | Procedurally disputed between two factions | No endorsement awarded due to dispute | 32,004 |
Essex | No convention; chair alone | None | Murphy | 295,958 | |
Gloucester | March 18, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[57] | No convention; chair alone | None | Murphy | 84,006 |
Hudson | March 15, 2024 (date of formal announcement of leadership decision)[58] | No convention; chair alone | None | Murphy | 218,173 |
Hunterdon | February 25, 2024[59] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 30,200 |
Mercer | March 11, 2024[60] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 117,705 |
Middlesex | March 14, 2024[61] | Open convention that serves as a ratification of the chair's endorsement | Public vote by show of hands with no count (ratification of chair's choice) | Murphy | 240,691 |
Monmouth | February 18, 2024[62] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 139,580 |
Morris | March 16, 2024[63] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 116,586 |
Ocean | March 10, 2024[64] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 97,815 |
Passaic | February 10, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[65] | No convention; screening committee of the county chairman and municipal chairs | None | Murphy | 71,716 |
Salem[c] | March 23, 2024 | Open convention (for endorsement; no line in county) | Secret ballot | Murphy | 14,487 |
Somerset | March 7, 2024[66] | Open convention | Public vote (by show of placards) | Murphy | 90,417 |
Sussex[c] | March 2, 2024 (date of endorsement but no county line is awarded)[67] | Open convention (for endorsement; no line in county) | Secret ballot (for endorsement; no line in county) | Kim | 26,323 |
Union | March 2, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[68] | No convention; each municipal chair gets one vote | Public vote (of chairs) at an unannounced private meeting | Murphy | 177,624 |
Warren | March 3, 2024[69] | Open convention | Secret ballot | Kim | 23,153 |
A professor and director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers University opined to The Hill that a major distinction existed between the Murphy-as-victor county endorsements and the Kim-as-victor county endorsements. While Kim won almost all of the county endorsements chosen by a secret ballot at an open convention, Murphy did better in convention-free counties where a county chair decides individually who to back. Said the director: "I think their wins show this steep division where Kim has been winning all of the open conventions, and Tammy Murphy has been winning the conventions that have some sort of advisory panel or advisory vote or party boss at the helm."[70]
On February 12, 2024, it was revealed that prior to her loss at the Monmouth County Democratic Convention, Murphy was repeatedly offered a shared line that she could jointly run on with Kim, but she rejected it, believing that she had enough votes to secure the line for herself.[71] On February 15, it was reported that a similar deal was being proposed for Burlington County by state senator Troy Singleton, who was also attempting to avoid a convention fight between two candidates vying for Kim's House seat, state representatives Herb Conaway and Carol Murphy.[72] On February 18, after the first debate between Kim and Murphy, Kim said that he would not accept a shared line deal in Burlington unless Murphy was willing to share the line in every county. He also stated that the Murphys themselves were behind the push in Burlington for a shared line deal.[73] A third deal was attempted on February 25, by Hunterdon County Democratic Chair Arlene Quiñones Perez (recently appointed to the New Jersey Racing Commission by Murphy's husband)[74] where any candidate who received more than 30% of the Hunterdon County convention results would get the line, forcing Kim to share the line despite winning the vote, but this was defeated in a voice vote by the convention attendees.[59]
In Bergen County where Murphy won the county line, Kim supporters alleged that the county chair, Paul Juliano, who was recently placed with the governor's support in a $280,000-a-year New Jersey Sports and Exposition Authority job, and the county leadership suppressed efforts to allow Kim to speak to delegates and stacked the committee unilaterally with bonus voting delegates loyal to the chair.[75][76]
In Somerset County, where the county chair, Peg Schaffer, a recently added board member at the New Jersey Sports and Exposition Authority, had endorsed Murphy and where a whole-committee vote for the line was held on March 7, some committee members advocated for the usual show of hands or otherwise public vote to be replaced by a secret ballot at the line award in order to quell fears about retaliation.[77] At the Somerset convention, the county chair denied a motion for secret ballot as "out of order" and the vote was held by a show of hands. A Star-Ledger columnist who attended the Somerset convention sharply criticized it as undemocratic and preferentially structured in Murphy's favor, pointing out that the county chair had sent out an advertisement in the name of the county party in support of Murphy in advance, had refused to allow confidential ballots, and had sent out a letter pointedly reminding delegates of the "rewarding" state and county jobs that delegates had allegedly received with Murphy's help.[78]
In Cape May County, county chair Marie Blistan, the former president of the New Jersey Education Association, as well as the rest of the county Democratic officials, voted to not endorse in the race, thus creating an open primary within the county (the same choice was made for the concurrent primary for New Jersey's 2nd congressional district).[79]
In Middlesex County, the county chair, Kevin McCabe, who is a lobbyist before the Murphy Administration on matters of wind power, was nominated by Murphy's husband to the powerful board of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and has the sole authority to award the line as he sees fit,[80] denied a floor motion for a secret ballot at the gathering to award the line despite alleged chanting for same by delegates (according to the Kim campaign, as reporters were barred from the event).[81][48]
