2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
← 2010 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2014 →
All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 1
Seats won 2 1
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 422,189 343,269
Percentage 55.11% 44.81%
Swing Increase3.53% Decrease3.61%
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. Representatives from the state, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election.

Overview

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United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats before Seats after +/–
Democratic 422,189 55.11% 2 2 -
Republican 343,269 44.81% 1 1 -
Independent (Write-in) 173 0.02% -
Green Party (Write-in) 459 0.06% -
Totals 766,090 100% 3 3 -

District 1

[edit]
See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district

The redrawn 1st district serves the central area of New Mexico, including almost three-fourths of Albuquerque. Incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich, first elected in 2008, did not seek reelection, but instead ran for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Jeff Bingaman.[2]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle Lujan Grisham 19,111 40.1
Democratic Eric Griego 16,702 35.0
Democratic Martin Chávez 11,895 24.9
Total votes 47,708 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
  • Jon Barela, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010[15]

Primary results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 26,198 100.0
Total votes 26,198 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)

Organizations

Janice Arnold-Jones (R)

Organizations

Polling

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Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Michelle
Lujan Grisham (D) 		Janice
Arnold-Jones (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[19] October 23–25, 2012 401 ± 4.9% 51% 36% 13%
Research & Polling Inc[20] October 9–11, 2012 402 ± 4.9% 51% 37% 12%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[21] October 8–9, 2012 407 ± 5.0% 55% 40% 5%
Research & Polling Inc[22] September 3–6, 2012 409 ± 4.8% 46% 34% 20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[23] July 10–15, 2012 502 ± 4.0% 50% 42% 8%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[25] Safe D November 2, 2012
Roll Call[26] Safe D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D November 5, 2012
NY Times[28] Lean D November 4, 2012
RCP[29] Safe D November 4, 2012
The Hill[30] Likely D November 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2012[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle Lujan Grisham 162,924 59.1
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 112,472 40.8
Green Jeanne Pahls (write-in) 459 0.2
Total votes 275,855 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district

Incumbent Republican Steve Pearce was elected in 2010, having previously served from 2003 until 2009. Pearce sought reelection in 2012.[31]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]

Primary results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Pearce (incumbent) 29,911 100.0
Total votes 29,911 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]
  • Frank McKinnon, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2008[35][33]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Evelyn Madrid Erhard 24,175 100.0
Total votes 24,175 100.0

General election

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Polling

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Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steve
Pearce (R) 		Evelyn
Madrid Erhard (D) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[19] October 23–25, 2012 113 ± 9.2% 56% 38% 6%
Research & Polling Inc[20] October 9–11, 2012 116 ± 9.1% 55% 31% 15%
Research & Polling Inc[22] September 3–6, 2012 119 ± 9.0% 56% 30% 14%

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2012[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Pearce (incumbent) 133,180 59.0
Democratic Evelyn Madrid Erhard 92,162 40.9
Independent Jack A. McGrann (write-In) 173 0.1
Total votes 225,515 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district

Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján was first elected in 2008. In April 2011 Luján declined to enter the U.S. Senate race and instead chose to seek reelection to the House of Representatives.[39]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben R. Luján (incumbent) 53,908 100.0
Total votes 53,908 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jefferson L. Byrd 13,055 53.5
Republican Frederick L. Newton 11,340 46.5
Total votes 24,395 100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source 		Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ben Ray
Luján (D) 		Jefferson
Byrd (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[19] October 23–25, 2012 148 ± 8.0% 53% 35% 12%
Research & Polling Inc[20] October 9–11, 2012 140 ± 8.3% 58% 34% 8%
Research & Polling Inc[22] September 3–6, 2012 139 ± 8.3% 57% 31% 12%

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2012[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Ray Luján (incumbent) 167,103 63.1
Republican Jefferson Byrd 97,616 36.9
Total votes 264,719 100.0
Democratic hold

