2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut

2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Reporting
98.83%
as of Nov 14,2:59 PM EST
 
Nominee Chris Murphy Matthew Corey
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,002,956 679,763
Percentage 58.6% 39.6%


Murphy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Corey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chris Murphy
Democratic

The 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Connecticut. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[1] Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Chris Murphy was re-elected in a landslide with 59.5% of the vote in 2018. Murphy faced a rematch with his 2018 opponent Matthew Corey.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Murphy (D) $13,279,807 $8,327,715 $9,736,809
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Murphy (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Matthew Corey, bar owner, perennial candidate, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[16]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matthew Corey
Organizations
Gerry Smith

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matthew Corey (R) $30,770[b] $19,926 $28,212
Robert Hyde (R) $743 $696 $47
Gerry Smith (R) $61,506 $55,895 $5,611
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

[edit]
Results by municipality:
  Corey—80–90%
  Corey—70–80%
  Corey—60–70%
  Corey—50–60%
  Tied
  Smith—50–60%
  Smith—60–70%
  Smith—70–80%
  Smith—80–90%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matthew Corey 19,228 54.74%
Republican Gerry Smith 15,900 45.26%
Total votes 35,128 100.00%

Green primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[22] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[25] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[26] Solid D November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[27] Solid D August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[28] Safe D October 23, 2024
538[29] Solid D October 23, 2024

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Chris
Murphy (D)
Matthew
Corey (R)
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[A] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 51% 35%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chris Murphy
Working Families Chris Murphy
Total Chris Murphy (incumbent) 1,002,956 58.6
Republican Matthew Corey 679,763 39.7
Green Justin Paglino 14,907 0.9
Cheaper Gas Groceries Robert F. Hyde 14,458 0.8
Write-in
Total votes 1,712,084 100

By congressional district

[edit]

Murphy won all 5 congressional districts.[30]

District Murphy Corey Representative
1st 63% 36% John B. Larson
2nd 56% 43% Joe Courtney
3rd 59% 39% Rosa DeLauro
4th 61% 37% Jim Himes
5th 55% 44% Jahana Hayes

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Mayor
  2. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Corey
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by CT Mirror

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has "no plans other than to run for reelection."
  3. ^ a b "Senator Chris Murphy Endorsed for Reelection to US Senate". Giffords. December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  4. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  6. ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  7. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  8. ^ "Chris Murphy". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  9. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  10. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  11. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  12. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  13. ^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
  14. ^ Dixon, Ken. "CT Democrats unanimously back Chris Murphy for 3rd term in US Senate". CT Insider. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  15. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Connecticut". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  16. ^ Flynn, Jim (May 14, 2024). "Corey plans to pursue primary against Smith for GOP Senate nomination". Republican-American. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  17. ^ Pazniokas, Mark (February 6, 2024). "GOP's Gerry Smith opens uphill race against Sen. Chris Murphy". CT Mirror. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  18. ^ Staff, CT Centinal (July 31, 2024). "Connecticut Republican Assembly Endorses Matt Corey For U.S. Senate". Connecticut Centinal. Retrieved August 2, 2024. CT Republican Assembly delegates voted to endorse Matt Corey.
  19. ^ Scott-Smith, Brian (May 14, 2024). "Connecticut Republicans Nominate Gerry Smith But Face An August Primary". CT News Junkie. Retrieved June 24, 2024. The Connecticut Republican Party nominated Beacon Falls First Selectman Gerry Smith to challenge US Sen. Chris Murphy for his seat in November on Monday at the party's convention at Central Connecticut State University.
  20. ^ Willow Evans, Jordan (December 13, 2023). "Colorado's Longmont Green Party to Host Virtual Forum for National Candidates". Independent Political Report. Retrieved December 17, 2023.
  21. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  22. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  23. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  24. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  25. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  26. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  27. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  28. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  29. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  30. ^ https://x.com/TheDrewSav/status/1856453977032011829
[edit]
Official campaign websites