In Cumberland County, the Democratic party was split into two rivaling factions, one ran by county chair Kevin McCann (backing Murphy), and the other ran by anti-McCann committeemembers (backing Kim). Neither group made a formal endorsement, leaving no candidate to receive the line.[82]
After Murphy's withdrawal from the race, counties that awarded their lines to Murphy will have the option to award the line to Kim instead.[20] Kim was able to receive the line in 17 of the 19 counties that award a line, with Cumberland not awarding one due to their split organization and Kim rejecting the Camden line due to their presence as the opposing council in his lawsuit against the line.[83][84]
County line federal lawsuit
[edit]On February 26, 2024, Kim filed a federal lawsuit, Kim v. Hanlon, in the District Court of New Jersey, aiming to redesign the primary ballot in New Jersey and claiming that the current preferential ballot placement is unconstitutional.[85] At the time of the filing, the Murphy campaign called the suit a "sad hypocritical stunt."[86]
On March 29, Judge Zahid Quraishi issued an injunction in the suit against the county line, directing clerks to instead print ballots with candidates organized by office in randomized order for the 2024 primary election.[87]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Andy Kim, U.S. representative from New Jersey's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)[18]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Patricia Campos-Medina, executive director of The Worker Institute at the Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations[88]
- Larry Hamm, community organizer, former Newark Board of Education member, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[89]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Kyle Jasey, real estate investor and son of state assemblywoman Mila Jasey (ran for U.S. House)[90]
- Christina Khalil, social worker (switched to the Green Party)[91][92]
- Tammy Murphy, First Lady of New Jersey (2018–present), co-owner and chair of NJ/NY Gotham FC, and former financial analyst[20]
- Joe Signorello, mayor of Roselle Park and nominee for SD-21 in 2021 (ran for U.S. House)[93]
Declined
[edit]- Josh Gottheimer, U.S. representative from New Jersey's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[94] (ran for re-election, running for Governor in 2025, endorsed Murphy, then Kim)[95][96]
- Tom Malinowski, former U.S. representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district (2019–2023) (endorsed Kim)[97]
- Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. senator (ran as an independent before withdrawing)[98][99]
- Donald Norcross, U.S. representative from New Jersey's 1st congressional district (2014–present)[100] (ran for re-election, endorsed Murphy)[101]
- Frank Pallone, U.S. representative from New Jersey's 6th congressional district (1988–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2013[102] (ran for re-election, endorsed Murphy)[101]
- Mikie Sherrill, U.S. representative from New Jersey's 11th congressional district (2019–present)[103] (ran for re-election, running for Governor in 2025, endorsed Murphy, then Kim, )[104][96]
- Robert Torricelli, former U.S. senator (1997–2003)[105]
Endorsements
[edit]State legislators
- Sadaf Jaffer, former state assemblywoman from 16th district (2022–2024)[106]
Local officials
- Wilda Diaz, former mayor of Perth Amboy (2008–2020)[107]
Party officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Executive branch officials
- Susan Rice, U.S. National Security Advisor (2013–2017)[112]
U.S. senators
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. senator from Illinois (2017–present)[113]
- John Fetterman, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2023–present)[114]
U.S. representatives
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. representative from PA-02 (2015–present)[114]
- Madeleine Dean, U.S. representative from PA-04 (2019–present)[114]
- Dwight Evans, U.S. representative from PA-03 (2019–present)[114]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative from AZ-08 (2007–2012)[115]
- Josh Gottheimer, U.S. representative from NJ-05 (2017–present)[96] (previously endorsed Murphy)[95]
- Rush Holt Jr., former U.S. representative from NJ-12 (1999–2015)[116]
- Chrissy Houlahan, U.S. representative from PA-06 (2019–present)[114]
- Tom Malinowski, former U.S. representative from NJ-07 (2019–2023)[117]
- Grace Meng, U.S. representative from NY-06 (2013–present)[118]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from MA-06 (2015–present)[119]
- Bill Pascrell, U.S. representative from NJ-09 (1997–2024) (deceased)[120] (previously endorsed Murphy)[101]
- Mary Gay Scanlon, U.S. representative from PA-05 (2018–present)[114]
- Mikie Sherrill, U.S. representative from NJ-11 (2019–present)[96] (previously endorsed Murphy)[104]
- Susan Wild, U.S. representative from PA-07 (2018–present)[114]
State legislators
- Herb Conaway, state assemblyman from the 7th district (1998–present)[121]
Carol Murphy, state assemblywoman from the 7th district (2018–present)[122] (switched to declining to endorse)[123]- Troy Singleton, New Jersey Senate Majority Whip (2022–present) from the 7th district (2018–present)[124]
County officials
- Balvir Singh, Burlington County Commissioner (2018–present)[125]
- 4 other Burlington County Commissioners[125]
Local officials
- Ravinder Bhalla, mayor of Hoboken (2018–present) and candidate for NJ-08 in 2024[126]
- Steven Fulop, mayor of Jersey City (2013–present)[38] (previously endorsed Murphy)[127]
- James Solomon, Jersey City councilor from ward E (2017–present)[126]
- Joyce Watterman, President of the Jersey City Council (2023–present) from the at-large district (2013–present)[128]
- 10 other mayors[129][125]
Individuals
- Sue Altman, former executive director of the New Jersey Working Families Party and candidate for NJ-07 in 2024[130]
- Fred Guttenberg, gun-control activist[131]
