2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
TurnoutIncrease 72%
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 14 0
Popular vote 2,608,400 1,883,313
Percentage 57.34% 41.40%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in New Jersey
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
State government
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Senate elections
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Newark
Mayoral elections
Jersey City
Mayoral elections
Hoboken
Mayoral elections
Atlantic City
Mayoral elections

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Biden carried New Jersey by 15.94%, making the state 11.49% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's victory came from a coalition of key Democratic constituencies, including 86% of Blacks, 76% of Asians, 72% of Hispanic and Latino Americans, and 50% of Whites.[3] Biden's strength with Asian Americans was evident in New Jersey, where Asians constituted 10.0% of the population in 2019.[4][5]

Biden flipped Gloucester County, which was reliably Democratic until Trump flipped it in 2016. He also became the first Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to win Morris County, which Cory Booker won in the simultaneous senate election.[6] This also became the first presidential election since 2000 in which Salem County did not vote for the national winner.[13] Trump carried 255 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities, fewer than the 307 he carried in 2016, with Biden carrying the other 310.[14] Biden's 2.6 million votes is the most received by any candidate of either party in a presidential election in the state's history.

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were originally scheduled for June 2, 2020. In April, they were moved to July 7 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[15] On May 15, 2020, Governor Phil Murphy signed an executive order declaring the primary election to become a primarily vote-by-mail election. Democratic and Republican voters will automatically receive a vote-by-mail ballot while unaffiliated and inactive voters will get a vote-by-mail application. Unaffiliated voters must declare their party in the application and send in to their respective county board of elections in order to vote and receive their primary election ballot. A limited number of polling stations in each county were available on primary day for those who prefer to vote in person (including with provisional ballots if they're unable to obtain one) and for voters with disabilities.[16]

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article: 2020 New Jersey Republican presidential primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary.[17] The state has 49 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[18]

2020 New Jersey Republican primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent) 457,212 100 49
Total 457,212 100.00 49

Democratic primary

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from 2020 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary § NJresults.[edit]
2020 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary[19]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[20]
Joe Biden 814,188 84.92 121
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 140,412 14.65 5
Uncommitted 4,162 0.43
Total 958,762 100% 126

Green primary

[edit]
This section is transcluded from Results of the 2020 Green Party presidential primaries. (edit | history)
New Jersey Green Party presidential primary, May 2, 2020[21][better source needed]
Candidate Votes Percentage[a] National delegates
Howie Hawkins 44 78.6% 5
Dario Hunter 4 7.1% 0
Jesse Ventura 3 5.4% 0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 2 3.6% 0
Bernie Sanders 2 3.6% 0
Kent Mesplay 1 1.8% 0
Susan Buchser-Lochocki 0 0% 0
Dennis Lambert 0 0% 0
Chad Wilson 0 0% 0
David Rolde 0 0% 0
Total 56 100.00% 5

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Solid D October 28, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe D October 8, 2020
Politico[25] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[26] Likely D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[28] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[29] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[30] Likely D September 27, 2020
270towin[31] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[32] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[33] Likely D October 30, 2020
NBC News[34] Likely D August 6, 2020
538[35] Solid D September 27, 2020
Fox News[36] Likely D November 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]


Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270 to Win[37] October 9 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 56.5% 37.3% 6.2% Biden +19.2
Real Clear Politics[38] September 4 – October 13, 2020 November 3, 2020 54.7% 37.3% 8.0% Biden +17.4
FiveThirtyEight[39] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 58.4% 37.9% 3.7% Biden +20.4
Average 56.5% 37.5% 7.8% Biden +19.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[40] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,870 (LV) ± 2% 38%[d] 59% - - – –
Research Co.[41] Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 40% 59% - - 1%[e] 5%
Swayable[42] Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 324 (LV) ± 7.2% 40% 59% 1% 0% – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[40] Oct 1–28, 2020 6,472 (LV) – 37% 60% - - – –
Swayable[43] Oct 23–26, 2020 386 (LV) ± 6.5% 38% 62% 0% 0% – –
Rutgers-Eagleton[44] Oct 19–24, 2020 834 (LV) ± 4% 37% 59% - - 1%[f] 1%
Stockton College[45] Oct 7–13, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.7% 36% 56% - - – –
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[46] Oct 5–13, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 34% 56% - - 10%[g] –
Fairleigh Dickinson University[47] Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 582 (LV) ± 4.6% 38% 53% - - 5%[h] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[40] Sep 1–30, 2020 2,952 (LV) – 37% 60% - - – 3%
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[48] Sep 8–16, 2020 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 52% - - 10%[g] –
Emerson College[49] Sep 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40%[i] 58% - - 2%[j] –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[40] Aug 1–31, 2020 2,309 (LV) – 40% 57% - - – 3%
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[50] Aug 5–13, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.383% 33% 52% - - 15%[k] –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[40] Jul 1–31, 2020 2,426 (LV) – 37% 61% - - – 2%
Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[51] Jul 7–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.383% 33% 51% - - 7%[l] 8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[40] Jun 8–30, 2020 1,110 (LV) – 37% 61% - - – 3%
Quinnipiac[52] Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 941 (RV) ± 3.2% 35% 54% - - 3%[m] 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton[53] Apr 22 – May 2, 2020 689 (RV) ± 4.2% 33% 56% - - 5%[n] 7%
Monmouth University[54] Apr 16–19, 2020 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 38% 54% - - 2% 6%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[55] Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 35% 53% - - – –
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University[55] Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 53% – –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University[55] Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 50% – –

