2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin
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All 8 Wisconsin seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Wisconsin |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Wisconsin Partisan Primary was held on August 14, 2018, with the governor, U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative, odd-numbered Wisconsin State Senate seats, and all Wisconsin Assembly seats on the ballot.[1]
Wisconsin was notable for being the only state in which the party that won the popular vote still held a minority of congressional seats in 2018. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel attributed this to the impact of gerrymandering imposed by the Republican-controlled Wisconsin Legislature in 2011.[2]
Results summary
[edit]Statewide
[edit]Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic Party | 8 | 1,367,492 | 53.18% | 3 | 37.50% | ||
Republican Party | 7 | 1,172,964 | 45.61% | 5 | 62.50% | ||
Independent | 3 | 21,592 | 0.84% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 6 | 49 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Scattering | 9,558 | 0.37% | 0 | 0.00% | |||
Total | 24 | 2,571,655 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
District
[edit]Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin by district:[3]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 137,508 | 42.27% | 177,492 | 54.56% | 10,317 | 3.17% | 325,317 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
District 2 | 309,116 | 97.42% | 0 | 0.00% | 8,179 | 2.58% | 317,295 | 100.00% | Democratic Hold |
District 3 | 187,888 | 59.65% | 126,980 | 40.31% | 121 | 0.04% | 314,989 | 100.00% | Democratic Hold |
District 4 | 206,487 | 75.61% | 59,091 | 21.64% | 7,509 | 2.75% | 273,087 | 100.00% | Democratic Hold |
District 5 | 138,385 | 37.99% | 225,619 | 61.93% | 284 | 0.08% | 364,288 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
District 6 | 144,536 | 44.46% | 180,311 | 55.47% | 218 | 0.07% | 325,065 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
District 7 | 124,307 | 38.50% | 194,061 | 60.11% | 4,472 | 1.39% | 322,840 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
District 8 | 119,265 | 36.28% | 209,410 | 63.69% | 99 | 0.03% | 328,774 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
Total | 1,367,492 | 53.18% | 1,172,964 | 45.61% | 31,199 | 1.21% | 2,571,655 | 100.00% |
District 1
[edit]
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The 1st congressional district is located in southeastern Wisconsin, covering Kenosha County, Racine County and most of Walworth County, as well as portions of Rock County, Waukesha County and Milwaukee County. Incumbent Republican Paul Ryan, Speaker of the House and Republican nominee for Vice President in the 2012 who had represented the district since 1999, did not run for re-election. He was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Republican primary
[edit]Ryan could potentially have seen a close race; in hypothetical polling, his main Democratic challenger, Randy Bryce, was behind Ryan by only seven points. Ryan was also facing challenges in the Republican primary from Paul Nehlen, who also challenged Ryan in 2016, and from Nick Polce. Ryan announced on April 11, 2018, that he is not seeking re-election.[4][5][6] On April 22, Bryan Steil, member of the University of Wisconsin Board of Regents and former personal driver to Ryan, announced his bid for the seat, with news outlets reporting Steil as the Republican Party nominee front-runner.[7][8]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bryan Steil, University of Wisconsin Board of Regents member[9][10][7]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Paul Nehlen, businessman and white nationalist[11][12][13][14]
- Nick Polce, businessman and former Green Beret[15][16][17]
- Jeremy Ryan, activist[18][19]
- Kevin Adam Steen, applications engineer[18]
Withdrew
[edit]- Brad Boivin, psychologist[20] (endorsed Steil)[21]
- Jeff Wamboldt, county supervisor and police officer[22][23]
Declined
[edit]- Tyler August, Speaker Pro-Tempore of the Wisconsin State Assembly[9][24]
- Dave Craig, State Senator[9][25]
- Samantha Kerkman, Member of the Wisconsin State Assembly[9][26]
- Steve Nass, state senator[9]
- Mark Neumann, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1998[27]
- Reince Priebus, former White House Chief of Staff, former chairman of the Republican National Committee and former chairman of the Republican Party of Wisconsin[9]
- Paul Ryan, incumbent U.S. Representative and 54th Speaker of the House[4][5][6]
- Robin Vos, Speaker of the Wisconsin State Assembly[9]
- Van Wanggaard, state senator[9]
Endorsements
[edit]Individuals
- David Duke, white nationalist, conspiracy theorist, former Ku Klux Klan Grand Wizard, and former Louisiana State Representative[28]
U.S. Representatives
- Sean Duffy, U.S. Representative (WI-07)[29]
- Glenn Grothman, U.S. Representative (WI-06)[29]
- Paul Ryan, House Speaker[30]
- Jim Sensenbrenner, U.S. Representative (WI-05)[29]
Statewide officials
State legislators
- Tyler August, Assembly Speaker Pro Tempore[32]
- Scott Fitzgerald, Senate Majority Leader[32]
- Mike Kuglitsch, state representative[32]
- Amy Loudenbeck, state representative[32]
- Steve Nass, state senator[32]
- Jessie Rodriguez, state representative[32]
- Ken Skowronski, state representative[32]