- Andrew Yang, Co-Chair of Forward Party (2022–present)[132]
Party chapters
- 30 municipal Democratic committees[133]
Political parties
- Atlantic County Democratic Party[134]
- Bergen County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[135]
- Burlington County Democratic Party[136]
- Cape May County Democratic Party[83] (previously declined to endorse)[79]
- Essex County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[137]
- Gloucester County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[138]
- Hudson County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[139]
- Hunterdon County Democratic Party[59]
- Mercer County Democratic Party[140]
- Middlesex County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[141]
- Monmouth County Democratic Party[142]
- Morris County Democratic Party[143]
- Ocean County Democratic Party[144]
- Passaic County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[145]
- Somerset County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[146]
- Sussex County Democratic Party[147]
- Union County Democratic Party[83] (previously endorsed Murphy)[148]
- Warren County Democratic Party[149]
Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[150]
- Asian American Action Fund[151]
- ASPIRE PAC[118]
- Brady PAC[131]
- College Democrats of America[27]
- College Democrats of New Jersey[27]
- Council for a Livable World[152]
- Democratic Coalition of Ocean County[153]
- End Citizens United[154]
- Giffords[115]
- Human Rights Campaign[155]
- Indivisible[156]
- League of Conservation Voters[120] (previously endorsed Menendez)[157]
- Mercer County Democratic Progressive Caucus[158]
- MoveOn[159]
- National Organization for Women[160]
- Princeton Community Democratic Organization[161]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[155]
- Sierra Club[162]
- VoteVets.org[163]
- With Honor Fund[164]
Newspapers and other media
Labor unions
- 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East[168]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees - International and New Jersey Council 63[169]
- Communications Workers of America[170]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers[171]
- National Education Association[172]
- Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union[173]
- SEIU 32BJ[174]
Executive branch officials
- Alan Solomont, former United States Ambassador to Spain (2010–2013)[175]
U.S. representatives
Josh Gottheimer, U.S. representative from NJ-05 (2017–present)[95] (switched endorsement to Kim)[96]- Donald Norcross, U.S. representative from NJ-01 (2014–present)[101]
- Frank Pallone, U.S. representative from NJ-06 (1988–present)[101]
Bill Pascrell, U.S. representative from NJ-09 (1997–present)[101] (switched endorsement to Kim)[120]- Donald Payne Jr., U.S. representative from NJ-10 (2012–2024) (deceased)[101]
Mikie Sherrill, U.S. representative from NJ-11 (2019–present)[104] (switched endorsement to Kim)[96]- Albio Sires, Mayor of West New York (1995–2006; 2023–present) and former U.S. representative from NJ-08 (2006–2023)[127]
Statewide officials
- Richard Codey, former Governor of New Jersey (2002; 2004–2006)[176]
- Howard Dean, former Governor of Vermont (1991–2003)[177]
- Steven Grossman, former Treasurer and Receiver-General of Massachusetts (2011–2015)[175]
- Maura Healey, Governor of Massachusetts (2023–present)[175]
- Phil Murphy, Governor of New Jersey (2018–present) (candidate's husband)[178]
- Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011)[179]
- Josh Shapiro, Governor of Pennsylvania (2023–present)[179]
State legislators
- 12 state senators, including senate president Nicholas Scutari[180]
- 15 state assemblymembers[181]
County officials
- Ernest Coursey, Atlantic County Commissioner from the 1st district[182]
- Anthony Cureton, Bergen County Sheriff[183]
- Joseph N. DiVincenzo Jr., Essex County Executive (2003–present)[184]
- Romaine Graham, Essex County Commissioner[185]
- Craig Guy, Hudson County Executive (2024–present)[127]
- John Hogan, Bergen County Clerk[186]
- Steve Peter, Somerset County Clerk[187]
- Darrin Russo, Somerset County Sheriff[187]
- Jim Tedesco, Bergen County Executive (2015–present)[186]
- Joan Voss, Bergen County Commissioner (2012–present)[186]
- 6 other Bergen County Commissioners[186]
- 9 Hudson County Commissioners[127]
- 5 Somerset County Commissioners[187]
Mayors
Steven Fulop, Jersey City (2013–present)(switched endorsement to Kim)[38]- Reed Gusciora, Trenton (2018–present)[188]
- Marty Small Sr., Atlantic City (2019–present)[182]
- Mark Sokolich, Fort Lee (2008–present)[186]
- Michael Wildes, Englewood (2004–2010; 2019–present)[186]
- Dawn Zimmer, Hoboken (2009–2018)[189]
- 48 others[190]
Party officials
- LeRoy J. Jones Jr., New Jersey Democratic Party Chair (2021–present)[191]
- Democratic county chairs for Bergen, Camden, Essex,[b] Gloucester, Hudson, Middlesex, Passaic, Somerset, and Union[192]
Individuals
- George Helmy, former chief of staff to Phil Murphy[193]
- Amy Kennedy, educator[194]
- Barbara Lee, philanthropist[175]
- George Norcross, businessman and brother of Donald Norcross[195]
Party chapters
Political parties
Bergen County Democratic Party[135] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]Camden County Democratic Party[36] (switched to declining to endorse)[84]Essex County Democratic Party[137] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]Gloucester County Democratic Party[138] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]Hudson County Democratic Party[139] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]Middlesex County Democratic Party[141] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]Passaic County Democratic Party[145] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]- Salem County Democratic Party[196]
Somerset County Democratic Party[146] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]Union County Democratic Party[148] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]
Organizations
Labor unions
- Amalgamated Transit Union[199]
