2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut
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Reporting | as of Nov 14,2:59 PM EST | ||||||||||||||||
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Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Corey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Connecticut |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Connecticut. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[1] Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Chris Murphy was re-elected in a landslide with 59.5% of the vote in 2018. Murphy faced a rematch with his 2018 opponent Matthew Corey.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Chris Murphy, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Endorsements
[edit]Chris Murphy
- U.S representatives
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[3]
- Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[4]
- Giffords[3]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[5]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[6]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[7]
- J Street PAC[8]
- League of Conservation Voters[9]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[10]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[11]
- Population Connection Action Fund[12]
- Sierra Club[13]
- Political parties
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Chris Murphy (D) | $13,279,807 | $8,327,715 | $9,736,809 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[15] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Murphy (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | — | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Gerry Smith, first selectman[a] of Beacon Falls[17]
Endorsements
[edit]Matthew Corey
- Organizations
- Connecticut Republican Assembly[18]
Gerry Smith
- Political Parties
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Matthew Corey (R) | $30,770[b] | $19,926 | $28,212 |
Robert Hyde (R) | $743 | $696 | $47 |
Gerry Smith (R) | $61,506 | $55,895 | $5,611 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[15] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matthew Corey | 19,228 | 54.74% | |
Republican | Gerry Smith | 15,900 | 45.26% | |
Total votes | 35,128 | 100.00% |
Green primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Justin Paglino, co-chair of the Connecticut Green Party and nominee for Connecticut's 3rd congressional district in 2020 and 2022[20]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
Elections Daily[25] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[26] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
RealClearPolitics[27] | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
Split Ticket[28] | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
538[29] | Solid D | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Chris Murphy (D) | Matthew Corey (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassINC Polling Group[A] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 35% | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Murphy | ||||
Working Families | Chris Murphy | ||||
Total | Chris Murphy (incumbent) | 1,002,956 | 58.6 | ||
Republican | Matthew Corey | 679,763 | 39.7 | ||
Green | Justin Paglino | 14,907 | 0.9 | ||
Cheaper Gas Groceries | Robert F. Hyde | 14,458 | 0.8 | ||
Write-in | |||||
Total votes | 1,712,084 | 100 |
By congressional district
[edit]Murphy won all 5 congressional districts.[30]
District | Murphy | Corey | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 63% | 36% | John B. Larson |
2nd | 56% | 43% | Joe Courtney |
3rd | 59% | 39% | Rosa DeLauro |
4th | 61% | 37% | Jim Himes |
5th | 55% | 44% | Jahana Hayes |
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has "no plans other than to run for reelection."
- ^ a b "Senator Chris Murphy Endorsed for Reelection to US Senate". Giffords. December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "Chris Murphy". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ Dixon, Ken. "CT Democrats unanimously back Chris Murphy for 3rd term in US Senate". CT Insider. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Connecticut". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ Flynn, Jim (May 14, 2024). "Corey plans to pursue primary against Smith for GOP Senate nomination". Republican-American. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (February 6, 2024). "GOP's Gerry Smith opens uphill race against Sen. Chris Murphy". CT Mirror. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
- ^ Staff, CT Centinal (July 31, 2024). "Connecticut Republican Assembly Endorses Matt Corey For U.S. Senate". Connecticut Centinal. Retrieved August 2, 2024.
CT Republican Assembly delegates voted to endorse Matt Corey.
- ^ Scott-Smith, Brian (May 14, 2024). "Connecticut Republicans Nominate Gerry Smith But Face An August Primary". CT News Junkie. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
The Connecticut Republican Party nominated Beacon Falls First Selectman Gerry Smith to challenge US Sen. Chris Murphy for his seat in November on Monday at the party's convention at Central Connecticut State University.
- ^ Willow Evans, Jordan (December 13, 2023). "Colorado's Longmont Green Party to Host Virtual Forum for National Candidates". Independent Political Report. Retrieved December 17, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ https://x.com/TheDrewSav/status/1856453977032011829
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites