2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 13 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Michigan |
---|
![]() |
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19.[1] The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008.[a] This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district.[2] Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points.[3] That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.[4]
District 1
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Bergman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lorinser: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] He was re-elected.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. Representative[6]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 111,911 | 100.0 | |
Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 111,917 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bob Lorinser, physician[8]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 67,251 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 67,251 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 233,094 | 59.98 | |
Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 145,403 | 37.42 | |
Working Class | Liz Hakola | 5,510 | 1.42 | |
Libertarian | Andrew Gale | 4,592 | 1.18 | |
Total votes | 388,599 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Moolenaar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was John Moolenaar.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. Representative[20]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Tom Norton, veteran[21]
Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
- Detroit News (primary only)[22]
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e9/2022_MI-02_GOP_primary.svg/200px-2022_MI-02_GOP_primary.svg.png)
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 77,394 | 65.2 | |
Republican | Tom Norton | 41,273 | 34.8 | |
Write-in | 37 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 118,704 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jerry Hilliard, nominee for Michigan's 4th congressional district in 2020[23]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 40,952 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 40,952 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 216,222 | 63.68 | |
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 116,452 | 34.30 | |
Libertarian | Nathan Hewer | 6,847 | 2.02 | |
Total votes | 339,521 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Scholten: 50–60% Gibbs: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by precinct Scholten: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gibbs: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.[5]
In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat,[24][25][26] which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district.[26] Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.[27]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Gibbs, former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development and software engineer[28]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Peter Meijer, incumbent U.S. Representative[29]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. representatives
- Dan Crenshaw, U.S. Representative from Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[30]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2005–2023)[30]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 1st congressional district (2008–present)[30]
Newspapers
- Detroit News (primary only)[31]
Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | John Gibbs | Audra Lemons-Johnson | Gabriella Manolache | Peter Meijer | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Impact Research (D)[37][A] | January 11–13, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 26% | 55% |
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/53/2022_MI-03_GOP_primary.svg/200px-2022_MI-03_GOP_primary.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Gibbs | 54,136 | 51.8 | |
Republican | Peter Meijer (incumbent) | 50,440 | 48.2 | |
Total votes | 104,576 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Hillary Scholten, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 3rd congressional district in 2020[38]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 59,661 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 59,661 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Lean D (flip) | August 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections[10] | Lean D (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean D (flip) | September 7, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Lean D (flip) | August 12, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Lean D (flip) | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
538[16] | Tossup | October 20, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Lean D (flip) | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Ben Carson, former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2017–2021)[28]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[40]
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021)[42] (Independent)
Organizations
- Family Research Council Action PAC[43]
Individuals
- Peter Thiel, entrepreneur and venture capitalist[44]
State leadership
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan[45]
State legislators
- Winnie Brinks, state senator[46]
Local officials
- George Heartwell, former mayor of Grand Rapids[47]
Newspapers
Organizations
- EMILY's List[49]
- End Citizens United (post primary)[50]
- Giffords[51]
- J Street[52]
- League of Conservation Voters[53]
- Let America Vote (post primary)[50]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[54]
- New Democrat Coalition Action Fund[55]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Sierra Club[18]
Labor unions
- Peter Meijer, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2021–2023) (Republican)[60]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | John Gibbs (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[61][B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 44% | 21% |
Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Peter Meijer (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[61][B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 39% | 24% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 185,989 | 54.87 | |
Republican | John Gibbs | 142,229 | 41.96 | |
Libertarian | Jamie Lewis | 6,634 | 1.96 | |
Working Class | Louis Palus | 4,136 | 1.22 | |
Total votes | 338,988 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 4