- Eastern Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters[200]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers[201]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers Local 194[202]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 21[203]
- New Jersey State Electrical Workers Association Construction Division[204]
- United Food and Commercial Workers[205]
State legislators
- Mila Jasey, state assemblywoman from the 27th district (2007–2024) (candidate's mother)[206]
Executive branch officials
- Christine Todd Whitman, former Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001–2003) and Governor of New Jersey (1994–2001) (Forward)[207]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Bonnie Watson Coleman, U.S. representative from NJ-12 (2015–present)[208]
- Rob Menendez, U.S. representative from NJ-08 (2023–present)[178]
State legislators
- Carol Murphy, state assemblywoman from the 7th district (2018–present)[123] (previously endorsed Kim)[122]
- Shavonda Sumter, state assemblywoman from the 35th district (2012–present)[209]
- Loretta Weinberg, former majority leader of the New Jersey Senate (2012–2022) from the 37th district (2005–2022)[210]
Local officials
- Dan Benson, Mercer County Executive (2024–present)[158]
Party officials
- Marie Blistan, chair of the Cape May County Democratic Party[79]
- Steve Caltabiano, chair of the Salem County Democratic Party[196]
- Janice Mironov, chair of the Mercer County Democratic Party and mayor of East Windsor[158]
- Michael Suleiman, chair of the Atlantic County Democratic Party[134]
Individuals
Sue Altman, former executive director of the New Jersey Working Families Party and candidate for NJ-07 in 2024[211] (switched endorsement to Kim)[130]- Tammy Murphy, First Lady of New Jersey (2018–present), co-owner and chair of NJ/NY Gotham FC, and former financial analyst[20]
Political parties
- Camden County Democratic Party[84] (previously endorsed Murphy)[36]
Cape May County Democratic Party[79] (switched endorsement to Kim)[83]- Cumberland County Democratic Party[84]
County Convention results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 265 | 56.8% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 181 | 38.8% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 20 | 4.3% | |
Democratic | Larry Hamm[d] | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 466 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 245 | 90.4% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 21 | 7.8% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 3 | 1.1% | |
Democratic | Larry Hamm | 2 | 0.7% | |
Total votes | 271 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 120 | 62.2% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 64 | 33.2% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 9 | 4.7% | |
Total votes | 193 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 101 | 56.7% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 76 | 42.7% | |
Democratic | Larry Hamm | 1 | 0.6% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 178 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 19 | 86.4% | |
Democratic | Andy Kim | 3 | 13.6% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 0 | 0.0% | |
Democratic | Larry Hamm | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 22 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 33 | 80.5% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 6 | 14.6% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 2 | 4.9% | |
Democratic | Larry Hamm | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 41 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 738 | 63.8% | |
Democratic | Andy Kim | 419 | 36.2% | |
Total votes | 1,157 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 207 | 63.1% | |
Democratic | Andy Kim | 106 | 32.3% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 15 | 4.6% | |
Total votes | 328 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 197 | 85.7% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 31 | 13.5% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 3 | 8.7% | |
Total votes | 230 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 236 | 63.1% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 108 | 28.9% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 22 | 5.9% | |
Democratic | Larry Hamm | 8 | 2.1% | |
Total votes | 374 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 457 | 84.6% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 57 | 10.6% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 26 | 4.8% | |
Total votes | 540 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 156 | 74.3% | |
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 54 | 25.7% | |
Total votes | 210 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Murphy | 13 | 61.9% | |
Democratic | Andy Kim | 8 | 38.1% | |
Total votes | 21 | 100.0% |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Patricia Campos-Medina (D) | $430,674[f] | $405,011 | $25,662 |
Larry Hamm (D)[g] | $25,362[h] | $11,424.35 | $13,937.65 |
Andy Kim (D) | $7,868,353 | $3,941,232 | $4,089,654 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[212] |
Debates
[edit]A WNBC spokesman stated that Kim and Murphy will debate in person in May 2024 at 30 Rockefeller Plaza to be broadcast state-wide.[213]
Kim and Murphy on Sunday, February 18, 2024, both participated in a live streamed event hosted by the New Jersey Globe, rather than an in-person debate.[214][215] Both candidates were invited to a previous debate on February 4; Kim accepted, but Murphy declined. As a result, Kim appeared before a panel of journalists alone to discuss his candidacy.[216]
A third debate was announced on April 30, 2024, to be hosted by WNYC, New Jersey Public Radio, the American Civil Liberties Union, and Salvation for Social Justice. Unlike the previous debates, Campos-Medina and Hamm were invited to participate. The debate is expected to be broadcast via WHYY-FM.[217][218][219]
No. | Date and time | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Present A Absent | Campos-Medina | Hamm | Kim | Menendez | Murphy | ||||
1[220] | February 18, 2024 8 pm EST | New Jersey Globe On New Jersey Rebovich Institute | Laura Jones | YouTube[221] | N[i] | N[i] | P | O[j] | P |