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University[55] Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 32% 56% – –

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University[55] Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 48% – –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D) 		Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University[55] Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 47% – –

Results

[edit]
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
-Blue municipalities won by Biden
-Red municipalities won by Trump
Swing from 2016 to 2020 by each municipality, darker colors indicate a higher swing from 2016:
-Blue municipalities swung towards Biden
-Red municipalities swung towards Trump
2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey[56]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joseph R. Biden Jr.
Kamala D. Harris 		2,608,400 57.34% +1.88%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		1,883,313 41.40% +0.05%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		31,677 0.70% −1.17%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		14,202 0.31% −0.67%
Unity Bill Hammons
Eric Bodenstab 		3,255 0.07% ±0.00%
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr 		2,954 0.06% −0.10%
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman 		2,928 0.06% +0.02%
Alliance Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson 		2,728 0.06% +0.01%
Total votes 4,549,353 100.00%

By county

[edit]
County Joe Biden
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Atlantic 73,808 52.71% 64,438 46.02% 1,785 1.27% 9,370 6.69% 140,031
Bergen 285,967 57.44% 204,417 41.06% 7,454 1.50% 81,550 16.38% 497,838
Burlington 154,595 58.86% 103,345 39.35% 4,710 1.79% 51,250 19.51% 262,650
Camden 175,065 65.91% 86,207 32.46% 4,327 1.63% 88,858 33.45% 265,599
Cape May 23,941 41.33% 33,158 57.24% 834 1.43% -9,217 -15.91% 57,933
Cumberland 32,742 52.32% 28,952 46.27% 881 1.41% 3,790 6.05% 62,575
Essex 266,820 77.07% 75,475 21.80% 3,892 1.13% 191,345 55.27% 346,187
Gloucester 86,702 49.99% 83,340 48.05% 3,411 1.96% 3,362 1.94% 173,453
Hudson 181,452 72.45% 65,698 26.23% 3,308 1.32% 115,754 46.22% 250,458
Hunterdon 39,457 46.60% 43,153 50.96% 2,063 2.44% -3,696 -4.36% 84,673
Mercer 122,532 69.14% 51,641 29.14% 3,050 1.72% 70,891 40.00% 177,223
Middlesex 226,250 60.22% 143,467 38.19% 5,975 1.59% 82,783 22.03% 375,692
Monmouth 181,291 47.91% 191,808 50.69% 5,291 1.40% -10,517 -2.78% 378,390
Morris 153,881 51.14% 141,134 46.90% 5,902 1.96% 12,747 4.24% 300,917
Ocean 119,456 34.85% 217,740 63.53% 5,550 1.62% -98,274 -28.68% 342,746
Passaic 129,097 57.55% 92,009 41.02% 3,224 1.43% 37,088 16.53% 224,330
Salem 14,479 42.53% 18,827 55.31% 736 2.16% -4,348 -12.78% 34,042
Somerset 111,173 59.49% 71,996 38.52% 3,722 1.99% 39,177 20.97% 186,891
Sussex 34,481 39.03% 51,701 58.52% 2,173 2.45% -17,220 -19.49% 88,355
Union 170,310 67.01% 80,038 31.49% 3,794 1.50% 90,272 35.52% 254,142
Warren 24,901 40.78% 34,769 56.95% 1,387 2.27% -9,868 -16.17% 61,057
Totals 2,608,400 57.14% 1,883,313 41.25% 73,469 1.61% 725,087 15.89% 4,565,182

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Biden won 9 out of the 12 congressional districts in New Jersey. Trump won 3, including one that elected a Democrat.[57]