- Robin Vos, Assembly Speaker[32]
- Tom Weatherston, state representative[32]
Organizations
- Wisconsin Right to Life[33]
- Waukesha Young Republicans[34]
Newspapers
Local officials
- Jonathan Delagrave, Racine County Executive[36]
- Paul Farrow, Waukesha County Executive[36]
Individuals
- James Bryce, Democratic candidate Randy Bryce's brother[37]
- Reince Priebus, former White House Chief of Staff[38]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bryan Steil | 30,883 | 51.6 | |
Republican | Nick Polce | 8,945 | 14.9 | |
Republican | Paul Nehlen | 6,635 | 11.1 | |
Republican | Kevin Adam Steen | 6,262 | 10.5 | |
Republican | Jeremy Ryan | 6,221 | 10.4 | |
Republican | Brad Boivin | 924 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 59,870 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Two Democrats announced; ironworker Randy Bryce and Janesville school board member Cathy Myers.
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Randy Bryce, Ironworker, union activist[40]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Cathy Myers, Janesville School Board member (endorsed Randy Bryce)[41][42]
Withdrawn
[edit]- David Yankovich, political writer
Declined
[edit]- Peter Barca, member of the Wisconsin State Assembly and former U.S. Representative[43]
- Ryan Solen, Democratic Party of Wisconsin Veteran's Caucus Secretary/Treasurer and nominee for this seat in 2016[44]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives from Wisconsin[46]
- Gwen Moore, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 4th congressional district
- Dave Obey, former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district
U.S. Representatives outside of Wisconsin
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 7th congressional district
- Joe Kennedy, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 4th congressional district
- Barbara Lee, U.S. Representative from California's 13th congressional district
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative from California's 33rd congressional district
- Jan Schakowsky, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 9th congressional district
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative from California's 28th congressional district
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative from California's 41st congressional district
Wisconsin State Senators
- Tim Carpenter, Senate District 3
- Chris Larson, Senate District 7
- Robert Wirch, Senate District 22
Wisconsin State Representatives
- Mandela Barnes, (former) Assembly District 11
- Jonathan Brostoff, Assembly District 19
- David Crowley, Assembly District 17
- Evan Goyke, Assembly District 18
- Greta Neubauer, Assembly District 66
- Tod Ohnstad, Assembly District 65
- Daniel Riemer, Assembly District 7
- Christine Sinicki, Assembly District 20
- Robert Turner, (former) Assembly District 61
- JoCasta Zamarripa, Assembly District 8
Labor unions
- American Federation of State County and Municipal Employees
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers
- National Nurses United
- Wisconsin State Association of Letter Carriers
- Service Employees International Union
- United Auto Workers
- United Food and Commercial Workers
Organizations
- Blue America
- Common Defense
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
- Democracy for America
- End Citizens United
- Justice Democrats[47]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- Social Security Works
- VoteVets
- Working Families Party
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Randy Bryce | Cathy Myers | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington (R-CLF)[48] | July 8–9, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 3.1% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Randy Bryce | 36,397 | 59.6 | |
Democratic | Cathy Myers | 24,690 | 40.4 | |
Total votes | 61,087 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[49]
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[50]
U.S. Representatives
- Sean Duffy, U.S. Representative (WI-07)[29]
- Glenn Grothman, U.S. Representative (WI-06)[29]
- Paul Ryan, House Speaker[30]
- Jim Sensenbrenner, U.S. Representative (WI-05)[29]
Statewide officials
State legislators
- Tyler August, Assembly Speaker Pro Tempore[32]
- Scott Fitzgerald, Senate Majority Leader[32]
- Mike Kuglitsch, state representative[32]
- Amy Loudenbeck, state representative[32]
- Steve Nass, state senator[32]
- Jessie Rodriguez, state representative[32]
- Ken Skowronski, state representative[32]
- Robin Vos, Assembly Speaker[32]
- Tom Weatherston, state representative[32]
Organizations
- Kenosha Professional Police Association[51]
- National Federation of Independent Business[52]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[53]
- Waukesha Young Republicans[34]
- Wisconsin Right to Life[33]
Local officials
- David Beth, Kenosha County Sheriff[54]
- Jonathan Delagrave, Racine County Executive[36]
- Paul Farrow, Waukesha County Executive[36]
- Kurt Picknell, Walworth County Sheriff[54]
- Christopher Schmaling, Racine County Sheriff[54]
- Richard Schmidt, Milwaukee County Sheriff (Democrat)[54]
- Eric Severson, Waukesha County Sheriff[54]
- Robert Spoden, Rock County Sheriff (Democrat)[54]
Individuals
- James Bryce, Democratic candidate Randy Bryce's brother[37]
- Reince Priebus, former White House Chief of Staff[38]