2[217] | May 2024 | NBC[k] Telemundo[l] | TBD | N/A | N | N | I | O | W |
3[218] | May 13, 2024 | WNYC/NJPR[m] ACLU League of Women Voters-NJ Salvation for Social Justice | Michael Hill | YouTube[222] | P | P | P | O | W |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Patricia Campos-Medina | Larry Hamm | Bob Menendez | Andy Kim | Tammy Murphy | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[223] | March 26–29, 2024 | 408 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 5% | – | 51% | – | – | 38% |
Murphy withdraws from the race | ||||||||||
Menendez declines to run in Democratic primary | ||||||||||
Braun Research/ Farleigh Dickinson University[224] | January 21–28, 2024 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 8% | – | 9% | 32% | 20% | – | 31% |
Breakthrough Campaigns[225][A] | December 7–14, 2023 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 4% | 6% | 45% | 22% | 6%[o] | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[226][A] | November 13–14, 2023 | 560 (LV) | – | – | – | 5% | 40% | 21% | – | 34% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[227][B] | October 3–4, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 5% | 42% | 19% | – | 34% |
502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 10% | 63% | – | – | 28% | ||
Data for Progress (D)[228] | September 29 – October 3, 2023 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 9% | 48% | – | 3%[p] | 40% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Josh Gottheimer | Kyle Jasey | Andy Kim | Bob Menendez | Tammy Murphy | Frank Pallone | Teresa Ruiz | Mikie Sherrill | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D)[228] | September 29 – October 3, 2023 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 6% | 1% | 27% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 20% | 29% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 392,602 | 74.83% | |
Democratic | Patricia Campos-Medina | 84,286 | 16.06% | |
Democratic | Lawrence Hamm | 47,796 | 9.11% | |
Total votes | 524,684 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Curtis Bashaw, real estate developer and former executive director of the Casino Reinvestment Development Authority[230]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Albert Harshaw, business owner (previously ran for president)[231]
- Justin Murphy, former deputy mayor of Tabernacle and candidate for New Jersey's 3rd congressional district in 2008 and 2010[232]
- Christine Serrano Glassner, Mayor of Mendham Borough (2019–present)[233]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Daniel Cruz, former member of the Andover Township Board of Education and candidate for SD-24 in 2021[234]
- Shirley Maia-Cusick, immigration consulting firm owner (ran for U.S. House)[235]
- Gregg Mele, attorney and perennial candidate (ran for U.S. House)[236]
- Fred Schneiderman, investment executive and candidate for New Jersey's 5th congressional district in 2022[237]
- Peter Vallorosi, construction contractor and candidate for New Jersey's 5th congressional district in 2016 (ran as an Independent)[238]
- Alex Zdan, former News 12 reporter[239] (endorsed Bashaw)[240]
Declined
[edit]- Chris Christie, former governor of New Jersey (2010–2018) and candidate for President of the United States in 2016 (ran for president)[241]
- Melinda Ciattarelli, business owner and wife of former state assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli[242] (endorsed Schneiderman)[243]
- Jeff Van Drew, U.S. representative for New Jersey's 2nd congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election)[244]
- Aura Dunn, state assemblywoman from the 25th district (2019–present)[245]
- Edward Durr, former state senator from the 3rd district (2022–2024)[246]
Endorsements
[edit]Governors
- Chris Christie, Former Governor of New Jersey (2010-2018) [247]
State senators
- Jean Stanfield, former state senator from the 8th district (2022–2024)[248]
- Mike Testa, state senator from the 1st district (2019–present) and Cumberland County Republican Chair (2014–present) (candidate's campaign chair)[230]
State assemblymembers
- Al Barlas, state assemblymember from the 40th district (2024–present)[249]
- Antwan McClellan, state assemblymember from the 1st district (2020–present)[250]
- Erik Simonsen, state assemblymember from the 1st district (2020–present)[250]
Organizations
Local officials
- 4 Cape May County Commissioners[250][252]
- 9 mayors[250][252]
Party officials
- Michael Donohue, Cape May County Republican Chair[250]
Individuals
Political parties
- Atlantic County Republican Party[253]
- Burlington County Republican Party[254]
- Camden County Republican Party[255]
- Cape May County Republican Party[256]
- Cumberland County Republican Party[257]
- Essex County Republican Party[249]
- Gloucester County Republican Party[258]
- Mercer County Republican Party[259]
- Middlesex County Republican Party[260]
- Monmouth County Republican Party[261] (previously endorsed Zdan)[262]
- Ocean County Republican Party[263]
- Passaic County Republican Party[264] (previously endorsed Zdan)[265]
- Salem County Republican Party[254]
- Somerset County Republican Party[266]
Party chapters
Organizations
Executive branch officials
- Ben Carson, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2017–2021)[269]
- Richard Grenell, former U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) and former Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020)[269]
- Donald Trump, former president (2017–2021)[270]
U.S. senators
- Markwayne Mullin, U.S. senator from Oklahoma (2023–present)[271]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present)[271]
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. senator from Alabama (2021–present)[271]
U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from FL-1 (2017–present)[269]
- Thomas Kean Jr., U.S. representative from NJ-7 (2023–present)[272]
Statewide officials
- Doug Burgum, Governor of North Dakota (2016–present)[269]
State senators