References

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  1. ^ a b c d "Statewide Results" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2013.
  2. ^ Blake, Aaron (April 2, 2011). "Heinrich to run for Senate in New Mexico". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  3. ^ "Lujan Grisham wins hotly contested CD-1 primary". KOAT-TV. June 6, 2012. Archived from the original on October 22, 2013. Retrieved June 5, 2013.
  4. ^ a b Trygstad, Kyle (June 29, 2011). "Ex-Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez Running in 1st District". Roll Call. Retrieved June 29, 2011.
  5. ^ Miller, Sean J. (May 2, 2011). "Field grows in race for Heinrich's NM House seat". The Hill. Retrieved May 4, 2011.
  6. ^ Reichbach, Matthew (April 13, 2011). "Balderas won't seek Heinrich's seat". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  7. ^ a b Haussamen, Heath (April 19, 2011). "Keller won't run for Congress". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  8. ^ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved June 30, 2011.
  9. ^ "No Moe in US House race". Capitol Report New Mexico. June 8, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  10. ^ Flores, Danielle (July 16, 2011). "Second Republican enters Congressional race". KOB. Retrieved July 18, 2011.
  11. ^ a b Reichbach, Matthew (March 20, 2012). "Dan Lewis drops out of congressional race". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 22, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  12. ^ Haussamen, Heath (April 4, 2011). "Lewis formally enters congressional race". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  13. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (November 3, 2011). "Sierra Club Backs Eric Griego in New Mexico Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved November 7, 2011.
  14. ^ Reichbach, Matthew (April 16, 2012). "CD1: District court judge takes Smith off GOP primary ballot". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on April 19, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  15. ^ Haussamen, Heath (January 21, 2012). "Barela won't run for CD1 seat". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
  16. ^ "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
  17. ^ "Help Our Candidates Win!". emilyslist.org. Archived from the original on November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  18. ^ "Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates". maggieslist.org. Maggie's List. Archived from the original on August 26, 2012. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
  19. ^ a b c Research & Polling Inc
  20. ^ a b c Research & Polling Inc
  21. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
  22. ^ a b c Research & Polling Inc
  23. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
  24. ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
  25. ^ "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  26. ^ [1], as of November 4, 2012
  27. ^ Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012
  28. ^ House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012
  29. ^ [2], as of November 4, 2012
  30. ^ "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  31. ^ "Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K". Las Cruces Sun-News. April 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.[permanent dead link‍]
  32. ^ "Mesilla Democrat Seeks 2nd Congressional District Seat". Las Cruces Sun-News. Albuquerque Journal. December 1, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  33. ^ a b Reichbach, Matthew (March 10, 2012). "Heinrich, Griego win pre-primaries, Balderas with a strong showing". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  34. ^ "Sunland Park mayor won't run for Congress". Alamogordo Daily News. Associated Press. October 7, 2011. Retrieved October 11, 2011.
  35. ^ "Democratic longshot takes on Steve Pearce". Capitol Report New Mexico. November 5, 2011. Archived from the original on March 9, 2016. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  36. ^ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Congressional run isn't likely, Cote says". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 18, 2011.
  37. ^ Haussamen, Heath (May 5, 2011). "Sunland Park mayor running for Congress; Cote might too". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved May 7, 2011.
  38. ^ "Harry Teague: I won't run again". KRQE. Associated Press. January 7, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  39. ^ Catanese, David (April 25, 2011). "Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate". Politico. Retrieved April 25, 2011.
  40. ^ Terrell, Steve (November 18, 2011). "Artist, hotel worker takes on Luján in Democratic primary". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved December 3, 2011.
  41. ^ Haussamen, Heath (January 20, 2012). "Montoya to challenge Luján in CD3 Dem primary". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
  42. ^ Simonich, Milan (May 11, 2012). "Congressional candidate urges 2,000-mile barricade along US southern border". Carlsbad Current-Argus. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  43. ^ Terrell, Steve (October 31, 2011). "Security-tech entrepreneur seeks to challenge Rep. Luján". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved November 2, 2011.
  44. ^ AP results
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