- Kevin Adam Steen, former congressional candidate[55]
Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[56]
U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont and 2016 presidential candidate[45]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts
U.S. Representatives from Wisconsin[46]
- Gwen Moore, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 4th congressional district
- Dave Obey, former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district
U.S. Representatives outside of Wisconsin
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 7th congressional district
- Joe Kennedy, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 4th congressional district
- Barbara Lee, U.S. Representative from California's 13th congressional district
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative from California's 33rd congressional district
- Jan Schakowsky, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 9th congressional district
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative from California's 28th congressional district
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative from California's 41st congressional district
Wisconsin State Senators
- Tim Carpenter, Senate District 3
- Chris Larson, Senate District 7
- Robert Wirch, Senate District 22
Wisconsin State Representatives
- Mandela Barnes, (former) Assembly District 11
- Jonathan Brostoff, Assembly District 19
- David Crowley, Assembly District 17
- Evan Goyke, Assembly District 18
- Greta Neubauer, Assembly District 66
- Tod Ohnstad, Assembly District 65
- Daniel Riemer, Assembly District 7
- Christine Sinicki, Assembly District 20
- Robert Turner, (former) Assembly District 61
- JoCasta Zamarripa, Assembly District 8
Labor unions
- American Federation of State County and Municipal Employees
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers
- National Nurses United
- Service Employees International Union
- United Auto Workers
- United Food and Commercial Workers
- Wisconsin State Association of Letter Carriers
Organizations
- Blue America
- Common Defence
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
- Democracy for America
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[57]
- End Citizens United
- Justice Democrats[47]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- Social Security Works
- VoteVets
- Working Families Party
Newspapers
Local officials
- Bill de Blasio, Mayor of New York City[59]
Individuals
- Cathy Myers, Janesville School Board member
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bryan Steil (R) | Randy Bryce (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D-Bryce)[60] | October 19–21, 2018 | 551 | – | 44% | 45% | – |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[61] | September 11–13, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce)[62] | September 4–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce)[63] | July 11–15, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 41% | — |
with Paul Ryan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Paul Ryan (R) | Randy Bryce (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[64] | November 9–10, 2017 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[65] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[66] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[68] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[69] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538[70] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[71] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[72] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bryan Steil | 177,492 | 54.6 | |
Democratic | Randy Bryce | 137,508 | 42.2 | |
Independent | Ken Yorgan | 10,006 | 3.1 | |
Independent | Joseph Kexel (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
Write-in | 304 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 325,317 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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The 2nd congressional district covers Dane County, Iowa County, Lafayette County, Sauk County and Green County, as well as portions of Richland County and Rock County. The district includes Madison, the state's capital, its suburbs and some of the surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+18.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mark Pocan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Pocan (incumbent) | 115,246 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 115,246 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]No Republicans filed
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Pocan (incumbent) | 309,116 | 97.4 | |
Republican | Joey Wayne Reed (write-in) | 29 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Rick Cruz (write-in) | 8 | 0.0 | |
Democratic | Bradley Jason Burt (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Write-in | 8,141 | 2.6 | ||