- Jon Bramnick, state senator from the 21st district (2022–present) and former Minority Leader of the New Jersey General Assembly (2012–2022) from the 21st district (2003–2022)[273]
- Ed Durr, former state senator from the 3rd district (2022–2024)[274]
- Joseph Pennacchio, New Jersey Senate Minority Whip (2017–present) from the 26th district (2008–present)[273]
State assemblymembers
- Robert Auth, state assemblymember from the 39th district (2014–present)[275]
- Christian Barranco, state assemblymember from the 26th district (2022–present)[273]
- Brian Bergen, state assemblymember from the 25th district (2020–present)[273]
- Jack Ciattarelli, former state assemblyman from the 16th district (2011–2018)[276]
- Mike Inganamort, state assemblyman from the 24th district (2024–present)[273]
- Michele Matsikoudis, state assemblymember from the 21st district (2022–present)[273]
- Nancy Munoz, state assemblymember from the 21st district (2009–present)[273]
Local officials
- 6 Morris County Commissioners[273]
- 20 mayors[273]
Party officials
- Laura Ali, Morris County Republican Chair[273]
- Jose Arango, Hudson County Republican Chair[277]
Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, pharmaceutical executive and 2024 Republican presidential candidate[271]
- Roger Stone, political consultant and lobbyist[269]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former president Donald Trump[269]
Political parties
- Bergen County Republican Party[278]
- Hudson County Republican Party[279]
- Hunterdon County Republican Party[280]
- Morris County Republican Party[281]
- Sussex County Republican Party[282]
- Union County Republican Party[267]
- Warren County Republican Party[283]
Organizations
Party chapters
- Union Township Republicans[267]
Political parties
Monmouth County Republican Party[261] (switched endorsement to Bashaw)[262]Passaic County Republican Party[265] (switched endorsement to Bashaw)[264]
County Conventions
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 87 | 56.9% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 54 | 35.3% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 12 | 7.8% | |
Republican | Michael Estrada | 0 | 0.0% | |
Republican | Gregg Mele | 0 | 0.0% | |
Republican | Albert Harshaw[d] | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 153 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 152 | 66.1% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 62 | 27.0% | |
Republican | Gregg Mele | 16 | 7.0% | |
Total votes | 230 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 279 | 73.6% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 100 | 26.4% | |
Total votes | 379 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 953 | 78.2% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 265 | 21.8% | |
Total votes | 1,218 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 163 | 72.8% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 49 | 21.9% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 12 | 5.4% | |
Total votes | 224 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Alex Zdan | 103 | 42.2% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 101 | 41.4% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 40 | 16.4% | |
Total votes | 244 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Alex Zdan | 111 | 57.5% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 82 | 42.5% | |
Total votes | 193 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 58 | 81.7% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 13 | 18.3% | |
Total votes | 71 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 90 | 42.1% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 68 | 31.8% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 50 | 23.4% | |
Republican | Albert Harshaw | 6 | 2.8% | |
Total votes | 214 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 110 | 56.7% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 84 | 43.3% | |
Total votes | 194 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 78 | 75.7% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 24 | 23.3% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner[q] | 1 | 1.0% | |
Republican | Albert Harshaw | 0 | 0.0% | |
Republican | Justin Michael Murphy | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 103 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 117 | 81.8% | |
Republican | Justin Michael Murphy | 16 | 11.2% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 7 | 4.9% | |
Republican | Albert Harshaw | 3 | 2.1% | |
Total votes | 143 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 121 | 100.0% | |
Republican | Brian Jackson | 0 | 0.0% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 0 | 0.0% | |
Republican | Gregg Mele[r] | 0 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 121 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 254 | 39.9% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 200 | 31.5% | |
Republican | Fred Schneiderman | 99 | 15.6% | |
Republican | Alex Zdan | 80 | 12.6% | |
Republican | Brian Jackson | 2 | 0.3% | |
Republican | Justin Michael Murphy | 1 | 0.2% | |
Total votes | 636 | 100.0% |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Curtis Bashaw (R) | $1,417,913[s] | $893,230 | $524,682 |
Justin Murphy (R) | $9,938[t] | $10,301 | $0 |
Christine Seranno Glassner (R) | $474,906[u] | $212,486 | $262,419 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[212] |
Debates
[edit]No. | Date and time | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Present A Absent | Bashaw | Serrano- Glassner | Zdan | |||||||||||
1[288] | April 3, 2024 8 PM EST | New Jersey Globe On New Jersey Rebovich Institute | Laura Jones | Link | A | P | W |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Curtis Bashaw | Albert Harshaw | Justin Murphy | Peter Vallorosi | Christine Serrano Glassner | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[289] | March 26–29, 2024 | 310 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 144,869 | 45.57% | |
Republican | Christine Serrano Glassner | 121,986 | 38.38% | |
Republican | Justin Murphy | 35,954 | 11.31% | |
Republican | Albert Harshaw | 15,064 | 4.74% | |
Total votes | 317,873 | 100.0% |