District Biden Trump Representative
1st 62.1% 36.6% Donald Norcross
2nd 47.9% 50.8% Jeff Van Drew
3rd 49.2% 49.4% Andy Kim
4th 44.1% 54.6% Chris Smith
5th 51.9% 46.7% Josh Gottheimer
6th 57.2% 41.5% Frank Pallone Jr.
7th 54.2% 44.3% Tom Malinowski
8th 71.8% 27.2% Albio Sires
9th 62.2% 36.8% Bill Pascrell
10th 84.2% 15.0% Donald Payne Jr.
11th 52.7% 46.0% Mikie Sherrill
12th 67.3% 31.4% Bonnie Watson Coleman

[58]

Analysis

[edit]

As the polls predicted, Joe Biden won New Jersey by a wide margin. Biden ran up huge margins in the state's major cities such as Newark, Jersey City, Paterson, Trenton, Atlantic City, Camden, and several others. In addition to carrying all the counties that Clinton won in 2016, Biden flipped Gloucester County, which was a reliably blue county before Trump won it in 2016. Biden also won Morris County, which had never voted Democratic in any presidential race since 1964; Senator Cory Booker concurrently won Morris County in his reelection victory as well. In neighboring Hunterdon County, Biden came within 4.4 points of victory despite the county being a reliably Republican stronghold as well. Biden recorded the highest share of the vote in Sussex and Hunterdon Counties for a Democrat since 1964, the last time either county voted Democratic.

Trump, meanwhile, performed strongly in Ocean County, which is reliably red. He also did well in Sussex and Warren counties, two northern rural counties that have not voted Democratic since 1964. Salem County, which Trump flipped in 2016, remained in his column and he also narrowly held on to Monmouth County, which has not voted Democratic since 2000 but where the margins have always been somewhat close. He also improved in the urban counties of Essex and Hudson, due to noticeable improvements in several of those counties' most populated cities, such as Jersey City and Newark.[59]

Ultimately, Trump carried 255 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities, less than the 307 he carried in 2016, with Biden carrying the other 310. Compared to their 2016 margins, 471 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities swung towards Biden in this election. However, Trump was able to improve significantly upon his 2016 margins in many of New Jersey's most heavily populated cities, which kept the statewide margin within 2% of the 2016 results. For example, in New Jersey's most populated city, Newark, Trump nearly doubled his 2016 share of the vote, going from 6.63% to 12.25% of the vote.[59] This was the best Republican performance in Newark since George W. Bush received 12.8% of the vote in 2004.[60] Other populated cities, such as Paterson and Camden, posted similarly notable shifts towards the GOP, with much of the rest of the state shifting towards the Democrats instead.

Voter demographics

[edit]
2020 presidential election in New Jersey voter demographics[61]
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump % of
total vote
Total vote 57 41 100
Ideology
Liberals 92 7 34
Moderates 63 35 35
Conservatives 11 88 31
Party (including leaners)
Democrat or lean democrat 95 4 53
Republican or lean republican 10 89 42
Independent 55 41 5
Gender
Men 49 49 47
Women 64 35 53
Marital status
Married 54 44 61
Never married 68 30 23
Gender by marital status
Married men 47 49 29
Married women 58 41 31
Unmarried men - - 15
Unmarried women 68 31 25
Race/ethnicity
White 50 49 71
Black 86 12 11
Latino 72 27 11
Asian 76 23 3
Other - - 3
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men 42 56 33
White women 56 44 38
Black men - - 4
Black women - - 7
Latino men - - 6
Latina women - - 6
Other 66 32 7
Religion
Protestant/Other Christian 56 42 28
Catholic 47 52 39
Jewish 70 30 8
Other religion 67 32 7
None 73 25 17
White evangelical or born-again Christian
Yes - - 9
No 59 40 91
Age
18–24 years old 59 40 6
25–29 years old 66 32 4
30–39 years old 66 33 15
40–49 years old 57 41 14
50–64 years old 54 44 32
65 and older 54 46 28
Age by race
White 18–29 years old 57 42 7
White 30–44 years old 53 46 14
White 45–64 years old 47 52 28
White 65 and older 47 52 22
Nonwhite 18–29 years old 69 29 4
Nonwhite 30–44 years old 79 19 8
Nonwhite 45–64 years old 75 24 11
Nonwhite 65 and older - - 6
Sexual orientation
LGBT - - 6
Non-LGBT 57 42 94
Education
High school or less 54 44 25
Some college education or Associate degree 51 47 27
College graduate 63 36 30
Postgraduate degree 60 39 18
Education by race
White college graduates 57 42 35
White no college degree 42 56 35
Black college graduates - - 4
Black no college degree - - 7
Latino college graduates - - 4
Latino no college degree 69 29 7
All others 66 32 7
Education by race/gender
White women with college degrees 65 34 17
White women without college degrees 47 52 20
White men with college degrees 49 50 18
White men without college degrees 35 63 15
Nonwhite women with college degrees 84 15 7
Nonwhite women without college degrees 83 15 9
Nonwhite men with college degrees 68 30 6
Nonwhite men without college degrees 66 32 8
Income
Under $50,000 63 36 26
$50,000–99,999 55 44 37
$100,000 or more 55 43 37
Military service
Veterans - - 9
Veteran in household - - 14
Non-veterans 63 37 77
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 80 20 9
COVID-19 pandemic 75 24 43
Economy 20 78 26
Crime and safety - - 4
Health care 79 19 10
Climate change 91 9 3
Area type
Urban 67 31 15
Suburban 59 40 62
Small town 48 51 15
Rural 44 56 8
Family's financial situation today
Getting ahead - - 13
Falling behind 66 34 17
Holding steady 57 43 70
Abortion should be
Legal in all/most cases 70 29 71
Illegal in all/most cases 25 72 28
Climate change is a serious problem
Yes 77 22 75
No 11 89 25