Total votes | 317,295 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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The 3rd congressional district covers much of the Driftless Area in southwestern and western Wisconsin; The district includes the cities of La Crosse and Eau Claire. It borders the states of Minnesota, Iowa, and Illinois. Incumbent Democrat Ron Kind, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 99% of the vote in 2014. The district had an EVEN PVI, indicating an almost equal support of Democrats and Republicans.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Juliet Germanotta, ordained minister[74]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron Kind (incumbent) | 59,643 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 59,643 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Steve Toft, retired Army Colonel[75]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Brandon Cook, small business owner[74]
- Alex Virijevich
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Toft | 35,768 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 35,768 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[66] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[68] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[69] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[70] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[71] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[72] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron Kind (incumbent) | 187,888 | 59.7 | |
Republican | Steve Toft | 126,980 | 40.3 | |
Write-in | 121 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 314,989 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
[edit]
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The 4th congressional district encompasses a part of Milwaukee County and including all of the city of Milwaukee and its working-class suburbs of Cudahy, St. Francis, South Milwaukee, and West Milwaukee. Recent redistricting has added the Milwaukee County North Shore communities of Glendale, Shorewood, Whitefish Bay, Fox Point, Bayside, and Brown Deer to the district. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+25.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Gwen Moore, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Gary George, former state senator, convicted felon and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gwen Moore (incumbent) | 76,971 | 89.0 | |
Democratic | Gary George | 9,466 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 86,437 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tim Rogers, deliveryman
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Cindy Werner, army veteran
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Rogers | 8,912 | 55.6 | |
Republican | Cindy Werner | 7,121 | 44.4 | |
Total votes | 16,033 | 100.0 |
Independent candidates
[edit]- Robert Raymond
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gwen Moore (incumbent) | 206,487 | 75.6 | |
Republican | Tim Rogers | 59,091 | 21.7 | |
Independent | Robert Raymond | 7,170 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 339 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 273,087 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
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The 5th congressional district covers all of Washington and Jefferson counties, some of Waukesha and Dodge counties, and portions of Milwaukee and Walworth counties. Incumbent Republican Jim Sensenbrenner, who had represented the district since 1979, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jim Sensenbrenner, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Sensenbrenner (incumbent) | 73,397 | 81.2 | |
Republican | Jennifer Hoppe Vipond | 17,010 | 18.8 | |
Total votes | 90,407 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tom Palzewicz, small businessman[78]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Palzewicz | 43,192 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 43,192 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Sensenbrenner (incumbent) | 225,619 | 61.9 | |
Democratic | Tom Palzewicz | 138,385 | 38.0 | |
Write-in | 283 | 0.1 | ||
Democratic | Ramon Garcia (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 364,288 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 6
[edit]
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The 6th congressional district is located in eastern Wisconsin, including the outer suburbs of Milwaukee, Madison, and Green Bay, it includes all or portions of the following counties: Adams, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Jefferson, Manitowoc, Marquette, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Waushara, and Winnebago. It also includes a small portion of far northern Milwaukee County around River Hills. Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Glenn Grothman, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Campbellsport)
Withdrawn
[edit]- Scott Olmer
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Glenn Grothman (incumbent) | 60,485 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 60,485 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dan Kohl, attorney, former Milwaukee Bucks executive[79]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Sarah Lloyd, farmer and nominee for this seat in 2016
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kohl | 41,862 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 41,862 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Glenn Grothman (R) | Dan Kohl (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns[80] | October 29 – November 3, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 61% | 33% | 6% |