Third parties and independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Nicholas Carducci (Independent), software engineer[290]
- Ken Kaplan (Libertarian), real estate broker and perennial candidate[291]
- Christina Khalil (Green), social worker[92] (switched from Democratic)[91]
- Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers), deli worker and perennial candidate[292]
- Peter Vallorosi (Independent), construction contractor and candidate for New Jersey's 5th congressional district in 2016 (previously ran as a Republican)[238]
Filed paperwork
[edit]- Michael Estrada (Independent), independent candidate for AD-23 in 2017[293] (switched from Republican)[294][295]
- Patricia Mooneyham (Independent)[296]
- Victor Joseph Scazzola (Independent)[297]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Bob Menendez (Menendez For Senate), former U.S. Senator[298]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Michael Estrada (I)[g] | $5,218.20[v] | $481.19 | $4,737.01 |
Bob Menendez (I) | $10,960,363 | $7,605,560 | $3,573,234 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[212] |
Interim appointment
[edit]Following his federal corruption conviction in July, Senator Bob Menendez announced he would resign from the Senate, effective on August 20, 2024. Governor Phil Murphy stated he would appoint an interim replacement for the current term until the November election.[1] This announcement fueled speculation that Murphy would appoint Democratic nominee Andy Kim to the seat, as he is the favorite to win the general election.[299] Republican nominee Curtis Bashaw released a public statement urging Murphy to appoint a caretaker to the seat, arguing selecting Kim would give him incumbency advantage.[300] On July 16, Murphy appointed Port Authority of New York and New Jersey commissioner and his former chief of staff George Helmy to the seat.[301]
Appointee
[edit]- George Helmy, commissioner of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey (2023–present)[301]
Reported shortlist
[edit]- Jeh Johnson, former U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2013–2017)[302]
- Bonnie Watson Coleman, U.S. Representative from New Jersey's 12th congressional district (2015–present)[302]
- Nina Mitchell Wells, former New Jersey Secretary of State (2006–2010)[302]
- Tahesha Way, Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey (2023–present)[302]
Potential candidates not appointed
[edit]- Patricia Campos-Medina, executive director of the Worker Institute at Cornell University and former candidate for this seat[303]
- Richard Codey, former governor of New Jersey (2002, 2004–2006)[304]
- Christian Fuscarino, executive director of Garden State Equality[305]
- Dianne Houenou, chair of the New Jersey Cannabis Regulatory Commission (2021–present)[305]
- Andy Kim, U.S. Representative from New Jersey's 3rd congressional district (2019–present) and Democratic nominee for this seat[299]
- Matthew Platkin, New Jersey attorney general (2022–present)[305]
- Esther Salas, judge of the U.S. District Court for New Jersey (2011–present)[306]
- Loretta Weinberg, former majority leader of the New Jersey Senate (2012–2022) from the 37th district (2005–2022)[307]
Declined to be considered
[edit]- Tammy Murphy, First Lady of New Jersey (2018–present), co-owner and chair of NJ/NY Gotham FC, and former candidate for this seat[308][309]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[310] | Solid D | March 25, 2024 |
Inside Elections[311] | Solid D | February 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[312] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[313] | Safe D | October 30, 2024 |
Elections Daily[314] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[315] | Safe D | November 21, 2023 |
RealClearPolitics[316] | Likely D | August 5, 2024 |
Split Ticket[317] | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
538[318] | Likely D | October 28, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]U.S. senators
- George Helmy, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2024–present)[319]
U.S. representatives
- Rob Menendez, U.S. representative from NJ-08 (2023–present)[320]
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
U.S. senators
- Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present) and chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee[325]
Governors
- Thomas Kean, former Governor of New Jersey (1982–1990)[326]
Political parties
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andy Kim (D) | $11,388,210 | $7,567,613 | $3,983,128 |
Curtis Bashaw (R) | $3,850,134[w] | $2,516,342 | $1,333,792 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[212] |
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polling
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Andy Kim (D) | Curtis Bashaw (R) | Undecided [x] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin[328] | October 26 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 53.3% | 33.8% | 12.9% | Kim +19.5% |
TheHill/DDHQ[329] | through November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 55.4% | 34.9% | 9.7% | Kim +20.5% |
Average | 54.4% | 34.4% | 11.2% | Kim +20.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Andy Kim (D) | Curtis Bashaw (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co.[330] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 56% | 38% | 2%[y] | 4% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[331] | October 20–27, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 57% | 39% | – | 4% |
Cygnal (R)[332] | October 23–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 38% | 3%[z] | 4% |
Rutgers University[333] | October 15–22, 2024 | 929 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 26% | – | 19% |
National Research Inc. (R)[334][C] | August 13–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 33% | – | 22% |
Expedition Strategies[335][D] | June 24 – July 8, 2024 | 272 (LV) | – | 50% | 35% | – | 15% |
United 2024 (R)[336] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 39% | – | 20% |
