2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut

2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut
	; Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Corey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
U.S. senator before election; Chris Murphy; Democratic	Elected U.S. Senator ; Chris Murphy; Democratic

The 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Connecticut. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.^[1] Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Murphy won re-election to a third term with 58.58% of the vote in a rematch with his 2018 opponent Matthew Corey. This was the first Senate election that Murphy did not carry Windham County.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Chris Murphy, incumbent U.S. senator^[2]

Endorsements

Chris Murphy

U.S representatives

Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)^[3]

Organizations

Political parties

Connecticut Democratic Party^[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Chris Murphy (D)	$13,279,807	$8,327,715	$9,736,809
Source: Federal Election Commission^[15]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Murphy (incumbent)	Unopposed
Total votes			—	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Matthew Corey, bar owner, perennial candidate, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018^[16]

Eliminated in primary

Gerry Smith, first selectman^[a] of Beacon Falls^[17]

Endorsements

Matthew Corey

Organizations

Connecticut Republican Assembly^[18]

Gerry Smith

Political Parties

Connecticut Republican Party^[19]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Matthew Corey (R)	$30,770^[b]	$19,926	$28,212
Robert Hyde (R)	$743	$696	$47
Gerry Smith (R)	$61,506	$55,895	$5,611
Source: Federal Election Commission^[15]

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matthew Corey	19,228	54.74%
	Republican	Gerry Smith	15,900	45.26%
Total votes			35,128	100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

Justin Paglino, co-chair of the Connecticut Green Party and nominee for Connecticut's 3rd congressional district in 2020 and 2022^[20]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[21]	Solid D	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections^[22]	Solid D	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[23]	Safe D	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill^[24]	Safe D	June 8, 2024
Elections Daily^[25]	Safe D	May 4, 2023
CNalysis^[26]	Solid D	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics^[27]	Solid D	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket^[28]	Safe D	October 23, 2024
538^[29]	Solid D	October 23, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[c]	Margin of error	Chris Murphy (D)	Matthew Corey (R)	Undecided
MassINC Polling Group^[30]^[A]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	35%	–

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut^[31]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Chris Murphy	953,646	55.83	0.97
	Working Families	Chris Murphy	47,049	2.75	0.02
	Total	Chris Murphy (incumbent)	1,000,695	58.58	0.95
	Republican	Matthew Corey	678,256	39.70	0.35
	Cheaper Gas Groceries	Robert F. Hyde	14,879	0.87	N/A
	Green	Justin Paglino	14,422	0.84	0.36
	Write-in		7	0.00
Total votes			1,708,259	100.00	N/A
	Democratic hold

By congressional district

Murphy won all 5 congressional districts.^[32]

District	Murphy	Corey	Representative
1st	63%	36%	John B. Larson
2nd	56%	43%	Joe Courtney
3rd	59%	39%	Rosa DeLauro
4th	61%	37%	Jim Himes
5th	55%	44%	Jahana Hayes

Notes

^ Mayor
^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Corey
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

Partisan clients

^ Poll sponsored by CT Mirror

References

^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
^ Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has "no plans other than to run for reelection."
^ ^a ^b "Senator Chris Murphy Endorsed for Reelection to US Senate". Giffords. December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
^ "Chris Murphy". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
^ Dixon, Ken. "CT Democrats unanimously back Chris Murphy for 3rd term in US Senate". CT Insider. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Election United States Senate - Connecticut". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
^ Flynn, Jim (May 14, 2024). "Corey plans to pursue primary against Smith for GOP Senate nomination". Republican-American. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
^ Pazniokas, Mark (February 6, 2024). "GOP's Gerry Smith opens uphill race against Sen. Chris Murphy". CT Mirror. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
^ Staff, CT Centinal (July 31, 2024). "Connecticut Republican Assembly Endorses Matt Corey For U.S. Senate". Connecticut Centinal. Retrieved August 2, 2024. CT Republican Assembly delegates voted to endorse Matt Corey.
^ Scott-Smith, Brian (May 14, 2024). "Connecticut Republicans Nominate Gerry Smith But Face An August Primary". CT News Junkie. Retrieved June 24, 2024. The Connecticut Republican Party nominated Beacon Falls First Selectman Gerry Smith to challenge US Sen. Chris Murphy for his seat in November on Monday at the party's convention at Central Connecticut State University.
^ Willow Evans, Jordan (December 13, 2023). "Colorado's Longmont Green Party to Host Virtual Forum for National Candidates". Independent Political Report. Retrieved December 17, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
^ MassINC Polling Group
^ "Election Night Reporting". Secretary of State of Connecticut. November 5, 2024. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
^ https://x.com/TheDrewSav/status/1856453977032011829

External links

Official campaign websites

[17] Mayor

[21] $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Corey

[Key-32] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[CM-34] Poll sponsored by CT Mirror

[1] "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.

[2] Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has "no plans other than to run for reelection."

[gifchris-3] "Senator Chris Murphy Endorsed for Reelection to US Senate". Giffords. December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.

[femmajorityendorse-4] "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.

[HSLF-5] "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.

[jdjoshendorse-6] "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.

[JACPA-7] "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.

[8] "Chris Murphy". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.

[9] "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.

[10] Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.

[PPAF-11] "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.

[pop-12] "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.

[Sierra_Club_2024_endorsements-13] "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved February 22, 2024.

[14] Dixon, Ken. "CT Democrats unanimously back Chris Murphy for 3rd term in US Senate". CT Insider. Retrieved May 13, 2024.

[FEC-15] "2024 Election United States Senate - Connecticut". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.

[16] Flynn, Jim (May 14, 2024). "Corey plans to pursue primary against Smith for GOP Senate nomination". Republican-American. Retrieved June 24, 2024.

[18] Pazniokas, Mark (February 6, 2024). "GOP's Gerry Smith opens uphill race against Sen. Chris Murphy". CT Mirror. Retrieved February 16, 2024.

[19] Staff, CT Centinal (July 31, 2024). "Connecticut Republican Assembly Endorses Matt Corey For U.S. Senate". Connecticut Centinal. Retrieved August 2, 2024. CT Republican Assembly delegates voted to endorse Matt Corey.

[20] Scott-Smith, Brian (May 14, 2024). "Connecticut Republicans Nominate Gerry Smith But Face An August Primary". CT News Junkie. Retrieved June 24, 2024. The Connecticut Republican Party nominated Beacon Falls First Selectman Gerry Smith to challenge US Sen. Chris Murphy for his seat in November on Monday at the party's convention at Central Connecticut State University.

[22] Willow Evans, Jordan (December 13, 2023). "Colorado's Longmont Green Party to Host Virtual Forum for National Candidates". Independent Political Report. Retrieved December 17, 2023.

[23] "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.

[Inside_Elections-24] "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-25] "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.

[26] "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.

[27] "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.

[28] "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.

[29] "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.

[30] "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.

[31] "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.

[33] MassINC Polling Group

[35] "Election Night Reporting". Secretary of State of Connecticut. November 5, 2024. Retrieved December 10, 2024.

[36] ttps://x.com/TheDrewSav/status/1856453977032011829

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