Change Research (D)[81] | October 27–29, 2018 | 525 | – | 50% | 48% | – |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[65] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[66] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[68] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[69] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[70] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[71] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[72] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Glenn Grothman (incumbent) | 180,311 | 55.4 | |
Democratic | Dan Kohl | 144,536 | 44.5 | |
Write-in | 218 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 325,065 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
[edit]
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The 7th congressional district is located in northern and western Wisconsin, and is the largest congressional district in the state geographically, covering 20 counties (in whole or part), for a total of 18,787 sq mi. The district contains the following counties: Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark (partial), Douglas, Iron, Langlade (partial), Lincoln, Marathon, Oneida, Polk, Portage, Price, Rusk, St. Croix, Sawyer, Taylor, Washburn and Wood. Incumbent Republican Sean Duffy, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Sean Duffy, incumbent U.S. Representative[82]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sean Duffy (incumbent) | 60,708 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 60,708 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Margaret Ruth Engebretson, Polk County attorney[83]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Brian Ewert, doctor
Withdrawn
[edit]- David Beeksma
- Kyle Frenette
- Bob Look
- Dennis Frank Paulaha
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Margaret Ruth Engebretson | 27,179 | 57.3 | |
Democratic | Brian Ewert | 20,257 | 42.7 | |
Total votes | 47,436 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sean Duffy (incumbent) | 194,061 | 60.1 | |
Democratic | Margaret Engebretson | 124,307 | 38.5 | |
Independent | Ken Driessen | 4,416 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Bob Look (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Write-in | 53 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 322,840 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 8
[edit]
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The 8th congressional district includes Green Bay and Appleton. Incumbent Republican Mike Gallagher, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mike Gallagher, incumbent U.S. Representative[84]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Gallagher (incumbent) | 62,524 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 62,524 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Beau Liegeois, Brown County assistant district attorney[84]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Beau Liegeois | 38,450 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 38,450 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[66] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[68] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[69] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[70] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[71] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[72] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Gallagher (incumbent) | 209,410 | 63.7 | |
Democratic | Beau Liegeois | 119,265 | 36.3 | |
Write-in | 99 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 328,774 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
References
[edit]- ^ "2018 Partisan Primary | Wisconsin Elections Commission". jsonline.com. Archived from the original on March 29, 2019. Retrieved March 28, 2019.
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- ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
- ^ a b Mattingly, Phil; Vazquez, Maegan. "House Speaker Paul Ryan won't seek re-election". CNN. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
- ^ a b Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (April 11, 2018). "Speaker Paul Ryan Will Not Seek Re-election in November". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
- ^ a b Costa, Robert; Kim, Seung Min; Wagner, John (April 8, 2018). "House Speaker Paul Ryan will not seek reelection, he tells friends and colleagues". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
- ^ a b "Paul Ryan's Ex-Personal Driver Now Wants to Replace Him". Newser. April 22, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ "Bryan Steil becomes GOP front-runner to win Paul Ryan's seat". Wisconsin State Journal. April 22, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Schmidt, Rose (April 12, 2018). "Who will replace Paul Ryan: The potential and declared candidates running for his seat". WISC. Archived from the original on April 12, 2018. Retrieved April 12, 2018.
- ^ Torres, Ricardo. "Candidates focus campaigns after Ryan withdrawal". Journal Times. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ Weigel, David (December 27, 2017). "Ryan's 'pro-white' primary foe denounced by Breitbart after his anti-Semitic tweets". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved January 31, 2018.
- ^ Bowman, Bridget (June 16, 2017). "Paul Nehlen Launches 2nd Challenge Against Ryan". Roll Call. Retrieved June 16, 2017.