co/efficient (R)[337] | June 26–27, 2024 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 34% | – | 25% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[338] | April 1–8, 2024 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 38% | – | 15% |
Andy Kim vs. Curtis Bashaw vs. Bob Menendez
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Andy Kim (D) | Curtis Bashaw (R) | Bob Menendez (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United 2024 (R)[336] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | 4.5% | 35% | 33% | 6% | 26% |
co/efficient (R)[337] | June 26–27, 2024 | 810 (LV) | 3.42% | 39% | 33% | 3% | 25% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[338] | April 1–8, 2024 | 809 (RV) | 3.5% | 44% | 38% | 6% | 12% |
Andy Kim vs. Christine Serrano Glassner
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Andy Kim (D) | Christine Serrano Glassner (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University[338] | April 1–8, 2024 | 809 (RV) | 3.5% | 49% | 39% | 13% |
Andy Kim vs. Christine Serrano Glassner vs. Bob Menendez as an independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Andy Kim (D) | Christine Serrano Glassner (R) | Bob Menendez (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University[338] | April 1–8, 2024 | 809 (RV) | 3.5% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 10% |
Bob Menendez vs. Chris Christie
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Chris Christie (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[339][E] | September 26–27, 2023 | 565 (V) | – | 24% | 27% | 41% | 8% |
Bob Menendez vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[339][E] | September 26–27, 2023 | 565 (V) | – | 20% | 42% | 25% | 13% |
Andy Kim vs. Chris Christie
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Andy Kim (D) | Chris Christie (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[339][E] | September 26–27, 2023 | 565 (V) | – | 46% | 20% | 23% | 10% |
Andy Kim vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Andy Kim (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[339][E] | September 26–27, 2023 | 565 (V) | – | 44% | 32% | 5% | 18% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. Bob Menendez as a Independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[n] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Bob Menendez (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[223] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% | – |
Debates
[edit]During the first debate, about 6 minutes after the discussion began, Bashaw appeared to freeze for several seconds. After which, Kim approached Bashaw, asking if he was okay with the moderators soon sending the debate into a commercial break.[340] After a 10 minute break, the debate returned with Bashaw present. Explaining that he hadn't eaten all day, he now felt better and the debate resumed without further interruption.[341]
No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Kim | Bashaw | |||||
1[342][343] | October 6, 2024 | New Jersey Globe | Laura Jones | [1] | P | P |
2[343] | October 15, 2024 | NJ Spotlight News | Briana Vannozzi & David Cruz | [2] | P | P |
3[343] | October 22, 2024 | News 12 New Jersey | Eric Landskroner | [3] | P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 2,161,491 | 53.61% | −0.4% | |
Republican | Curtis Bashaw | 1,773,589 | 43.99% | +1.16% | |
Green | Christina Khalil | 45,443 | 1.13% | +0.34% | |
Libertarian | Kenneth Kaplan | 24,242 | 0.60% | −0.07% | |
Vote Better | Patricia Mooneyham | 17,224 | 0.43% | N/A | |
Socialist Workers | Joanne Kuniansky | 9,806 | 0.24% | N/A | |
Total votes | 4,031,795 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Gloucester (largest municipality: Washington Township)
County that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cumberland (largest municipality: Vineland)
By congressional district
[edit]Kim won 9 of 12 congressional districts.[345]
District | Kim | Bashaw | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 61% | 37% | Donald Norcross |
2nd | 44% | 54% | Jeff Van Drew |
3rd | 56% | 42% | Andy Kim (118th Congress) |
Herb Conaway (119th Congress) | |||
4th | 37% | 62% | Chris Smith |
5th | 51% | 47% | Josh Gottheimer |
6th | 54% | 43% | Frank Pallone Jr. |
7th | 48% | 50% | Tom Kean Jr. |
8th | 64% | 33% | Rob Menendez |
9th | 51% | 45% | Nellie Pou |
10th | 75% | 22% | LaMonica McIver |
11th | 54% | 44% | Mikie Sherrill |
12th | 62% | 35% | Bonnie Watson Coleman |
Notes
[edit]- ^ In August 2024, Helmy was appointed by Governor Phil Murphy to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Bob Menendez.
- ^ a b The County Chair of the Essex County Democratic Committee, LeRoy J. Jones Jr., is also the Chair of the state party.
- ^ a b Does not use county lines on its primary ballots
- ^ a b Withdrew from participation in this convention but remained on ballot.
- ^ a b This convention does not award a line
- ^ $290,000 of this total was self-funded by Campos-Medina
- ^ a b Did not file for pre-primary deadline
- ^ $700 of this total was self-funded by Hamm
- ^ a b Did not meet debate threshold by required date
- ^ Menendez was invited pending he announced his candidacy by February 11, 2024, but didn't.
- ^ WCAU and WNBC
- ^ WWSI and WNJU
- ^ Also broadcast in Southern Jersey via WHYY-FM
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Waiting for another candidate" with 6%
- ^ Kyle Jasey with 3%
- ^ Did not participate in this convention but received a vote.
- ^ Withdrew from the race prior to this convention.
- ^ $800,000 of this total was self funded by Bashaw
- ^ $3,750 of this total was self funded by Murphy
- ^ $300,000 of this total was self-funded by Glassner
- ^ $5,000 of this total was self funded by Estrada
- ^ $2,025,000 of this total was self funded by Bashaw
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Third-party candidate not listed" with 3%
Partisan clients
References
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Andy Kim just won the Iowa Caucus of the New Jersey Senate race.
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- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p