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Alfonso: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term.[62] The winner was Bill Huizenga.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bill Huizenga, incumbent U.S. Representative[63]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Steve Carra, state representative[64] (running for re-election, endorsed Huizenga)[65]
Declined
[edit]- Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. Representative[66][67]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) (switched endorsement to Huizenga after Carra withdrew)[68]
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[69]
State legislators
- Steve Carra, member of the Michigan House of Representatives from the 59th district (2021–present), withdrawn candidate for the seat[65]
Organizations
Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 88,851 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 88,851 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Joseph Alfonso, member of the Michigan State Plumbing Board, non-profit treasurer, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[71][72]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Chris Glasser[73]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joseph Alfonso (write-in) | 10,992 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 10,992 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 15, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Likely R | June 14, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 183,936 | 54.36 | |
Democratic | Joseph Alfonso | 143,690 | 42.47 | |
Libertarian | Lorence Wenke | 8,478 | 2.51 | |
U.S. Taxpayers | Curtis Michael Clark | 2,244 | 0.66 | |
Total votes | 338,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Tim Walberg.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. Representative[77]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0b/2022_MI-05_GOP_primary.svg/200px-2022_MI-05_GOP_primary.svg.png)
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 50–60%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 67,582 | 67.2 | |
Republican | Sherry O'Donnell | 32,886 | 32.7 | |
Write-in | 97 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 100,565 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bart Goldberg, attorney[81]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 39,971 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 39,971 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 198,020 | 62.42 | |
Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 110,946 | 34.97 | |
Libertarian | Norman Peterson | 5,129 | 1.62 | |
U.S. Taxpayers | Ezra Scott | 3,162 | 1.00 | |
Write-in | 1 | 0.00 | ||
Total votes | 317,258 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 6
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Dingell: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Debbie Dingell.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Debbie Dingell, incumbent U.S. Representative[83]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- League of Conservation Voters[85]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[86]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Progressive Democrats of America[87]
- Sierra Club[18]
Newspapers
- Detroit Free Press (post-primary)[48]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 102,859 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 102,859 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Whittney Williams, auto show product specialist and candidate for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020[88]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Hima Kolanagireddy, businesswoman[88]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Whittney Williams | 30,564 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Hima Kolanagireddy | 26,371 | 46.3 | |
Total votes | 56,935 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 241,759 | 65.89 | |
Republican | Whittney Williams | 125,167 | 34.11 | |
Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 366,927 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 7
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Results Slotkin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Barrett: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.[5]
In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[89] In October 2022, the Slotkin–Barrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide.[90] The winner was Elissa Slotkin.[91]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Elissa Slotkin, incumbent U.S. Representative[92]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[93]
- End Citizens United[94]
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- Giffords[95]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[96]
- League of Conservation Voters[97]
- Let America Vote[94]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[98]
- New Politics[33]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Sierra Club[18]
- VoteVets.org[99]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 77,826 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 77,826 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tom Barrett, state senator from the 24th district[100]
Declined
[edit]- John James, businessman, former U.S. Army Captain and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020[101] (running in Michigan's 10th congressional district)
- Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020[102] (running in Michigan's 8th congressional district)[103]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- American Conservative Union[104]
- Americans for Prosperity Action[105]
- Tea Party Express[106]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Barrett | 75,491 | 96.1 | |
Republican | Jake Hagg (write-in) | 3,108 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 78,599 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Tossup | June 15, 2022 |
Inside Elections[10] | Tilt D | June 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Tossup | June 14, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
Decision Desk HQ[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2022 |
538[16] | Lean D | October 20, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. representatives
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative for WY-AL (2017–2023) (Republican)[107]
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[93]
- End Citizens United[94]
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- Giffords[95]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[96]
- League of Conservation Voters[97]
- Let America Vote[94]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[98]