- ^ "A Republican candidate for Congress has openly embraced neo-Nazi meme culture". Newsweek. December 20, 2017. Archived from the original on December 26, 2017. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
- ^ Guttman, Nathan (December 26, 2017). "Paul Nehlen, Paul Ryan's 'Alt-Right' Opponent, Goes On 'Shekel-For-Hire' Rant". The Forward. Archived from the original on December 27, 2017. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
- ^ "Polce, Nick - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission.
- ^ Dent, David J. (December 20, 2017). "Inside the Desperate, Long-Shot Attempt to Bring Down Paul Ryan". Vice.
- ^ Ex-Green Beret runs for Congress, retrieved May 6, 2018
- ^ a b "Republican Field Grows In Race To Replace Ryan". Wisconsin Public Radio.
- ^ "Five Years After the Recalls, Whatever Happened to...Jeremy Ryan? - Media Trackers". Media Trackers. June 2, 2017. Archived from the original on July 19, 2018. Retrieved May 6, 2018.
- ^ "Wisconsin 2018 General Election". The Green Papers.
- ^ Schultz, Frank (July 2, 2018). "Boivin drops out, supports Steil in 1st District". GazetteXtra.
- ^ Smith, Deneen. "County supervisor, police officer Jeff Wamboldt to run for Ryan's seat". Kenosha News. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ Smith, Deneen. "Wamboldt drops out of congressional race". Kenosha News. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
- ^ Plutchak, Dan. "Lake Geneva assemblyman announces re-election bid, won't run for Ryan's seat". WKOW.com. Archived from the original on April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ "Wisconsin state Sen. Dave Craig won't run for Ryan's seat". ABC News. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ "Rep. Samantha Kerkman to seek re-election in Legislature; declines to run for Ryan seat". FOX6Now.com. April 16, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ Evans, Garrett (April 17, 2018). "Ryan's exit scrambles Wisconsin House race". The Hill. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ Duke, David [@DrDavidDuke] (January 29, 2018). "Dr. Duke and Candidate Paul Nehlen Expose the Zio Attack on Him & All of Us! God bless Mr. Nehlen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f "Speaker Ryan and WI Congressmen Back Bryan Steil". Steil for Wisconsin. June 18, 2018.
- ^ a b Spicuzza, Mary (June 18, 2018). "Speaker Paul Ryan endorses Bryan Steil in race for his seat". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ a b Tommy G. Thompson. "Proud to endorse @BryanSteilforWI". Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r "State Lawmakers Endorse Bryan Steil for Congress". Steil for Wisconsin. June 12, 2018.
- ^ a b "WRTL PAC Announces Third Round of Endorsements". Wisconsin Right to Life. July 20, 2018.
- ^ a b Bryan Steil. "Thank you for your endorsement, @WaukeshaYR! I'm honored to have your trust and confidence for our Republican Primary on August 14. #TeamSteil keeps growing!". Twitter.
- ^ "Steil stands out as top GOP candidate for Congress". Kenosha News. August 4, 2018.
- ^ a b c d "Delagrave, Farrow endorse Steil for Congress". Racine Journal Times. May 15, 2018.
- ^ a b Bice, Daniel (May 17, 2018). "Bice: Democratic candidate Randy Bryce's brother donates to opponent after considering his own run for same seat". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ a b "Reince Priebus Endorses Bryan Steil for Congress". Steil for Wisconsin. June 14, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "Wisconsin Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ^ Sommerhauser, Mark (June 19, 2017). "Racine-area ironworker, Democratic activist launches bid to unseat Paul Ryan". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved June 19, 2017.
- ^ Schultz, Frank (June 22, 2017). "Fellow Janesvillian wants to challenge Rep. Ryan". Janesville Gazette. Retrieved June 22, 2017.
- ^ "Cathy Myers on Twitter".
- ^ Torres, Ricardo (May 15, 2018). "State Rep. Peter Barca will not run for Congress". Racine Journal Times.