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ This primary was conducted under a system in which each person could cast a vote for more than one candidate, therefore percentages reflect the percentage of voters that approved of each candidate, and as a result do not add up to 100%.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ^ "Neither" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  7. ^ a b "Another candidate or unsure" with 10%
  8. ^ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  11. ^ "Another candidate or unsure" with 15%
  12. ^ "For another candidate" with 7%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  14. ^ "Neither" with 4%; "someone else" with 1%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "New Jersey Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  4. ^ Mehta, Dhrumil (September 18, 2020). "How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. ^ "QuickFacts New Jersey". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved May 21, 2021.
  6. ^ Homan, Timothy R. (November 11, 2020). "On The Trail: Biden wins America's economic engines". The Hill. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  7. ^ "Salem County General Election Results: Presidential (2016)" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  8. ^ "General Election Results Salem County: Presidential (2012)" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  9. ^ "General Election Presidential Results: Salem County (2008)" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  10. ^ "Salem County Presidential Results (2004)" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  11. ^ "Official General Election Results: President (2000)" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  12. ^ "General Election Results: President (1992)" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 20, 2020.
  13. ^ [7][8][9][10][11][12]
  14. ^ "These 53 N.J. Towns flipped from Trump to Biden in 2020". MSN. Archived from the original on August 1, 2021. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  15. ^ "New Jersey moves primary elections to July". The Hill. April 8, 2020.
  16. ^ "N.J.'s July 7 primary election will be mostly vote-by-mail during coronavirus pandemic, Murphy says". May 15, 2020.
  17. ^ "Trump, Biden (no surprise) prevail in N.J.'s presidential primary". NJ.com. July 7, 2020.
  18. ^ "New Jersey Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  19. ^ "Official Election Results -AMENDED-: Candidates for Democratic District Delegates/Alternate District Delegates For- July 7, 2020- PRIMARY ELECTION" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved September 20, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New Jersey Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Convention - [Part 1] Public Office Voting Results". Twitter. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  23. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  24. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  26. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  27. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  28. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  29. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  30. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  31. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  32. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  33. ^ "Final NPR Electoral Map: Biden Has The Edge, But Trump Retains Narrow Path". NPR. Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  34. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  35. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  36. ^ "2020 Battleground Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  37. ^ 270 to Win
  38. ^ Real Clear Politics
  39. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  40. ^ a b c d e f SurveyMonkey/Axios
  41. ^ Research Co.
  42. ^ Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  43. ^ Swayable
  44. ^ Rutgers-Eagleton
  45. ^ Stockton College
  46. ^ DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler
  47. ^ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  48. ^ DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler
  49. ^ Emerson College
  50. ^ DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler
  51. ^ Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler
  52. ^ Quinnipiac
  53. ^ Rutgers-Eagleton
  54. ^ Monmouth University
  55. ^ a b c d e f Fairleigh Dickinson University
  56. ^ "Official General Election Results: U.S. President" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved December 7, 2020.
  57. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 10, 2021.
  58. ^ "New Jersey Department of State - Division of Elections".
  59. ^ a b "NJ DOS - Division of Elections - 2020 Election Information".
  60. ^ "2004 Presidential Election - Essex County" (PDF).
  61. ^ "New Jersey Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
  62. ^ "Covered Areas for Voting Rights Bilingual Election Materials—2015", Voting Rights Act Amendments of 2006, Determinations Under Section 203, Federal Register, December 5, 2016, retrieved October 13, 2020, A Notice by the Census Bureau on 12/05/2016

Further reading

[edit]
[edit]
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