- New Politics[33]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Sierra Club[18]
- VoteVets.org[99]
Executive branch officaials
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States (2017–2021)[108][109]
U.S. representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. representative for HI-2 (2013–2021) and former Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee (2013–2016)[110] (Independent)
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative for CA-23 (2013–2023), House Minority Leader (2019–present), and former U.S. representative for CA-22 (2007–2013)[108][better source needed]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative for LA-1 (2008–present), House Minority Whip (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
- Jason Smith, U.S. representative for MO-8 (2013–present)[108][better source needed]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative for NY-21 (2015–present)[108][better source needed]
State legislators
- Bob Bezotte, Michigan state representative, 47th district (2021–present)[108][better source needed]
- Alan Cropsey, Michigan state senator, 30th (1983–1986), 33rd district (2003–2010), Michigan state representative, 88th (1979–1982), 86th district (1993–1998)[108][better source needed]
- Graham Filler, Michigan state representative, 93rd district (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
- Ben Frederick, Michigan state representative, 85th district (2017–present), Michigan House of Representatives Majority Leader (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
- Rick Jones, Michigan state senator, 24th district (2011–2019)[108][better source needed]
- Tom Leonard, Michigan state representative, 93rd district (2013–2019), Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2017–2019)[108][better source needed]
- Paul Opsommer, Michigan state representative, 93rd district (2007–2012)[108][better source needed]
- Deb Shaughnessy, Michigan state representative, 71st district (2011–2012)[108][better source needed]
- Norm Shinkle, Michigan state senator, 11th district (1983–1990)[108][better source needed]
- Lana Theis, Michigan state senator, 22nd district (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
Individuals
- Harriet Hageman, attorney and Republican nominee for WY-AL in 2022[111]
Organizations
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Tom Barrett (R) | Undecided [c] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[112] | April 10 – November 2, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | 47.7% | 44.3% | 8.0% | Slotkin +3.4 |
Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Tom Barrett (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research[113] | November 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% |
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[114] | October 18–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | 4%[d] | 8% |
Target Insyght[115] | September 12–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 38% | – | 6% |
Cygnal (R)[116][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 19% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[116][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 39% | 50% | – | 10% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 16% |
Cygnal (R)[118][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 192,809 | 51.73 | |
Republican | Tom Barrett | 172,624 | 46.32 | |
Libertarian | Leah Dailey | 7,275 | 1.95 | |
Total votes | 372,708 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 8
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% Junge: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by precinct Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Junge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Dan Kildee.[119]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. Representative[120]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 70,791 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 70,791 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020[102][103]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Failed to qualify
[edit]- Bryan Trouten[126]
Declined
[edit]- Bill Schuette, former Michigan Attorney General (2011–2019) and Republican nominee for Michigan Governor in 2018[127][128][129]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/72/2022_MI-08_GOP_primary.svg/200px-2022_MI-08_GOP_primary.svg.png)
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Junge | 42,363 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Matthew Seely | 18,658 | 23.6 | |
Republican | Candice Miller | 17,879 | 22.7 | |
Total votes | 78,900 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]Libertarian Party
[edit]Presumptive nominee
[edit]- David Canny
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Newspapers
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Lean D | October 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections[10] | Lean D | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | November 6, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Dan Kildee (D) | Paul Junge (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[132][E] | September 27–30, 2022 | 335 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 45% | 6% | 5% |
RMG Research[133] | July 28 – August 4, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 9% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 178,322 | 53.10 | |
Republican | Paul Junge | 143,850 | 42.83 | |
Working Class | Kathy Goodwin | 9,077 | 2.70 | |
Libertarian | David Canny | 4,580 | 1.36 | |
Total votes | 335,829 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 9
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results by county McClain: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 9th district is based in The Thumb region, including Port Huron as well as the northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Lisa McClain formerly of the 10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Lisa McClain.[134]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lisa McClain, incumbent U.S. Representative[135]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michelle Donovan, attorney[136]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[137]
Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 97,017 | 78.7 | |
Republican | Michelle Donovan | 26,215 | 21.3 | |
Total votes | 123,232 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Brian Jaye, attorney[137]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brian Jaye | 48,802 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 48,802 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 238,300 | 63.90 | |
Democratic | Brian Jaye | 123,702 | 33.17 | |
Working Class | Jim Walkowicz | 6,571 | 1.76 | |
Libertarian | Jacob Kelts | 4,349 | 1.17 | |
Total votes | 372,922 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 10
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
James: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Marlinga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan's Macomb County, taking in Warren and Sterling Heights, as well as a small portion of eastern Oakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was John James.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Carl Marlinga, former Macomb County Circuit Court Judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in 1994[139]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Huwaida Arraf, civil rights attorney[140]
- Rhonda Powell, former director of Macomb County Health and Community Services[141]
- Angela Rogensues, Warren City Council member[142]
- Henry Yanez, Sterling Heights council member and former state representative[143]
Declined
[edit]- Andy Levin, U.S. Representative (running in Michigan's 11th congressional district)[140]
- Michael Taylor, mayor of Sterling Heights[140][144]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Huwaida Arraf | Carl Marlinga | Rhonda Powell | Angela Rogensues | Michael Taylor | Henry Yanez | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght (D)[150][F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 8% | 40% | 13% | 16% | – | 7% | 15% |
Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 3% | 33% | – | 2% | 16% | – | 47% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 32,653 | 47.8 | |
Democratic | Rhonda Powell | 11,396 | 16.7 | |
Democratic | Angela Rogensues | 9,503 | 13.9 | |
Democratic | Huwaida Arraf | 8,846 | 13.0 | |
Democratic | Henry Yanez | 5,891 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 68,289 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John James, businessman, Iraq War veteran and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020[152]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Tony Marcinkewciz[153]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Eric Esshaki, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020[154][155] (endorsed James)
Declined
[edit]- Mike Bishop, former U.S. Representative (2015–2019) (endorsed James)[156][157]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner, former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2017), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003) (endorsed James)[157]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[158]
U.S. representatives
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2015–2019), Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2007–2011)[157]
- Candice Miller, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2017), 40th secretary of state of Michigan (1995–2003)[157]
Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Eric Esshaki | John James | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~230 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 7% | 68% | 24% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John James | 63,417 | 86.3 | |
Republican | Tony Marcinkewciz | 10,079 | 13.7 | |
Total votes | 73,496 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Likely R (flip) | August 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[10] | Lean R (flip) | August 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R (flip) | June 15, 2022 |
Politico[12] | Likely R (flip) | October 18, 2022 |
RCP[13] | Likely R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[14] | Likely R (flip) | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[15] | Likely R (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
538[16] | Likely R (flip) | October 6, 2022 |
The Economist[17] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[158]
U.S. representatives
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2015–2019), Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2007–2011)[157]
- Candice Miller, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2017), 40th secretary of state of Michigan (1995–2003)[157]
Organizations
Local politicians
- David Coulter, Oakland County Executive[161]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[161]
Newspapers
Organizations
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Carl Marlinga (D) | John James (R) | Undecided [e] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[162] | January 26 – October 18, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 39.2% | 44.7% | 16.1% | James +5.5 |
Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Carl Marlinga (D) | John James (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght (D)[163][F] | October 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[164] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 44% | 5%[f] | 13% |
Mitchell Research (R)[165] | August 16–21, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 38% | 47% | – | 15% |
Target Insyght (D)[166][F] | August 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
Target Insyght (D)[167][F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[168][G] | April 24–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
Target Insyght (D)[169][F] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
Carl Marlinga vs. Eric Esshaki
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Carl Marlinga (D) | Eric Esshaki (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 31% | 17% |
Andy Levin vs. John James
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Andy Levin (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[170][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 50% | – |
Haley Stevens vs. John James
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Haley Stevens (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[170][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 50% | – |
Michael Taylor vs. Eric Esshaki
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Michael Taylor (D) | Eric Esshaki (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Michael Taylor vs. John James
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Michael Taylor (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[170][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 49% | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John James | 159,202 | 48.80 | ||
Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 157,602 | 48.31 | ||
Working Class | Andrea Kirby | 5,905 | 1.81 | ||
Libertarian | Mike Saliba | 3,524 | 1.08 | ||
Write-in | 4 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 326,237 | 100.0 | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
District 11
[edit]![]() | |