- ^ Justin Thompson-Gee (May 7, 2017). "Dem Ryan Solen won't run against Speaker Ryan next year". cbs58.com. WDJT. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ a b "Bernie Sanders endorses Randy Bryce in congressional bid against Paul Ryan".
- ^ a b "Endorsements". Archived from the original on April 12, 2018. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
- ^ a b "Justice Democrats -- Candidates". now.justicedemocrats.com. Archived from the original on June 27, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
- ^ Remington (R-CLF)
- ^ Donald J. Trump. "Congratulations to Bryan Steil on a wonderful win last night. You will be replacing a great guy in Paul Ryan, and your win in November will make the entire State of Wisconsin very proud. You have my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter.
- ^ Mike Pence. "Big night for Wisconsin! Congrats to my friend & one of the nation's greatest governors @ScottWalker on his primary victory. And congrats to @LeahVukmir & @BryanSteilForWI, two great future leaders of the GOP!". Twitter.
- ^ "Kenosha Professional Police Association Board Endorses Steil". Steil for Wisconsin. September 20, 2018. Archived from the original on November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "Small Business Endorses Bryan Steil for Election". NFIB. October 17, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Steil". GazetteXtra.com. October 11, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f "All Six First District County Sheriffs Endorse Bryan Steil". Steil for Wisconsin. September 20, 2018. Archived from the original on November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "Kevin Adam Steen Backs Bryan Steil for Congress". Steil for Wisconsin. August 21, 2018.
- ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
- ^ a b "Red to Blue". dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "The Shepherd Express 2018 Election Endorsements". The Shepherd Express. August 7, 2018. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
- ^ Bill de Blasio. "Let's not talk about what's wrong with Donald Trump. Let's talk about what's right about @IronStache". Twitter.
- ^ Change Research (D-Bryce)
- ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce)
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ a b c d "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
- ^ a b c d "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ a b c d Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ a b c d "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Archived from the original on November 4, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
- ^ Struass, Daniel (March 10, 2017). "Rep. Ron Kind decides against run for Wisconsin governor". Politico.
- ^ a b Mike Tighe (November 18, 2017). "Potential challenger to Ron Kind vows fresh ideas". winonadailynews.com. La Crosse Tribune. Archived from the original on December 3, 2017. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ Hubbuch, Chris. "Steve Toft enters 3rd District race, hopes to unseat 'career politician' Ron Kind". La Crosse Tribune.
- ^ "Dr. Vipond's campaign website". Vipond for Congress campaign. March 1, 2018. Retrieved March 1, 2018.
- ^ "Vipond campaign: Jennifer Vipond announces bid for 5th CD". WisPolitics.com. March 1, 2018. Retrieved March 1, 2018.
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- ^ JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Defour, Matthew (February 16, 2017). "With Sean Duffy out, Republican field for U.S. Senate in 2018 wide open". The Journal Times.
- ^ "2018 Election United States House - Wisconsin - District 07 - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
- ^ a b Anderson, Jonathan (September 12, 2017). "Liegeois to challenge Gallagher in 2018 8th Congressional District race". Green Bay Press-Gazette. Retrieved September 12, 2017.
External links
[edit]- Wisconsin Elections Commission
- Candidates on ballot for primary Archived 2018-07-12 at the Wayback Machine
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites of first district candidates
- Randy Bryce (D) for Congress Archived 2017-10-13 at the Wayback Machine
- Bryan Steil (R) for Congress
- Ken Yorgan (I) for Congress
Official campaign websites of second district candidates
Official campaign websites of third district candidates
- Ron Kind (D) for Congress Archived 2017-10-13 at the Wayback Machine
- Steve Toft (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates
Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates
- Jim Sensenbrenner (R) for Congress
- Tom Palzewicz (D) for Congress Archived 2017-10-13 at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates
Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates
- Sean Duffy (R) for Congress Archived 2017-09-18 at the Wayback Machine
- Margaret Ruth Engebretson (D) for Congress Archived 2018-07-26 at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates